Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 38

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.0%	307	37.0%	38	1	+37	344
LAB	29.7%	258	30.0%	17	0	+17	275
LIB	23.6%	57	7.0%	0	55	-55	2
UKIP	3.2%	0	12.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.0%	1	0.0%	0	1	-1	0
SNP	1.7%	6	1.7%	1	0	+1	7
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	1	0	+1	4
Other	3.4%	0	11.7%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2010
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	CON	gain from	LIB	Sir Robert Smith
Argyll and Bute	Argyll and Bute	CON	gain from	LIB	Alan Reid
Bath	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Don Foster
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Hughes
Berwick-upon-Tweed	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LIB	Alan Beith
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	LIB	Michael Moore
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Hemming
Bradford East	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	David Ward
Brecon and Radnorshire	Powys	CON	gain from	LIB	Roger Williams
Brent Central	Brent	LAB	gain from	LIB	Sarah Teather
Brighton Pavilion	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	Green	Caroline Lucas
Bristol West	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Stephen Williams
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Gordon Birtwistle
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Thurso
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Julian Huppert
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	LIB	Jenny Willott
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Ceredigion	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	LIB	Mark Williams
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Mark Hunter
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LIB	Martin Horwood
Chippenham	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Duncan Hames
Colchester	Essex	CON	gain from	LIB	Bob Russell
Cornwall North	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Dan Rogerson
Devon North	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Nick Harvey
Dorset Mid and Poole North	Dorset	CON	gain from	LIB	Annette Brooke
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Jo Swinson
Eastbourne	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Lloyd
Eastleigh	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Christopher Huhne
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Michael Crockart
Fife North East	Fife	CON	gain from	LIB	Sir Menzies Campbell
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LIB	Malcolm Bruce
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew Stunell
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LAB	gain from	LIB	Lynne Featherstone
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey	Highland	LAB	gain from	LIB	Danny Alexander
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Edward Davey
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Greg Mulholland
Lewes	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Baker
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Leech
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Norwich South	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Wright
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Mike Hancock
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	LIB	Ian Swales
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Solihull	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LIB	Lorely Burt
Somerton and Frome	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Heath
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Gilbert
St Ives	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew George
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Paul Burstow
Taunton Deane	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Jeremy Browne
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Steve Webb
Torbay	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Adrian Sanders
Twickenham	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Vincent Cable
Warwickshire North	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dan Byles
Wells	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Tessa Munt
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Yeovil	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Laws

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 38

List of predicted seat changes