Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	30.6%	23	22.1%	0	21	-21	2
LAB	29.4%	27	19.7%	0	23	-23	4
LIB	13.2%	7	14.8%	0	2	-2	5
Reform	17.5%	3	33.3%	46	0	+46	49
Green	6.9%	1	9.0%	0	0	+0	1
Other	2.4%	0	1.1%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Norfolk North (prediction: Reform), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
41	118	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	70,315	59.9	6.9	34.9	21.1	13.3	20.9	2.2	0.6	LAB	LAB
61	98	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	76,381	59.0	9.1	34.5	13.2	23.8	18.8	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
109	49	Norwich North	Alice Macdonald	73,721	62.1	15.6	29.9	9.6	33.1	11.3	0.0	0.5	LAB	Reform
115	44	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	72,478	56.1	16.6	29.4	13.1	28.8	9.3	2.1	0.7	LAB	LAB
119	40	Hitchin	Alistair Strathern	75,080	69.9	19.0	31.2	13.1	28.3	8.1	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
120	38	Colchester	Pam Cox	78,662	57.1	17.0	28.0	15.1	30.5	9.0	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
121	37	Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Rachel Hopkins	76,970	49.9	14.5	24.9	11.1	30.0	8.3	9.9	1.2	LAB	Reform
121	37	Luton North	Sarah Owen	74,866	51.8	16.2	26.6	10.7	29.8	7.0	8.2	1.6	LAB	Reform
122	36	Ipswich	Jack Simon Abbott	76,319	57.7	18.0	27.9	10.0	33.0	10.6	0.0	0.5	LAB	Reform
130	28	Thurrock	Jennifer Craft	73,405	51.2	17.6	24.7	7.7	41.1	7.1	1.7	0.2	LAB	Reform
130	28	Stevenage	Kevin Bonavia	70,086	60.9	20.3	26.5	11.3	32.5	9.0	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
130	28	Watford	Matt Turmaine	73,000	60.9	18.8	24.9	16.5	25.4	9.0	5.3	0.1	LAB	Reform
130	28	Welwyn Hatfield	Andrew Lewin	75,259	64.4	22.5	27.7	10.8	29.9	8.8	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
133	25	Hertford and Stortford	Josh Dean	78,915	68.4	22.9	26.6	11.5	28.0	10.7	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
133	25	Norfolk South	Ben Goldsborough	74,135	66.9	21.1	24.6	13.9	30.7	9.5	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
133	25	Hemel Hempstead	David Taylor	71,038	62.1	21.4	24.8	13.3	31.5	8.7	0.0	0.2	LAB	Reform
135	23	Southend East and Rochford	Bayo Alaba	70,217	56.5	22.1	23.9	10.0	34.3	9.3	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
135	23	Hertfordshire North East	Chris Hinchliff	77,090	68.1	23.1	23.9	13.2	30.4	9.2	0.0	0.2	LAB	Reform
136	22	Suffolk Coastal	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter	74,522	66.4	21.8	21.7	15.1	31.4	9.7	0.0	0.2	LAB	Reform
136	22	Great Yarmouth	Rupert Lowe	73,317	55.6	17.7	17.5	8.2	49.5	6.7	0.0	0.4	Reform	Reform
136	22	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	72,739	71.0	13.8	13.3	43.4	19.8	9.2	0.0	0.4	LIB	LIB
138	20	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Peter Prinsley	77,599	65.6	21.5	20.7	11.4	32.9	13.0	0.0	0.6	LAB	Reform
138	20	Broadland and Fakenham	Jerome Mayhew	76,859	64.4	22.6	21.5	13.0	35.2	7.5	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
138	20	Peterborough	Andrew Pakes	73,378	57.1	21.9	20.7	8.3	31.9	8.1	8.9	0.2	LAB	Reform
138	20	Southend West and Leigh	David Edmund Burton-Sampson	75,154	62.5	24.8	23.4	10.4	31.6	9.3	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
138	20	Norfolk South West	Terry Jermy	74,724	59.3	17.8	16.0	9.9	41.0	6.5	8.7	0.2	LAB	Reform
138	20	Bedfordshire Mid	Blake Stephenson	76,218	65.1	24.4	22.0	11.7	34.1	7.2	0.0	0.6	CON	Reform
138	20	Harlow	Christopher John Vince	74,683	58.1	23.2	20.9	8.6	38.7	8.2	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
138	20	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Alex Mayer	76,742	60.0	24.1	21.6	14.1	32.6	7.4	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
