The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2015 Votes | 2015 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Tactical Fraction | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 37.8% | 331 | 39.8% | 8 | 36 | -28 | 10% | 303 |
LAB | 31.2% | 232 | 42.8% | 52 | 0 | +52 | 25% | 284 |
LIB | 8.1% | 8 | 9.0% | 4 | 3 | +1 | 50% | 9 |
UKIP | 12.9% | 1 | 3.0% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0% | 0 |
Green | 3.8% | 1 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0% | 1 |
SNP | 4.9% | 56 | 3.7% | 0 | 23 | -23 | 0% | 33 |
PlaidC | 0.6% | 3 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0% | 2 |
Other | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0% | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0% | 18 |
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Seat | County/Area | Predicted Change | MP as at 2015 | ||
Aberdeen South | Grampian | LAB | gain from | SNP | Callum McCaig |
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Grampian | CON | gain from | SNP | Stuart Donaldson |
Bedford | Bedfordshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Richard Fuller |
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Borders | CON | gain from | SNP | Calum Kerr |
Bolton West | Western Manchester | LAB | gain from | CON | Chris Green |
Brighton Kemptown | East Sussex | LAB | gain from | CON | Simon Kirby |
Bristol North West | Bristol area | LAB | gain from | CON | Charlotte Leslie |
Bury North | Western Manchester | LAB | gain from | CON | David Nuttall |
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Highland | LIB | gain from (TV) | SNP | Paul Monaghan |
Calder Valley | West Yorkshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Craig Whittaker |
Camborne and Redruth | Cornwall | LAB | gain from | CON | George Eustice |
Cardiff North | South Glamorgan | LAB | gain from | CON | Craig Williams |
Carlisle | Cumbria | LAB | gain from | CON | John Stevenson |
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Dyfed | LAB | gain from | Plaid | Jonathan Edwards |
Clacton | Essex | CON | gain from | UKIP | Douglas Carswell |
Colne Valley | West Yorkshire | CON | hold (TV) | CON | Jason McCartney |
Corby | Northamptonshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Tom Pursglove |
Croydon Central | Croydon | LAB | gain from | CON | Gavin Barwell |
Derby North | Derbyshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Amanda Solloway |
Dover | Kent | LAB | gain from | CON | Charlie Elphicke |
Dumfries and Galloway | Dumfries and Galloway | CON | gain from | SNP | Richard Arkless |
Dunbartonshire East | Glasgow area | LIB | gain from | SNP | John Nicolson |
Dunfermline and West Fife | Fife | LAB | gain from (TV) | SNP | Douglas Chapman |
East Lothian | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | George Kerevan |
Edinburgh East | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Tommy Sheppard |
Edinburgh North and Leith | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Deidre Brock |
Edinburgh South West | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Joanna Cherry |
Edinburgh West | Edinburgh area | LIB | gain from | SNP | Michelle Thomson |
Fife North East | Fife | LIB | gain from | SNP | Stephen Gethins |
Glasgow Central | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from (TV) | SNP | Alison Thewliss |
Gloucester | Gloucestershire | LAB | gain from | CON | Richard Graham |
Gower | West Glamorgan | LAB | gain from | CON | Byron Davies |
Halesowen and Rowley Regis | Black Country | LAB | gain from | CON | James Morris |
Hastings and Rye | East Sussex | LAB | gain from | CON | Amber Rudd |
Ipswich | Suffolk | LAB | gain from | CON | Ben Gummer |
Keighley | West Yorkshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Kris Hopkins |
Lanark and Hamilton East | Ayrshire and Lanark | LAB | gain from (TV) | SNP | Angela Crawley |
Leeds North West | West Yorkshire | LAB | gain from | LIB | Greg Mulholland |
Lincoln | Lincolnshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Karl McCartney |
Moray | Grampian | CON | gain from | SNP | Angus Robertson |
Morley and Outwood | West Yorkshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Andrea Jenkyns |
Northampton North | Northamptonshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Michael Ellis |
Northampton South | Northamptonshire | CON | hold (TV) | CON | David Mackintosh |
Ochil and South Perthshire | Central | LAB | gain from (TV) | SNP | Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh |
Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from (TV) | SNP | Gavin Newlands |
Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Mhairi Black |
Perth and North Perthshire | Tayside | CON | gain from | SNP | Peter Wishart |
Peterborough | Cambridgeshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Stewart Jackson |
Plymouth Moor View | Devon | LAB | gain from | CON | Johnny Mercer |
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | Devon | LAB | gain from | CON | Oliver Colvile |
Portsmouth South | Hampshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Flick Drummond |
Renfrewshire East | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Kirsten Oswald |
Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ayrshire and Lanark | LAB | gain from | SNP | Margaret Ferrier |
Sheffield Hallam | South Yorkshire | LAB | gain from | LIB | Nick Clegg |
Southampton Itchen | Hampshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Royston Smith |
Southport | Merseyside | CON | gain from (TV) | LIB | John Pugh |
Stirling | Central | CON | gain from (TV) | SNP | Steven Paterson |
Stroud | Gloucestershire | LAB | gain from | CON | Neil Carmichael |
Swindon South | Wiltshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Robert Buckland |
Telford | Shropshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Lucy Allan |
Thanet South | Kent | LAB | gain from | CON | Craig Mackinlay |
Thurrock | Essex | LAB | gain from | CON | Jackie Doyle-Price |
Vale of Clwyd | Clwyd | LAB | gain from | CON | James Davies |
Warrington South | Cheshire | LAB | gain from | CON | David Mowat |
Waveney | Suffolk | LAB | gain from | CON | Peter Aldous |
Weaver Vale | Cheshire | LAB | gain from | CON | Graham Evans |
Seats whose winner changed due to tactical voting effects are marked '(TV)'.
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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