Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 250

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	365	54.0%	88	3	+85	450
LAB	33.0%	203	28.0%	0	82	-82	121
LIB	11.8%	11	6.0%	0	9	-9	2
Brexit	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	3.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.5%	7	0	+7	55
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	1	-1	3
Other	1.1%	0	4.0%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Ashton under Lyne	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Rayner
Barnsley Central	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dan Jarvis
Barnsley East	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Batley and Spen	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Tracy Brabin
Battersea	Wandsworth	CON	gain from	LAB	Marsha De Cordova
Bedford	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Birmingham Edgbaston	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Preet Gill
Birmingham Erdington	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jack Dromey
Blaydon	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Liz Twist
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bristol North West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Darren Jones
Caerphilly	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Wayne David
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Jamie Stone
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna McMorrin
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Dyfed	CON	gain from	Plaid	Jonathan Edwards
Chester, City of	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Toby Perkins
Coventry North West	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Taiwo Owatemi
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Zarah Sultana
Croydon Central	Croydon	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Jones
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Denton and Reddish	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Andrew Gwynne
Derby South	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Beckett
Doncaster Central	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Winterton
Doncaster North	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ed Miliband
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevan Jones
Durham, City of	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Foy
Easington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Grahame Morris
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham	Greenwich	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield Southgate	Enfield	CON	gain from	LAB	Bambos Charalambous
Erith and Thamesmead	Bexley	CON	gain from	LAB	Abena Oppong-Asare
Fife North East	Fife	SNP	gain from	LIB	Wendy Chamberlain
Gower	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Tonia Antoniazzi
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Houghton and Sunderland South	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Bridget Phillipson
Huddersfield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Barry Sheerman
Hull East	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hull North	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Diana Johnson
Hull West and Hessle	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Hardy
Ilford North	Redbridge	CON	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Islwyn	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Evans
Jarrow	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Kate Osborne
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Ed Davey
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Cat Smith
Leeds East	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burgon
Leicester East	Leicestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Claudia Webbe
Leicester West	Leicestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Liz Kendall
Llanelli	Dyfed	CON	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Makerfield	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Yvonne Fovargue
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Neath	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Christina Rees
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine McKinnell
Newport East	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Jessica Morden
Newport West	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Jones
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Nottingham North	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Norris
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Layla Moran
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	CON	gain from	LAB	Luke Pollard
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Putney	Wandsworth	CON	gain from	LAB	Fleur Anderson
Reading East	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Rodda
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Sarah Olney
Rotherham	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Champion
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Olivia Blake
Sheffield South East	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Betts
Southampton Test	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Whitehead
St Albans	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Daisy Cooper
Stalybridge and Hyde	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Reynolds
Stockton North	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Cunningham
Sunderland Central	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Julie Elliott
Torfaen	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Tynemouth	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Campbell
Tyneside North	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Glindon
Walsall South	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Wansbeck	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lavery
Warrington North	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Charlotte Nichols
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Western
Washington and Sunderland West	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Sharon Hodgson
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Amesbury
Wentworth and Dearne	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Healey
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Wigan	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Lisa Nandy
Wirral South	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Alison McGovern
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Pat McFadden
Worsley and Eccles South	Central Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Barbara Keeley

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 250

List of predicted seat changes