The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 25.1% | 6 | 18.0% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
LAB | 18.6% | 1 | 32.5% | 20 | 0 | +20 | 21 |
LIB | 9.5% | 2 | 6.3% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Reform | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 1.0% | 0 | 2.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 45.0% | 48 | 36.3% | 1 | 21 | -20 | 28 |
Other | 0.3% | 0 | 4.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This prediction is based on the proposed new 2023 constituency boundaries (650 seats).
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Seat | County/Area | Predicted Change | MP as at 2019 | ||
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | Grampian | SNP | gain from | CON | David Duguid |
Airdrie and Shotts | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Neil Gray |
Coatbridge and Bellshill | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Steven Bonnar |
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | Fife | LAB | gain from | SNP | Neale Hanvey |
Dunfermline and Dollar | Fife | LAB | gain from | SNP | Douglas Chapman |
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Tommy Sheppard |
Edinburgh North and Leith | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Deidre Brock |
Fife North East | Fife | LIB | gain from | SNP | Unknown (changed seat) |
Glasgow East | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | David Linden |
Glasgow North | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Patrick Grady |
Glasgow North East | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Anne McLaughlin |
Glasgow South | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Stewart McDonald |
Glasgow South West | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Chris Stephens |
Glasgow West | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Carol Monaghan |
Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Fife | LAB | gain from | SNP | Peter Grant |
Hamilton and Clyde Valley | Ayrshire and Lanark | LAB | gain from | SNP | Angela Crawley |
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Ronnie Cowan |
Lothian East | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Kenny MacAskill |
Midlothian | Edinburgh area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Owen Thompson |
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | Glasgow area | LAB | gain from | SNP | Marion Fellows |
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Western Isles | LAB | gain from | SNP | Angus MacNeil |
Rutherglen | Ayrshire and Lanark | LAB | gain from | SNP | Margaret Ferrier |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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