Constituency List: Scotland



Wrexham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Andrew Steven Ranger  (LAB)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:70,269
Turnout: 57.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,836 39.2% 35.3%
CON9,888 24.5% 24.8%
Reform6,915 17.1% 20.4%
Plaid4,138 10.2% 10.2%
LIB1,777 4.4% 4.6%
Green1,339 3.3% 4.1%
OTH480 1.2% 0.5%
LAB Majority5,948 14.7% 10.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
74%
CON
18%
Reform
7%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ynys Mon (Anglesey)

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2024:Llinos Medi  (Plaid)
County/Area:Gwynedd (Wales)
Electorate:53,141
Turnout: 61.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid10,590 32.5% 32.5%
CON9,953 30.5% 30.8%
LAB7,619 23.4% 19.4%
Reform3,223 9.9% 12.9%
Green604 1.9% 2.5%
LIB439 1.3% 1.6%
OTH200 0.6% 0.3%
Plaid Majority637 2.0% 1.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
Plaid
49%
CON
42%
LAB
7%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeen North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Kirsty Blackman  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:75,925
Turnout: 55.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP14,533 34.5% 35.9%
LAB12,773 30.3% 24.0%
CON5,881 14.0% 15.3%
Reform3,781 9.0% 13.1%
LIB2,583 6.1% 4.9%
Green1,275 3.0% 3.5%
OTH1,269 3.0% 3.2%
SNP Majority1,760 4.2% 11.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
77%
LAB
19%
CON
2%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeen South

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Stephen Flynn  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:77,328
Turnout: 59.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,213 32.8% 34.2%
LAB11,455 24.7% 18.4%
CON11,300 24.4% 25.7%
Reform3,199 6.9% 11.1%
LIB2,921 6.3% 5.1%
Green1,609 3.5% 4.0%
OTH648 1.4% 1.6%
SNP Majority3,758 8.1% 8.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
70%
LAB
7%
CON
22%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeenshire North and Moray East

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Seamus Logan  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:70,058
Turnout: 54.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP13,455 35.2% 36.6%
CON12,513 32.8% 34.1%
Reform5,562 14.6% 18.8%
LAB3,876 10.1% 3.8%
LIB2,782 7.3% 5.9%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
SNP Majority942 2.5% 2.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
58%
CON
40%
Reform
2%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:Andrew Campbell Bowie  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:72,994
Turnout: 67.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,428 35.6% 37.0%
SNP13,987 28.6% 30.1%
LAB6,397 13.1% 6.7%
LIB6,342 13.0% 11.0%
Reform3,497 7.1% 11.7%
Green1,032 2.1% 2.7%
OTH275 0.6% 0.8%
CON Majority3,441 7.0% 7.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
68%
SNP
31%
LAB
0%
LIB
1%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Airdrie and Shotts

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Kenneth Stevenson  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,199
Turnout: 52.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,871 51.5% 45.1%
SNP11,324 30.9% 32.1%
Reform2,971 8.1% 11.8%
CON1,696 4.6% 5.8%
OTH1,079 2.9% 3.1%
LIB725 2.0% 1.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority7,547 20.6% 13.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
80%
SNP
20%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Alloa and Grangemouth

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Brian Leishman  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:70,680
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,039 43.8% 37.5%
SNP11,917 28.9% 30.2%
Reform3,804 9.2% 13.0%
CON3,127 7.6% 8.8%
OTH1,519 3.7% 3.9%
Green1,421 3.4% 3.9%
LIB1,151 2.8% 2.3%
MIN223 0.5% 0.5%
LAB Majority6,122 14.9% 7.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
66%
SNP
32%
Reform
1%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Angus and Perthshire Glens

