Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 74

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	44.7%	56	12	+44	362
LAB	41.0%	262	33.0%	1	59	-58	204
LIB	7.6%	12	11.8%	3	2	+1	13
Brexit	0.0%	0	2.1%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	2.8%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.9%	15	0	+15	50
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.4%	0	2	-2	2
UKIP	1.9%	0	0.1%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.7%	0	1.1%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Aberdeen South	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Ross Thomson
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Angus	Tayside	SNP	gain from	CON	Kirstene Hair
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	CON	Bill Grant
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Bedford	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Bolsover	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dennis Skinner
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Madeleine Moon
Burnley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Bury North	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	James Frith
Bury South	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Ceredigion	Dyfed	CON	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Clwyd South	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Susan Elan Jones
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Coventry North West	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Geoffrey Robinson
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	James Cunningham
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Derby North	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Williamson
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North West	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Pidcock
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Eastbourne	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Lloyd
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Great Grimsby	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Liz McInnes
Hyndburn	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Keighley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Grogan
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Leigh	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Joanne Platt
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Luke Graham
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Redcar	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	CON	Paul Masterton
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Scunthorpe	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sedgefield	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Phil Wilson
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stockton South	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Williams
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stroud	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	David Drew
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Warrington South	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Faisal Rashid
West Bromwich East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Watson
West Bromwich West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Reynolds
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Pat McFadden
Workington	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 74

List of predicted seat changes