Constituency List: England F-K



Fareham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Suella Braverman  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:78,337
Turnout: 73.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,459 63.7% 45.6%
LAB10,373 18.1% 29.9%
LIB8,006 14.0% 14.0%
Green2,412 4.2% 6.2%
Reform0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority26,086 45.6% 15.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
16%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Faversham and Kent Mid

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Helen Whately  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:73,403
Turnout: 68.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,864 63.2% 45.5%
LAB9,888 19.6% 31.1%
LIB6,170 12.2% 12.5%
Green2,103 4.2% 6.2%
OTH369 0.7% 1.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority21,976 43.6% 14.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
83%
LAB
17%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Feltham and Heston

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Seema Malhotra  (LAB)
County/Area:Hounslow (London)
Electorate:80,934
Turnout: 59.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,876 52.0% 52.6%
CON17,017 35.6% 25.3%
LIB3,127 6.5% 9.2%
Reform1,658 3.5% 3.2%
Green1,133 2.4% 8.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority7,859 16.4% 27.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
96%
CON
4%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Filton and Bradley Stoke

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jack Lopresti  (CON)
County/Area:Bristol area (South West)
Electorate:74,016
Turnout: 72.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,293 48.9% 34.2%
LAB20,647 38.4% 44.0%
LIB4,992 9.3% 11.3%
Green1,563 2.9% 6.6%
OTH257 0.5% 1.8%
Reform0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority5,646 10.5% 9.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
26%
LAB
73%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Finchley and Golders Green

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Mike Freer  (CON)
County/Area:Barnet (London)
Electorate:77,573
Turnout: 71.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,162 43.8% 28.4%
LIB17,600 31.9% 25.6%
LAB13,347 24.2% 36.2%
Reform0 0.0% 1.7%
Green0 0.0% 6.7%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
CON Majority6,562 11.9% 7.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
22%
LIB
14%
LAB
64%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Folkestone and Hythe

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Damian Collins  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:88,272
Turnout: 66.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,483 60.1% 43.6%
LAB14,146 24.0% 33.7%
LIB5,755 9.8% 11.4%
Green2,706 4.6% 6.5%
OTH915 1.6% 2.1%
Reform0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority21,337 36.2% 9.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
26%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Forest of Dean

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mark Harper  (CON)
County/Area:Gloucestershire (South West)
Electorate:71,438
Turnout: 72.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,680 59.6% 44.1%
LAB14,811 28.8% 36.3%
Green4,681 9.1% 8.9%
OTH1,303 2.5% 2.4%
LIB0 0.0% 5.6%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority15,869 30.8% 7.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
67%
LAB
33%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%

Fylde

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mark Menzies  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:66,847
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,432 60.9% 43.5%
LAB11,821 25.3% 38.2%
LIB3,748 8.0% 7.0%
Green1,731 3.7% 6.0%
OTH927 2.0% 2.4%
Reform0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority16,611 35.6% 5.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
64%
LAB
36%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Gainsborough

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Edward Leigh  (CON)
County/Area:Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:76,343
Turnout: 66.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,893 66.4% 47.1%
LAB10,926 21.4% 35.1%
LIB5,157 10.1% 8.3%
OTH1,070 2.1% 2.4%
Reform0 0.0% 3.1%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
CON Majority22,967 45.0% 12.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
78%
LAB
22%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Garston and Halewood

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Maria Eagle  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:76,116
Turnout: 70.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB38,578 72.3% 71.9%
CON6,954 13.0% 10.8%
LIB3,324 6.2% 6.1%
Reform2,943 5.5% 2.3%
Green1,183 2.2% 6.7%
OTH344 0.6% 2.2%
LAB Majority31,624 59.3% 61.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Gateshead

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ian Mearns  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:64,449
Turnout: 59.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,450 53.6% 58.3%
CON13,250 34.7% 23.2%
LIB2,792 7.3% 6.8%
Green1,653 4.3% 7.8%
Reform0 0.0% 2.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
LAB Majority7,200 18.9% 35.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Gedling

