User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 4 of majority

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	42.0%	4	0	+4	322
LAB	41.0%	262	40.0%	0	4	-4	258
LIB	7.6%	12	6.0%	0	1	-1	11
UKIP	1.9%	0	4.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	2.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.1%	2	1	+1	36
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	0	+0	4
Other	0.7%	0	2.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

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List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Lanark and Hamilton East	Ayrshire and Lanark	CON	gain from	SNP	Angela Crawley
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Layla Moran
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

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