Constituency List: Scotland



Aberdeen North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Kirsty Blackman  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:75,925
Turnout: 55.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP14,533 34.5% 42.0%
LAB12,773 30.3% 12.1%
CON5,881 14.0% 9.0%
Reform3,781 9.0% 23.9%
LIB2,583 6.1% 3.8%
Green1,275 3.0% 5.7%
OTH1,269 3.0% 3.5%
SNP Majority1,760 4.2% 18.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
87%
LAB
2%
CON
1%
Reform
9%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeen South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Stephen Flynn  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:77,328
Turnout: 59.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,213 32.8% 36.4%
LAB11,455 24.7% 12.1%
CON11,300 24.4% 21.5%
Reform3,199 6.9% 18.2%
LIB2,921 6.3% 4.5%
Green1,609 3.5% 4.9%
OTH648 1.4% 2.4%
SNP Majority3,758 8.1% 14.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result before the resignation of Stephen Flynn in May 2026. Douglas Lumsden (Conservative) won the by-election on 18 June 2026.

Chance of winning
SNP
82%
LAB
1%
CON
11%
Reform
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeenshire North and Moray East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Seamus Logan  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:70,058
Turnout: 54.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP13,455 35.2% 42.0%
CON12,513 32.8% 36.8%
Reform5,562 14.6% 13.9%
LAB3,876 10.1% 1.7%
LIB2,782 7.3% 2.9%
Green0 0.0% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
SNP Majority942 2.5% 5.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
64%
CON
31%
Reform
5%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:Andrew Campbell Bowie  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:72,994
Turnout: 67.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,428 35.6% 43.5%
SNP13,987 28.6% 39.8%
LAB6,397 13.1% 1.6%
LIB6,342 13.0% 3.5%
Reform3,497 7.1% 7.4%
Green1,032 2.1% 3.0%
OTH275 0.6% 1.4%
CON Majority3,441 7.0% 3.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
56%
SNP
42%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Airdrie and Shotts

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Kenneth Stevenson  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,199
Turnout: 52.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,871 51.5% 24.7%
SNP11,324 30.9% 35.6%
Reform2,971 8.1% 23.2%
CON1,696 4.6% 3.4%
OTH1,079 2.9% 4.5%
LIB725 2.0% 1.4%
Green0 0.0% 7.1%
LAB Majority7,547 20.6% 10.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
18%
SNP
71%
Reform
11%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Alloa and Grangemouth

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Brian Leishman  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:70,680
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,039 43.8% 21.3%
SNP11,917 28.9% 33.4%
Reform3,804 9.2% 23.5%
CON3,127 7.6% 5.5%
OTH1,519 3.7% 4.2%
Green1,421 3.4% 8.9%
LIB1,151 2.8% 2.0%
MIN223 0.5% 1.1%
LAB Majority6,122 14.9% 9.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
14%
SNP
70%
Reform
16%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Angus and Perthshire Glens

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Dave Doogan  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:76,668
Turnout: 61.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,142 40.4% 49.9%
CON14,272 30.1% 35.7%
LAB6,799 14.4% 1.6%
Reform3,246 6.9% 7.0%
LIB3,156 6.7% 1.6%
OTH733 1.5% 2.0%
Green0 0.0% 2.2%
SNP Majority4,870 10.3% 14.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
83%
CON
17%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Stephen Patrick Gethins  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:76,149
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,581 35.3% 39.3%
LAB14,722 33.4% 16.2%
CON6,841 15.5% 12.7%
Reform3,800 8.6% 21.2%
LIB2,249 5.1% 3.6%
OTH924 2.1% 3.2%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
SNP Majority859 1.9% 18.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result before the resignation of Stephen Gethins in May 2026. Lara Bird (SNP) won the by-election on 18 June 2026.