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Tom Randall  (CON)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:71,366
Turnout: 70.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,718 45.5% 31.9%
LAB22,039 44.1% 51.1%
LIB2,279 4.6% 5.6%
Reform1,820 3.6% 3.0%
Green1,097 2.2% 6.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
CON Majority679 1.4% 19.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
14%
LAB
86%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Gillingham and Rainham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Rehman Chishti  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:73,549
Turnout: 62.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,173 61.3% 43.5%
LAB13,054 28.4% 37.4%
LIB2,503 5.4% 8.4%
OTH1,185 2.6% 2.2%
Green1,043 2.3% 5.5%
Reform0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority15,119 32.9% 6.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
66%
LAB
34%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%

Gloucester

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Richard Graham  (CON)
County/Area:Gloucestershire (South West)
Electorate:80,901
Turnout: 66.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,159 54.2% 38.2%
LAB18,882 35.1% 41.8%
LIB4,338 8.1% 9.9%
Green1,385 2.6% 5.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 1.7%
CON Majority10,277 19.1% 3.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
42%
LAB
58%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Gosport

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Caroline Dinenage  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:73,541
Turnout: 65.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,226 66.5% 47.4%
LAB8,948 18.5% 30.2%
LIB5,473 11.3% 11.9%
Green1,806 3.7% 5.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.8%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority23,278 48.0% 17.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
87%
LAB
13%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Grantham and Stamford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gareth Davies  (CON)
County/Area:Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:81,502
Turnout: 68.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,794 65.7% 46.1%
LAB10,791 19.3% 34.2%
LIB6,153 11.0% 8.6%
Green2,265 4.0% 6.1%
Reform0 0.0% 3.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
CON Majority26,003 46.4% 11.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
23%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Gravesham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Adam Holloway  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:73,242
Turnout: 64.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,580 62.2% 44.5%
LAB13,999 29.4% 37.0%
LIB2,584 5.4% 8.0%
Green1,397 2.9% 5.8%
Reform0 0.0% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority15,581 32.8% 7.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
68%
LAB
32%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Great Grimsby

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Lia Nici  (CON)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:61,409
Turnout: 53.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,150 54.9% 38.0%
LAB10,819 32.7% 44.2%
Reform2,378 7.2% 4.6%
LIB1,070 3.2% 5.3%
Green514 1.6% 5.4%
OTH156 0.5% 2.4%
CON Majority7,331 22.2% 6.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
33%
LAB
67%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Great Yarmouth

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Brandon Lewis  (CON)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:71,957
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,593 65.8% 48.1%
LAB10,930 25.1% 34.1%
LIB1,661 3.8% 7.1%
OTH1,214 2.8% 2.4%
Green1,064 2.4% 5.1%
Reform0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority17,663 40.6% 14.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
79%
LAB
21%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%

Greenwich and Woolwich

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Matthew Pennycook  (LAB)
County/Area:Greenwich (London)
Electorate:79,997
Turnout: 66.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,185 56.8% 57.3%
CON11,721 22.1% 15.3%
LIB7,253 13.7% 13.7%
Green2,363 4.4% 10.3%
Reform1,228 2.3% 1.7%
OTH370 0.7% 1.6%
LAB Majority18,464 34.8% 42.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Guildford

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Angela Richardson  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:77,729
Turnout: 75.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,317 44.9% 31.5%
LIB22,980 39.2% 33.3%
LAB4,515 7.7% 25.6%
MIN4,356 7.4% 0.0%
OTH483 0.8% 2.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.2%
Green0 0.0% 4.5%
CON Majority3,337 5.7% 1.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
36%
LIB
46%
LAB
17%
MIN
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Hackney North and Stoke Newington

