Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 108

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	48.0%	48	0	+48	379
LAB	31.2%	232	33.0%	1	36	-35	197
LIB	8.1%	8	7.0%	0	4	-4	4
UKIP	12.9%	1	4.0%	0	1	-1	0
Green	3.8%	1	2.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.9%	56	4.1%	0	8	-8	48
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	0.8%	0	1.6%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Aberdeen South	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Callum McCaig
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Stuart Donaldson
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	SNP	Calum Kerr
Birmingham Edgbaston	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Gisela Stuart
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Cadbury
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Chester, City of	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Chorley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lindsay Hoyle
Clacton	Essex	CON	gain from	UKIP	Douglas Carswell
Copeland	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	Jamie Reed
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Jim Cunningham
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Natascha Engel
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	SNP	Richard Arkless
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	CON	gain from	LAB	Rupa Huq
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Deidre Brock
Eltham	Greenwich	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield North	Enfield	CON	gain from	LAB	Joan Ryan
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Hampstead and Kilburn	Camden	CON	gain from	LAB	Tulip Siddiq
Harrow West	Harrow	CON	gain from	LAB	Gareth Thomas
Hove	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Kyle
Hyndburn	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ilford North	Redbridge	CON	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine Smith
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Blenkinsop
Moray	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Angus Robertson
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Perth and North Perthshire	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Peter Wishart
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	CON	gain from	SNP	Kirsten Oswald
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Robert Flello
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Walsall North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	David Winnick
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Rob Marris
Worsley and Eccles South	Central Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Barbara Keeley
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 108

List of predicted seat changes