Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 16 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	378	37.0%	0	68	-68	310
LAB	33.0%	195	36.0%	58	0	+58	253
LIB	11.8%	8	10.0%	6	2	+4	12
Reform	2.1%	0	2.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	4.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.3%	6	0	+6	54
PlaidC	0.5%	2	0.5%	0	0	+0	2
Other	1.1%	0	6.2%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Altrincham and Sale West	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Brady
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Batley and Hipperholme	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Beckenham	Bromley	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Stewart
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Darren Henry
Burnley and Bacup	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Antony Higginbotham
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Cambridgeshire South	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anthony Browne
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Elliot Colburn
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	David Jones
Croydon East	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Darlington	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Gibson
Delyn	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North West	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Holden
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham and Chislehurst	Greenwich	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Finchley and Muswell Hill	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Mike Freer
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Gordon and Moray South	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Halifax	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Sally-Ann Hart
Hendon and Golders Green	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
High Barnet and Mill Hill	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
High Wycombe	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Steve Baker
Hull East	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hull West and Hessle	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Hunt
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Lancaster	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds East	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Leigh South and Atherton	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Milton Keynes	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Pennine Moors West	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jake Berry
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Redcar and Eston	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Southport	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Damien Moore
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Siobhan Baillie
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Truro and Falmouth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	Cherilyn Mackrory
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dean Russell
Whitley Bay and Cramlington	Newcastle area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Wimbledon	Merton	LIB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Wolverhampton West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Wrexham	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Sarah Atherton
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	CON	Virginia Crosbie

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 16 of majority

List of predicted seat changes