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Diane Abbott  (LAB)
County/Area:Hackney (London)
Electorate:92,462
Turnout: 61.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB39,972 70.3% 63.2%
CON6,784 11.9% 8.0%
Green4,989 8.8% 15.9%
LIB4,283 7.5% 10.6%
Reform609 1.1% 1.1%
OTH227 0.4% 1.2%
LAB Majority33,188 58.4% 47.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hackney South and Shoreditch

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Meg Hillier  (LAB)
County/Area:Hackney (London)
Electorate:89,387
Turnout: 60.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB39,884 73.3% 66.2%
CON5,899 10.8% 7.8%
LIB4,853 8.9% 11.3%
Green2,948 5.4% 12.4%
Reform744 1.4% 1.1%
OTH111 0.2% 1.1%
LAB Majority33,985 62.4% 53.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Halesowen and Rowley Regis

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:James Morris  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:68,300
Turnout: 62.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,607 60.5% 43.9%
LAB13,533 32.0% 38.6%
LIB1,738 4.1% 7.3%
Green934 2.2% 5.3%
OTH533 1.3% 1.9%
Reform0 0.0% 3.1%
CON Majority12,074 28.5% 5.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
62%
LAB
38%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Halifax

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Holly Lynch  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:71,887
Turnout: 64.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,496 46.3% 52.0%
CON18,927 40.7% 29.9%
Reform2,813 6.1% 4.1%
LIB2,276 4.9% 5.8%
Green946 2.0% 6.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
LAB Majority2,569 5.5% 22.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
91%
CON
9%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Haltemprice and Howden

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Davis  (CON)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:71,083
Turnout: 70.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,045 62.4% 44.0%
LAB10,716 21.5% 36.1%
LIB5,215 10.5% 8.6%
Green1,764 3.5% 6.1%
OTH1,039 2.1% 2.4%
Reform0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority20,329 40.8% 7.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
68%
LAB
32%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Halton

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Derek Twigg  (LAB)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:71,930
Turnout: 64.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,333 63.5% 65.6%
CON10,358 22.4% 17.6%
Reform3,730 8.1% 3.3%
LIB1,800 3.9% 5.0%
Green982 2.1% 6.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
LAB Majority18,975 41.1% 47.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hammersmith

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Andy Slaughter  (LAB)
County/Area:Hammersmith and Fulham (London)
Electorate:74,759
Turnout: 69.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,074 57.9% 58.3%
CON12,227 23.5% 15.9%
LIB6,947 13.4% 13.7%
Green1,744 3.4% 9.1%
Reform974 1.9% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
LAB Majority17,847 34.3% 42.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hampshire East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Damian Hinds  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:76,478
Turnout: 74.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,446 58.8% 42.1%
LIB13,750 24.2% 21.4%
LAB6,287 11.1% 25.9%
Green2,600 4.6% 6.4%
OTH812 1.4% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority19,696 34.6% 16.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
83%
LIB
5%
LAB
12%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Hampshire North East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Ranil Jayawardena  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:78,954
Turnout: 75.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,280 59.5% 42.2%
LIB15,069 25.4% 21.9%
LAB5,760 9.7% 25.8%
Green1,754 3.0% 5.8%
OTH1,407 2.4% 2.1%
Reform0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority20,211 34.1% 16.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
81%
LIB
7%
LAB
13%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Hampshire North West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Kit Malthouse  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:83,083
Turnout: 70.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,591 62.1% 44.4%
LIB10,283 17.5% 16.3%
LAB9,327 15.8% 28.7%
Green2,717 4.6% 6.3%
Reform0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority26,308 44.7% 15.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
84%
LIB
1%
LAB
15%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hampstead and Kilburn

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Tulip Siddiq  (LAB)
County/Area:Camden (London)
Electorate:86,571
Turnout: 66.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,080 48.9% 51.7%
CON13,892 24.2% 15.9%
LIB13,121 22.9% 20.3%
Green1,608 2.8% 9.4%
Reform684 1.2% 1.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
LAB Majority14,188 24.7% 31.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
1%
LIB
2%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Harborough

