Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 23 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	31.0%	6	34	-28	303
LAB	31.2%	232	29.0%	12	10	+2	234
LIB	8.1%	8	22.0%	28	0	+28	36
UKIP	12.9%	1	10.0%	0	0	+0	1
Green	3.8%	1	2.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.9%	56	4.9%	1	3	-2	54
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	0.8%	0	0.6%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Bath	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Ben Howlett
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Neil Coyle
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Brecon and Radnorshire	Powys	LIB	gain from	CON	Christopher Davies
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Burnley	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Williams
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chester, City of	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Colchester	Essex	LIB	gain from	CON	Will Quince
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Croydon Central	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Gavin Barwell
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Peter Heaton-Jones
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	SNP	John Nicolson
Eastbourne	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Ansell
Eastleigh	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Mims Davies
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LIB	gain from	SNP	Michelle Thomson
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Gower	West Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Byron Davies
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	James Berry
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Maidstone and The Weald	Kent	LIB	gain from	CON	Helen Grant
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Blenkinsop
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Nicola Blackwood
Plymouth Moor View	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Johnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Flick Drummond
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Robert Flello
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil Carmichael
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Paul Scully
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Luke Hall
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Torbay	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Kevin Foster
Twickenham	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Tania Mathias
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous
Wells	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Yeovil	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Marcus Fysh

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 23 of majority

List of predicted seat changes