Constituency List: Scotland



Aberdeen North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Kirsty Blackman  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:62,489
Turnout: 59.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,205 54.0% 57.1%
CON7,535 20.1% 14.9%
LAB4,939 13.2% 13.6%
LIB2,846 7.6% 4.7%
Reform1,008 2.7% 3.3%
Green880 2.4% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.4%
SNP Majority12,670 33.9% 42.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
100%
CON
0%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeen South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Flynn  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:65,719
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,388 44.7% 48.3%
CON16,398 35.9% 30.7%
LIB5,018 11.0% 6.8%
LAB3,834 8.4% 8.9%
Reform0 0.0% 0.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 4.0%
SNP Majority3,990 8.7% 17.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
87%
CON
13%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2019:Andrew Bowie  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:72,640
Turnout: 73.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,752 42.7% 37.5%
SNP21,909 41.1% 44.8%
LIB6,253 11.7% 7.2%
LAB2,431 4.6% 5.1%
Reform0 0.0% 0.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 4.1%
CON Majority843 1.6% 7.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
35%
SNP
65%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Airdrie and Shotts

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Neil Gray  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:64,011
Turnout: 62.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP17,929 45.1% 47.4%
LAB12,728 32.0% 32.3%
CON7,011 17.6% 13.0%
LIB1,419 3.6% 2.2%
Green685 1.7% 2.1%
Reform0 0.0% 0.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
SNP Majority5,201 13.1% 15.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Gray resigned the seat in March 2021 to stand for the Scottish parliament. Anum Qaisar-Javed (SNP) won the seat in a by-election on 13 May 2021.

Chance of winning
SNP
86%
LAB
14%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Angus

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Dave Doogan  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:63,952
Turnout: 67.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,216 49.1% 52.0%
CON17,421 40.4% 35.2%
LIB2,482 5.7% 3.5%
LAB2,051 4.8% 5.2%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
SNP Majority3,795 8.8% 16.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
86%
CON
14%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Argyll and Bute

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Brendan O'Hara  (SNP)
County/Area:Argyll and Bute (Scotland)
Electorate:66,525
Turnout: 72.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,040 43.8% 47.9%
CON16,930 35.2% 30.0%
LIB6,832 14.2% 8.8%
LAB3,248 6.8% 7.3%
Reform0 0.0% 0.8%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 4.5%
SNP Majority4,110 8.6% 17.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
87%
CON
13%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayr Carrick and Cumnock

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Allan Dorans  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:71,970
Turnout: 64.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,272 43.5% 46.2%
CON17,943 38.5% 33.3%
LAB6,219 13.3% 13.7%
LIB2,158 4.6% 2.9%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.9%
SNP Majority2,329 5.0% 12.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
78%
CON
22%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire Central

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Philippa Whitford  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:69,742
Turnout: 66.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,486 46.2% 48.9%
CON16,182 34.8% 29.6%
LAB6,583 14.1% 14.5%
LIB2,283 4.9% 3.0%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
SNP Majority5,304 11.4% 19.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
89%
CON
11%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire North and Arran

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Patricia Gibson  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:73,534
Turnout: 65.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,376 48.5% 51.2%
CON14,855 30.8% 25.7%
LAB6,702 13.9% 14.3%
LIB2,107 4.4% 2.7%
Green1,114 2.3% 2.8%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.9%
SNP Majority8,521 17.7% 25.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
94%
CON
5%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Banff and Buchan

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Duguid  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:66,655
Turnout: 63.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,182 50.1% 44.9%
SNP17,064 40.4% 43.2%
LIB2,280 5.4% 3.3%
LAB1,734 4.1% 4.5%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority4,118 9.7% 1.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
58%
SNP
42%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Lamont  (CON)
County/Area:Borders (Scotland)
Electorate:74,518
Turnout: 71.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,747 48.4% 43.3%
SNP20,599 38.8% 42.0%
LIB4,287 8.1% 5.0%
LAB2,513 4.7% 5.2%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority5,148 9.7% 1.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
55%
SNP
45%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Jamie Stone  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:46,930
Turnout: 67.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB11,705 37.2% 29.5%
SNP11,501 36.6% 41.2%
CON5,176 16.5% 12.2%
LAB1,936 6.2% 6.8%
Reform1,139 3.6% 4.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 5.0%
LIB Majority204 0.6% 11.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
22%
SNP
77%
CON
1%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Steven Bonnar  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,943
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,680 47.0% 48.8%
LAB17,056 35.4% 35.6%
CON6,113 12.7% 9.4%
LIB1,564 3.2% 2.0%
Green808 1.7% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 0.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.9%
SNP Majority5,624 11.7% 13.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
82%
LAB
18%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stuart McDonald  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,079
Turnout: 69.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,158 52.9% 55.5%
LAB11,182 24.5% 24.8%
CON7,380 16.2% 12.0%
LIB2,966 6.5% 4.0%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
SNP Majority12,976 28.4% 30.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
99%
LAB
1%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfries and Galloway