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Neil O'Brien  (CON)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:80,151
Turnout: 71.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,698 55.3% 38.0%
LAB14,420 25.2% 38.8%
LIB9,103 15.9% 12.1%
Green1,709 3.0% 6.5%
OTH389 0.7% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority17,278 30.1% 0.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
48%
LAB
52%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Harlow

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Robert Halfon  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:68,078
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,510 63.5% 44.9%
LAB13,447 31.0% 38.1%
LIB2,397 5.5% 8.0%
Reform0 0.0% 3.0%
Green0 0.0% 4.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority14,063 32.4% 6.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
67%
LAB
33%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Harrogate and Knaresborough

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Andrew Jones  (CON)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:77,941
Turnout: 73.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,962 52.6% 36.2%
LIB20,287 35.6% 24.7%
LAB5,480 9.6% 30.0%
OTH1,208 2.1% 2.2%
Reform0 0.0% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 4.5%
CON Majority9,675 17.0% 6.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
59%
LIB
10%
LAB
31%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Harrow East

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Bob Blackman  (CON)
County/Area:Harrow (London)
Electorate:72,106
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,935 54.4% 37.3%
LAB18,765 37.9% 42.2%
LIB3,791 7.7% 10.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
Green0 0.0% 6.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
CON Majority8,170 16.5% 4.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
39%
LAB
60%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Harrow West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Gareth Thomas  (LAB)
County/Area:Harrow (London)
Electorate:72,464
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,132 52.4% 52.8%
CON16,440 34.3% 23.8%
LIB4,310 9.0% 11.1%
Green1,109 2.3% 8.5%
Reform931 1.9% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority8,692 18.1% 29.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hartlepool

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mike Hill  (LAB)
County/Area:Teesside (North East)
Electorate:70,855
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,464 37.7% 51.0%
CON11,869 28.9% 26.1%
Reform10,603 25.8% 7.8%
LIB1,696 4.1% 5.9%
OTH1,405 3.4% 4.2%
Green0 0.0% 5.0%
LAB Majority3,595 8.8% 24.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Hill resigned the seat in March 2021 and will face an employment tribunal later in the year. Jill Mortimer (Con) won the seat in a by-election on 6 May 2021.

Chance of winning
LAB
93%
CON
7%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Harwich and North Essex

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Bernard Jenkin  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:74,153
Turnout: 70.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,830 61.3% 44.4%
LAB11,648 22.4% 32.9%
LIB5,866 11.3% 12.1%
Green1,945 3.7% 6.0%
OTH674 1.3% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority20,182 38.8% 11.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
23%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Hastings and Rye

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Sally-Ann Hart  (CON)
County/Area:East Sussex (South East)
Electorate:80,524
Turnout: 67.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,896 49.6% 35.7%
LAB22,853 42.1% 46.0%
LIB3,960 7.3% 9.2%
OTH565 1.0% 1.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 4.9%
CON Majority4,043 7.4% 10.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
27%
LAB
73%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Havant

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Alan Mak  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:72,103
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,051 65.4% 46.7%
LAB8,259 18.0% 30.0%
LIB5,708 12.4% 12.7%
Green1,597 3.5% 5.8%
OTH344 0.7% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority21,792 47.4% 16.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
85%
LAB
15%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Hayes and Harlington

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:John McDonnell  (LAB)
County/Area:Hillingdon (London)
Electorate:72,357
Turnout: 60.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,545 55.8% 54.8%
CON15,284 34.7% 25.2%
LIB1,947 4.4% 7.7%
Reform1,292 2.9% 3.3%
Green739 1.7% 7.6%
OTH187 0.4% 1.5%
LAB Majority9,261 21.1% 29.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hazel Grove

