Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 30.5%08-842
LAB 32.7%7 25.2%60+613
LIB 7.9%1 9.4%10+12
UKIP 2.5%0 5.6%00+00
Green 1.9%0 4.4%00+00
ChUK 0.0%0 5.8%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 17.2%10+11
Minor 0.3%0 2.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hemel Hempstead (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
ChUK
%
Brexit
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
88462Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.718.349.05.73.95.00.05.411.90.00.8LABLAB
89461Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.819.649.95.43.54.30.05.410.90.00.9LABLAB
109441Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.711.239.023.62.76.20.07.88.60.01.0LABLAB
119431Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.217.443.99.24.05.40.06.112.50.01.6LABLAB
238312Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.725.937.06.34.93.90.05.515.00.01.4LABLAB
247303Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.525.735.88.44.54.50.05.813.80.01.5LABLAB
250300Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.424.634.06.35.64.70.05.517.30.02.0LABLAB
275275Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.626.833.66.95.14.10.05.715.80.02.1CONLAB
277273Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.826.132.710.14.64.80.06.114.20.01.5CONLAB
286263Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.419.524.94.39.56.40.04.628.30.02.5CONBrexit
297253Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.727.932.27.15.33.80.05.416.30.02.0CONLAB
311239Colchester Will Quince79,99666.925.827.514.54.74.20.06.614.80.01.8CONLAB
315235Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.327.228.36.36.34.80.05.519.30.02.3CONLAB
319231Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.927.728.18.95.74.70.05.717.40.01.9CONLAB
321229Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.228.127.75.36.84.10.05.020.70.02.4CONCON
334216Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.730.428.68.35.23.70.05.716.10.02.0CONCON
338212Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.827.725.15.37.34.60.05.122.20.02.6CONCON
344206Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.229.026.25.66.54.80.05.420.10.02.4CONCON
367183Southend West David Amess67,67769.730.825.47.35.85.10.05.817.80.02.1CONCON
368182Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.431.626.211.84.24.80.06.613.20.01.6CONCON
369180St Albans Anne Main72,81178.324.318.732.93.23.40.06.010.40.01.1CONLIB
373177Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.129.023.14.67.84.40.04.823.70.02.6CONCON
382168Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.230.523.811.65.24.50.06.316.20.01.9CONCON
385165Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.831.124.09.65.54.80.06.017.00.02.0CONCON
391159Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.833.825.87.45.33.70.05.616.40.02.1CONCON
396154Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.231.223.016.73.94.30.07.012.40.01.5CONCON
401149Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.231.923.316.63.93.40.06.912.40.01.7CONCON
402148Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.032.423.66.06.53.80.05.220.00.02.4CONCON
403147Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.632.223.37.36.14.60.05.618.80.02.2CONCON
407143Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.732.823.65.96.44.10.05.319.60.02.4CONCON
410140Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.033.223.98.05.45.30.05.716.60.01.9CONCON
411139Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.232.823.48.65.64.40.05.917.20.02.1CONCON
418132Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.634.124.29.74.93.90.06.115.10.01.9CONCON
419131Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.733.123.17.75.84.70.05.817.80.02.1CONCON
420130Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.632.722.67.26.24.50.05.619.00.02.3CONCON
421129Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.232.922.89.25.54.70.05.917.00.02.0CONCON
422128Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.833.223.08.05.74.60.05.817.60.02.1CONCON
426124Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.433.322.99.15.54.30.06.016.90.02.1CONCON
432118Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.433.822.97.05.94.60.05.718.10.02.2CONCON
438112Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.232.621.56.66.74.50.05.320.50.02.4CONCON
443107Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.633.822.35.96.54.30.05.319.70.02.2CONCON
444106Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.834.823.19.74.94.10.06.115.40.01.9CONCON
446104Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.533.521.611.75.04.80.06.315.40.01.8CONCON
450100Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.433.921.87.95.84.60.05.818.00.02.2CONCON
46288Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.933.421.07.36.44.70.05.519.60.02.2CONCON
46684Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.731.218.64.78.14.80.05.024.70.02.8CONCON
46783Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.835.122.48.05.54.40.05.717.00.02.0CONCON
46882Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.534.221.46.66.44.10.05.419.60.02.4CONCON
47080Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.334.021.16.56.64.00.05.320.10.02.4CONCON
47773Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.435.922.58.25.34.10.05.816.20.02.0CONCON
47970Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.323.510.039.54.22.30.06.013.10.01.5LIBLIB
49060Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.133.819.16.37.14.20.05.221.70.02.6CONCON
49357Witham Priti Patel69,13771.236.221.17.55.83.80.05.617.80.02.2CONCON
51436Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.436.419.35.26.83.90.05.220.80.02.6CONCON
52030Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.835.618.212.65.24.00.06.316.10.01.9CONCON
52525Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.437.319.05.56.54.10.05.220.00.02.4CONCON
53317Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.636.817.38.76.24.10.05.619.10.02.2CONCON
54010Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.038.517.56.56.34.30.05.419.30.02.2CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.