Chance of winning
SNP
87%
LAB
3%
CON
1%
Reform
9%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Brendan O'Hara  (SNP)
County/Area:Argyll and Bute (Scotland)
Electorate:71,756
Turnout: 62.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,582 34.7% 37.9%
CON9,350 20.8% 17.9%
LAB8,585 19.1% 8.9%
LIB7,359 16.4% 13.5%
Reform3,045 6.8% 16.6%
OTH941 2.1% 2.5%
Green0 0.0% 2.6%
SNP Majority6,232 13.9% 19.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
88%
CON
6%
LAB
0%
LIB
1%
Reform
5%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Elaine Stewart  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:70,340
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,930 36.5% 17.6%
SNP10,776 26.3% 30.4%
CON9,247 22.6% 19.8%
Reform3,544 8.7% 21.5%
LIB1,081 2.6% 1.9%
Green886 2.2% 6.1%
OTH472 1.2% 2.8%
LAB Majority4,154 10.1% 8.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
7%
SNP
64%
CON
11%
Reform
18%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire Central

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Alan Gemmell  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:69,413
Turnout: 59.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,091 43.7% 21.2%
SNP11,222 27.1% 31.5%
CON6,147 14.8% 12.0%
Reform3,420 8.3% 22.4%
Green1,039 2.5% 8.0%
LIB983 2.4% 1.7%
OTH517 1.2% 3.2%
LAB Majority6,869 16.6% 9.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
15%
SNP
66%
CON
1%
Reform
17%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire North and Arran

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Irene Campbell  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:72,176
Turnout: 58.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,821 39.8% 19.2%
SNP13,270 31.4% 35.6%
CON5,954 14.1% 11.3%
Reform3,415 8.1% 21.5%
Green1,327 3.1% 7.8%
LIB1,005 2.4% 1.7%
OTH470 1.1% 3.0%
LAB Majority3,551 8.4% 14.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
9%
SNP
81%
CON
1%
Reform
10%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Bathgate and Linlithgow

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Kirsteen Sullivan  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,185
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,774 47.0% 22.9%
SNP11,451 27.2% 31.9%
Reform3,524 8.4% 23.2%
CON3,144 7.5% 5.4%
LIB2,171 5.2% 3.7%
Green1,390 3.3% 9.5%
OTH611 1.5% 3.5%
LAB Majority8,323 19.8% 8.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
19%
SNP
63%
Reform
17%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:John Lamont  (CON)
County/Area:Borders (Scotland)
Electorate:76,438
Turnout: 60.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,872 40.5% 46.9%
SNP12,273 26.4% 36.7%
LAB6,311 13.6% 1.7%
LIB3,686 7.9% 1.9%
Reform3,340 7.2% 7.5%
Green1,526 3.3% 3.5%
OTH550 1.2% 1.7%
CON Majority6,599 14.2% 10.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
72%
SNP
27%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Jamie Stone  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:74,627
Turnout: 61.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,736 49.4% 53.5%
SNP12,247 26.6% 31.8%
LAB3,409 7.4% 0.6%
Reform3,360 7.3% 8.6%
CON1,860 4.0% 1.1%
Green1,641 3.6% 2.9%
OTH795 1.7% 1.6%
LIB Majority10,489 22.8% 21.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
89%
SNP
10%
LAB
0%
Reform
1%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Coatbridge and Bellshill

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Frank McNally  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,667
Turnout: 53.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,291 49.8% 23.5%
SNP12,947 33.4% 37.9%
Reform2,601 6.7% 21.1%
CON1,382 3.6% 2.7%
Green1,229 3.2% 9.9%
LIB671 1.7% 1.2%
OTH610 1.6% 3.7%
LAB Majority6,344 16.4% 14.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
13%
SNP
81%
Reform
6%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Melanie Ward  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:71,845
Turnout: 56.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,662 45.7% 22.4%
SNP11,414 28.0% 32.6%
CON3,203 7.8% 5.6%
Reform3,128 7.7% 22.5%
LIB1,593 3.9% 2.8%
Green1,556 3.8% 9.7%
OTH1,258 3.1% 4.3%
LAB Majority7,248 17.8% 10.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
17%
SNP
68%
CON
0%
Reform
15%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Katrina Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,350
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,513 45.2% 21.2%
SNP14,369 35.1% 39.3%
Reform3,167 7.7% 21.3%
CON1,939 4.7% 3.5%
Green1,694 4.1% 9.9%
LIB1,294 3.2% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
LAB Majority4,144 10.1% 18.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
8%
SNP
85%
Reform
7%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfries and Galloway