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:William Wragg  (CON)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:63,346
Turnout: 69.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,592 48.8% 33.4%
LIB17,169 38.8% 27.2%
LAB5,508 12.4% 31.1%
Reform0 0.0% 2.2%
Green0 0.0% 4.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.7%
CON Majority4,423 10.0% 2.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
47%
LIB
17%
LAB
36%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hemel Hempstead

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mike Penning  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:74,035
Turnout: 69.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,968 56.5% 39.7%
LAB14,405 28.1% 37.1%
LIB6,317 12.3% 12.8%
Green1,581 3.1% 6.3%
Reform0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 1.7%
CON Majority14,563 28.4% 2.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
57%
LAB
43%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hemsworth

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jon Trickett  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:73,726
Turnout: 59.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,460 37.5% 50.1%
CON15,280 34.8% 28.3%
Reform5,930 13.5% 5.9%
MIN2,458 5.6% 0.0%
LIB1,734 3.9% 5.6%
OTH1,129 2.6% 4.4%
Green916 2.1% 5.8%
LAB Majority1,180 2.7% 21.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
90%
CON
10%
Reform
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Hendon

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Matthew Offord  (CON)
County/Area:Barnet (London)
Electorate:82,661
Turnout: 66.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,878 48.8% 32.8%
LAB22,648 41.1% 45.4%
LIB4,628 8.4% 10.7%
Green921 1.7% 7.4%
Reform0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
CON Majority4,230 7.7% 12.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
21%
LAB
79%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Henley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Howell  (CON)
County/Area:Oxfordshire (South East)
Electorate:76,646
Turnout: 76.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,189 54.8% 38.9%
LIB18,136 30.9% 25.4%
LAB5,698 9.7% 25.5%
Green2,736 4.7% 6.7%
Reform0 0.0% 1.9%
OTH0 0.0% 1.6%
CON Majority14,053 23.9% 13.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
71%
LIB
13%
LAB
15%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hereford and South Herefordshire

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jesse Norman  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:72,085
Turnout: 68.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,390 61.2% 43.9%
LAB10,704 21.6% 31.8%
LIB6,181 12.5% 13.4%
Green2,371 4.8% 6.5%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority19,686 39.7% 12.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
23%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Herefordshire North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Bill Wiggin  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:70,252
Turnout: 72.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,158 63.0% 46.2%
LIB7,302 14.3% 14.4%
LAB6,804 13.3% 26.3%
Green4,769 9.3% 8.8%
Reform0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority24,856 48.7% 19.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
91%
LIB
0%
LAB
9%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hertford and Stortford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Julie Marson  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:81,765
Turnout: 73.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,712 56.1% 39.5%
LAB14,092 23.4% 34.5%
LIB8,596 14.3% 14.6%
Green2,705 4.5% 7.1%
OTH989 1.6% 2.1%
Reform0 0.0% 2.3%
CON Majority19,620 32.6% 5.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
64%
LAB
36%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Hertfordshire North East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Oliver Heald  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:76,123
Turnout: 72.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,293 56.6% 40.2%
LAB13,104 23.7% 34.0%
LIB8,563 15.5% 15.0%
Green2,367 4.3% 7.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority18,189 32.9% 6.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
66%
LAB
34%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hertfordshire South West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gagan Mohindra  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:80,449
Turnout: 76.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,327 49.6% 38.9%
MIN15,919 26.0% 0.0%
LAB7,228 11.8% 30.7%
LIB6,251 10.2% 13.9%
Green1,466 2.4% 6.3%
Reform0 0.0% 3.5%
OTH0 0.0% 6.7%
CON Majority14,408 23.5% 8.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
70%
MIN
0%
LAB
29%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hertsmere

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Oliver Dowden  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:73,971
Turnout: 70.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,651 62.5% 43.3%
LAB11,338 21.7% 32.8%
LIB6,561 12.6% 13.2%
Green1,653 3.2% 6.5%
Reform0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority21,313 40.8% 10.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
26%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hexham