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Dave Doogan  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:76,668
Turnout: 61.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,142 40.4% 41.8%
CON14,272 30.1% 31.5%
LAB6,799 14.4% 8.0%
Reform3,246 6.9% 11.1%
LIB3,156 6.7% 5.4%
OTH733 1.5% 1.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority4,870 10.3% 10.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
76%
CON
24%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Stephen Patrick Gethins  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:76,149
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,581 35.3% 36.6%
LAB14,722 33.4% 27.0%
CON6,841 15.5% 16.8%
Reform3,800 8.6% 12.7%
LIB2,249 5.1% 4.1%
OTH924 2.1% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority859 1.9% 9.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
73%
LAB
24%
CON
2%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Brendan O'Hara  (SNP)
County/Area:Argyll and Bute (Scotland)
Electorate:71,756
Turnout: 62.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,582 34.7% 36.2%
CON9,350 20.8% 22.3%
LAB8,585 19.1% 12.8%
LIB7,359 16.4% 14.5%
Reform3,045 6.8% 11.4%
OTH941 2.1% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
SNP Majority6,232 13.9% 13.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
81%
CON
14%
LAB
2%
LIB
2%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Elaine Stewart  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:70,340
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,930 36.5% 30.1%
SNP10,776 26.3% 27.6%
CON9,247 22.6% 23.8%
Reform3,544 8.7% 12.4%
LIB1,081 2.6% 2.1%
Green886 2.2% 2.6%
OTH472 1.2% 1.3%
LAB Majority4,154 10.1% 2.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
48%
SNP
35%
CON
16%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Alan Gemmell  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:69,413
Turnout: 59.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,091 43.7% 37.3%
SNP11,222 27.1% 28.3%
CON6,147 14.8% 16.0%
Reform3,420 8.3% 12.0%
Green1,039 2.5% 3.0%
LIB983 2.4% 1.9%
OTH517 1.2% 1.4%
LAB Majority6,869 16.6% 9.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
73%
SNP
24%
CON
2%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Ayrshire North and Arran

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Irene Campbell  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:72,176
Turnout: 58.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,821 39.8% 33.5%
SNP13,270 31.4% 32.6%
CON5,954 14.1% 15.3%
Reform3,415 8.1% 11.8%
Green1,327 3.1% 3.6%
LIB1,005 2.4% 1.9%
OTH470 1.1% 1.3%
LAB Majority3,551 8.4% 0.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
50%
SNP
48%
CON
2%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Bathgate and Linlithgow

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Kirsteen Sullivan  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,185
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,774 47.0% 40.7%
SNP11,451 27.2% 28.5%
Reform3,524 8.4% 12.4%
CON3,144 7.5% 8.8%
LIB2,171 5.2% 4.2%
Green1,390 3.3% 3.8%
OTH611 1.5% 1.6%
LAB Majority8,323 19.8% 12.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
79%
SNP
21%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:John Lamont  (CON)
County/Area:Borders (Scotland)
Electorate:76,438
Turnout: 60.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,872 40.5% 41.9%
SNP12,273 26.4% 27.8%
LAB6,311 13.6% 7.2%
LIB3,686 7.9% 6.4%
Reform3,340 7.2% 11.5%
Green1,526 3.3% 3.8%
OTH550 1.2% 1.4%
CON Majority6,599 14.2% 14.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
83%
SNP
16%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Jamie Stone  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:74,627
Turnout: 61.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,736 49.4% 47.4%
SNP12,247 26.6% 27.8%
LAB3,409 7.4% 2.7%
Reform3,360 7.3% 11.0%
CON1,860 4.0% 5.2%
Green1,641 3.6% 4.0%
OTH795 1.7% 1.9%
LIB Majority10,489 22.8% 19.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
89%
SNP
11%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Coatbridge and Bellshill

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Frank McNally  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,667
Turnout: 53.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,291 49.8% 43.5%
SNP12,947 33.4% 34.6%
Reform2,601 6.7% 10.4%
CON1,382 3.6% 4.7%
Green1,229 3.2% 3.6%
LIB671 1.7% 1.4%
OTH610 1.6% 1.7%
LAB Majority6,344 16.4% 8.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
72%
SNP
28%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Melanie Ward  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:71,845
Turnout: 56.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,662 45.7% 39.4%
SNP11,414 28.0% 29.2%
CON3,203 7.8% 9.1%
Reform3,128 7.7% 11.6%
LIB1,593 3.9% 3.1%
Green1,556 3.8% 4.3%
OTH1,258 3.1% 3.3%
LAB Majority7,248 17.8% 10.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
73%
SNP
26%
CON
0%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Katrina Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,350
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,513 45.2% 38.9%
SNP14,369 35.1% 36.3%
Reform3,167 7.7% 11.6%
CON1,939 4.7% 5.9%
Green1,694 4.1% 4.6%
LIB1,294 3.2% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LAB Majority4,144 10.1% 2.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
56%
SNP
44%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfries and Galloway