Prediction: SNP gain from CON

MP at 2024:John Cooper  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:78,541
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON13,527 29.6% 29.4%
SNP12,597 27.5% 33.6%
LAB11,767 25.7% 10.1%
Reform4,313 9.4% 17.8%
LIB2,092 4.6% 2.7%
Green1,249 2.7% 4.4%
OTH230 0.5% 1.9%
CON Majority930 2.0% 4.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
32%
SNP
57%
LAB
1%
Reform
9%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:David Mundell  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:71,900
Turnout: 61.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,999 33.9% 38.5%
SNP10,757 24.3% 34.6%
LAB10,140 22.9% 5.7%
Reform3,822 8.6% 12.5%
LIB2,800 6.3% 2.5%
Green1,488 3.4% 4.5%
OTH208 0.5% 1.8%
CON Majority4,242 9.6% 3.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
57%
SNP
36%
LAB
0%
Reform
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dunbartonshire Mid

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Susan Murray  (LIB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,596
Turnout: 71.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,349 42.4% 49.9%
SNP12,676 24.0% 32.3%
LAB10,993 20.8% 1.7%
CON2,452 4.6% 1.3%
Reform2,099 4.0% 8.7%
Green1,720 3.3% 4.2%
OTH449 0.9% 1.9%
LIB Majority9,673 18.3% 17.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
82%
SNP
16%
LAB
0%
CON
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dunbartonshire West

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Douglas McAllister  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,074
Turnout: 57.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,312 48.8% 23.0%
SNP13,302 33.6% 38.0%
Reform2,770 7.0% 21.1%
Green1,496 3.8% 10.3%
CON1,474 3.7% 2.8%
LIB839 2.1% 1.5%
OTH391 1.0% 3.3%
LAB Majority6,010 15.2% 15.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
12%
SNP
82%
Reform
6%
Green
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Dundee Central

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Chris Law  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:74,221
Turnout: 52.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,544 40.0% 44.3%
LAB14,869 38.3% 18.7%
LIB2,402 6.2% 4.4%
Reform2,363 6.1% 19.6%
OTH1,909 4.9% 4.7%
CON1,569 4.0% 3.0%
MIN192 0.5% 0.9%
Green0 0.0% 4.4%
SNP Majority675 1.7% 24.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
SNP
94%
LAB
4%
LIB
0%
Reform
3%
OTH
0%
CON
0%
MIN
0%
Green
0%

Dunfermline and Dollar

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Graeme Downie  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:72,824
Turnout: 61.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,336 45.7% 22.4%
SNP12,095 27.2% 31.8%
CON3,297 7.4% 5.3%
LIB3,181 7.1% 5.1%
Reform2,887 6.5% 21.3%
Green2,078 4.7% 10.5%
OTH663 1.5% 3.4%
LAB Majority8,241 18.5% 9.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
20%
SNP
66%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
13%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

East Kilbride and Strathaven

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Joani Reid  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:76,415
Turnout: 61.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,682 48.6% 23.4%
SNP13,625 29.2% 33.8%
CON3,547 7.6% 5.5%
Reform3,377 7.2% 21.9%
Green1,811 3.9% 10.4%
LIB1,074 2.3% 1.6%
OTH591 1.3% 3.5%
LAB Majority9,057 19.4% 10.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
18%
SNP
71%
CON
0%
Reform
11%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Chris Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:76,188
Turnout: 59.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,790 41.2% 19.6%
SNP15,075 33.1% 37.2%
Green4,669 10.2% 15.2%
CON2,598 5.7% 4.1%
Reform2,129 4.7% 17.9%
LIB1,949 4.3% 3.1%
OTH365 0.8% 2.9%
LAB Majority3,715 8.2% 17.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
9%
SNP
84%
Green
2%
CON
0%
Reform
5%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh North and Leith

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Tracy Gilbert  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:78,411
Turnout: 63.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,805 42.1% 20.6%
SNP13,537 27.4% 31.8%
Green5,417 10.9% 16.1%
LIB3,879 7.8% 5.6%
CON3,254 6.6% 4.7%
Reform1,818 3.7% 17.9%
OTH765 1.5% 3.3%
LAB Majority7,268 14.7% 11.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
18%
SNP
69%
Green
5%
LIB
0%
CON
0%
Reform
8%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Ian Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,839
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,976 53.3% 26.5%
SNP7,725 16.5% 21.7%
Green4,270 9.1% 16.6%
CON4,001 8.5% 6.1%
LIB2,746 5.9% 4.2%
Reform1,845 3.9% 20.4%
OTH1,263 2.7% 4.5%
LAB Majority17,251 36.8% 4.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
49%
SNP
24%
Green
7%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
19%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South West

