Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 50.2%30+353
LAB 32.7%7 26.5%03-34
LIB 7.9%1 10.1%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 5.9%00+00
Green 1.9%0 4.1%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 3.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
93478Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.712.745.631.
111460Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.828.657.
113458Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.
115456Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.727.856.
243328Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.540.840.
244327Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.441.341.
246325Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.742.441.
261310Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.435.132.53.923.
264307Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.643.340.
282289Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.841.235.811.
300271Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.745.837.
313258Colchester Will Quince79,99666.941.529.
319252Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.344.330.
327244Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.946.630.
332239Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.249.632.
343228Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.
346225Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.849.729.
347224Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.750.530.
360211St Albans Anne Main72,81178.338.716.834.
364207Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.448.626.312.
369202Southend West David Amess67,67769.750.827.
387184Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.249.323.514.
389182Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.850.724.610.
390181Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.152.526.23.810.
392179Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.247.421.
400171Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.854.827.
401170Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.248.921.421.
409162Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.653.824.710.
413158Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.253.624.
418153Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.754.
420151Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.654.
421150Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.755.825.
422149Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.453.523.410.
422148Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.26.850.
425146Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.654.523.
434137Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.854.823.
435136Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.056.524.
440131Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.
442129Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.455.723.
452119Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.855.922.310.
455116Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.553.519.413.
457114Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.056.722.
458113Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.856.522.
460111Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.456.
463108Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.256.721.
467104Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.
468103Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.657.722.
48784Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.358.321.
49378Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.558.421.
50368Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.756.819.14.311.
50467Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.957.519.
51457Witham Priti Patel69,13771.259.920.
53239Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.
53932Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.857.414.516.
54427Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.462.818.
54724Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.462.318.
55813Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.661.414.
5647Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.063.515.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.