Constituency List: Northern Ireland



Antrim East

Prediction: DUP hold

MP at 2024:Sammy Wilson  (DUP)
County/Area:Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:73,302
Turnout: 54.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
DUP11,462 28.9% 28.9%
Alliance10,156 25.6% 25.6%
UUP9,476 23.9% 23.9%
TUV4,135 10.4% 10.3%
SF2,986 7.5% 7.5%
SDLP892 2.2% 2.2%
OTH568 1.4% 1.5%
DUP Majority1,306 3.3% 3.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
DUP
47%
Alliance
30%
UUP
22%
TUV
0%
SF
1%
SDLP
0%
OTH
0%

Antrim North

Prediction: TUV hold

MP at 2024:Jim Allister  (TUV)
County/Area:Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:74,697
Turnout: 55.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
TUV11,642 28.3% 28.2%
DUP11,192 27.2% 27.2%
SF7,714 18.7% 18.7%
Alliance4,488 10.9% 10.9%
UUP3,901 9.5% 9.5%
SDLP1,661 4.0% 4.0%
OTH587 1.4% 1.5%
TUV Majority450 1.1% 1.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
TUV
45%
DUP
42%
SF
11%
Alliance
1%
UUP
1%
SDLP
0%
OTH
0%

Antrim South

Prediction: UUP hold

MP at 2024:Robin Swann  (UUP)
County/Area:Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:77,058
Turnout: 55.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
UUP16,311 38.0% 38.1%
DUP8,799 20.5% 20.5%
SF8,034 18.7% 18.7%
Alliance4,574 10.7% 10.6%
TUV2,693 6.3% 6.2%
SDLP1,589 3.7% 3.7%
OTH908 2.1% 2.2%
UUP Majority7,512 17.5% 17.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
UUP
85%
DUP
9%
SF
6%
Alliance
1%
TUV
0%
SDLP
0%
OTH
0%

Belfast East

Prediction: DUP hold

MP at 2024:Gavin Robinson  (DUP)
County/Area:Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:72,917
Turnout: 58.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
DUP19,894 46.6% 46.6%
Alliance17,218 40.3% 40.3%
TUV1,918 4.5% 4.5%
UUP1,818 4.3% 4.3%
OTH1,239 2.9% 2.9%
SDLP619 1.4% 1.4%
DUP Majority2,676 6.3% 6.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
DUP
67%
Alliance
33%
TUV
0%
UUP
0%
OTH
0%
SDLP
0%

Belfast North

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2024:John Finucane  (SF)
County/Area:Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:74,240
Turnout: 54.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SF17,674 43.7% 43.6%
DUP12,062 29.8% 29.9%
Alliance4,274 10.6% 10.5%
TUV2,877 7.1% 7.1%
OTH2,152 5.3% 5.4%
SDLP1,413 3.5% 3.5%
UUP0 0.0% 0.1%
SF Majority5,612 13.9% 13.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SF
80%
DUP
19%
Alliance
0%
TUV
0%
OTH
0%
SDLP
0%
UUP
0%

Belfast South and Mid Down

Prediction: SDLP hold

MP at 2024:Claire Hanna  (SDLP)
County/Area:Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:74,749
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SDLP21,345 49.1% 49.0%
Alliance8,839 20.3% 20.3%
DUP6,859 15.8% 15.8%
UUP2,653 6.1% 6.1%
TUV2,218 5.1% 5.1%
OTH1,577 3.6% 3.7%
SDLP Majority12,506 28.8% 28.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SDLP
97%
Alliance
2%
DUP
1%
UUP
0%
TUV
0%
OTH
0%

Belfast West

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2024:Paul Maskey  (SF)
County/Area:Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:75,346
Turnout: 52.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SF21,009 52.9% 52.8%
MIN5,048 12.7% 12.7%
SDLP4,318 10.9% 10.8%
DUP4,304 10.8% 10.9%
TUV2,010 5.1% 5.0%
OTH1,516 3.8% 3.9%
Alliance1,077 2.7% 2.7%
UUP461 1.2% 1.2%
SF Majority15,961 40.2% 40.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SF
99%
MIN
0%
SDLP
0%
DUP
0%
TUV
0%
OTH
0%
Alliance
0%
UUP
0%

Down North

Prediction: MIN hold

MP at 2024:Alex Easton  (MIN)
County/Area:Down (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:73,885
Turnout: 58.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
MIN20,913 48.3% 48.3%
Alliance13,608 31.4% 31.4%
UUP6,754 15.6% 15.6%
OTH1,364 3.2% 3.2%
SDLP657 1.5% 1.5%
DUP0 0.0% 0.0%
MIN Majority7,305 16.9% 16.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
MIN
70%
Alliance
26%
UUP
3%
OTH
0%
SDLP
0%
DUP
1%

Down South

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2024:Chris Hazzard  (SF)
County/Area:Down (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:76,248
Turnout: 59.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SF19,698 43.5% 43.5%
SDLP10,418 23.0% 23.0%
DUP7,349 16.2% 16.3%
Alliance3,187 7.0% 7.0%
TUV1,893 4.2% 4.1%
UUP1,411 3.1% 3.2%
OTH1,287 2.8% 2.9%
SF Majority9,280 20.5% 20.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SF
91%
SDLP
6%
DUP
2%
Alliance
0%
TUV
0%
UUP
0%
OTH
0%