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Scott Arthur  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,784
Turnout: 61.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,663 40.9% 20.2%
SNP12,446 27.3% 31.7%
CON5,558 12.2% 9.4%
Green3,450 7.6% 12.4%
LIB3,014 6.6% 4.7%
Reform2,087 4.6% 18.7%
OTH446 1.0% 2.9%
LAB Majority6,217 13.6% 11.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
18%
SNP
71%
CON
1%
Green
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
9%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh West

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Christine Anne Jardine  (LIB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:76,490
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB26,645 50.8% 55.2%
SNP10,175 19.4% 25.5%
LAB7,854 15.0% 2.3%
CON2,897 5.5% 2.0%
Reform2,209 4.2% 9.3%
Green2,100 4.0% 4.0%
OTH591 1.1% 1.8%
LIB Majority16,470 31.4% 29.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
94%
SNP
4%
LAB
0%
CON
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Falkirk

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Euan Stainbank  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:73,584
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,343 43.0% 21.0%
SNP13,347 31.3% 35.8%
CON3,576 8.4% 6.0%
Reform3,375 7.9% 22.1%
Green1,711 4.0% 9.3%
OTH1,181 2.8% 4.0%
LIB1,092 2.6% 1.8%
LAB Majority4,996 11.7% 13.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
10%
SNP
79%
CON
0%
Reform
11%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%

Fife North East

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Wendy Chamberlain  (LIB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:69,762
Turnout: 61.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB23,384 54.7% 58.4%
SNP9,905 23.2% 28.3%
LAB4,026 9.4% 0.6%
Reform2,094 4.9% 7.4%
CON1,666 3.9% 1.0%
Green1,653 3.9% 3.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
LIB Majority13,479 31.5% 30.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
95%
SNP
4%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow East

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:John Grady  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,988
Turnout: 51.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,543 43.9% 20.7%
SNP11,759 33.2% 37.4%
Green2,727 7.7% 13.2%
Reform2,371 6.7% 20.2%
CON1,707 4.8% 3.5%
LIB872 2.5% 1.8%
OTH466 1.3% 3.3%
LAB Majority3,784 10.7% 16.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
8%
SNP
83%
Green
1%
Reform
8%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Martin Rhodes  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:67,579
Turnout: 51.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,655 42.2% 19.9%
SNP11,116 32.0% 36.2%
Green4,233 12.2% 17.3%
Reform1,655 4.8% 18.0%
CON1,366 3.9% 2.9%
LIB1,142 3.3% 2.3%
OTH572 1.6% 3.4%
LAB Majority3,539 10.2% 16.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
9%
SNP
83%
Green
3%
Reform
5%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North East

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Maureen Burke  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,610
Turnout: 47.0%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,639 45.9% 21.7%
SNP11,002 32.3% 36.6%
Green2,471 7.2% 13.2%
Reform2,272 6.7% 20.5%
CON1,182 3.5% 2.6%
OTH933 2.7% 4.1%
LIB592 1.7% 1.2%
LAB Majority4,637 13.6% 14.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
12%
SNP
80%
Green
1%
Reform
7%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%

Glasgow South

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Gordon McKee  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,219
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,696 41.8% 19.8%
SNP13,542 32.0% 36.1%
Green5,554 13.1% 18.2%
Reform1,736 4.1% 17.3%
CON1,617 3.8% 2.8%
LIB1,316 3.1% 2.2%
OTH917 2.2% 3.6%
LAB Majority4,154 9.8% 16.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
8%
SNP
82%
Green
5%
Reform
5%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow South West

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Zubir Ahmed  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,871
Turnout: 51.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,552 43.6% 20.5%
SNP12,267 34.4% 38.6%
Green2,727 7.6% 13.1%
Reform2,236 6.3% 19.7%
CON1,387 3.9% 2.9%
LIB958 2.7% 1.9%
OTH542 1.5% 3.4%
LAB Majority3,285 9.2% 18.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
8%
SNP
86%
Green
1%
Reform
5%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow West