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2019:Alister Jack  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:74,580
Turnout: 69.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,678 44.1% 38.9%
SNP20,873 40.6% 43.5%
LAB4,745 9.2% 9.6%
LIB3,133 6.1% 3.8%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority1,805 3.5% 4.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
40%
SNP
60%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2019:David Mundell  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:68,330
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,611 46.0% 40.8%
SNP18,830 38.3% 41.4%
LAB4,172 8.5% 8.9%
LIB3,540 7.2% 4.4%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority3,781 7.7% 0.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
50%
SNP
50%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dunbartonshire East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Amy Callaghan  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,075
Turnout: 80.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,672 37.1% 41.5%
LIB19,523 36.8% 29.1%
CON7,455 14.1% 10.4%
LAB4,839 9.1% 9.7%
Green916 1.7% 2.5%
OTH626 1.2% 5.9%
Reform0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority149 0.3% 12.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
78%
LIB
21%
CON
1%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Dunbartonshire West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Martin Docherty  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,517
Turnout: 67.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,396 49.6% 51.7%
LAB12,843 28.5% 28.7%
CON6,436 14.3% 10.6%
LIB1,890 4.2% 2.6%
Green867 1.9% 2.3%
OTH708 1.6% 3.8%
Reform0 0.0% 0.4%
SNP Majority9,553 21.2% 22.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
94%
LAB
6%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Dundee East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stewart Hosie  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:66,210
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,361 53.8% 57.0%
CON10,986 24.3% 19.1%
LAB6,045 13.4% 13.8%
LIB3,573 7.9% 4.9%
OTH312 0.7% 4.1%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
SNP Majority13,375 29.5% 37.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
99%
CON
1%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Dundee West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Chris Law  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:64,431
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,355 53.8% 55.9%
LAB10,096 24.3% 24.6%
CON5,149 12.4% 9.2%
LIB2,468 5.9% 3.7%
Reform1,271 3.1% 3.4%
OTH240 0.6% 2.9%
Green0 0.0% 0.4%
SNP Majority12,259 29.5% 31.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
98%
LAB
2%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Dunfermline and West Fife

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Douglas Chapman  (SNP)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:76,652
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,727 44.4% 47.6%
LAB13,028 24.4% 24.8%
CON11,207 21.0% 15.8%
LIB4,262 8.0% 4.9%
Green1,258 2.4% 2.9%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.5%
SNP Majority10,699 20.0% 22.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
92%
LAB
6%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Lisa Cameron  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:81,224
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,113 46.4% 49.3%
LAB12,791 22.7% 23.1%
CON11,961 21.2% 16.0%
LIB3,760 6.7% 4.1%
Green1,153 2.0% 2.6%
OTH559 1.0% 4.2%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
SNP Majority13,322 23.6% 26.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
94%
LAB
5%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

East Lothian

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Kenny MacAskill  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:81,600
Turnout: 71.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,156 36.2% 39.2%
LAB17,270 29.5% 29.9%
CON15,523 26.5% 21.3%
LIB4,071 7.0% 4.3%
OTH493 0.8% 4.1%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority3,886 6.6% 9.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
73%
LAB
22%
CON
5%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Edinburgh East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Tommy Sheppard  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,424
Turnout: 68.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,165 48.4% 50.8%
LAB12,748 26.7% 27.0%
CON6,549 13.7% 10.1%
LIB3,289 6.9% 4.2%
Green2,064 4.3% 4.7%
Reform0 0.0% 0.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
SNP Majority10,417 21.8% 23.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
95%
LAB
5%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh North and Leith

