Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	54.6%	50	54.5%	2	0	+2	52
LAB	32.7%	7	26.9%	0	2	-2	5
LIB	7.9%	1	13.9%	0	0	+0	1
Brexit	0.0%	0	0.7%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.9%	0	1.9%	0	0	+0	0
UKIP	2.5%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.3%	0	2.1%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cambridgeshire South East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2017	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Brexit %	Green %	NAT %	UKIP %	MIN %	OTH %	2017 Win	Pred Win
65	509	Luton South	Gavin Shuker	67,188	68.7	32.1	57.6	0.0	6.7	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
82	492	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	78,003	71.7	16.3	38.0	35.6	3.1	4.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.4	LAB	LAB
95	479	Luton North	Kelvin Hopkins	66,811	69.8	31.6	50.9	6.8	6.2	2.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.1	LAB	LAB
100	474	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	74,182	69.2	27.0	45.3	15.8	4.8	7.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
205	369	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,829	67.5	38.3	42.9	11.8	5.2	1.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
246	328	Ipswich	Sandy Martin	74,799	68.4	44.5	40.6	6.9	6.7	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
256	318	Peterborough	Fiona Onasanya	71,522	66.7	45.6	37.4	6.5	6.4	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	LAB	CON
272	302	Watford	Richard Harrington	86,507	67.8	48.3	33.4	16.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
279	295	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	66,924	68.6	51.0	34.9	11.7	0.0	2.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
289	285	Colchester	Will Quince	79,996	66.9	46.1	27.8	23.6	0.0	2.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
292	282	St Albans	Anne Main	72,811	78.3	40.5	21.3	34.0	0.0	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
298	276	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	70,765	69.7	53.0	33.0	11.7	0.0	2.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
299	275	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	75,916	77.4	48.2	28.2	21.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
304	270	Cambridgeshire South	Heidi Allen	85,257	76.2	46.4	25.2	28.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
305	268	Norfolk North	Norman Lamb	69,263	75.3	37.4	16.0	39.8	6.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	LIB	LIB
314	260	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	72,888	70.9	52.9	30.3	14.3	0.0	2.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
322	252	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	87,758	70.8	60.0	36.3	0.0	0.0	3.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
324	250	Hertfordshire South West	David Gauke	80,293	75.5	42.1	18.4	13.7	0.0	2.1	0.0	0.0	21.8	1.8	CON	CON
330	244	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,121	73.2	48.7	23.8	25.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
334	240	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	75,011	69.7	54.9	29.6	13.2	0.0	2.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
338	236	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	73,501	64.3	55.9	30.1	11.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
349	225	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	81,045	70.2	53.1	25.6	19.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
365	209	Southend West	David Amess	67,677	69.7	56.6	27.8	13.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
367	207	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,320	70.8	55.0	25.8	14.9	0.0	2.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
376	198	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	83,056	73.6	55.4	25.9	16.3	0.0	2.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
381	193	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	75,967	73.2	55.1	25.0	16.0	0.0	3.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
388	186	Waveney	Peter Aldous	80,784	65.2	58.7	28.1	9.4	0.0	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
391	183	Harlow	Robert Halfon	67,697	66.2	60.4	29.7	9.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
396	178	Hertford and Stortford	Mark Prisk	82,429	72.8	55.4	24.3	15.6	0.0	2.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
401	173	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	79,366	73.2	56.3	24.9	14.0	0.0	2.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
404	170	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,670	69.8	58.6	27.1	12.3	0.0	2.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
419	155	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	78,153	64.4	61.2	28.7	7.6	0.0	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
428	146	Broadland	Keith Simpson	77,334	72.4	57.3	24.3	14.5	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
430	144	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	71,294	71.7	58.3	24.9	12.6	0.0	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
434	140	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	83,800	75.4	57.7	24.0	13.6	0.0	2.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
447	127	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	78,116	72.4	59.4	25.0	13.1	0.0	2.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
452	122	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	93,223	68.6	60.0	25.3	12.4	0.0	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
456	118	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	75,967	71.4	59.0	24.1	14.4	0.0	2.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
462	112	Bedfordshire North East	Alistair Burt	86,988	73.8	59.1	24.0	12.9	0.0	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
466	108	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,408	61.8	61.8	26.7	8.4	0.0	1.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
469	105	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	80,026	69.6	60.6	25.2	12.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
480	94	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,554	71.0	58.6	22.6	16.6	0.0	2.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
497	77	Norfolk North West	Henry Bellingham	72,062	67.7	62.6	25.0	10.5	0.0	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
512	62	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	83,690	72.8	58.7	20.1	19.7	0.0	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
513	61	Witham	Priti Patel	69,137	71.2	61.5	22.8	12.8	0.0	2.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
522	52	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,316	69.5	63.2	23.7	11.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
523	51	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,149	65.0	63.6	24.1	9.6	0.0	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
528	46	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	73,541	64.1	64.9	25.2	8.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
532	42	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	76,984	67.2	63.3	23.4	11.3	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
542	32	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,502	64.6	64.4	23.6	10.1	0.0	1.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
544	30	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,737	67.9	62.5	21.4	12.0	0.0	2.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
556	18	Norfolk South West	Elizabeth Truss	77,874	67.3	65.3	22.1	9.8	0.0	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
561	13	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	74,911	70.6	64.3	18.7	13.2	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
563	11	Cambridgeshire North East	Stephen Barclay	84,404	63.1	67.0	21.0	10.2	0.0	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
565	9	Maldon	John Whittingdale	66,960	75.0	66.2	19.8	12.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
568	6	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,556	70.4	67.8	20.3	10.2	0.0	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
569	5	Clacton	Giles Watling	69,263	63.7	69.1	20.2	7.7	0.0	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
571	3	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,470	64.4	70.3	20.6	9.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.