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Guy Opperman  (CON)
County/Area:Northumberland (North East)
Electorate:61,324
Turnout: 75.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,152 54.5% 38.5%
LAB14,603 31.6% 42.3%
LIB4,672 10.1% 8.6%
Green1,723 3.7% 6.5%
Reform0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.9%
CON Majority10,549 22.9% 3.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
40%
LAB
60%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Heywood and Middleton

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Chris Clarkson  (CON)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:80,162
Turnout: 59.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,453 43.1% 31.6%
LAB19,790 41.7% 50.2%
Reform3,952 8.3% 4.3%
LIB2,073 4.4% 5.6%
Green1,220 2.6% 6.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority663 1.4% 18.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
13%
LAB
87%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

High Peak

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Robert Largan  (CON)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:74,265
Turnout: 72.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,844 45.9% 32.0%
LAB24,254 44.8% 51.5%
LIB2,750 5.1% 6.0%
Reform1,177 2.2% 2.5%
Green1,148 2.1% 6.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
CON Majority590 1.1% 19.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
12%
LAB
88%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hitchin and Harpenden

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Bim Afolami  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:76,323
Turnout: 77.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,719 47.1% 33.0%
LIB20,824 35.4% 28.3%
LAB9,959 16.9% 30.4%
OTH369 0.6% 1.6%
Reform0 0.0% 1.7%
Green0 0.0% 4.9%
CON Majority6,895 11.7% 2.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
46%
LIB
21%
LAB
32%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Holborn and St Pancras

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Keir Starmer  (LAB)
County/Area:Camden (London)
Electorate:86,061
Turnout: 66.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB36,641 64.5% 61.0%
CON8,878 15.6% 10.6%
LIB7,314 12.9% 14.0%
Green2,746 4.8% 11.8%
Reform1,032 1.8% 1.4%
OTH175 0.3% 1.2%
LAB Majority27,763 48.9% 47.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hornchurch and Upminster

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Julia Lopez  (CON)
County/Area:Havering (London)
Electorate:80,765
Turnout: 66.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,495 65.8% 48.2%
LAB12,187 22.6% 32.5%
LIB3,862 7.2% 8.7%
Green1,920 3.6% 5.5%
OTH510 0.9% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority23,308 43.2% 15.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
16%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Hornsey and Wood Green

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Catherine West  (LAB)
County/Area:Haringey (London)
Electorate:81,814
Turnout: 74.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,126 57.5% 55.4%
LIB15,884 26.0% 24.9%
CON6,829 11.2% 7.7%
Green2,192 3.6% 9.8%
Reform763 1.2% 0.9%
OTH311 0.5% 1.3%
LAB Majority19,242 31.5% 30.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
LIB
2%
CON
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Horsham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jeremy Quin  (CON)
County/Area:West Sussex (South East)
Electorate:86,730
Turnout: 72.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,900 56.8% 40.1%
LIB14,773 23.4% 20.8%
LAB9,424 14.9% 28.6%
Green2,668 4.2% 6.4%
OTH477 0.8% 1.8%
Reform0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority21,127 33.4% 11.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
74%
LIB
4%
LAB
21%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Houghton and Sunderland South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Bridget Phillipson  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:68,835
Turnout: 57.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,210 40.7% 52.2%
CON13,095 32.9% 26.4%
Reform6,165 15.5% 5.4%
LIB2,319 5.8% 6.3%
Green1,125 2.8% 6.3%
OTH897 2.3% 3.3%
LAB Majority3,115 7.8% 25.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
95%
CON
5%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hove

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Peter Kyle  (LAB)
County/Area:East Sussex (South East)
Electorate:74,313
Turnout: 75.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB32,876 58.3% 58.0%
CON15,832 28.1% 19.7%
LIB3,731 6.6% 9.3%
Green2,496 4.4% 9.4%
Reform1,111 2.0% 1.7%
OTH345 0.6% 1.9%
LAB Majority17,044 30.2% 38.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Huddersfield

