Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 40.7%31+252
LAB 32.7%7 19.9%04-43
LIB 7.9%1 19.5%20+23
Brexit 0.0%0 13.9%00+00
Green 1.9%0 3.6%00+00
UKIP 2.5%0 0.8%00+00
Other 0.3%0 1.6%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
99448Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.727.743.712.
107440Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.829.243.711.
137409Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.716.226.842.
161386Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.224.632.120.58.312.
252295Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.736.331.713.
256291Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.535.030.117.311.
262285Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.435.029.314.614.
279268Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.636.127.815.513.
288259Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.835.426.121.411.
294253Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.434.624.710.824.
304243Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.738.226.215.913.
310237Colchester Will Quince79,99666.933.
319228Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.339.024.014.615.
330217Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.938.822.619.312.
339208Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.240.923.512.417.
345202Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.240.622.513.416.
346201Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.740.722.418.
352194St Albans Anne Main72,81178.332.413.841.
353194Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.840.622.
368179Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.439.419.
373174Southend West David Amess67,67769.740.920.317.814.
383164Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.239.217.724.612.
384163Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.237.315.632.
386161Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.840.618.621.313.
389158Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.238.215.831.
392155Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.142.720.011.320.
395152Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.843.220.416.613.
407139Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.331.57.246.711.
409138Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.643.118.816.915.
413134Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.642.517.921.412.
421126Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.842.617.418.512.
422125Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.743.318.118.314.
423124Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.744.519.
425122Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.242.817.519.812.
427120Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.442.617.320.614.
429118Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.044.719.314.
433114Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.643.718.016.615.
438109Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.242.816.920.911.
443104Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.843.517.121.811.
445102Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.444.317.617.514.
44998Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.045.218.418.512.
45295Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.244.617.515.316.
45394Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.645.718.413.716.
45691Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.542.715.425.
46087Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.444.116.519.413.
46978Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.845.017.118.713.
47176Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.445.116.819.412.
47869Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.545.716.915.516.
48364Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.345.917.014.417.
49354Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.945.916.116.815.
49750Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.746.215.911.
49849Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.146.215.713.918.
50047Witham Priti Patel69,13771.246.415.817.
50641Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.844.413.
52522Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.448.815.611.719.
53017Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.449.014.913.717.
53512Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.648.
5407Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.049.313.616.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.