Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 38

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	376	43.0%	2	34	-32	344
LAB	33.0%	197	38.0%	28	0	+28	225
LIB	11.8%	8	4.0%	0	4	-4	4
Brexit	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	5.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.6%	8	0	+8	56
PlaidC	0.5%	2	0.5%	0	0	+0	2
Other	1.1%	0	4.9%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Bangor Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Beckenham and Penge	Bromley	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Stewart
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	SNP	gain from	CON	John Lamont
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Antony Higginbotham
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham and Chislehurst	Greenwich	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Gordon and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Keighley and Ilkley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kensington and Bayswater	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Leigh and Atherton	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Richmond Park	Richmond upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Sarah Olney
St Albans	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Daisy Cooper
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Wakefield and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dean Russell
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Wolverhampton West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Wycombe	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Steve Baker

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 38

List of predicted seat changes