Constituency List: Scotland



Aberdeen North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Kirsty Blackman  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:62,489
Turnout: 59.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,205 54.0% 56.9%
CON7,535 20.1% 17.7%
LAB4,939 13.2% 14.4%
LIB2,846 7.6% 4.2%
Reform1,008 2.7% 2.0%
Green880 2.4% 3.5%
OTH0 0.0% 1.2%
SNP Majority12,670 33.9% 39.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
99%
CON
0%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeen South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Flynn  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:65,719
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,388 44.7% 48.0%
CON16,398 35.9% 33.5%
LIB5,018 11.0% 6.0%
LAB3,834 8.4% 9.8%
Green0 0.0% 1.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
SNP Majority3,990 8.7% 14.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
81%
CON
19%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2019:Andrew Bowie  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:72,640
Turnout: 73.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,752 42.7% 40.2%
SNP21,909 41.1% 44.5%
LIB6,253 11.7% 6.4%
LAB2,431 4.6% 6.0%
Green0 0.0% 1.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
CON Majority843 1.6% 4.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
42%
SNP
58%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Airdrie and Shotts

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Neil Gray  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:64,011
Turnout: 62.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP17,929 45.1% 46.8%
LAB12,728 32.0% 32.7%
CON7,011 17.6% 15.5%
LIB1,419 3.6% 2.0%
Green685 1.7% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
SNP Majority5,201 13.1% 14.1%
Pred Maj
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Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Gray resigned the seat in March 2021 to stand for the Scottish parliament. Anum Qaisar-Javed (SNP) won the seat in a by-election on 13 May 2021.

Chance of winning
SNP
84%
LAB
15%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Angus

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Dave Doogan  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:63,952
Turnout: 67.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,216 49.1% 51.4%
CON17,421 40.4% 37.9%
LIB2,482 5.7% 3.2%
LAB2,051 4.8% 5.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority3,795 8.8% 13.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
81%
CON
19%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Argyll and Bute

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Brendan O'Hara  (SNP)
County/Area:Argyll and Bute (Scotland)
Electorate:66,525
Turnout: 72.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,040 43.8% 47.8%
CON16,930 35.2% 32.8%
LIB6,832 14.2% 7.8%
LAB3,248 6.8% 8.4%
Green0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.6%
SNP Majority4,110 8.6% 15.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
81%
CON
19%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayr Carrick and Cumnock

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Allan Dorans  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:71,970
Turnout: 64.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,272 43.5% 45.5%
CON17,943 38.5% 36.1%
LAB6,219 13.3% 14.2%
LIB2,158 4.6% 2.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority2,329 5.0% 9.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
71%
CON
28%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire Central

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Philippa Whitford  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:69,742
Turnout: 66.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,486 46.2% 48.3%
CON16,182 34.8% 32.4%
LAB6,583 14.1% 15.0%
LIB2,283 4.9% 2.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority5,304 11.4% 15.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
85%
CON
15%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire North and Arran

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Patricia Gibson  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:73,534
Turnout: 65.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,376 48.5% 50.5%
CON14,855 30.8% 28.4%
LAB6,702 13.9% 14.7%
LIB2,107 4.4% 2.4%
Green1,114 2.3% 3.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority8,521 17.7% 22.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
92%
CON
8%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Banff and Buchan

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Duguid  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:66,655
Turnout: 63.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,182 50.1% 47.7%
SNP17,064 40.4% 42.6%
LIB2,280 5.4% 3.0%
LAB1,734 4.1% 5.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority4,118 9.7% 5.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
65%
SNP
35%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Lamont  (CON)
County/Area:Borders (Scotland)
Electorate:74,518
Turnout: 71.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,747 48.4% 46.0%
SNP20,599 38.8% 41.5%
LIB4,287 8.1% 4.4%
LAB2,513 4.7% 5.9%
Green0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority5,148 9.7% 4.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
62%
SNP
38%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Jamie Stone  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:46,930
Turnout: 67.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB11,705 37.2% 28.2%
SNP11,501 36.6% 41.9%
CON5,176 16.5% 14.5%
LAB1,936 6.2% 8.4%
Reform1,139 3.6% 2.7%
Green0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
LIB Majority204 0.6% 13.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
19%
SNP
78%
CON
2%
LAB
1%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Steven Bonnar  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,943
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,680 47.0% 48.4%
LAB17,056 35.4% 35.9%
CON6,113 12.7% 11.1%
LIB1,564 3.2% 1.8%
Green808 1.7% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority5,624 11.7% 12.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
80%
LAB
20%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stuart McDonald  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,079
Turnout: 69.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,158 52.9% 55.1%
LAB11,182 24.5% 25.4%
CON7,380 16.2% 14.2%
LIB2,966 6.5% 3.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority12,976 28.4% 29.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
98%
LAB
1%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfries and Galloway