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Patricia Ferguson  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,028
Turnout: 57.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,621 46.7% 22.1%
SNP12,175 30.5% 34.9%
Green3,662 9.2% 15.3%
Reform2,098 5.3% 19.2%
CON1,720 4.3% 3.2%
LIB1,316 3.3% 2.4%
OTH310 0.8% 3.1%
LAB Majority6,446 16.2% 12.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
15%
SNP
76%
Green
3%
Reform
6%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glenrothes and Mid Fife

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Richard Baker  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:70,655
Turnout: 51.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,994 44.3% 21.0%
SNP13,040 36.1% 40.4%
Reform3,528 9.8% 23.4%
CON1,973 5.5% 4.0%
LIB1,604 4.4% 3.2%
Green0 0.0% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
LAB Majority2,954 8.2% 17.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
6%
SNP
85%
Reform
9%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Gordon and Buchan

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:Harriet Cross  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:69,605
Turnout: 63.0%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,418 32.9% 42.0%
SNP13,540 30.9% 41.8%
LIB7,307 16.7% 4.7%
LAB4,686 10.7% 1.1%
Reform3,897 8.9% 7.6%
Green0 0.0% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority878 2.0% 0.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
48%
SNP
50%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hamilton and Clyde Valley

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Imogen Walker  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:75,480
Turnout: 55.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,020 49.9% 24.3%
SNP11,548 27.4% 32.2%
CON4,589 10.9% 8.1%
Reform3,299 7.8% 23.1%
LIB1,511 3.6% 2.6%
OTH117 0.3% 3.0%
Green0 0.0% 6.8%
LAB Majority9,472 22.5% 7.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
24%
SNP
61%
CON
0%
Reform
15%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Martin McCluskey  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,124
Turnout: 57.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,931 46.9% 22.8%
SNP12,560 31.1% 35.8%
CON2,863 7.1% 5.1%
Reform2,476 6.1% 20.9%
LIB1,259 3.1% 2.2%
Green1,173 2.9% 9.0%
OTH1,088 2.7% 4.2%
LAB Majority6,371 15.8% 12.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
15%
SNP
76%
CON
0%
Reform
8%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Angus MacDonald  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:77,927
Turnout: 61.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB18,159 37.8% 43.6%
SNP15,999 33.3% 39.8%
LAB6,246 13.0% 1.0%
Reform2,934 6.1% 9.0%
CON2,502 5.2% 1.4%
Green2,038 4.2% 3.9%
OTH178 0.4% 1.3%
LIB Majority2,160 4.5% 3.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
57%
SNP
42%
LAB
0%
Reform
1%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Kilmarnock and Loudoun

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Lillian Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:74,628
Turnout: 56.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,055 44.9% 21.5%
SNP13,936 32.8% 37.2%
CON3,527 8.3% 5.9%
Reform3,472 8.2% 22.2%
Green1,237 2.9% 8.6%
LIB850 2.0% 1.4%
OTH401 0.9% 3.1%
LAB Majority5,119 12.1% 15.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
9%
SNP
82%
CON
0%
Reform
9%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Livingston

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Gregor Poynton  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:78,043
Turnout: 57.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,324 40.9% 19.7%
SNP14,796 33.0% 37.3%
Reform3,977 8.9% 22.5%
CON3,469 7.7% 5.5%
LIB2,025 4.5% 3.2%
Green1,704 3.8% 8.7%
OTH545 1.2% 3.1%
LAB Majority3,528 7.9% 14.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
8%
SNP
81%
Reform
11%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Lothian East

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Douglas Alexander  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:75,456
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,555 49.0% 24.1%
SNP10,290 21.4% 26.3%
CON5,535 11.5% 8.7%
Reform3,039 6.3% 21.8%
LIB2,649 5.5% 3.9%
Green2,477 5.1% 11.7%
OTH557 1.2% 3.4%
LAB Majority13,265 27.6% 2.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
35%
SNP
42%
CON
1%
Reform
20%
LIB
0%
Green
2%
OTH
0%

