Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 134

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.0%	299	43.0%	68	0	+68	367
LAB	29.7%	223	27.0%	9	68	-59	164
LIB	23.6%	54	8.0%	0	54	-54	0
SNP	1.7%	6	4.2%	45	0	+45	51
PlaidC	0.6%	2	0.6%	1	1	+0	2
Other	7.5%	0	17.2%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		16		0	0	+0	16

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2010
Aberdeen North	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank Doran
Aberdeen South	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LAB	Anne Begg
Airdrie and Coatbridge South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Pamela Nash
Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South	Argyll and Bute	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alan Reid
Ayr North, Troon and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Sandra Osborne
Ayrshire Central and Arran	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Katy Clark
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bath	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Don Foster
Battersea and Vauxhall	Wandsworth	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Bermondsey and South Bank	Southwark	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Hughes
Berwick, Alnwick and Morpeth	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LIB	Alan Beith
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	SNP	gain from	LIB	Michael Moore
Bideford, Bude and Launceston	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Unknown (changed seat)
Birmingham Erdington and Castle Bromwich	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jack Dromey
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Hemming
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Bodmin and St Austell	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Gilbert
Bolton West	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Julie Hilling
Bradford East and Horsforth	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LIB	David Ward
Brecon, Radnor and Montgomery	Powys	CON	gain from	LIB	Roger Williams
Bristol West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Williams
Caerfyrddin	Dyfed	CON	gain from	Plaid	Jonathan Edwards
Caithness, Sutherland, Ross and Cromarty	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	John Thurso
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Julian Huppert
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LIB	Jenny Willott
Cardiff North and Gwent South West	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Carshalton and Coulsdon	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Ceredigion and Pembrokeshire North	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	LIB	Mark Williams
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Mark Hunter
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LIB	Martin Horwood
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Unknown (changed seat)
Chorley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lindsay Hoyle
Clackmannanshire and Dunfermline West	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon Banks
Clydesdale and Larkhall	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Jimmy Hood
Colchester	Essex	CON	gain from	LIB	Bob Russell
Croydon East	Croydon	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Cumbernauld and Coatbridge North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tom Clarke
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Deeside and Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LIB	Sir Robert Smith
Derby East	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Beckett
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Natascha Engel
Devon North	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Nick Harvey
Dumfries	Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Dunbartonshire East and Kilsyth	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Dunbartonshire West and Bearsden North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gemma Doyle
Dundee West	Tayside	SNP	gain from	LAB	James McGovern
Dunfermline East	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Thomas Docherty
East Kilbride and Rutherglen	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Michael McCann
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Fiona O'Donnell
Eastbourne	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Lloyd
Eastleigh	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Christopher Huhne
Edinburgh Central and Leith	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Mark Lazarowicz
Edinburgh South East	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ian Murray
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alistair Darling
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Michael Crockart
Enfield North	Enfield	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Exeter	Devon	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Bradshaw
Falkirk	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Eric Joyce
Fife East	Fife	SNP	gain from	LIB	Sir Menzies Campbell
Flint and Denbighshire North	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Ruane
Galloway, Ayr South and Carrick	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	LAB	Russell Brown
Glasgow Central	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ann McKechin
Glasgow East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Margaret Curran
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Willie Bain
Glasgow North West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	John Robertson
Glasgow South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tom Harris
Glasgow South West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ian Davidson
Gloucestershire South East	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Steve Webb
Gower and Swansea West	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LIB	Unknown (changed seat)
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Linda Riordan
Hamilton	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tom Greatrex
Hammersmith and Acton	Hammersmith and Fulham	CON	gain from	LAB	Andy Slaughter
Hampstead and Kilburn	Camden	CON	gain from	LAB	Glenda Jackson
Hampton	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Vincent Cable
Harrow West	Harrow	CON	gain from	LAB	Gareth Thomas
Hazel Grove and Poynton	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew Stunell
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LAB	gain from	LIB	Lynne Featherstone
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	David Cairns
Inverness and Skye	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Danny Alexander
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Cathy Jamieson
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Edward Davey
Kirkcaldy and Glenrothes	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Lindsay Roy
Leeds North	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Unknown (new seat)
Linlithgow and Falkirk East	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Michael Connarty
Livingston	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Graeme Morrice
Luton North and Dunstable	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Kelvin Hopkins
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Leech
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Blenkinsop
Midlothian and Tweeddale	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	David Hamilton
Motherwell, Wishaw and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank Roy
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Norwich South	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Simon Wright
Nottingham North and Hucknall	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Graham Allen
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Phil Woolas
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Unknown (changed seat)
Paisley and Renfrew	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Douglas Alexander
Plymouth Devonport	Devon	CON	gain from	LAB	Alison Seabeck
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	LIB	Ian Swales
Renfrewshire East and Hairmyres	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Jim Murphy
Renfrewshire South and Ayrshire North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Unknown (new seat)
Richmond and Twickenham	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Unknown (changed seat)
Scunthorpe	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sheffield Hallam and Penistone	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Sheffield Heeley	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Unknown (changed seat)
Solihull	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LIB	Lorely Burt
Somerton and Frome	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Heath
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Denham
Southampton Test	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Whitehead
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
Spen Valley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Wood
St Ives	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew George
Stirling and Crieff	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Anne McGuire
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Paul Burstow
Taunton	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Jeremy Browne
Telford	Shropshire	CON	gain from	LAB	David Wright
Torbay	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Adrian Sanders
Walsall West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	David Winnick
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Willesden	Brent	LAB	gain from	LIB	Sarah Teather
Wiltshire West	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Duncan Hames
Yeovil	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Laws

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 134

List of predicted seat changes