Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Labour majority 6

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	376	35.0%	3	176	-173	203
LAB	33.0%	197	36.0%	137	6	+131	328
LIB	11.8%	8	9.0%	32	2	+30	38
Reform	2.1%	0	11.0%	1	0	+1	1
Green	2.8%	1	3.0%	1	0	+1	2
SNP	4.0%	48	4.6%	8	0	+8	56
PlaidC	0.5%	2	0.6%	1	0	+1	3
Other	1.1%	0	0.8%	1	0	+1	1
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Mills
Bangor Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Barnsley South	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Fell
Basingstoke	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Maria Miller
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Brendan Clarke-Smith
Beckenham and Penge	Bromley	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Stewart
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	SNP	gain from	CON	John Lamont
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Bexley	LAB	gain from	CON	David Evennett
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Bishop Auckland	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Dehenna Davison
Blackpool North and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Maynard
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Fletcher
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bolton West	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Green
Bournemouth East	Dorset	LAB	gain from	CON	Tobias Ellwood
Bournemouth West	Dorset	LAB	gain from	CON	Conor Burns
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Bristol Central	Bristol area	Green	gain from	LAB	Thangam Debbonaire
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Darren Henry
Buckingham and Bletchley	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Antony Higginbotham
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Caerfyrddin (Carmarthen)	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	George Eustice
Cambridgeshire South	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anthony Browne
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Elliot Colburn
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Cheshire Mid	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Chippenham	Wiltshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Michelle Donelan
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Clwyd East	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Clwyd North	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	David Jones
Colchester	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Will Quince
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Corby and East Northamptonshire	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Pursglove
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Cotswolds South	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Geoffrey Clifton-Brown
Crawley	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Henry Smith
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kieran Mullan
Darlington	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Gibson
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Derbyshire Mid	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Pauline Latham
Derbyshire South	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Heather Wheeler
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Selaine Saxby
Didcot and Wantage	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	David Johnston
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick Fletcher
Doncaster North	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ed Miliband
Dorking and Horley	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Paul Beresford
Dover and Deal	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Natalie Elphicke
Dudley	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Marco Longhi
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Eastbourne	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Ansell
Eastleigh	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Paul Holmes
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham and Chislehurst	Greenwich	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Erewash	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Maggie Throup
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Jack Lopresti
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Gillingham and Rainham	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Rehman Chishti
Glastonbury and Somerton	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	David Warburton
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Graham
Godalming and Ash	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Gordon and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Gravesham	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Adam Holloway
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Lia Nici
Guildford	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Angela Richardson
Halesowen	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	James Morris
Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Harrow East	Harrow	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Blackman
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Sally-Ann Hart
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	William Wragg
Hemel Hempstead	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mike Penning
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Henley and Thame	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	John Howell
Hexham	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Guy Opperman
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Hitchin	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Bim Afolami
Hull West and Haltemprice	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Hunt
Islington North	Islington	MIN	gain from	LAB	Jeremy Corbyn
Kensington and Bayswater	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Kettering	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Philip Hollobone
Lancaster and Wyre	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Leeds South West and Morley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Leicestershire North West	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Bridgen
Leigh and Atherton	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Hunt
Lowestoft	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous
Macclesfield	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Rutley
Mansfield	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Bradley
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Clarke
Milton Keynes Central	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Milton Keynes North	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Everitt
Monmouthshire	Gwent	LAB	gain from	CON	David Davies
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aaron Bell
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Northampton South	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Lewer
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Marcus Jones
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Ossett and Denby Dale	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Imran Ahmad-Khan
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Crabb
Pendle and Clitheroe	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Stephenson
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Miriam Cates
Penrith and Solway	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Jenkinson
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Plymouth Moor View	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Johnny Mercer
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Tony Lloyd
Rochester and Strood	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Kelly Tolhurst
Rossendale and Darwen	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jake Berry
Rugby	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Pawsey
Rushcliffe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ruth Edwards
Scarborough and Whitby	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Goodwill
Scunthorpe	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Holly Mumby-Croft
Selby	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Adams
Sherwood Forest	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Spencer
Shipley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Philip Davies
Shrewsbury	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Daniel Kawczynski
South Ribble	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Katherine Fletcher
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Southend East and Rochford	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	James Duddridge
Southport	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Damien Moore
Spen Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Stafford	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Theo Clarke
Stevenage	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen McPartland
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Gullis
Stratford-on-Avon	Warwickshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Nadhim Zahawi
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Siobhan Baillie
Sussex Mid	West Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Mims Davies
Swindon North	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Justin Tomlinson
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Tamworth	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Christopher Pincher
Taunton and Wellington	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Rebecca Pow
Telford	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lucy Allan
Thanet East	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Mackinlay
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Shaun Bailey
Tiverton and Minehead	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Hillingdon	LAB	gain from	CON	Boris Johnson
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wakefield and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Walsall and Bloxwich	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Eddie Hughes
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
Wellingborough and Rushden	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Bone
Wells and Mendip Hills	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
Welwyn Hatfield	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Grant Shapps
West Bromwich	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicola Richards
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Weston-super-Mare	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	John Penrose
Whitehaven and Workington	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Trudy Harrison
Wimbledon	Merton	LIB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Woking	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Lord
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Stevenson
Wolverhampton West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Worcester	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Walker
Worthing East and Shoreham	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Tim Loughton
Worthing West	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Bottomley
Wrexham	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Sarah Atherton
Yeovil	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Marcus Fysh
Ynys Mon (Anglesey)	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	CON	Virginia Crosbie
York Outer	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Julian Sturdy

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Labour majority 6

List of predicted seat changes