Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	57.2%	52	55.3%	0	1	-1	51
LAB	24.4%	5	28.8%	1	0	+1	6
LIB	13.4%	1	8.6%	0	0	+0	1
Brexit	0.4%	0	0.2%	0	0	+0	0
Green	3.0%	0	3.9%	0	0	+0	0
Other	1.7%	0	3.0%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Thurrock (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Watford (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2019	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Brexit %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2019 Win	Pred Win
64	500	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	79,951	67.2	14.1	54.9	21.6	1.2	5.5	0.0	2.7	LAB	LAB
91	473	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	77,845	66.4	27.2	58.3	5.4	1.9	5.8	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
107	457	Luton North	Sarah Owen	68,185	62.5	31.6	58.4	2.8	1.7	2.5	0.0	2.9	LAB	LAB
112	452	Luton South	Rachel Hopkins	69,338	60.7	29.2	54.0	0.0	2.3	2.8	9.3	2.5	LAB	LAB
202	362	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,581	66.1	41.2	47.7	5.7	1.1	3.0	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
229	335	Peterborough	Paul Bristow	72,560	65.9	44.9	45.0	2.8	2.7	2.3	0.0	2.3	CON	LAB
231	333	Watford	Dean Russell	83,359	69.7	43.7	43.4	9.3	0.0	1.2	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
263	301	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	67,172	68.9	48.7	43.1	3.3	0.0	2.9	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
265	299	Ipswich	Tom Hunt	75,525	65.6	48.5	42.5	2.9	1.8	3.3	0.0	1.0	CON	CON
289	275	Colchester	Will Quince	82,625	64.6	48.6	37.8	8.1	0.0	4.0	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
299	265	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	71,562	66.6	51.3	38.7	5.0	0.0	3.8	0.0	1.1	CON	CON
308	256	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	74,892	69.5	50.8	36.2	7.4	0.0	4.1	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
328	236	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	79,659	59.6	56.7	36.4	1.8	0.0	2.2	0.0	2.8	CON	CON
336	228	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	76,323	77.1	45.3	23.6	27.0	0.0	1.5	0.0	2.7	CON	CON
338	226	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	75,624	61.0	56.8	34.9	3.6	0.0	0.6	0.0	4.1	CON	CON
339	225	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	74,035	69.3	54.7	32.6	7.2	0.0	4.1	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
339	224	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	73,727	78.1	37.4	15.3	41.7	0.0	3.2	0.0	2.4	LIB	LIB
352	212	Southend West	David Amess	69,043	67.4	57.4	32.4	6.6	0.0	0.9	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
356	208	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,769	74.2	48.2	22.9	23.8	0.0	1.5	0.0	3.7	CON	CON
359	205	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,657	69.9	52.9	27.5	9.3	0.0	5.0	0.0	5.3	CON	CON
361	203	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	76,123	72.7	54.7	29.1	9.0	0.0	5.5	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
362	202	Hertford and Stortford	Julie Marson	81,765	73.5	54.3	28.5	8.3	0.0	5.6	0.0	3.3	CON	CON
366	198	Cambridgeshire South	Anthony Browne	87,288	76.7	44.5	18.3	33.6	0.0	1.5	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
374	190	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	86,214	72.5	56.2	29.0	8.1	0.0	5.1	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
383	181	Harlow	Robert Halfon	68,078	63.7	61.6	33.7	3.2	0.0	0.6	0.0	0.9	CON	CON
387	177	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	81,910	71.2	54.7	26.6	8.7	0.0	5.8	0.0	4.2	CON	CON
394	170	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,926	66.7	58.6	29.5	5.9	0.0	4.7	0.0	1.3	CON	CON
400	164	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	80,394	71.1	54.1	24.7	16.7	0.0	1.5	0.0	3.1	CON	CON
409	155	Waveney	Peter Aldous	82,791	61.8	60.3	29.5	3.0	0.0	5.9	0.0	1.3	CON	CON
412	152	Broadland	Jerome Mayhew	78,151	72.9	57.7	26.8	9.4	0.0	3.7	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
413	151	Bedfordshire North East	Richard Fuller	90,678	71.7	57.3	26.3	7.1	0.0	3.9	3.9	1.4	CON	CON
418	146	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	87,795	73.7	58.0	26.3	7.3	0.0	4.8	0.0	3.5	CON	CON
422	142	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	80,449	76.1	47.7	15.8	5.9	0.0	3.3	26.0	1.3	CON	CON
428	136	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	74,153	70.1	59.4	26.7	6.6	0.0	4.7	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
439	125	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	82,203	68.4	60.6	27.1	8.0	0.0	1.1	0.0	3.2	CON	CON
455	109	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	94,909	68.0	60.6	26.3	6.2	0.0	5.6	0.0	1.3	CON	CON
456	108	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,971	70.6	60.7	26.3	7.3	0.0	4.2	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
469	95	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	80,037	70.3	60.8	25.4	6.7	0.0	5.7	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
474	90	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	76,201	70.2	60.4	24.0	7.3	0.0	6.9	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
477	87	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,957	60.4	64.0	27.4	2.2	0.0	2.9	0.0	3.5	CON	CON
486	78	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,182	63.8	63.8	26.7	4.9	0.0	3.5	0.0	1.1	CON	CON
490	74	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	89,644	69.1	59.1	21.8	0.0	0.0	15.9	0.0	3.1	CON	CON
494	70	Norfolk North West	James Wild	72,080	64.7	63.9	26.3	4.5	0.0	4.3	0.0	1.0	CON	CON
502	62	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,304	67.7	62.6	24.4	6.2	0.0	4.8	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
510	54	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	80,193	64.1	64.0	24.4	5.3	0.0	5.2	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
514	50	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	74,441	60.8	64.3	24.6	2.5	0.0	0.5	7.3	0.7	CON	CON
525	39	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,906	63.1	65.2	24.3	4.9	0.0	3.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
530	34	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	87,017	72.5	61.1	19.6	11.2	0.0	6.1	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
532	32	Norfolk North	Duncan Baker	70,729	71.9	56.8	15.2	21.9	2.1	1.7	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
543	21	Witham	Priti Patel	70,402	70.1	64.8	21.5	5.4	0.0	7.1	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
544	20	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,208	67.1	65.7	22.5	5.5	0.0	0.8	0.0	5.5	CON	CON
551	13	Norfolk South West	Liz Truss	78,455	65.6	67.2	21.5	4.7	0.0	3.9	0.0	2.7	CON	CON
554	10	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,255	70.4	66.7	18.6	7.9	0.0	4.2	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
556	8	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,930	69.6	70.8	19.4	4.4	0.0	4.4	0.0	1.0	CON	CON
557	7	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	83,699	63.3	70.7	19.3	4.7	0.0	4.2	0.0	1.1	CON	CON
559	5	Clacton	Giles Watling	70,930	61.3	70.4	18.3	3.4	0.0	3.4	0.0	4.5	CON	CON
560	4	Maldon	John Whittingdale	72,438	69.6	70.2	16.9	6.9	0.0	4.6	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
561	3	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,608	63.6	74.9	19.6	3.9	0.0	0.7	0.0	1.0	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.