138	20	Lowestoft	Jessica Asato	74,332	56.3	22.2	19.7	8.9	39.4	9.5	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
138	20	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	76,579	62.7	24.1	21.3	10.9	36.2	7.3	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
138	20	Basildon South and East Thurrock	James McMurdock	72,673	54.4	19.6	16.8	8.5	47.3	6.7	0.0	1.0	Reform	Reform
138	20	Huntingdon	Benjamin Obese-Jecty	79,074	65.8	25.2	22.3	12.4	31.8	8.0	0.0	0.4	CON	Reform
138	20	Cambridgeshire North West	Sam Carling	75,915	58.5	23.2	20.0	11.1	36.0	9.4	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
138	20	Essex North West	Kemi Badenoch	79,824	68.1	24.7	20.3	14.8	31.5	8.1	0.0	0.6	CON	Reform
138	20	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	73,385	66.5	22.7	17.3	15.2	34.9	9.6	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
139	19	Cambridgeshire South	Pippa Heylings	77,327	71.0	18.4	12.0	37.1	24.7	7.4	0.0	0.3	LIB	LIB
139	19	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Ian Sollom	78,115	67.7	19.4	12.9	30.5	28.6	7.5	0.0	1.1	LIB	LIB
140	18	Suffolk West	Nick Timothy	77,149	59.8	23.2	16.4	12.4	38.9	8.5	0.0	0.5	CON	Reform
140	18	Basildon and Billericay	Richard John Holden	76,873	54.8	23.7	16.9	9.8	41.4	7.7	0.0	0.5	CON	Reform
141	17	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	75,238	61.0	25.0	18.0	10.7	38.0	7.9	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
141	17	Bedfordshire North	Richard Fuller	78,850	65.4	27.2	19.9	12.6	32.5	7.6	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
141	17	Suffolk Central and North Ipswich	Patrick Spencer	73,046	63.6	23.2	15.1	14.0	34.8	12.5	0.0	0.4	CON	Reform
141	17	Braintree	James Cleverly	77,781	63.0	25.2	17.0	10.2	39.1	7.9	0.0	0.5	CON	Reform
141	17	Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Charlotte Cane	79,112	66.2	22.7	14.4	26.4	29.2	6.9	0.0	0.3	LIB	Reform
141	17	Witham	Priti Patel	79,072	64.0	25.6	17.0	11.0	37.3	8.6	0.0	0.5	CON	Reform
142	16	Broxbourne	Lewis Christopher Cocking	75,187	57.1	26.8	17.6	10.1	36.8	8.3	0.0	0.4	CON	Reform
142	16	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	71,353	67.6	25.4	16.0	21.7	28.8	7.5	0.0	0.6	CON	Reform
142	16	Norfolk North West	James Wild	74,415	59.9	24.6	14.9	15.1	38.3	6.9	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
143	15	Clacton	Nigel Farage	78,703	58.4	20.8	9.5	8.3	55.5	5.5	0.0	0.5	Reform	Reform
143	15	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,352	64.1	26.4	14.9	14.0	38.0	6.4	0.0	0.3	CON	Reform
143	15	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Victoria Collins	72,242	75.2	21.5	9.9	39.7	22.1	6.6	0.0	0.3	LIB	LIB
144	14	Waveney Valley	Adrian Ramsay	73,056	67.2	19.6	7.7	7.8	32.3	32.5	0.0	0.2	Green	Green
146	12	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	76,576	62.7	28.0	15.2	11.0	38.9	6.7	0.0	0.3	CON	Reform
147	12	Epping Forest	Neil Hudson	72,229	57.8	31.2	18.0	15.4	25.4	8.8	0.0	1.3	CON	CON
147	11	Chelmsford	Marie Goldman	76,972	65.9	25.0	11.2	29.6	27.1	6.6	0.3	0.3	LIB	LIB
148	10	Maldon	John Whittingdale	78,281	63.7	27.5	12.9	13.2	39.8	6.4	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
148	10	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	70,967	57.3	28.3	13.6	7.6	43.5	6.6	0.0	0.3	CON	Reform
149	10	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,518	65.3	32.6	17.7	11.8	29.6	7.9	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
150	8	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	71,511	54.8	28.2	12.0	10.1	42.1	6.6	0.5	0.5	CON	Reform
151	7	Norfolk North	Steffan Aquarone	71,438	65.9	24.8	7.4	30.1	32.9	4.6	0.0	0.1	LIB	Reform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.