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:John Cooper  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:78,541
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON13,527 29.6% 30.8%
SNP12,597 27.5% 28.8%
LAB11,767 25.7% 19.4%
Reform4,313 9.4% 13.4%
LIB2,092 4.6% 3.7%
Green1,249 2.7% 3.2%
OTH230 0.5% 0.7%
CON Majority930 2.0% 2.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
49%
SNP
39%
LAB
10%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:David Mundell  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:71,900
Turnout: 61.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,999 33.9% 35.2%
SNP10,757 24.3% 25.7%
LAB10,140 22.9% 16.6%
Reform3,822 8.6% 12.8%
LIB2,800 6.3% 5.1%
Green1,488 3.4% 3.9%
OTH208 0.5% 0.7%
CON Majority4,242 9.6% 9.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
75%
SNP
21%
LAB
4%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dunbartonshire Mid

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Susan Murray  (LIB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,596
Turnout: 71.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,349 42.4% 40.4%
SNP12,676 24.0% 25.5%
LAB10,993 20.8% 14.5%
CON2,452 4.6% 6.1%
Reform2,099 4.0% 8.6%
Green1,720 3.3% 3.8%
OTH449 0.9% 1.1%
LIB Majority9,673 18.3% 14.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
81%
SNP
16%
LAB
2%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dunbartonshire West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Douglas McAllister  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,074
Turnout: 57.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,312 48.8% 42.5%
SNP13,302 33.6% 34.8%
Reform2,770 7.0% 10.7%
Green1,496 3.8% 4.2%
CON1,474 3.7% 4.9%
LIB839 2.1% 1.7%
OTH391 1.0% 1.2%
LAB Majority6,010 15.2% 7.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
70%
SNP
30%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Dundee Central

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Chris Law  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:74,221
Turnout: 52.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,544 40.0% 41.4%
LAB14,869 38.3% 31.9%
LIB2,402 6.2% 5.0%
Reform2,363 6.1% 10.2%
OTH1,909 4.9% 5.1%
CON1,569 4.0% 5.3%
MIN192 0.5% 0.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority675 1.7% 9.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
72%
LAB
27%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
CON
0%
MIN
0%
Green
0%

Dunfermline and Dollar

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Graeme Downie  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:72,824
Turnout: 61.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,336 45.7% 39.3%
SNP12,095 27.2% 28.6%
CON3,297 7.4% 8.7%
LIB3,181 7.1% 5.8%
Reform2,887 6.5% 10.8%
Green2,078 4.7% 5.2%
OTH663 1.5% 1.7%
LAB Majority8,241 18.5% 10.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
SNP
24%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

East Kilbride and Strathaven

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Joani Reid  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:76,415
Turnout: 61.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,682 48.6% 42.2%
SNP13,625 29.2% 30.4%
CON3,547 7.6% 8.8%
Reform3,377 7.2% 11.0%
Green1,811 3.9% 4.3%
LIB1,074 2.3% 1.9%
OTH591 1.3% 1.4%
LAB Majority9,057 19.4% 11.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
SNP
22%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Chris Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:76,188
Turnout: 59.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,790 41.2% 34.9%
SNP15,075 33.1% 34.4%
Green4,669 10.2% 10.7%
CON2,598 5.7% 6.9%
Reform2,129 4.7% 8.6%
LIB1,949 4.3% 3.4%
OTH365 0.8% 1.0%
LAB Majority3,715 8.2% 0.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
52%
SNP
48%
Green
0%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh North and Leith

