Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 140

This prediction is based on the historic boundaries of the 2015 election (600 seats).

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	319	43.0%	51	0	+51	370
LAB	31.2%	203	26.0%	0	47	-47	156
LIB	8.1%	5	8.0%	2	2	+0	5
UKIP	12.9%	1	11.0%	0	1	-1	0
Green	3.8%	0	6.0%	0	0	+0	0
SNP	4.9%	52	4.9%	0	1	-1	51
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	2	-2	1
Other	0.8%	0	0.6%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		17		0	0	+0	17

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Accrington	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Alfreton and Clay Cross	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Batley and Morley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Neil Coyle
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	SNP	Calum Kerr
Birmingham Erdington	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jack Dromey
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Birmingham Selly Oak and Halesowen	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Ronnie Campbell
Bolton West	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Brighton North	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Bristol East	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Kerry McCarthy
Bury	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Carmarthenshire	Dyfed	CON	gain from	Plaid	Jonathan Edwards
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Chorley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lindsay Hoyle
Clwyd North and Gwynedd	Gwynedd	CON	gain from	Plaid	Liz Saville Roberts
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Ealing Central and Shepherd's Bush	Ealing	CON	gain from	LAB	Rupa Huq
Eltham	Greenwich	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Gower and Swansea West	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Geraint Davies
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Harwich and Clacton	Essex	CON	gain from	UKIP	Douglas Carswell
Huddersfield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Barry Sheerman
Ilford North	Redbridge	CON	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Kenton	Harrow	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Johnson
Lancashire West	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Cooper
Lancaster and Morecambe	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Littleborough and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Simon Danczuk
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Blenkinsop
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Norwich South	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Lewis
Nottingham South and Beeston	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lilian Greenwood
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Scunthorpe	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Spen	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jo Cox
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Robert Flello
Telford	Shropshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Tooting	Wandsworth	CON	gain from	LAB	Sadiq Khan
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Wolverhampton West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Rob Marris
Worsley and Eccles South	Central Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Barbara Keeley
Wrexham Maelor	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 140

List of predicted seat changes