Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 57.2%52 32.1%028-2824
LAB 24.4%5 35.7%250+2530
LIB 13.4%1 13.0%30+34
Reform 0.4%0 11.4%00+00
Green 3.0%0 6.7%00+00
Other 1.7%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton North, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Norfolk North, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Colchester (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2019
Win
Pred
Win
84496Luton North Sarah Owen68,18562.516.664.83.59.34.70.01.1LABLAB
96484Luton South Rachel Hopkins69,33860.716.761.93.610.65.50.01.7LABLAB
127453Cambridge Daniel Zeichner79,95167.210.452.019.17.99.80.00.8LABLAB
131449Norwich South Clive Lewis77,84566.413.855.27.39.912.60.01.3LABLAB
218362Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,58166.122.052.36.810.96.90.01.2LABLAB
237343Peterborough Paul Bristow72,56065.924.952.55.211.34.80.01.3CONLAB
238342Ipswich Tom Hunt75,52565.625.552.74.410.16.20.01.1CONLAB
288292Norwich North Chloe Smith67,17268.927.649.55.39.96.70.01.0CONLAB
307273Watford Dean Russell83,35969.724.544.314.510.55.10.01.1CONLAB
309271Stevenage Stephen McPartland71,56266.628.448.06.110.36.40.00.9CONLAB
314266Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price79,65959.629.548.04.411.35.60.01.3CONLAB
332248Colchester Will Quince82,62564.626.941.612.810.37.40.00.9CONLAB
343237Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps74,89269.530.042.99.510.06.60.00.9CONLAB
346234Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge75,62461.031.544.25.911.65.20.01.6CONLAB
360220Harlow Robert Halfon68,07863.734.244.15.210.84.60.01.1CONLAB
361219Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning74,03569.329.939.811.711.16.40.01.0CONLAB
374206Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,92666.731.038.910.011.86.90.01.3CONLAB
381199Waveney Peter Aldous82,79161.833.539.65.911.98.10.01.1CONLAB
388192Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,65769.929.934.715.811.56.80.01.2CONLAB
407173Bedfordshire North East Richard Fuller90,67871.732.635.712.311.96.20.01.2CONLAB
411169Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,95760.437.239.85.411.65.00.00.9CONLAB
413167Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe74,44160.835.838.35.813.44.70.02.0CONLAB
426154Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami76,32377.128.829.825.89.45.60.00.7CONLAB
430150Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald76,12372.733.934.812.510.57.60.00.7CONLAB
431149Suffolk West Matt Hancock80,19364.134.635.58.512.97.20.01.2CONLAB
434146Chelmsford Vicky Ford80,39471.129.229.923.510.95.30.01.0CONLAB
435145Norfolk South Richard Bacon86,21472.532.833.314.711.27.40.00.6CONLAB
436144Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin74,15370.134.835.112.011.46.20.00.6CONLAB
437143Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries87,79573.732.732.916.110.54.42.31.1CONLAB
438142Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara94,90968.034.634.811.411.56.80.00.8CONLAB
454125Cambridgeshire South Anthony Browne87,28876.725.123.836.29.74.80.00.4CONLIB
455125Norfolk North West James Wild72,08064.736.935.57.712.86.10.01.0CONCON
455124Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,76974.228.026.530.310.14.60.00.5CONLIB
456124Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey81,91071.230.929.116.213.19.70.01.0CONCON
456123St Albans Daisy Cooper73,72778.122.720.940.19.46.20.00.7LIBLIB
458122Hertford and Stortford Julie Marson81,76573.532.230.112.211.812.20.01.4CONCON
463117Broadland Jerome Mayhew78,15172.932.429.919.011.96.20.00.5CONCON
464116Norfolk Mid George Freeman82,20368.436.934.312.311.34.50.00.7CONCON
475105Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill89,64469.133.930.06.712.615.60.01.2CONCON
477103Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,97170.638.734.89.110.06.40.00.9CONCON
478102Suffolk South James Cartlidge76,20170.232.728.114.213.710.40.01.0CONCON
48298Braintree James Cleverly75,20867.138.834.08.512.55.00.01.3CONCON
48397Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,30467.737.032.19.612.67.10.01.6CONCON
48595Broxbourne Charles Walker73,18263.840.135.27.010.95.80.01.1CONCON
49387Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,90663.141.035.66.010.55.90.01.0CONCON
50179Norfolk South West Liz Truss78,45565.638.932.88.613.05.70.00.9CONCON
50377Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra80,44976.134.027.717.012.86.30.02.3CONCON
51070Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter80,03770.335.929.311.512.310.00.00.9CONCON
51169Southend West David Amess69,04367.441.034.17.910.44.70.01.9CONCON
51466Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,60863.638.631.36.315.75.20.02.8CONCON
52060Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch87,01772.535.527.217.611.97.00.00.7CONCON
52159Witham Priti Patel70,40270.138.630.410.411.97.80.00.8CONCON
53644Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,93069.640.229.78.213.36.80.01.7CONCON
54139Clacton Giles Watling70,93061.340.830.16.915.05.30.01.9CONCON
54634Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay83,69963.341.530.59.812.15.10.01.0CONCON
55921Maldon John Whittingdale72,43869.641.027.411.812.56.30.01.0CONCON
56911Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,25570.442.326.313.711.25.70.00.7CONCON
5736Norfolk North Duncan Baker70,72971.932.014.836.712.83.30.00.4CONLIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.