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Barry Sheerman  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:65,525
Turnout: 63.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,509 49.0% 54.1%
CON15,572 37.2% 26.3%
LIB2,367 5.7% 6.3%
Green1,768 4.2% 8.4%
Reform1,666 4.0% 3.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority4,937 11.8% 27.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
95%
CON
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Hull East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Karl Turner  (LAB)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:65,745
Turnout: 49.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB12,713 39.2% 51.3%
CON11,474 35.4% 26.7%
Reform5,764 17.8% 6.0%
LIB1,707 5.3% 6.5%
Green784 2.4% 6.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
LAB Majority1,239 3.8% 24.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
95%
CON
5%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hull North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Diana Johnson  (LAB)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:65,515
Turnout: 52.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,033 49.8% 58.0%
CON9,440 27.6% 20.2%
Reform4,771 13.9% 4.7%
LIB2,084 6.1% 7.2%
Green875 2.6% 7.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority7,593 22.2% 37.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hull West and Hessle

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Emma Hardy  (LAB)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:60,192
Turnout: 52.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB13,384 42.7% 53.0%
CON10,528 33.6% 25.8%
Reform5,638 18.0% 6.0%
LIB1,756 5.6% 6.8%
Green50 0.2% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
LAB Majority2,856 9.1% 27.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
95%
CON
5%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Huntingdon

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jonathan Djanogly  (CON)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:84,657
Turnout: 69.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,386 54.8% 38.9%
LAB13,003 22.0% 33.9%
LIB9,432 15.9% 15.8%
Green2,233 3.8% 6.6%
OTH2,093 3.5% 2.3%
Reform0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority19,383 32.8% 5.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
61%
LAB
38%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Hyndburn

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Sara Britcliffe  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:70,842
Turnout: 59.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,565 48.5% 35.3%
LAB17,614 41.5% 48.4%
Reform2,156 5.1% 4.3%
LIB1,226 2.9% 4.7%
Green845 2.0% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.9%
CON Majority2,951 7.0% 13.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
21%
LAB
79%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ilford North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Wes Streeting  (LAB)
County/Area:Redbridge (London)
Electorate:72,973
Turnout: 68.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,323 50.5% 51.1%
CON20,105 40.1% 29.1%
LIB2,680 5.3% 8.3%
Reform960 1.9% 2.8%
Green845 1.7% 7.2%
OTH201 0.4% 1.5%
LAB Majority5,218 10.4% 22.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
8%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ilford South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Sam Tarry  (LAB)
County/Area:Redbridge (London)
Electorate:84,972
Turnout: 62.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,085 65.6% 60.7%
CON10,984 20.5% 17.0%
MIN3,891 7.3% 0.0%
LIB1,795 3.4% 8.0%
Reform1,008 1.9% 3.7%
Green714 1.3% 9.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority24,101 45.1% 43.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ipswich

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Tom Hunt  (CON)
County/Area:Suffolk (Anglia)
Electorate:75,525
Turnout: 65.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,952 50.3% 35.5%
LAB19,473 39.3% 44.9%
LIB2,439 4.9% 8.3%
Reform1,432 2.9% 2.9%
Green1,283 2.6% 6.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority5,479 11.1% 9.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
28%
LAB
72%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Isle of Wight

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Bob Seely  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:113,021
Turnout: 65.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON41,815 56.2% 41.2%
LAB18,078 24.3% 33.3%
Green11,338 15.2% 14.0%
OTH3,211 4.3% 2.7%
LIB0 0.0% 6.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority23,737 31.9% 7.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
70%
LAB
30%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%