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Deidre Brock  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:81,336
Turnout: 73.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP25,925 43.7% 47.2%
LAB13,117 22.1% 22.6%
CON11,000 18.5% 13.7%
LIB6,635 11.2% 6.9%
Green1,971 3.3% 3.9%
Reform558 0.9% 1.6%
OTH138 0.2% 4.1%
SNP Majority12,808 21.6% 24.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
94%
LAB
5%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ian Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,188
Turnout: 75.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,745 47.7% 48.1%
SNP12,650 25.4% 28.2%
CON8,161 16.4% 12.1%
LIB3,819 7.7% 4.7%
Green1,357 2.7% 3.2%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
LAB Majority11,095 22.3% 19.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
89%
SNP
11%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Joanna Cherry  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,501
Turnout: 70.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,830 47.6% 51.1%
CON12,848 24.6% 19.5%
LAB7,478 14.3% 14.8%
LIB4,971 9.5% 5.9%
Green1,265 2.4% 3.0%
Reform625 1.2% 1.8%
OTH114 0.2% 3.9%
SNP Majority11,982 23.0% 31.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
98%
CON
2%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh West

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Christine Jardine  (LIB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,507
Turnout: 75.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB21,766 39.9% 32.2%
SNP17,997 33.0% 37.7%
CON9,283 17.0% 12.6%
LAB4,460 8.2% 8.8%
Green1,027 1.9% 2.7%
Reform0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 5.1%
LIB Majority3,769 6.9% 5.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
35%
SNP
62%
CON
2%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Falkirk

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Johnny McNally  (SNP)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:84,472
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP29,351 52.5% 55.6%
CON14,403 25.8% 20.6%
LAB6,243 11.2% 11.6%
LIB3,990 7.1% 4.4%
Green1,885 3.4% 3.9%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
SNP Majority14,948 26.8% 35.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
99%
CON
1%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Fife North East

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Wendy Chamberlain  (LIB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:60,905
Turnout: 75.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB19,763 43.1% 35.4%
SNP18,447 40.2% 44.5%
CON5,961 13.0% 9.6%
LAB1,707 3.7% 4.3%
Reform0 0.0% 0.8%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
LIB Majority1,316 2.9% 9.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
29%
SNP
70%
CON
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow Central

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Alison Thewliss  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,230
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,750 49.2% 50.9%
LAB13,276 33.1% 33.3%
CON3,698 9.2% 6.8%
LIB1,952 4.9% 3.0%
Green1,429 3.6% 3.9%
Reform0 0.0% 0.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
SNP Majority6,474 16.1% 17.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
89%
LAB
11%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:David Linden  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:67,381
Turnout: 57.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP18,357 47.7% 49.8%
LAB12,791 33.2% 33.5%
CON5,709 14.8% 11.0%
LIB1,626 4.2% 2.6%
Reform0 0.0% 0.4%
Green0 0.0% 0.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
SNP Majority5,566 14.5% 16.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
87%
LAB
13%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Patrick Grady  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:57,130
Turnout: 63.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP16,982 46.9% 49.0%
LAB11,381 31.4% 31.7%
CON3,806 10.5% 7.8%
LIB2,394 6.6% 4.1%
Green1,308 3.6% 4.0%
Reform320 0.9% 1.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
SNP Majority5,601 15.5% 17.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
89%
LAB
11%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Anne McLaughlin  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:61,075
Turnout: 55.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,911 46.9% 48.4%
LAB13,363 39.4% 39.6%
CON3,558 10.5% 7.8%
LIB1,093 3.2% 2.0%
Reform0 0.0% 0.3%
Green0 0.0% 0.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.7%
SNP Majority2,548 7.5% 8.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
73%
LAB
27%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Carol Monaghan  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:63,402
Turnout: 62.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,678 49.5% 52.1%
LAB11,319 28.5% 28.8%
CON6,022 15.2% 11.2%
LIB2,716 6.8% 4.2%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
SNP Majority8,359 21.0% 23.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
95%
LAB
5%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stewart McDonald  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,891
Turnout: 66.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,829 48.1% 50.3%
LAB13,824 29.1% 29.4%
CON6,237 13.1% 9.7%
LIB2,786 5.9% 3.6%
Green1,251 2.6% 3.0%
Reform516 1.1% 1.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
SNP Majority9,005 19.0% 20.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
92%
LAB
8%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow South West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Chris Stephens  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:64,575
Turnout: 57.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP17,643 47.9% 49.6%
LAB12,743 34.6% 34.8%
CON4,224 11.5% 8.5%
LIB1,435 3.9% 2.4%
Reform802 2.2% 2.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.9%
SNP Majority4,900 13.3% 14.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
84%
LAB
16%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glenrothes

