Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 22.5%020-203
LAB 29.4%27 18.0%024-243
LIB 13.2%7 14.1%01-16
Reform 17.5%3 32.6%460+4649
Green 6.9%1 8.5%01-10
Other 2.4%0 4.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Norfolk North (prediction: Reform), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
54102Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.99.031.120.514.119.42.23.6LABLAB
6888Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.010.930.710.325.418.70.04.0LABLAB
8669Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.114.029.57.934.811.00.02.8LABReform
9362Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.114.329.112.429.38.92.04.0LABReform
10352Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.115.727.914.331.28.60.02.3LABReform
10551Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.919.731.712.226.67.50.02.2LABLAB
10748Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.716.027.38.535.110.40.02.8LABReform
10847Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.813.421.99.130.77.48.68.9LABReform
10946Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.916.924.517.726.78.14.81.4LABReform
11144Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.913.720.59.230.78.310.47.1LABReform
11144Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.217.022.87.639.68.12.32.5LABReform
11243Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.422.628.210.029.08.10.02.0LABReform
11342Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.920.724.611.031.49.60.02.8LABReform
11738Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.121.923.413.330.18.70.02.5LABReform
11936Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.424.825.511.125.610.20.02.8LABReform
11936Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.521.922.68.932.99.80.03.9LABReform
11936Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.118.018.67.536.48.29.41.9LABReform
12035Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.616.115.16.452.06.50.03.9ReformReform
12035Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.923.722.213.227.510.30.03.2LABReform
12035Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.319.617.97.643.19.00.02.9LABReform
12035Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.122.620.08.038.97.70.02.9LABReform
12035Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.418.115.56.846.46.30.07.0ReformReform
12035Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.524.621.99.830.79.40.03.6LABReform
12035Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.622.119.310.031.911.90.04.8LABReform
12035Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.125.722.412.827.39.30.02.4LABReform
12035Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.423.520.014.529.410.10.02.6LABReform
12035Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.317.413.78.340.06.012.32.2LABReform
12233Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.024.219.414.232.07.60.02.6LABReform
12233Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.523.317.910.336.88.90.02.7LABReform
12332Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.425.619.512.331.88.30.02.6CONReform
12431Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.822.415.89.142.17.00.03.6CONReform
12530St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.017.09.943.619.77.20.02.5LIBLIB
12530Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.726.419.110.133.68.20.02.6CONReform
12530Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.127.419.810.829.17.70.05.3CONReform
12530Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.127.219.513.827.57.10.04.8CONReform
12530Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.827.519.811.528.68.40.04.1CONReform
12629Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.524.215.914.533.88.90.02.6CONReform
12728Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.025.016.59.738.77.60.02.6CONReform
12827Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.823.814.711.138.28.00.04.2CONReform
12827Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.624.315.222.428.86.30.03.1CONReform
12827St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.720.010.829.926.16.80.06.5LIBLIB
12926Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.126.416.910.136.67.20.02.9CONReform
12926Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.025.315.79.238.77.30.03.8CONReform
13025Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.020.410.437.722.46.40.02.6LIBLIB
13124Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.623.813.113.334.411.70.03.6CONReform
13223Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.418.47.26.659.35.00.03.5ReformReform
13223Witham Priti Patel79,07264.026.915.610.035.18.00.04.4CONReform
13223Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.924.412.914.039.56.50.02.7CONReform
13223Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.726.714.310.640.05.90.02.5CONReform
13323Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.430.117.512.429.58.00.02.5CONCON
13322Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.325.712.56.846.56.00.02.5CONReform
13521Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.831.217.614.521.07.40.08.4CONCON
13520Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.128.214.213.835.85.30.02.7CONReform
13520Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.225.611.626.525.96.90.03.5LIBLIB
13619Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.223.58.541.019.84.90.02.2LIBLIB
13916Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.825.99.68.545.06.10.64.2CONReform
14115Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.333.216.412.228.36.70.03.1CONCON
14114Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.222.55.56.631.630.90.03.0GreenReform
14114Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.925.28.231.326.05.90.43.0LIBLIB
14114Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.728.411.412.939.15.70.02.5CONReform
1505Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.927.65.029.930.44.60.02.4LIBReform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.