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Tracy Gilbert  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:78,411
Turnout: 63.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,805 42.1% 35.7%
SNP13,537 27.4% 28.8%
Green5,417 10.9% 11.5%
LIB3,879 7.8% 6.3%
CON3,254 6.6% 7.9%
Reform1,818 3.7% 8.0%
OTH765 1.5% 1.7%
LAB Majority7,268 14.7% 6.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
66%
SNP
33%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Ian Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,839
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,976 53.3% 47.0%
SNP7,725 16.5% 17.8%
Green4,270 9.1% 9.6%
CON4,001 8.5% 9.8%
LIB2,746 5.9% 4.7%
Reform1,845 3.9% 8.1%
OTH1,263 2.7% 2.9%
LAB Majority17,251 36.8% 29.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
SNP
3%
Green
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh South West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Scott Arthur  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,784
Turnout: 61.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,663 40.9% 34.5%
SNP12,446 27.3% 28.6%
CON5,558 12.2% 13.5%
Green3,450 7.6% 8.1%
LIB3,014 6.6% 5.3%
Reform2,087 4.6% 8.8%
OTH446 1.0% 1.2%
LAB Majority6,217 13.6% 5.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
65%
SNP
33%
CON
2%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Edinburgh West

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Christine Anne Jardine  (LIB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:76,490
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB26,645 50.8% 48.8%
SNP10,175 19.4% 20.9%
LAB7,854 15.0% 8.6%
CON2,897 5.5% 7.0%
Reform2,209 4.2% 8.8%
Green2,100 4.0% 4.6%
OTH591 1.1% 1.3%
LIB Majority16,470 31.4% 28.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
95%
SNP
4%
LAB
0%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Falkirk

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Euan Stainbank  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:73,584
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,343 43.0% 36.7%
SNP13,347 31.3% 32.5%
CON3,576 8.4% 9.6%
Reform3,375 7.9% 11.7%
Green1,711 4.0% 4.5%
OTH1,181 2.8% 2.9%
LIB1,092 2.6% 2.1%
LAB Majority4,996 11.7% 4.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
59%
SNP
40%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%

Fife North East

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Wendy Chamberlain  (LIB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:69,762
Turnout: 61.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB23,384 54.7% 52.8%
SNP9,905 23.2% 24.6%
LAB4,026 9.4% 3.5%
Reform2,094 4.9% 9.3%
CON1,666 3.9% 5.3%
Green1,653 3.9% 4.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LIB Majority13,479 31.5% 28.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
95%
SNP
4%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:John Grady  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,988
Turnout: 51.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,543 43.9% 37.5%
SNP11,759 33.2% 34.4%
Green2,727 7.7% 8.2%
Reform2,371 6.7% 10.5%
CON1,707 4.8% 6.0%
LIB872 2.5% 2.0%
OTH466 1.3% 1.5%
LAB Majority3,784 10.7% 3.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
60%
SNP
40%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Martin Rhodes  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:67,579
Turnout: 51.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,655 42.2% 35.9%
SNP11,116 32.0% 33.3%
Green4,233 12.2% 12.7%
Reform1,655 4.8% 8.6%
CON1,366 3.9% 5.1%
LIB1,142 3.3% 2.6%
OTH572 1.6% 1.8%
LAB Majority3,539 10.2% 2.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
57%
SNP
43%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow North East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Maureen Burke  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,610
Turnout: 47.0%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,639 45.9% 39.5%
SNP11,002 32.3% 33.5%
Green2,471 7.2% 7.7%
Reform2,272 6.7% 10.4%
CON1,182 3.5% 4.6%
OTH933 2.7% 2.9%
LIB592 1.7% 1.4%
LAB Majority4,637 13.6% 6.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
67%
SNP
33%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%

Glasgow South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Gordon McKee  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,219
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,696 41.8% 35.4%
SNP13,542 32.0% 33.2%
Green5,554 13.1% 13.6%
Reform1,736 4.1% 7.9%
CON1,617 3.8% 5.0%
LIB1,316 3.1% 2.5%
OTH917 2.2% 2.3%
LAB Majority4,154 9.8% 2.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
55%
SNP
44%
Green
1%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow South West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Zubir Ahmed  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,871
Turnout: 51.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,552 43.6% 37.3%
SNP12,267 34.4% 35.6%
Green2,727 7.6% 8.1%
Reform2,236 6.3% 10.1%
CON1,387 3.9% 5.1%
LIB958 2.7% 2.2%
OTH542 1.5% 1.7%
LAB Majority3,285 9.2% 1.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
55%
SNP
45%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glasgow West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Patricia Ferguson  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,028
Turnout: 57.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,621 46.7% 40.3%
SNP12,175 30.5% 31.8%
Green3,662 9.2% 9.6%
Reform2,098 5.3% 9.1%
CON1,720 4.3% 5.5%
LIB1,316 3.3% 2.7%
OTH310 0.8% 0.9%
LAB Majority6,446 16.2% 8.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
72%
SNP
28%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Glenrothes and Mid Fife

