Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 54.5%20+252
LAB 32.7%7 26.9%02-25
LIB 7.9%1 13.9%00+01
Brexit 0.0%0 0.7%00+00
Green 1.9%0 1.9%00+00
UKIP 2.5%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.3%0 2.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cambridgeshire South East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
NAT
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
65509Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.732.157.60.06.72.20.00.00.01.4LABLAB
82492Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.716.338.035.63.14.60.00.00.02.4LABLAB
95479Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.831.650.96.86.22.40.00.00.02.1LABLAB
100474Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.227.045.315.84.87.10.00.00.00.0LABLAB
205369Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.538.342.911.85.21.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
246328Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.444.540.66.96.71.30.00.00.00.0LABCON
256318Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.745.637.46.56.42.00.00.00.02.0LABCON
272302Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.848.333.416.40.00.00.00.00.02.0CONCON
279295Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.651.034.911.70.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
289285Colchester Will Quince79,99666.946.127.823.60.02.50.00.00.00.0CONCON
292282St Albans Anne Main72,81178.340.521.334.00.02.20.00.00.01.9CONCON
298276Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.753.033.011.70.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
299275Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.448.228.221.50.00.00.00.00.02.2CONCON
304270Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.246.425.228.40.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
305268Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.416.039.86.80.00.00.00.00.0LIBLIB
314260Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.952.930.314.30.02.60.00.00.00.0CONCON
322252Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.860.036.30.00.03.20.00.00.00.5CONCON
324250Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.542.118.413.70.02.10.00.021.81.8CONCON
330244Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.248.723.825.50.00.00.00.00.01.9CONCON
334240Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.754.929.613.20.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
338236Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.355.930.111.40.00.00.00.00.02.6CONCON
349225Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.253.125.619.40.00.00.00.00.01.9CONCON
365209Southend West David Amess67,67769.756.627.813.50.00.00.00.00.02.1CONCON
367207Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.855.025.814.90.02.40.00.00.01.9CONCON
376198Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.655.425.916.30.02.40.00.00.00.0CONCON
381193Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.255.125.016.00.03.90.00.00.00.0CONCON
388186Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.258.728.19.40.02.20.00.00.01.6CONCON
391183Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.260.429.79.90.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
396178Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.855.424.315.60.02.80.00.00.01.9CONCON
401173Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.256.324.914.00.02.70.00.00.02.1CONCON
404170Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.858.627.112.30.02.10.00.00.00.0CONCON
419155Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.461.228.77.60.01.30.00.00.01.2CONCON
428146Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.457.324.314.50.02.00.00.00.01.9CONCON
430144Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.758.324.912.60.02.20.00.00.01.9CONCON
434140Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.724.013.60.02.70.00.00.02.1CONCON
447127Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.459.425.013.10.02.60.00.00.00.0CONCON
452122Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.660.025.312.40.02.20.00.00.00.0CONCON
456118Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.459.024.114.40.02.50.00.00.00.0CONCON
462112Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.859.124.012.90.02.20.00.00.01.8CONCON
466108Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.861.826.78.40.01.60.00.00.01.4CONCON
469105Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.660.625.212.40.00.00.00.00.01.8CONCON
48094Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.058.622.616.60.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
49777Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.762.625.010.50.01.80.00.00.00.0CONCON
51262Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.858.720.119.70.01.50.00.00.00.0CONCON
51361Witham Priti Patel69,13771.261.522.812.80.02.90.00.00.00.0CONCON
52252Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.563.223.711.40.00.00.00.00.01.6CONCON
52351Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.063.624.19.60.01.30.00.00.01.4CONCON
52846Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.164.925.28.50.00.00.00.00.01.4CONCON
53242Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.263.323.411.30.02.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
54232Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.664.423.610.10.01.90.00.00.00.0CONCON
54430Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.962.521.412.00.02.40.00.00.01.7CONCON
55618Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.365.322.19.80.01.30.00.00.01.5CONCON
56113Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.664.318.713.20.02.00.00.00.01.8CONCON
56311Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.167.021.010.20.01.80.00.00.00.0CONCON
5659Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.066.219.812.00.02.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
5686Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.467.820.310.20.01.80.00.00.00.0CONCON
5695Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.769.120.27.70.01.50.00.00.01.5CONCON
5713Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.470.320.69.10.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.