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2019:Alister Jack  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:74,580
Turnout: 69.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,678 44.1% 41.7%
SNP20,873 40.6% 42.9%
LAB4,745 9.2% 10.2%
LIB3,133 6.1% 3.3%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority1,805 3.5% 1.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
47%
SNP
53%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Mundell  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:68,330
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,611 46.0% 43.6%
SNP18,830 38.3% 40.9%
LAB4,172 8.5% 9.5%
LIB3,540 7.2% 4.0%
Green0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
CON Majority3,781 7.7% 2.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
56%
SNP
44%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dunbartonshire East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Amy Callaghan  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,075
Turnout: 80.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,672 37.1% 41.9%
LIB19,523 36.8% 27.8%
CON7,455 14.1% 12.4%
LAB4,839 9.1% 11.1%
Green916 1.7% 3.7%
OTH626 1.2% 3.1%
SNP Majority149 0.3% 14.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
78%
LIB
19%
CON
2%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dunbartonshire West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Martin Docherty  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,517
Turnout: 67.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,396 49.6% 51.2%
LAB12,843 28.5% 29.1%
CON6,436 14.3% 12.5%
LIB1,890 4.2% 2.3%
Green867 1.9% 2.6%
OTH708 1.6% 2.2%
SNP Majority9,553 21.2% 22.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
93%
LAB
7%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dundee East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stewart Hosie  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:66,210
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,361 53.8% 56.5%
CON10,986 24.3% 21.8%
LAB6,045 13.4% 14.5%
LIB3,573 7.9% 4.3%
OTH312 0.7% 1.8%
Green0 0.0% 1.1%
SNP Majority13,375 29.5% 34.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
98%
CON
1%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Dundee West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Chris Law  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:64,431
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,355 53.8% 56.0%
LAB10,096 24.3% 25.2%
CON5,149 12.4% 10.9%
LIB2,468 5.9% 3.3%
Reform1,271 3.1% 2.3%
OTH240 0.6% 1.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority12,259 29.5% 30.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
97%
LAB
3%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Dunfermline and West Fife

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Douglas Chapman  (SNP)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:76,652
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,727 44.4% 47.1%
LAB13,028 24.4% 25.5%
CON11,207 21.0% 18.5%
LIB4,262 8.0% 4.4%
Green1,258 2.4% 3.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.1%
SNP Majority10,699 20.0% 21.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
91%
LAB
7%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Lisa Cameron  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:81,224
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,113 46.4% 48.8%
LAB12,791 22.7% 23.7%
CON11,961 21.2% 18.8%
LIB3,760 6.7% 3.7%
Green1,153 2.0% 3.0%
OTH559 1.0% 2.0%
SNP Majority13,322 23.6% 25.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
93%
LAB
5%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

East Lothian

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Kenny MacAskill  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:81,600
Turnout: 71.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,156 36.2% 38.7%
LAB17,270 29.5% 30.5%
CON15,523 26.5% 24.1%
LIB4,071 7.0% 3.8%
OTH493 0.8% 1.8%
Green0 0.0% 1.0%
SNP Majority3,886 6.6% 8.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
68%
LAB
23%
CON
9%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Edinburgh East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Tommy Sheppard  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,424
Turnout: 68.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,165 48.4% 50.6%
LAB12,748 26.7% 27.5%
CON6,549 13.7% 12.0%
LIB3,289 6.9% 3.8%
Green2,064 4.3% 5.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority10,417 21.8% 23.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
94%
LAB
6%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh North and Leith