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Peter Grant  (SNP)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:65,672
Turnout: 63.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,234 51.1% 53.7%
LAB9,477 22.8% 23.2%
CON6,920 16.7% 12.3%
LIB2,639 6.4% 3.9%
Reform1,276 3.1% 3.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
SNP Majority11,757 28.3% 30.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
98%
LAB
2%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Gordon

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Richard Thomson  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:79,629
Turnout: 70.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,885 42.7% 46.3%
CON23,066 41.3% 36.1%
LIB5,913 10.6% 6.5%
LAB3,052 5.5% 6.0%
Reform0 0.0% 0.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.9%
SNP Majority819 1.5% 10.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
72%
CON
28%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Inverclyde

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Ronnie Cowan  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:60,622
Turnout: 65.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,295 48.4% 50.9%
LAB11,783 29.5% 29.9%
CON6,265 15.7% 11.6%
LIB2,560 6.4% 4.0%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.7%
SNP Majority7,512 18.8% 21.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
92%
LAB
8%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Drew Hendry  (SNP)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:78,059
Turnout: 70.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,247 47.9% 51.5%
CON15,807 28.8% 23.6%
LIB5,846 10.7% 6.6%
LAB4,123 7.5% 8.0%
Green1,709 3.1% 3.8%
Reform1,078 2.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.9%
SNP Majority10,440 19.0% 27.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
96%
CON
4%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Kilmarnock and Loudoun

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Alan Brown  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:74,517
Turnout: 63.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,216 50.8% 53.6%
CON11,557 24.3% 19.1%
LAB9,009 18.9% 19.3%
LIB2,444 5.1% 3.2%
OTH405 0.9% 3.9%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority12,659 26.6% 34.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
98%
CON
1%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Neale Hanvey  (SNP)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:72,853
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP16,568 35.2% 38.2%
LAB15,325 32.6% 33.0%
CON9,449 20.1% 14.9%
LIB2,903 6.2% 3.8%
Green1,628 3.5% 4.0%
Reform1,132 2.4% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
SNP Majority1,243 2.6% 5.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
63%
LAB
36%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Lanark and Hamilton East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Angela Crawley  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:77,659
Turnout: 68.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,243 41.9% 44.8%
CON17,056 32.1% 26.9%
LAB10,736 20.2% 20.6%
LIB3,037 5.7% 3.5%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
SNP Majority5,187 9.8% 17.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
87%
CON
10%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Linlithgow and East Falkirk

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Martyn Day  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:87,044
Turnout: 66.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP25,551 44.2% 47.4%
CON14,285 24.7% 19.5%
LAB10,517 18.2% 18.6%
LIB4,393 7.6% 4.7%
Reform1,257 2.2% 2.8%
Green1,184 2.0% 2.6%
OTH588 1.0% 4.4%
SNP Majority11,266 19.5% 27.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
94%
CON
3%
LAB
2%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Livingston

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Hannah Bardell  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:82,285
Turnout: 66.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP25,617 46.9% 49.9%
CON12,182 22.3% 17.1%
LAB11,915 21.8% 22.2%
LIB3,457 6.3% 3.9%
Green1,421 2.6% 3.1%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
SNP Majority13,435 24.6% 27.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
96%
CON
1%
LAB
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Midlothian

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Owen Thompson  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,544
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,033 41.5% 44.6%
LAB14,328 29.7% 30.1%
CON10,467 21.7% 16.5%
LIB3,393 7.0% 4.3%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
SNP Majority5,705 11.8% 14.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
82%
LAB
17%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Moray

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2019:Douglas Ross  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:71,035
Turnout: 68.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,112 45.3% 40.1%
SNP21,599 44.2% 46.9%
LAB2,432 5.0% 5.4%
LIB2,269 4.6% 2.9%
OTH413 0.8% 3.8%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority513 1.1% 6.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
33%
SNP
67%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Motherwell and Wishaw

