User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 28

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 37.8%331 43.0%135+8339
LAB 31.2%232 37.0%78-1231
LIB 8.1%8 6.0%06-62
UKIP 12.9%1 5.0%01-10
Green 3.8%1 3.0%00+01
SNP 4.9%56 4.9%11+056
PlaidC 0.6%3 0.6%00+03
Other 0.8%0 0.6%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
Barrow and FurnessCumbriaCONgain fromLABJohn Woodcock
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkBordersCONgain fromSNPCalum Kerr
Birmingham NorthfieldBirminghamCONgain fromLABRichard Burden
Brighton KemptownEast SussexLABgain fromCONSimon Kirby
Carshalton and WallingtonSuttonCONgain fromLIBTom Brake
Chester, City ofCheshireCONgain fromLABChris Matheson
ClactonEssexCONgain fromUKIPDouglas Carswell
GowerWest GlamorganLABgain fromCONByron Davies
Ilford NorthRedbridgeCONgain fromLABWes Streeting
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLABgain fromLIBGreg Mulholland
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastTeessideCONgain fromLABTom Blenkinsop
Newcastle-under-LymeStaffordshireCONgain fromLABPaul Farrelly
Norfolk NorthNorfolkCONgain fromLIBNorman Lamb
Orkney and ShetlandOrkney and ShetlandSNPgain fromLIBAlistair Carmichael
Plymouth Moor ViewDevonLABgain fromCONJohnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportDevonLABgain fromCONOliver Colvile
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLABgain fromLIBNick Clegg
SouthportMerseysideCONgain fromLIBJohn Pugh
Stoke-on-Trent SouthStaffordshireCONgain fromLABRobert Flello
Vale of ClwydClwydLABgain fromCONJames Davies
Wirral WestMerseysideCONgain fromLABMargaret Greenwood

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


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