The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2010 Votes | 2010 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 16.7% | 1 | 18.0% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 |
LAB | 42.0% | 41 | 30.0% | 0 | 13 | -13 | 28 |
LIB | 18.9% | 11 | 6.0% | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 |
UKIP | 0.7% | 0 | 5.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 0.7% | 0 | 5.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 19.9% | 6 | 36.0% | 23 | 0 | +23 | 29 |
Other | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
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The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2010 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | UKIP % | Green % | SNP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2010 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 30 | Glasgow North East | Willie Bain | 59,859 | 49.1 | 6.4 | 54.3 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 28.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
2 | 29 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Tom Clarke | 70,067 | 59.4 | 9.2 | 52.7 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 30.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
3 | 28 | Glasgow East | Margaret Curran | 61,516 | 52.3 | 5.5 | 48.0 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 37.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
4 | 27 | Glasgow South West | Ian Davidson | 58,182 | 54.6 | 7.9 | 48.9 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 33.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
5 | 26 | Glenrothes | Lindsay Roy | 67,893 | 59.7 | 8.2 | 48.7 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 34.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
6 | 25 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Gordon Brown | 73,665 | 62.2 | 10.4 | 50.7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
7 | 24 | Dunbartonshire West | Gemma Doyle | 66,085 | 64.0 | 8.7 | 47.8 | 0.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
8 | 23 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Frank Roy | 66,918 | 58.5 | 10.5 | 47.6 | 0.3 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 33.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
9 | 22 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Tom Greatrex | 76,408 | 61.5 | 10.8 | 47.3 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 30.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
10 | 21 | Airdrie and Shotts | Pamela Nash | 62,364 | 57.5 | 9.8 | 44.9 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
11 | 20 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Douglas Alexander | 61,197 | 65.4 | 11.2 | 46.2 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 33.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
12 | 19 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Gregg McClymont | 64,037 | 64.3 | 9.4 | 44.0 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 38.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
13 | 18 | Glasgow Central | Anas Sarwar | 60,062 | 50.9 | 8.4 | 39.2 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 7.4 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
14 | 17 | Glasgow North West | John Robertson | 60,968 | 58.4 | 11.2 | 41.1 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 32.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
15 | 16 | Inverclyde | David Cairns | 59,209 | 63.4 | 13.2 | 42.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
16 | 15 | Glasgow South | Tom Harris | 65,029 | 61.7 | 12.7 | 38.9 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
17 | 14 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Thomas Docherty | 73,769 | 66.4 | 8.3 | 33.9 | 15.7 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 30.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
17 | 13 | Dundee West | James McGovern | 63,013 | 58.9 | 10.5 | 35.9 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
18 | 13 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | James Sheridan | 63,704 | 68.6 | 15.8 | 41.1 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 34.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
19 | 12 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Michael McCann | 76,534 | 66.6 | 14.1 | 38.7 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 37.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
20 | 11 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Cathy Jamieson | 74,131 | 62.8 | 15.1 | 39.7 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 38.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
20 | 10 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Michael Connarty | 80,907 | 63.6 | 13.1 | 37.2 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
20 | 10 | Livingston | Graeme Morrice | 75,924 | 63.1 | 12.0 | 35.9 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
21 | 10 | Glasgow North | Ann McKechin | 51,416 | 57.6 | 8.6 | 32.3 | 13.4 | 5.3 | 8.5 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
21 | 9 | Midlothian | David Hamilton | 61,387 | 63.9 | 13.1 | 34.6 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 36.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
22 | 9 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Jimmy Hood | 74,773 | 62.3 | 16.2 | 37.3 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
22 | 8 | Falkirk | Eric Joyce | 81,869 | 62.0 | 12.3 | 33.4 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
22 | 8 | Edinburgh East | Sheila Gilmore | 60,941 | 65.4 | 12.2 | 31.3 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 9.5 | 36.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
22 | 8 | Aberdeen North | Frank Doran | 64,808 | 58.2 | 13.7 | 32.2 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
22 | 8 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Katy Clark | 74,953 | 61.5 | 16.7 | 35.0 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 40.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
22 | 8 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 22,266 | 66.1 | 5.3 | 21.6 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 57.2 | 9.6 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
23 | 8 | Ayrshire Central | Brian Donohoe | 68,352 | 64.2 | 21.5 | 35.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 33.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
24 | 7 | East Lothian | Fiona O'Donnell | 73,438 | 66.9 | 20.8 | 32.4 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 31.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
24 | 6 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Mark Lazarowicz | 69,204 | 68.4 | 16.5 | 25.8 | 15.0 | 5.4 | 7.6 | 29.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
25 | 6 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Sandra Osborne | 73,320 | 62.6 | 26.6 | 34.7 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 31.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
26 | 5 | Renfrewshire East | Jim Murphy | 66,249 | 77.3 | 31.4 | 38.1 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 22.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
26 | 4 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,471 | 62.0 | 16.3 | 22.0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
26 | 4 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 63,795 | 75.2 | 17.0 | 22.7 | 18.0 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 30.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
27 | 4 | Edinburgh South West | Alistair Darling | 66,359 | 68.5 | 25.5 | 30.7 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 28.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
27 | 3 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Gordon Banks | 75,115 | 67.2 | 21.5 | 26.2 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
27 | 3 | Stirling | Anne McGuire | 66,080 | 70.9 | 25.1 | 29.7 | 3.1 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
27 | 3 | Aberdeen South | Anne Begg | 64,031 | 67.2 | 22.1 | 24.9 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
28 | 3 | Dumfries and Galloway | Russell Brown | 74,581 | 70.0 | 32.6 | 33.6 | 0.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 25.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
28 | 2 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 59,354 | 73.8 | 23.0 | 23.3 | 15.1 | 5.0 | 7.1 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | John Thurso | 47,257 | 60.9 | 14.6 | 13.9 | 19.6 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Danny Alexander | 72,528 | 64.9 | 15.0 | 11.6 | 19.2 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Edinburgh West | Michael Crockart | 65,161 | 71.3 | 24.6 | 16.8 | 16.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 32.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Charles Kennedy | 51,836 | 67.2 | 14.0 | 5.2 | 26.5 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 37.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Gordon | Malcolm Bruce | 73,420 | 66.4 | 20.2 | 9.8 | 16.3 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 33,085 | 58.5 | 12.4 | 1.1 | 32.3 | 12.8 | 6.5 | 34.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Argyll and Bute | Alan Reid | 67,165 | 67.3 | 25.4 | 12.2 | 13.6 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 37.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Fife North East | Sir Menzies Campbell | 62,969 | 63.6 | 23.3 | 7.0 | 21.4 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
28 | 2 | Moray | Angus Robertson | 65,925 | 62.2 | 27.1 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
29 | 2 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 66,627 | 68.9 | 39.2 | 17.9 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 25.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
29 | 1 | Angus | Michael Weir | 62,863 | 60.4 | 31.9 | 7.1 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
29 | 1 | Perth and North Perthshire | Peter Wishart | 72,141 | 66.9 | 31.6 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 53.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
29 | 1 | Banff and Buchan | Eilidh Whiteford | 64,300 | 59.8 | 31.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 55.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | SNP | SNP |
29 | 1 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Sir Robert Smith | 66,110 | 68.4 | 31.8 | 3.8 | 17.8 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | SNP |
30 | 1 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Michael Moore | 73,826 | 66.4 | 35.4 | 0.7 | 22.1 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 29.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
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