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Richard Baker  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:70,655
Turnout: 51.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,994 44.3% 37.9%
SNP13,040 36.1% 37.4%
Reform3,528 9.8% 13.7%
CON1,973 5.5% 6.7%
LIB1,604 4.4% 3.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LAB Majority2,954 8.2% 0.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
53%
SNP
46%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Gordon and Buchan

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:Harriet Cross  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:69,605
Turnout: 63.0%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,418 32.9% 34.3%
SNP13,540 30.9% 32.4%
LIB7,307 16.7% 14.7%
LAB4,686 10.7% 4.4%
Reform3,897 8.9% 13.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
CON Majority878 2.0% 1.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
56%
SNP
41%
LIB
1%
LAB
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Hamilton and Clyde Valley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Imogen Walker  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:75,480
Turnout: 55.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,020 49.9% 43.6%
SNP11,548 27.4% 28.7%
CON4,589 10.9% 12.1%
Reform3,299 7.8% 11.7%
LIB1,511 3.6% 2.9%
OTH117 0.3% 0.4%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority9,472 22.5% 14.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
84%
SNP
16%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Martin McCluskey  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,124
Turnout: 57.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,931 46.9% 40.6%
SNP12,560 31.1% 32.4%
CON2,863 7.1% 8.3%
Reform2,476 6.1% 10.0%
LIB1,259 3.1% 2.5%
Green1,173 2.9% 3.4%
OTH1,088 2.7% 2.9%
LAB Majority6,371 15.8% 8.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
69%
SNP
31%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Angus MacDonald  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:77,927
Turnout: 61.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB18,159 37.8% 35.8%
SNP15,999 33.3% 34.8%
LAB6,246 13.0% 6.7%
Reform2,934 6.1% 10.7%
CON2,502 5.2% 6.6%
Green2,038 4.2% 4.8%
OTH178 0.4% 0.6%
LIB Majority2,160 4.5% 1.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
52%
SNP
48%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Kilmarnock and Loudoun

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Lillian Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:74,628
Turnout: 56.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,055 44.9% 38.5%
SNP13,936 32.8% 34.0%
CON3,527 8.3% 9.5%
Reform3,472 8.2% 11.9%
Green1,237 2.9% 3.4%
LIB850 2.0% 1.6%
OTH401 0.9% 1.1%
LAB Majority5,119 12.1% 4.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
61%
SNP
38%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Livingston

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Gregor Poynton  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:78,043
Turnout: 57.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,324 40.9% 34.5%
SNP14,796 33.0% 34.3%
Reform3,977 8.9% 12.9%
CON3,469 7.7% 9.0%
LIB2,025 4.5% 3.6%
Green1,704 3.8% 4.3%
OTH545 1.2% 1.4%
LAB Majority3,528 7.9% 0.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
50%
SNP
49%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Lothian East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Douglas Alexander  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:75,456
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,555 49.0% 42.6%
SNP10,290 21.4% 22.7%
CON5,535 11.5% 12.8%
Reform3,039 6.3% 10.4%
LIB2,649 5.5% 4.4%
Green2,477 5.1% 5.6%
OTH557 1.2% 1.3%
LAB Majority13,265 27.6% 19.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
90%
SNP
9%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Midlothian