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Deidre Brock  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:81,336
Turnout: 73.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP25,925 43.7% 47.1%
LAB13,117 22.1% 23.5%
CON11,000 18.5% 16.3%
LIB6,635 11.2% 6.1%
Green1,971 3.3% 4.7%
Reform558 0.9% 0.7%
OTH138 0.2% 1.6%
SNP Majority12,808 21.6% 23.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
92%
LAB
6%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ian Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:66,188
Turnout: 75.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,745 47.7% 48.8%
SNP12,650 25.4% 27.9%
CON8,161 16.4% 14.4%
LIB3,819 7.7% 4.2%
Green1,357 2.7% 3.7%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
LAB Majority11,095 22.3% 20.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
90%
SNP
10%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Joanna Cherry  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,501
Turnout: 70.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,830 47.6% 50.8%
CON12,848 24.6% 22.2%
LAB7,478 14.3% 15.6%
LIB4,971 9.5% 5.2%
Green1,265 2.4% 3.7%
Reform625 1.2% 0.9%
OTH114 0.2% 1.5%
SNP Majority11,982 23.0% 28.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
97%
CON
3%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh West

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Christine Jardine  (LIB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,507
Turnout: 75.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB21,766 39.9% 30.9%
SNP17,997 33.0% 38.0%
CON9,283 17.0% 15.0%
LAB4,460 8.2% 10.2%
Green1,027 1.9% 3.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
LIB Majority3,769 6.9% 7.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
31%
SNP
65%
CON
3%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Falkirk

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Johnny McNally  (SNP)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:84,472
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP29,351 52.5% 55.1%
CON14,403 25.8% 23.4%
LAB6,243 11.2% 12.2%
LIB3,990 7.1% 3.9%
Green1,885 3.4% 4.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
SNP Majority14,948 26.8% 31.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
98%
CON
2%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Fife North East

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Wendy Chamberlain  (LIB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:60,905
Turnout: 75.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB19,763 43.1% 34.1%
SNP18,447 40.2% 45.0%
CON5,961 13.0% 11.4%
LAB1,707 3.7% 5.7%
Green0 0.0% 1.9%
OTH0 0.0% 1.9%
LIB Majority1,316 2.9% 10.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
27%
SNP
72%
CON
1%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow Central

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Alison Thewliss  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,230
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,750 49.2% 50.7%
LAB13,276 33.1% 33.7%
CON3,698 9.2% 8.1%
LIB1,952 4.9% 2.7%
Green1,429 3.6% 4.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
SNP Majority6,474 16.1% 17.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
88%
LAB
12%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:David Linden  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:67,381
Turnout: 57.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP18,357 47.7% 49.4%
LAB12,791 33.2% 33.9%
CON5,709 14.8% 13.0%
LIB1,626 4.2% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
SNP Majority5,566 14.5% 15.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
86%
LAB
14%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Patrick Grady  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:57,130
Turnout: 63.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP16,982 46.9% 48.9%
LAB11,381 31.4% 32.3%
CON3,806 10.5% 9.2%
LIB2,394 6.6% 3.6%
Green1,308 3.6% 4.4%
Reform320 0.9% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority5,601 15.5% 16.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
88%
LAB
12%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Anne McLaughlin  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:61,075
Turnout: 55.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,911 46.9% 48.1%
LAB13,363 39.4% 39.9%
CON3,558 10.5% 9.2%
LIB1,093 3.2% 1.8%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority2,548 7.5% 8.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
72%
LAB
28%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Carol Monaghan  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:63,402
Turnout: 62.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,678 49.5% 51.7%
LAB11,319 28.5% 29.4%
CON6,022 15.2% 13.3%
LIB2,716 6.8% 3.8%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority8,359 21.0% 22.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
94%
LAB
6%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Stewart McDonald  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,891
Turnout: 66.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,829 48.1% 50.2%
LAB13,824 29.1% 30.0%
CON6,237 13.1% 11.6%
LIB2,786 5.9% 3.2%
Green1,251 2.6% 3.5%
Reform516 1.1% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority9,005 19.0% 20.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
91%
LAB
9%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow South West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Chris Stephens  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:64,575
Turnout: 57.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP17,643 47.9% 49.5%
LAB12,743 34.6% 35.3%
CON4,224 11.5% 10.1%
LIB1,435 3.9% 2.1%
Reform802 2.2% 1.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
SNP Majority4,900 13.3% 14.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
83%
LAB
17%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glenrothes

