User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 19 of majority

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 43.5%318 41.0%011-11307
LAB 41.0%262 40.0%83+5267
LIB 7.6%12 8.0%40+416
UKIP 1.9%0 4.0%00+00
Green 1.7%1 3.0%00+01
SNP 3.1%35 3.1%41+338
PlaidC 0.5%4 0.5%01-13
Minor 0.7%0 0.4%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2017
Calder ValleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCON: Craig Whittaker
CeredigionDyfedLIBgain fromNAT: Ben Lake
Chipping BarnetBarnetLABgain fromCON: Theresa Villiers
Fife North EastFifeLIBgain fromNAT: Stephen Gethins
Glasgow North EastGlasgow areaNATgain fromLAB: Paul Sweeney
Hastings and RyeEast SussexLABgain fromCON: Amber Rudd
Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathFifeNATgain fromLAB: Lesley Laird
Norwich NorthNorfolkLABgain fromCON: Chloe Smith
Preseli PembrokeshireDyfedLABgain fromCON: Stephen Crabb
PudseyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCON: Stuart Andrew
Richmond ParkRichmond Upon ThamesLIBgain fromCON: Zac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestAyrshire and LanarkNATgain fromLAB: Ged Killen
Southampton ItchenHampshireLABgain fromCON: Royston Smith
St IvesCornwallLIBgain fromCON: Derek Thomas
StirlingCentralNATgain fromCON: Stephen Kerr
ThurrockEssexLABgain fromCON: Jackie Doyle-Price

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2018 Martin Baxter
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