| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 30.6% | 23 | 21.6% | 0 | 15 | -15 | 8 |
| LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 18.4% | 0 | 18 | -18 | 9 |
| LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 14.6% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 32.7% | 34 | 0 | +34 | 37 |
| Green | 6.9% | 1 | 9.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Other | 2.4% | 0 | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harwich and North Essex (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Colchester (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 429 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 8.1 | 31.6 | 21.0 | 14.1 | 20.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 96 | 359 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 5.0 | 46.0 | 3.4 | 37.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 97 | 358 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 12.2 | 41.1 | 7.4 | 32.9 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 103 | 352 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 9.2 | 33.5 | 9.9 | 26.2 | 18.3 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 117 | 338 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 5.5 | 46.0 | 3.8 | 40.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 140 | 315 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 4.9 | 44.9 | 2.2 | 42.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 143 | 312 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 12.3 | 32.1 | 13.3 | 30.4 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 0.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 148 | 307 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 16.7 | 34.2 | 7.6 | 33.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 150 | 305 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 23.9 | 26.0 | 11.6 | 25.5 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 162 | 293 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 5.6 | 42.8 | 2.3 | 44.1 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 181 | 274 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 5.0 | 35.2 | 2.8 | 38.3 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 7.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 181 | 273 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 30.3 | 18.0 | 15.1 | 21.2 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 6.9 | CON | CON |
| 192 | 263 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 24.8 | 22.8 | 13.3 | 27.3 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 197 | 258 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 22.8 | 22.6 | 13.7 | 27.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 204 | 251 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 19.1 | 25.8 | 11.0 | 31.9 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 205 | 250 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 7.9 | 29.6 | 5.3 | 35.7 | 5.4 | 10.4 | 5.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 209 | 246 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 21.0 | 23.8 | 13.8 | 30.1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 232 | 223 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 23.7 | 22.3 | 10.3 | 30.7 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 237 | 218 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 22.6 | 20.4 | 14.9 | 29.4 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 242 | 212 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 16.1 | 10.4 | 44.0 | 19.8 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LIB | LIB |
| 251 | 204 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 9.4 | 32.9 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 257 | 197 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 30.8 | 17.5 | 12.3 | 28.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 3.6 | CON | CON |
| 258 | 196 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 22.6 | 8.9 | 41.5 | 19.8 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 271 | 183 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 19.5 | 10.8 | 38.2 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LIB | LIB |
| 273 | 181 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 31.0 | 17.7 | 10.3 | 29.5 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.9 | CON | CON |
| 274 | 181 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 24.7 | 19.9 | 12.7 | 31.8 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 274 | 180 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 30.6 | 17.8 | 9.8 | 29.9 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 4.0 | CON | CON |
| 276 | 179 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 23.3 | 19.8 | 14.7 | 32.0 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 277 | 178 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 21.2 | 19.7 | 10.5 | 32.0 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 289 | 166 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 23.4 | 15.6 | 22.9 | 28.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | Reform |
| 297 | 157 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 24.7 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 25.9 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 304 | 151 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 11.8 | 28.8 | 5.6 | 43.6 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 328 | 127 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 28.4 | 17.9 | 9.6 | 34.1 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 341 | 113 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 24.3 | 8.6 | 31.8 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 342 | 113 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 17.1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 36.4 | 9.3 | 9.4 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 354 | 101 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 21.7 | 20.5 | 8.4 | 38.9 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 355 | 100 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 22.4 | 18.3 | 10.8 | 36.8 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 381 | 74 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 12.0 | 34.9 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
| 382 | 72 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 46.6 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 31.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | CON |
| 385 | 69 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 44.4 | 10.1 | 6.2 | 32.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | CON |
| 392 | 62 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 38.5 | 30.1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 5.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 407 | 48 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 18.7 | 18.3 | 8.1 | 43.1 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 411 | 44 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 26.7 | 5.3 | 30.4 | 30.6 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LIB | Reform |
| 415 | 40 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 34.1 | 12.5 | 7.1 | 38.2 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | CON | Reform |
| 416 | 38 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 21.5 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 31.7 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | Green | Green |
| 417 | 38 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 16.5 | 14.1 | 8.8 | 40.0 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 418 | 37 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 29.9 | 13.7 | 7.9 | 39.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
| 421 | 34 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 22.4 | 15.7 | 9.3 | 42.3 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 2.4 | CON | Reform |
| 428 | 27 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 35.4 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 36.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 2.4 | CON | Reform |
| 429 | 26 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 30.4 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 39.6 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | Reform |
| 429 | 25 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 39.2 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 37.6 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 3.2 | CON | CON |
| 431 | 24 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 32.8 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 40.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | CON | Reform |
| 432 | 22 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 40.8 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 38.5 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | CON |
| 433 | 22 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 17.2 | 16.0 | 7.3 | 46.6 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 5.6 | Reform | Reform |
| 441 | 14 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 34.6 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 41.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
| 443 | 12 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 38.3 | 8.3 | 5.4 | 42.4 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | CON | Reform |
| 444 | 11 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 39.8 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 41.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 446 | 9 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 15.2 | 15.6 | 6.9 | 52.0 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 2.6 | Reform | Reform |
| 451 | 4 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 35.1 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 48.3 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 452 | 3 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 35.0 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 46.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 3.0 | CON | Reform |
| 454 | 1 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 25.0 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 60.8 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 2.3 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.