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Peter Grant  (SNP)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:65,672
Turnout: 63.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,234 51.1% 53.7%
LAB9,477 22.8% 23.9%
CON6,920 16.7% 14.6%
LIB2,639 6.4% 3.5%
Reform1,276 3.1% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
SNP Majority11,757 28.3% 29.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
97%
LAB
3%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Gordon

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Richard Thomson  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:79,629
Turnout: 70.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,885 42.7% 46.0%
CON23,066 41.3% 38.8%
LIB5,913 10.6% 5.8%
LAB3,052 5.5% 6.8%
Green0 0.0% 1.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
SNP Majority819 1.5% 7.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
66%
CON
34%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Inverclyde

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Ronnie Cowan  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:60,622
Turnout: 65.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,295 48.4% 50.5%
LAB11,783 29.5% 30.4%
CON6,265 15.7% 13.8%
LIB2,560 6.4% 3.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority7,512 18.8% 20.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
91%
LAB
8%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Drew Hendry  (SNP)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:78,059
Turnout: 70.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,247 47.9% 51.4%
CON15,807 28.8% 26.4%
LIB5,846 10.7% 5.9%
LAB4,123 7.5% 9.0%
Green1,709 3.1% 4.5%
Reform1,078 2.0% 1.5%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
SNP Majority10,440 19.0% 24.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
93%
CON
7%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Kilmarnock and Loudoun

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Alan Brown  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:74,517
Turnout: 63.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,216 50.8% 53.0%
CON11,557 24.3% 21.8%
LAB9,009 18.9% 19.8%
LIB2,444 5.1% 2.8%
OTH405 0.9% 1.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority12,659 26.6% 31.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
97%
CON
2%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Neale Hanvey  (SNP)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:72,853
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP16,568 35.2% 37.9%
LAB15,325 32.6% 33.7%
CON9,449 20.1% 17.7%
LIB2,903 6.2% 3.4%
Green1,628 3.5% 4.5%
Reform1,132 2.4% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
SNP Majority1,243 2.6% 4.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
59%
LAB
38%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Lanark and Hamilton East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Angela Crawley  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:77,659
Turnout: 68.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP22,243 41.9% 44.2%
CON17,056 32.1% 29.7%
LAB10,736 20.2% 21.2%
LIB3,037 5.7% 3.1%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority5,187 9.8% 14.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
82%
CON
15%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Linlithgow and East Falkirk

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Martyn Day  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:87,044
Turnout: 66.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP25,551 44.2% 47.1%
CON14,285 24.7% 22.3%
LAB10,517 18.2% 19.4%
LIB4,393 7.6% 4.2%
Reform1,257 2.2% 1.6%
Green1,184 2.0% 3.2%
OTH588 1.0% 2.2%
SNP Majority11,266 19.5% 24.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
93%
CON
5%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Livingston

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Hannah Bardell  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:82,285
Turnout: 66.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP25,617 46.9% 49.3%
CON12,182 22.3% 19.9%
LAB11,915 21.8% 22.8%
LIB3,457 6.3% 3.5%
Green1,421 2.6% 3.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
SNP Majority13,435 24.6% 26.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
96%
CON
2%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Midlothian

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Owen Thompson  (SNP)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,544
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,033 41.5% 44.1%
LAB14,328 29.7% 30.7%
CON10,467 21.7% 19.3%
LIB3,393 7.0% 3.9%
Green0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
SNP Majority5,705 11.8% 13.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
80%
LAB
17%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Moray

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2019:Douglas Ross  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:71,035
Turnout: 68.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,112 45.3% 42.9%
SNP21,599 44.2% 46.3%
LAB2,432 5.0% 5.8%
LIB2,269 4.6% 2.6%
OTH413 0.8% 1.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority513 1.1% 3.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
41%
SNP
59%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Motherwell and Wishaw