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Kirsty McNeill  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,916
Turnout: 59.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,480 48.6% 42.3%
SNP13,313 30.1% 31.5%
Reform3,276 7.4% 11.5%
CON3,248 7.4% 8.7%
LIB2,589 5.9% 4.7%
OTH259 0.6% 0.8%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority8,167 18.5% 10.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
SNP
23%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Graham Leadbitter  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:77,072
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP14,961 32.1% 33.6%
CON13,960 30.0% 31.4%
LAB8,259 17.7% 11.4%
LIB3,785 8.1% 6.6%
Reform3,490 7.5% 11.9%
Green1,676 3.6% 4.1%
OTH423 0.9% 1.1%
SNP Majority1,001 2.2% 2.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
56%
CON
42%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Pamela Nash  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,777
Turnout: 54.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,168 49.1% 42.8%
SNP12,083 31.0% 32.2%
Reform3,004 7.7% 11.4%
CON2,415 6.2% 7.4%
Green1,200 3.1% 3.5%
LIB822 2.1% 1.7%
OTH334 0.9% 1.0%
LAB Majority7,085 18.2% 10.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
75%
SNP
24%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Torcuil Crichton  (LAB)
County/Area:Western Isles (Scotland)
Electorate:21,235
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB6,692 49.5% 43.1%
SNP2,856 21.1% 22.4%
OTH2,254 16.7% 16.8%
Reform697 5.2% 9.0%
CON647 4.8% 6.0%
LIB382 2.8% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority3,836 28.4% 20.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
90%
SNP
9%
OTH
1%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Orkney and Shetland

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Alistair Carmichael  (LIB)
County/Area:Orkney and Shetland (Scotland)
Electorate:34,236
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB11,392 55.1% 53.1%
SNP3,585 17.3% 18.5%
Green2,046 9.9% 10.3%
Reform1,586 7.7% 11.3%
LAB1,493 7.2% 2.6%
CON586 2.8% 4.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LIB Majority7,807 37.7% 34.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
98%
SNP
2%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
LAB
0%
CON
0%
OTH
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Alison Suzanne Watt Taylor  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,103
Turnout: 58.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,561 47.1% 40.8%
SNP13,228 31.9% 33.1%
Reform3,228 7.8% 11.6%
CON2,659 6.4% 7.6%
Green1,469 3.5% 4.0%
LIB1,374 3.3% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LAB Majority6,333 15.3% 7.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
69%
SNP
30%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Johanna Baxter  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,574
Turnout: 57.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,583 47.4% 41.1%
SNP13,056 31.6% 32.9%
Reform2,956 7.2% 11.0%
CON2,219 5.4% 6.6%
Green1,724 4.2% 4.6%
LIB1,315 3.2% 2.6%
OTH430 1.0% 1.2%
LAB Majority6,527 15.8% 8.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
71%
SNP
29%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Perth and Kinross-shire

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Pete Wishart  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:77,261
Turnout: 64.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP18,928 37.8% 39.2%
CON14,801 29.6% 30.9%
LAB9,018 18.0% 11.7%
LIB3,681 7.4% 5.9%
Reform2,970 5.9% 10.2%
OTH679 1.4% 1.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
SNP Majority4,127 8.2% 8.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
72%
CON
27%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Renfrewshire East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Blair McDougall  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,380
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,935 43.7% 37.3%
SNP13,514 26.9% 28.1%
CON8,494 16.9% 18.1%
Reform2,360 4.7% 8.4%
Green1,510 3.0% 3.5%
OTH1,264 2.5% 2.7%
LIB1,150 2.3% 1.8%
LAB Majority8,421 16.8% 9.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
73%
SNP
24%
CON
3%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%

Rutherglen

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Michael Shanks  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:72,674
Turnout: 58.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,460 50.5% 44.2%
SNP12,693 29.9% 31.2%
Reform2,685 6.3% 10.3%
CON2,420 5.7% 6.9%
LIB1,714 4.0% 3.3%
OTH1,512 3.6% 3.7%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority8,767 20.6% 13.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
79%
SNP
21%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Stirling and Strathallan

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Chris Kane  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:76,284
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,856 33.9% 27.5%
SNP15,462 31.1% 32.4%
CON9,469 19.0% 20.3%
Reform3,145 6.3% 10.4%
LIB2,530 5.1% 4.1%
Green2,320 4.7% 5.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LAB Majority1,394 2.8% 4.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
32%
SNP
59%
CON
8%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%