Islington North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jeremy Corbyn  (LAB)
County/Area:Islington (London)
Electorate:75,162
Turnout: 71.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB34,603 64.3% 61.1%
LIB8,415 15.6% 15.4%
CON5,483 10.2% 7.2%
Green4,326 8.0% 14.0%
Reform742 1.4% 1.0%
OTH236 0.4% 1.3%
LAB Majority26,188 48.7% 45.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
LIB
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Islington South and Finsbury

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Emily Thornberry  (LAB)
County/Area:Islington (London)
Electorate:70,489
Turnout: 67.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,897 56.3% 56.9%
LIB9,569 20.0% 18.9%
CON8,045 16.8% 11.1%
Green1,987 4.2% 10.4%
Reform1,136 2.4% 1.4%
OTH182 0.4% 1.4%
LAB Majority17,328 36.2% 37.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
LIB
1%
CON
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Jarrow

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Kate Osborne  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:65,103
Turnout: 62.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,363 45.1% 55.6%
CON11,243 27.6% 22.7%
Reform4,122 10.1% 4.7%
MIN2,991 7.3% 0.0%
LIB2,360 5.8% 6.3%
Green831 2.0% 6.1%
OTH826 2.0% 4.5%
LAB Majority7,120 17.5% 32.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
Reform
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Keighley

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Robbie Moore  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:72,778
Turnout: 72.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,298 48.1% 34.7%
LAB23,080 43.9% 49.5%
LIB2,573 4.9% 5.7%
Reform850 1.6% 3.2%
OTH799 1.5% 1.9%
Green0 0.0% 4.9%
CON Majority2,218 4.2% 14.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
18%
LAB
82%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Kenilworth and Southam

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jeremy Wright  (CON)
County/Area:Warwickshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:68,154
Turnout: 77.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,351 57.7% 41.7%
LIB9,998 19.0% 17.5%
LAB9,440 17.9% 30.3%
Green2,351 4.5% 6.5%
OTH457 0.9% 1.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority20,353 38.7% 11.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
76%
LIB
1%
LAB
23%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Kensington

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Felicity Buchan  (CON)
County/Area:Kensington and Chelsea (London)
Electorate:64,609
Turnout: 67.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,768 38.3% 25.8%
LAB16,618 38.0% 44.6%
LIB9,312 21.3% 19.4%
Green535 1.2% 7.0%
Reform384 0.9% 1.8%
OTH145 0.3% 1.4%
CON Majority150 0.3% 18.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
9%
LAB
89%
LIB
2%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Kettering

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Philip Hollobone  (CON)
County/Area:Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:73,164
Turnout: 67.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,787 60.3% 41.7%
LAB13,022 26.4% 39.5%
LIB3,367 6.8% 6.6%
OTH1,642 3.3% 2.7%
Green1,543 3.1% 6.3%
Reform0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority16,765 34.0% 2.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
55%
LAB
45%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%

Kingston and Surbiton

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2019:Ed Davey  (LIB)
County/Area:Kingston Upon Thames (London)
Electorate:81,975
Turnout: 74.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB31,103 51.1% 44.1%
CON20,614 33.9% 22.3%
LAB6,528 10.7% 25.0%
Green1,038 1.7% 5.3%
Reform788 1.3% 1.8%
OTH775 1.3% 1.4%
LIB Majority10,489 17.2% 19.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
87%
CON
5%
LAB
8%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Kingswood

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Chris Skidmore  (CON)
County/Area:Bristol area (South West)
Electorate:68,972
Turnout: 71.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,712 56.2% 40.0%
LAB16,492 33.4% 40.6%
LIB3,421 6.9% 9.2%
Green1,200 2.4% 5.7%
OTH489 1.0% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority11,220 22.8% 0.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
48%
LAB
51%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Knowsley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:George Howarth  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:84,082
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB44,374 80.8% 76.8%
CON4,432 8.1% 7.9%
Reform3,348 6.1% 2.4%
Green1,262 2.3% 6.4%
LIB1,117 2.0% 4.2%
OTH405 0.7% 2.3%
LAB Majority39,942 72.7% 68.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%