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Marion Fellows  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,856
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,622 46.4% 48.6%
LAB14,354 32.3% 32.6%
CON7,150 16.1% 11.9%
LIB1,675 3.8% 2.3%
OTH619 1.4% 3.8%
Reform0 0.0% 0.4%
Green0 0.0% 0.4%
SNP Majority6,268 14.1% 16.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
87%
LAB
13%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Angus MacNeil  (SNP)
County/Area:Western Isles (Scotland)
Electorate:21,106
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP6,531 45.1% 47.8%
LAB4,093 28.3% 28.6%
CON3,216 22.2% 17.0%
LIB637 4.4% 2.7%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.9%
SNP Majority2,438 16.8% 19.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
91%
LAB
8%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ochil and South Perthshire

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:John Nicolson  (SNP)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:78,776
Turnout: 73.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,882 46.5% 49.3%
CON22,384 38.7% 33.5%
LAB4,961 8.6% 9.0%
LIB3,204 5.5% 3.4%
OTH382 0.7% 3.7%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority4,498 7.8% 15.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
84%
CON
16%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Orkney and Shetland

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Alistair Carmichael  (LIB)
County/Area:Orkney and Shetland (Scotland)
Electorate:34,211
Turnout: 67.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB10,381 44.8% 37.1%
SNP7,874 34.0% 38.0%
CON2,287 9.9% 7.3%
LAB1,550 6.7% 7.3%
Reform900 3.9% 4.6%
OTH168 0.7% 5.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
LIB Majority2,507 10.8% 0.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
44%
SNP
55%
CON
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Gavin Newlands  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,007
Turnout: 69.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,353 47.0% 50.1%
LAB11,451 23.0% 23.5%
CON11,217 22.6% 17.4%
LIB3,661 7.4% 4.5%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.4%
SNP Majority11,902 24.0% 26.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
96%
LAB
3%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Mhairi Black  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:64,385
Turnout: 66.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,637 50.2% 53.0%
LAB10,958 25.4% 25.8%
CON7,571 17.6% 13.0%
LIB2,918 6.8% 4.2%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
SNP Majority10,679 24.8% 27.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
96%
LAB
4%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Perth and North Perthshire

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Pete Wishart  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:72,600
Turnout: 74.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP27,362 50.6% 53.6%
CON19,812 36.6% 31.4%
LIB3,780 7.0% 4.3%
LAB2,471 4.6% 5.0%
Reform651 1.2% 1.8%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
SNP Majority7,550 14.0% 22.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
90%
CON
10%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Renfrewshire East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Kirsten Oswald  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,232
Turnout: 76.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,877 44.9% 48.1%
CON19,451 35.1% 29.9%
LAB6,855 12.4% 12.8%
LIB4,174 7.5% 4.6%
Reform0 0.0% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.4%
SNP Majority5,426 9.8% 18.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
87%
CON
12%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ross Skye and Lochaber

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Ian Blackford  (SNP)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:54,230
Turnout: 73.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,263 48.3% 53.0%
LIB9,820 24.6% 17.0%
CON6,900 17.3% 12.8%
LAB2,448 6.1% 6.8%
OTH728 1.8% 6.9%
Reform710 1.8% 2.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority9,443 23.7% 36.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
98%
LIB
1%
CON
0%
LAB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Rutherglen and Hamilton West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Margaret Ferrier  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:80,918
Turnout: 66.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,775 44.2% 46.5%
LAB18,545 34.5% 34.8%
CON8,054 15.0% 11.1%
LIB2,791 5.2% 3.2%
OTH629 1.2% 3.6%
Reform0 0.0% 0.4%
Green0 0.0% 0.4%
SNP Majority5,230 9.7% 11.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
79%
LAB
21%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Stirling

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Alyn Smith  (SNP)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:68,473
Turnout: 76.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,895 51.1% 53.9%
CON17,641 33.5% 28.3%
LAB4,275 8.1% 8.5%
LIB2,867 5.4% 3.4%
Green942 1.8% 2.3%
Reform0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
SNP Majority9,254 17.6% 25.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
95%
CON
5%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%