Midlothian

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Kirsty McNeill  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,916
Turnout: 59.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,480 48.6% 23.6%
SNP13,313 30.1% 34.9%
Reform3,276 7.4% 22.4%
CON3,248 7.4% 5.3%
LIB2,589 5.9% 4.2%
OTH259 0.6% 3.1%
Green0 0.0% 6.5%
LAB Majority8,167 18.5% 11.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
17%
SNP
73%
Reform
11%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Graham Leadbitter  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:77,072
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP14,961 32.1% 43.6%
CON13,960 30.0% 36.6%
LAB8,259 17.7% 2.8%
LIB3,785 8.1% 2.3%
Reform3,490 7.5% 8.9%
Green1,676 3.6% 4.0%
OTH423 0.9% 1.8%
SNP Majority1,001 2.2% 7.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
68%
CON
29%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
3%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Pamela Nash  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,777
Turnout: 54.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,168 49.1% 23.4%
SNP12,083 31.0% 35.5%
Reform3,004 7.7% 22.2%
CON2,415 6.2% 4.5%
Green1,200 3.1% 9.7%
LIB822 2.1% 1.5%
OTH334 0.9% 3.3%
LAB Majority7,085 18.2% 12.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
14%
SNP
75%
Reform
11%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Torcuil Crichton  (LAB)
County/Area:Western Isles (Scotland)
Electorate:21,235
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB6,692 49.5% 24.2%
SNP2,856 21.1% 25.9%
OTH2,254 16.7% 17.3%
Reform697 5.2% 20.5%
CON647 4.8% 3.5%
LIB382 2.8% 2.0%
Green0 0.0% 6.7%
LAB Majority3,836 28.4% 1.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
32%
SNP
44%
OTH
8%
Reform
16%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Orkney and Shetland

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Alistair Carmichael  (LIB)
County/Area:Orkney and Shetland (Scotland)
Electorate:34,236
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB11,392 55.1% 52.2%
SNP3,585 17.3% 19.6%
Green2,046 9.9% 7.2%
Reform1,586 7.7% 14.5%
LAB1,493 7.2% 3.9%
CON586 2.8% 2.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LIB Majority7,807 37.7% 32.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
97%
SNP
2%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
LAB
0%
CON
0%
OTH
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire North

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Alison Suzanne Watt Taylor  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,103
Turnout: 58.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,561 47.1% 22.4%
SNP13,228 31.9% 36.3%
Reform3,228 7.8% 21.9%
CON2,659 6.4% 4.6%
Green1,469 3.5% 9.7%
LIB1,374 3.3% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.7%
LAB Majority6,333 15.3% 13.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
14%
SNP
78%
Reform
8%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Johanna Baxter  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,574
Turnout: 57.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,583 47.4% 22.6%
SNP13,056 31.6% 36.1%
Reform2,956 7.2% 21.4%
CON2,219 5.4% 3.9%
Green1,724 4.2% 10.4%
LIB1,315 3.2% 2.3%
OTH430 1.0% 3.3%
LAB Majority6,527 15.8% 13.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
12%
SNP
77%
Reform
10%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Perth and Kinross-shire

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Pete Wishart  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:77,261
Turnout: 64.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP18,928 37.8% 48.8%
CON14,801 29.6% 35.8%
LAB9,018 18.0% 2.1%
LIB3,681 7.4% 1.8%
Reform2,970 5.9% 7.0%
OTH679 1.4% 2.0%
Green0 0.0% 2.5%
SNP Majority4,127 8.2% 13.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
82%
CON
17%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Renfrewshire East

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Blair McDougall  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,380
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,935 43.7% 21.4%
SNP13,514 26.9% 31.4%
CON8,494 16.9% 14.1%
Reform2,360 4.7% 19.1%
Green1,510 3.0% 8.5%
OTH1,264 2.5% 3.9%
LIB1,150 2.3% 1.6%
LAB Majority8,421 16.8% 10.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
21%
SNP
65%
CON
3%
Reform
11%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%

Rutherglen

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Michael Shanks  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:72,674
Turnout: 58.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,460 50.5% 24.7%
SNP12,693 29.9% 34.7%
Reform2,685 6.3% 21.8%
CON2,420 5.7% 4.2%
LIB1,714 4.0% 2.9%
OTH1,512 3.6% 4.8%
Green0 0.0% 6.9%
LAB Majority8,767 20.6% 10.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
22%
SNP
68%
Reform
10%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Stirling and Strathallan

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Chris Kane  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:76,284
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,856 33.9% 16.3%
SNP15,462 31.1% 35.0%
CON9,469 19.0% 16.2%
Reform3,145 6.3% 18.8%
LIB2,530 5.1% 3.6%
Green2,320 4.7% 8.1%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
LAB Majority1,394 2.8% 16.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
5%
SNP
84%
CON
3%
Reform
8%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%