User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 23 of majority

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangeTactical
Fraction
Pred Seats
CON 37.8%331 39.8%836-2810%303
LAB 31.2%232 42.8%520+5225%284
LIB 8.1%8 9.0%43+150%9
UKIP 12.9%1 3.0%01-10%0
Green 3.8%1 1.0%00+00%1
SNP 4.9%56 3.7%023-230%33
PlaidC 0.6%3 0.5%01-10%2
Other 0.8%0 0.3%00+00%0
N.Ire 18 00+00%18

Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.

List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
Aberdeen SouthGrampianLABgain fromSNPCallum McCaig
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineGrampianCONgain fromSNPStuart Donaldson
BedfordBedfordshireLABgain fromCONRichard Fuller
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkBordersCONgain fromSNPCalum Kerr
Bolton WestWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONChris Green
Brighton KemptownEast SussexLABgain fromCONSimon Kirby
Bristol North WestBristol areaLABgain fromCONCharlotte Leslie
Bury NorthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONDavid Nuttall
Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossHighlandLIBgain from (TV)SNPPaul Monaghan
Calder ValleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONCraig Whittaker
Camborne and RedruthCornwallLABgain fromCONGeorge Eustice
Cardiff NorthSouth GlamorganLABgain fromCONCraig Williams
CarlisleCumbriaLABgain fromCONJohn Stevenson
Carmarthen East and DinefwrDyfedLABgain fromPlaidJonathan Edwards
ClactonEssexCONgain fromUKIPDouglas Carswell
Colne ValleyWest YorkshireCONhold (TV)CONJason McCartney
CorbyNorthamptonshireLABgain fromCONTom Pursglove
Croydon CentralCroydonLABgain fromCONGavin Barwell
Derby NorthDerbyshireLABgain fromCONAmanda Solloway
DoverKentLABgain fromCONCharlie Elphicke
Dumfries and GallowayDumfries and GallowayCONgain fromSNPRichard Arkless
Dunbartonshire EastGlasgow areaLIBgain fromSNPJohn Nicolson
Dunfermline and West FifeFifeLABgain from (TV)SNPDouglas Chapman
East LothianEdinburgh areaLABgain fromSNPGeorge Kerevan
Edinburgh EastEdinburgh areaLABgain fromSNPTommy Sheppard
Edinburgh North and LeithEdinburgh areaLABgain fromSNPDeidre Brock
Edinburgh South WestEdinburgh areaLABgain fromSNPJoanna Cherry
Edinburgh WestEdinburgh areaLIBgain fromSNPMichelle Thomson
Fife North EastFifeLIBgain fromSNPStephen Gethins
Glasgow CentralGlasgow areaLABgain from (TV)SNPAlison Thewliss
GloucesterGloucestershireLABgain fromCONRichard Graham
GowerWest GlamorganLABgain fromCONByron Davies
Halesowen and Rowley RegisBlack CountryLABgain fromCONJames Morris
Hastings and RyeEast SussexLABgain fromCONAmber Rudd
IpswichSuffolkLABgain fromCONBen Gummer
KeighleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONKris Hopkins
Lanark and Hamilton EastAyrshire and LanarkLABgain from (TV)SNPAngela Crawley
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLABgain fromLIBGreg Mulholland
LincolnLincolnshireLABgain fromCONKarl McCartney
MorayGrampianCONgain fromSNPAngus Robertson
Morley and OutwoodWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONAndrea Jenkyns
Northampton NorthNorthamptonshireLABgain fromCONMichael Ellis
Northampton SouthNorthamptonshireCONhold (TV)CONDavid Mackintosh
Ochil and South PerthshireCentralLABgain from (TV)SNPTasmina Ahmed-Sheikh
Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthGlasgow areaLABgain from (TV)SNPGavin Newlands
Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthGlasgow areaLABgain fromSNPMhairi Black
Perth and North PerthshireTaysideCONgain fromSNPPeter Wishart
PeterboroughCambridgeshireLABgain fromCONStewart Jackson
Plymouth Moor ViewDevonLABgain fromCONJohnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportDevonLABgain fromCONOliver Colvile
Portsmouth SouthHampshireLABgain fromCONFlick Drummond
Renfrewshire EastGlasgow areaLABgain fromSNPKirsten Oswald
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestAyrshire and LanarkLABgain fromSNPMargaret Ferrier
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLABgain fromLIBNick Clegg
Southampton ItchenHampshireLABgain fromCONRoyston Smith
SouthportMerseysideCONgain from (TV)LIBJohn Pugh
StirlingCentralCONgain from (TV)SNPSteven Paterson
StroudGloucestershireLABgain fromCONNeil Carmichael
Swindon SouthWiltshireLABgain fromCONRobert Buckland
TelfordShropshireLABgain fromCONLucy Allan
Thanet SouthKentLABgain fromCONCraig Mackinlay
ThurrockEssexLABgain fromCONJackie Doyle-Price
Vale of ClwydClwydLABgain fromCONJames Davies
Warrington SouthCheshireLABgain fromCONDavid Mowat
WaveneySuffolkLABgain fromCONPeter Aldous
Weaver ValeCheshireLABgain fromCONGraham Evans

Seats whose winner changed due to tactical voting effects are marked '(TV)'.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (14-Mar-2024 12:19, Py3L, sc1)

Pause to inspect. Press Enter to continue...