Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Labour short 34 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	376	37.0%	5	145	-140	236
LAB	33.0%	197	36.0%	102	7	+95	292
LIB	11.8%	8	10.0%	36	2	+34	42
Reform	2.1%	0	2.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	4.0%	1	0	+1	2
SNP	4.0%	48	4.6%	8	0	+8	56
PlaidC	0.5%	2	0.7%	1	0	+1	3
Other	1.1%	0	5.8%	1	0	+1	1
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Altrincham and Sale West	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Brady
Bangor Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Barnsley South	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Fell
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Brendan Clarke-Smith
Beckenham and Penge	Bromley	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Stewart
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	SNP	gain from	CON	John Lamont
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Bishop Auckland	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Dehenna Davison
Blackpool North and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Maynard
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bolton West	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Green
Bournemouth East	Dorset	LAB	gain from	CON	Tobias Ellwood
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Bristol Central	Bristol area	Green	gain from	LAB	Thangam Debbonaire
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Darren Henry
Buckingham and Bletchley	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Caerfyrddin (Carmarthen)	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	George Eustice
Cambridgeshire South	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anthony Browne
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Elliot Colburn
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Chelsea and Fulham	Hammersmith and Fulham	LAB	gain from	CON	Greg Hands
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chesham and Amersham	Buckinghamshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Cheryl Gillan
Cheshire Mid	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Chippenham	Wiltshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Michelle Donelan
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Cities of London and Westminster	City of Westminster	LAB	gain from	CON	Nickie Aiken
Clwyd East	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Clwyd North	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	David Jones
Colchester	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Will Quince
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Corby and East Northamptonshire	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Pursglove
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Cotswolds South	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Geoffrey Clifton-Brown
Crawley	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Henry Smith
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kieran Mullan
Croydon East	Croydon	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Jones
Darlington	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Gibson
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Selaine Saxby
Didcot and Wantage	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	David Johnston
Dorking and Horley	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Paul Beresford
Dorset West	Dorset	LIB	gain from	CON	Chris Loder
Dover and Deal	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Natalie Elphicke
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Eastbourne	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Ansell
Eastleigh	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Paul Holmes
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham and Chislehurst	Greenwich	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Erewash	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Maggie Throup
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Jack Lopresti
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Glastonbury and Somerton	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	David Warburton
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Graham
Godalming and Ash	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Gordon and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Guildford	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Angela Richardson
Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Harrow East	Harrow	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Blackman
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Sally-Ann Hart
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	William Wragg
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Henley and Thame	Oxfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	John Howell
Hexham	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Guy Opperman
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Hitchin	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Bim Afolami
Hull East	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Hunt
Islington North	Islington	MIN	gain from	LAB	Jeremy Corbyn
Kensington and Bayswater	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Lancaster and Wyre	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Leeds South West and Morley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Leigh and Atherton	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Hunt
Macclesfield	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Rutley
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Clarke
Milton Keynes Central	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Milton Keynes North	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Everitt
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aaron Bell
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Ossett and Denby Dale	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Imran Ahmad-Khan
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Crabb
Penrith and Solway	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Jenkinson
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Tony Lloyd
Rossendale and Darwen	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jake Berry
Rugby	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Pawsey
Rushcliffe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ruth Edwards
Scunthorpe	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Holly Mumby-Croft
Selby	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Adams
Shipley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Philip Davies
Shrewsbury	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Daniel Kawczynski
Shropshire North	Shropshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Owen Paterson
South Ribble	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Katherine Fletcher
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Southport	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Damien Moore
Spen Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Stafford	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Theo Clarke
Stevenage	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen McPartland
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Gullis
Stratford-on-Avon	Warwickshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Nadhim Zahawi
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Siobhan Baillie
Sussex Mid	West Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Mims Davies
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Taunton and Wellington	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Rebecca Pow
Telford	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lucy Allan
Thanet East	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Mackinlay
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Luke Hall
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Shaun Bailey
Tiverton and Minehead	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Hillingdon	LAB	gain from	CON	Boris Johnson
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wakefield and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
Wellingborough and Rushden	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Bone
Wells and Mendip Hills	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
Welwyn Hatfield	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Grant Shapps
West Bromwich	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicola Richards
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	LIB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Whitehaven and Workington	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Trudy Harrison
Wimbledon	Merton	LIB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Woking	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Lord
Wokingham	Berkshire	LIB	gain from	CON	John Redwood
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Stevenson
Wolverhampton West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Worcester	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Walker
Worthing East and Shoreham	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Tim Loughton
Yeovil	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	Marcus Fysh
York Outer	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Julian Sturdy

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Labour short 34 of majority

List of predicted seat changes