Fermanagh and South Tyrone

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2024:Pat Cullen  (SF)
County/Area:Fermanagh (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:77,828
Turnout: 65.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SF24,844 48.6% 48.6%
UUP20,273 39.7% 39.7%
Alliance2,420 4.7% 4.7%
SDLP2,386 4.7% 4.6%
OTH1,153 2.3% 2.3%
DUP0 0.0% 0.0%
SF Majority4,571 8.9% 8.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SF
70%
UUP
30%
Alliance
0%
SDLP
0%
OTH
0%
DUP
0%

Foyle

Prediction: SDLP hold

MP at 2024:Colum Eastwood  (SDLP)
County/Area:Londonderry (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:73,496
Turnout: 52.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SDLP15,647 40.8% 40.7%
SF11,481 29.9% 29.9%
OTH4,625 12.1% 12.1%
DUP3,915 10.2% 10.2%
UUP1,422 3.7% 3.7%
Alliance1,268 3.3% 3.3%
SDLP Majority4,166 10.9% 10.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SDLP
77%
SF
22%
OTH
0%
DUP
1%
UUP
0%
Alliance
0%

Lagan Valley

Prediction: Alliance hold

MP at 2024:Sorcha-Lucy Eastwood  (Alliance)
County/Area:Down (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:82,201
Turnout: 59.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
Alliance18,618 37.9% 37.9%
DUP15,659 31.9% 31.9%
UUP11,157 22.7% 22.8%
TUV2,186 4.5% 4.4%
SDLP1,028 2.1% 2.1%
OTH433 0.9% 0.9%
Alliance Majority2,959 6.0% 6.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
Alliance
62%
DUP
32%
UUP
6%
TUV
0%
SDLP
0%
OTH
0%

Londonderry East

Prediction: DUP hold

MP at 2024:Gregory Campbell  (DUP)
County/Area:Londonderry (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:75,707
Turnout: 54.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
DUP11,506 27.9% 27.9%
SF11,327 27.4% 27.4%
SDLP5,260 12.7% 12.7%
TUV4,363 10.6% 10.5%
Alliance3,734 9.0% 9.0%
UUP3,412 8.3% 8.3%
OTH1,675 4.1% 4.2%
DUP Majority179 0.4% 0.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
DUP
51%
SF
44%
SDLP
2%
TUV
1%
Alliance
1%
UUP
1%
OTH
0%

Newry and Armagh

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2024:Dáire Hughes  (SF)
County/Area:Down (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:78,244
Turnout: 58.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SF22,299 48.5% 48.5%
SDLP6,806 14.8% 14.8%
DUP5,900 12.8% 12.9%
TUV4,099 8.9% 8.8%
UUP3,175 6.9% 7.0%
Alliance2,692 5.9% 5.8%
OTH971 2.1% 2.2%
SF Majority15,493 33.7% 33.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SF
99%
SDLP
0%
DUP
1%
TUV
0%
UUP
0%
Alliance
0%
OTH
0%

Strangford

Prediction: DUP hold

MP at 2024:Jim Shannon  (DUP)
County/Area:Down (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:74,525
Turnout: 52.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
DUP15,559 40.0% 40.0%
Alliance10,428 26.8% 26.8%
UUP3,941 10.1% 10.2%
TUV3,143 8.1% 8.0%
SF2,793 7.2% 7.1%
SDLP1,783 4.6% 4.6%
OTH1,262 3.2% 3.3%
DUP Majority5,131 13.2% 13.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
DUP
83%
Alliance
17%
UUP
0%
TUV
0%
SF
0%
SDLP
0%
OTH
0%

Tyrone West

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2024:Órfhlaith Begley  (SF)
County/Area:Fermanagh (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:74,269
Turnout: 58.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SF22,711 52.0% 51.9%
DUP6,794 15.5% 15.6%
SDLP5,821 13.3% 13.3%
UUP2,683 6.1% 6.2%
TUV2,530 5.8% 5.7%
Alliance2,287 5.2% 5.2%
OTH869 2.0% 2.1%
SF Majority15,917 36.4% 36.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SF
99%
DUP
0%
SDLP
0%
UUP
0%
TUV
0%
Alliance
0%
OTH
0%

Ulster Mid

Prediction: SF hold

MP at 2024:Cathal Mallaghan  (SF)
County/Area:Tyrone (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:74,000
Turnout: 61.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SF24,085 53.0% 52.9%
DUP9,162 20.2% 20.2%
SDLP3,722 8.2% 8.1%
TUV2,978 6.6% 6.5%
UUP2,269 5.0% 5.0%
Alliance2,001 4.4% 4.4%
OTH1,228 2.7% 2.8%
SF Majority14,923 32.8% 32.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SF
99%
DUP
1%
SDLP
0%
TUV
0%
UUP
0%
Alliance
0%
OTH
0%

Upper Bann

Prediction: DUP hold

MP at 2024:Carla Lockhart  (DUP)
County/Area:Armagh (Northern Ireland)
Electorate:81,249
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
DUP21,642 45.7% 45.7%
SF14,236 30.1% 30.0%
Alliance6,322 13.3% 13.3%
UUP3,662 7.7% 7.8%
SDLP1,496 3.2% 3.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.1%
DUP Majority7,406 15.6% 15.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
DUP
86%
SF
13%
Alliance
0%
UUP
0%
SDLP
0%
OTH
0%