The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2015 Votes | 2015 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 37.8% | 319 | 41.0% | 44 | 0 | +44 | 363 |
LAB | 31.2% | 203 | 26.0% | 0 | 43 | -43 | 160 |
LIB | 8.1% | 5 | 8.0% | 2 | 2 | +0 | 5 |
UKIP | 12.9% | 1 | 14.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
Green | 3.8% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 4.9% | 52 | 4.9% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 51 |
PlaidC | 0.6% | 3 | 0.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 3 |
Other | 0.8% | 0 | 1.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 17 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 17 |
This prediction is based on the historic boundaries of the 2015 election (600 seats).
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Seat | County/Area | Predicted Change | MP as at 2015 | ||
Alfreton and Clay Cross | Derbyshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Bassetlaw | Nottinghamshire | CON | gain from | LAB | John Mann |
Bermondsey and Old Southwark | Southwark | LIB | gain from | LAB | Neil Coyle |
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Borders | CON | gain from | SNP | Calum Kerr |
Birmingham Erdington | Birmingham | CON | gain from | LAB | Jack Dromey |
Birmingham Northfield | Birmingham | CON | gain from | LAB | Richard Burden |
Birmingham Selly Oak and Halesowen | Birmingham | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Bishop Auckland | Durham | CON | gain from | LAB | Helen Goodman |
Blackpool South | Lancashire | CON | gain from | LAB | Gordon Marsden |
Bolton West | Western Manchester | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Brighton North | East Sussex | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Bristol East | Bristol area | CON | gain from | LAB | Kerry McCarthy |
Bury | Western Manchester | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Cambridge | Cambridgeshire | LIB | gain from | LAB | Daniel Zeichner |
Cardiff North | South Glamorgan | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Carshalton and Wallington | Sutton | CON | gain from | LIB | Tom Brake |
Chorley | Lancashire | CON | gain from | LAB | Lindsay Hoyle |
Darlington | Durham | CON | gain from | LAB | Jenny Chapman |
Dewsbury | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Paula Sherriff |
Eltham | Greenwich | CON | gain from | LAB | Clive Efford |
Gower and Swansea West | West Glamorgan | CON | gain from | LAB | Geraint Davies |
Halifax | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Holly Lynch |
Huddersfield | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Barry Sheerman |
Ilford North | Redbridge | CON | gain from | LAB | Wes Streeting |
Kenton | Harrow | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice | Humber area | CON | gain from | LAB | Alan Johnson |
Lancashire West | Lancashire | CON | gain from | LAB | Rosie Cooper |
Lancaster and Morecambe | Lancashire | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Leeds North West | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Littleborough and Saddleworth | Eastern Manchester | CON | gain from | LAB | Simon Danczuk |
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland | Teesside | CON | gain from | LAB | Tom Blenkinsop |
Newcastle-under-Lyme | Staffordshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Paul Farrelly |
Norfolk North | Norfolk | CON | gain from | LIB | Norman Lamb |
Norwich South | Norfolk | CON | gain from | LAB | Clive Lewis |
Nottingham South and Beeston | Nottinghamshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Lilian Greenwood |
Pudsey | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Scunthorpe | Humber area | CON | gain from | LAB | Nic Dakin |
Spen | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Jo Cox |
Stoke-on-Trent North | Staffordshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Ruth Smeeth |
Stoke-on-Trent South | Staffordshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Robert Flello |
Telford | Shropshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Unknown (changed seat) |
Tooting | Wandsworth | CON | gain from | LAB | Sadiq Khan |
Wakefield | West Yorkshire | CON | gain from | LAB | Mary Creagh |
Wolverhampton West | Black Country | CON | gain from | LAB | Rob Marris |
Worsley and Eccles South | Central Manchester | CON | gain from | LAB | Barbara Keeley |
Wrexham Maelor | Clwyd | CON | gain from | LAB | Ian Lucas |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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