Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 19 of majority

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	23.3%	1	12	-11	307
LAB	41.0%	262	29.7%	1	7	-6	256
LIB	7.6%	12	12.7%	6	0	+6	18
Brexit	0.0%	0	19.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	4.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.4%	13	0	+13	48
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	2	-2	2
UKIP	1.9%	0	2.3%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.7%	0	5.3%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Angus	Tayside	SNP	gain from	CON	Kirstene Hair
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	CON	Bill Grant
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Luke Graham
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	CON	Paul Masterton
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 19 of majority

List of predicted seat changes