Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 50.2%30+353
LAB 32.7%7 26.5%03-34
LIB 7.9%1 10.1%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 5.9%00+00
Green 1.9%0 4.1%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 3.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
93478Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.712.745.631.43.14.30.00.02.9LABLAB
111460Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.828.657.64.03.43.60.00.02.9LABLAB
113458Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.226.254.77.83.45.10.00.02.9LABLAB
115456Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.727.856.24.65.13.10.00.03.2LABLAB
243328Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.540.840.68.13.44.30.00.02.9LABCON
244327Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.441.341.14.66.13.80.00.03.1LABCON
246325Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.742.441.85.63.44.00.00.02.9LABCON
261310Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.435.132.53.923.52.20.00.02.9CONCON
264307Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.643.340.35.53.43.90.00.03.6CONCON
282289Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.841.235.811.45.43.40.00.02.9CONCON
300271Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.745.837.16.43.44.40.00.02.9CONCON
313258Colchester Will Quince79,99666.941.529.019.23.43.70.00.03.2CONCON
319252Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.344.330.75.07.23.90.06.22.9CONCON
327244Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.946.630.59.76.23.80.00.03.2CONCON
332239Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.249.632.14.47.43.60.00.02.9CONCON
343228Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.250.030.64.27.14.70.00.03.5CONCON
346225Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.849.729.84.59.73.40.00.02.9CONCON
347224Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.750.530.68.53.44.10.00.02.9CONCON
360211St Albans Anne Main72,81178.338.716.834.73.43.60.00.02.9CONCON
364207Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.448.626.312.93.44.40.00.04.3CONCON
369202Southend West David Amess67,67769.750.827.76.76.93.90.00.03.9CONCON
387184Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.249.323.514.46.33.60.00.02.9CONCON
389182Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.850.724.610.87.04.00.00.02.9CONCON
390181Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.152.526.23.810.23.60.00.03.7CONCON
392179Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.247.421.020.93.44.50.00.02.9CONCON
400171Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.854.827.57.03.43.90.00.03.4CONCON
401170Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.248.921.421.33.42.20.00.02.9CONCON
409162Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.653.824.710.63.44.70.00.02.9CONCON
413158Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.253.624.29.23.45.30.00.04.3CONCON
418153Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.754.124.27.76.74.20.00.03.1CONCON
420151Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.654.224.27.27.34.10.00.02.9CONCON
421150Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.755.825.75.16.53.90.00.02.9CONCON
422149Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.453.523.410.26.23.80.00.02.9CONCON
422148Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.26.850.02.41.50.00.02.0LIBLIB
425146Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.654.523.87.47.14.30.00.02.9CONCON
434137Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.854.823.28.03.46.40.00.04.2CONCON
435136Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.056.524.85.77.92.20.00.02.9CONCON
440131Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.254.222.110.03.47.50.00.02.9CONCON
442129Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.455.723.56.66.35.10.00.02.9CONCON
452119Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.855.922.310.43.45.20.00.02.9CONCON
455116Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.553.519.413.95.54.80.00.02.9CONCON
457114Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.056.722.47.66.44.10.00.02.9CONCON
458113Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.856.522.28.06.34.10.00.02.9CONCON
460111Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.456.121.58.16.15.40.00.02.9CONCON
463108Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.256.721.96.58.04.00.00.02.9CONCON
467104Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.222.28.33.45.00.00.03.9CONCON
468103Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.657.722.65.47.44.00.00.02.9CONCON
48784Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.358.321.56.88.32.20.00.02.9CONCON
49378Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.558.421.36.66.93.90.00.02.9CONCON
50368Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.756.819.14.311.03.80.01.04.0CONCON
50467Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.957.519.88.07.14.60.00.03.1CONCON
51457Witham Priti Patel69,13771.259.920.27.83.45.90.00.02.9CONCON
53239Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.160.018.36.77.54.10.00.03.4CONCON
53932Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.857.414.516.36.82.20.00.02.9CONCON
54427Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.462.818.84.68.72.20.00.02.9CONCON
54724Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.462.318.15.17.64.10.00.02.9CONCON
55813Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.661.414.210.66.93.90.00.03.1CONCON
5647Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.063.515.06.67.24.30.00.03.4CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.