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Marion Fellows  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,856
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP20,622 46.4% 48.1%
LAB14,354 32.3% 33.0%
CON7,150 16.1% 14.2%
LIB1,675 3.8% 2.1%
OTH619 1.4% 2.1%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
SNP Majority6,268 14.1% 15.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
86%
LAB
14%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Angus MacNeil  (SNP)
County/Area:Western Isles (Scotland)
Electorate:21,106
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP6,531 45.1% 47.1%
LAB4,093 28.3% 29.1%
CON3,216 22.2% 19.8%
LIB637 4.4% 2.4%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority2,438 16.8% 18.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
89%
LAB
9%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ochil and South Perthshire

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:John Nicolson  (SNP)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:78,776
Turnout: 73.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,882 46.5% 48.7%
CON22,384 38.7% 36.3%
LAB4,961 8.6% 9.5%
LIB3,204 5.5% 3.0%
OTH382 0.7% 1.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority4,498 7.8% 12.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
79%
CON
21%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Orkney and Shetland

Prediction: SNP gain from LIB

MP at 2019:Alistair Carmichael  (LIB)
County/Area:Orkney and Shetland (Scotland)
Electorate:34,211
Turnout: 67.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB10,381 44.8% 35.8%
SNP7,874 34.0% 39.0%
CON2,287 9.9% 8.7%
LAB1,550 6.7% 8.8%
Reform900 3.9% 2.9%
OTH168 0.7% 2.7%
Green0 0.0% 2.0%
LIB Majority2,507 10.8% 3.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
41%
SNP
58%
CON
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Gavin Newlands  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,007
Turnout: 69.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,353 47.0% 49.6%
LAB11,451 23.0% 24.1%
CON11,217 22.6% 20.2%
LIB3,661 7.4% 4.1%
Green0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 1.0%
SNP Majority11,902 24.0% 25.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
94%
LAB
4%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Mhairi Black  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:64,385
Turnout: 66.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP21,637 50.2% 52.6%
LAB10,958 25.4% 26.4%
CON7,571 17.6% 15.4%
LIB2,918 6.8% 3.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority10,679 24.8% 26.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
95%
LAB
5%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Perth and North Perthshire

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Pete Wishart  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:72,600
Turnout: 74.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP27,362 50.6% 53.2%
CON19,812 36.6% 34.2%
LIB3,780 7.0% 3.8%
LAB2,471 4.6% 5.7%
Reform651 1.2% 0.9%
Green0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.1%
SNP Majority7,550 14.0% 19.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
86%
CON
14%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Renfrewshire East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Kirsten Oswald  (SNP)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,232
Turnout: 76.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP24,877 44.9% 47.6%
CON19,451 35.1% 32.7%
LAB6,855 12.4% 13.5%
LIB4,174 7.5% 4.1%
Green0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.1%
SNP Majority5,426 9.8% 14.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
83%
CON
17%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ross Skye and Lochaber

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Ian Blackford  (SNP)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:54,230
Turnout: 73.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,263 48.3% 53.5%
LIB9,820 24.6% 15.6%
CON6,900 17.3% 15.2%
LAB2,448 6.1% 8.3%
OTH728 1.8% 3.9%
Reform710 1.8% 1.3%
Green0 0.0% 2.1%
SNP Majority9,443 23.7% 37.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
98%
LIB
1%
CON
1%
LAB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Rutherglen and Hamilton West

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Margaret Ferrier  (SNP)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:80,918
Turnout: 66.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP23,775 44.2% 46.1%
LAB18,545 34.5% 35.2%
CON8,054 15.0% 13.2%
LIB2,791 5.2% 2.9%
OTH629 1.2% 1.9%
Green0 0.0% 0.8%
SNP Majority5,230 9.7% 10.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
77%
LAB
23%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Stirling

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2019:Alyn Smith  (SNP)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:68,473
Turnout: 76.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
SNP26,895 51.1% 53.3%
CON17,641 33.5% 31.1%
LAB4,275 8.1% 9.0%
LIB2,867 5.4% 3.0%
Green942 1.8% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority9,254 17.6% 22.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
93%
CON
7%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%