Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	54.6%	50	50.2%	3	0	+3	53
LAB	32.7%	7	26.5%	0	3	-3	4
LIB	7.9%	1	10.1%	0	0	+0	1
UKIP	2.5%	0	5.9%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.9%	0	4.1%	0	0	+0	0
Minor	0.3%	0	3.2%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2017	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	UKIP %	Green %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2017 Win	Pred Win
93	478	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	78,003	71.7	12.7	45.6	31.4	3.1	4.3	0.0	0.0	2.9	LAB	LAB
111	460	Luton North	Kelvin Hopkins	66,811	69.8	28.6	57.6	4.0	3.4	3.6	0.0	0.0	2.9	LAB	LAB
113	458	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	74,182	69.2	26.2	54.7	7.8	3.4	5.1	0.0	0.0	2.9	LAB	LAB
115	456	Luton South	Gavin Shuker	67,188	68.7	27.8	56.2	4.6	5.1	3.1	0.0	0.0	3.2	LAB	LAB
243	328	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,829	67.5	40.8	40.6	8.1	3.4	4.3	0.0	0.0	2.9	LAB	CON
244	327	Ipswich	Sandy Martin	74,799	68.4	41.3	41.1	4.6	6.1	3.8	0.0	0.0	3.1	LAB	CON
246	325	Peterborough	Fiona Onasanya	71,522	66.7	42.4	41.8	5.6	3.4	4.0	0.0	0.0	2.9	LAB	CON
261	310	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	78,153	64.4	35.1	32.5	3.9	23.5	2.2	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
264	307	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	66,924	68.6	43.3	40.3	5.5	3.4	3.9	0.0	0.0	3.6	CON	CON
282	289	Watford	Richard Harrington	86,507	67.8	41.2	35.8	11.4	5.4	3.4	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
300	271	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	70,765	69.7	45.8	37.1	6.4	3.4	4.4	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
313	258	Colchester	Will Quince	79,996	66.9	41.5	29.0	19.2	3.4	3.7	0.0	0.0	3.2	CON	CON
319	252	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	73,501	64.3	44.3	30.7	5.0	7.2	3.9	0.0	6.2	2.9	CON	CON
327	244	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	72,888	70.9	46.6	30.5	9.7	6.2	3.8	0.0	0.0	3.2	CON	CON
332	239	Harlow	Robert Halfon	67,697	66.2	49.6	32.1	4.4	7.4	3.6	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
343	228	Waveney	Peter Aldous	80,784	65.2	50.0	30.6	4.2	7.1	4.7	0.0	0.0	3.5	CON	CON
346	225	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,408	61.8	49.7	29.8	4.5	9.7	3.4	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
347	224	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	75,011	69.7	50.5	30.6	8.5	3.4	4.1	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
360	211	St Albans	Anne Main	72,811	78.3	38.7	16.8	34.7	3.4	3.6	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
364	207	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	75,916	77.4	48.6	26.3	12.9	3.4	4.4	0.0	0.0	4.3	CON	CON
369	202	Southend West	David Amess	67,677	69.7	50.8	27.7	6.7	6.9	3.9	0.0	0.0	3.9	CON	CON
387	184	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	81,045	70.2	49.3	23.5	14.4	6.3	3.6	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
389	182	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,320	70.8	50.7	24.6	10.8	7.0	4.0	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
390	181	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	73,541	64.1	52.5	26.2	3.8	10.2	3.6	0.0	0.0	3.7	CON	CON
392	179	Cambridgeshire South	Heidi Allen	85,257	76.2	47.4	21.0	20.9	3.4	4.5	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
400	171	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,670	69.8	54.8	27.5	7.0	3.4	3.9	0.0	0.0	3.4	CON	CON
401	170	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,121	73.2	48.9	21.4	21.3	3.4	2.2	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
409	162	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	83,056	73.6	53.8	24.7	10.6	3.4	4.7	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
413	158	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	79,366	73.2	53.6	24.2	9.2	3.4	5.3	0.0	0.0	4.3	CON	CON
418	153	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	71,294	71.7	54.1	24.2	7.7	6.7	4.2	0.0	0.0	3.1	CON	CON
420	151	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	93,223	68.6	54.2	24.2	7.2	7.3	4.1	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
421	150	Norfolk North West	Henry Bellingham	72,062	67.7	55.8	25.7	5.1	6.5	3.9	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
422	149	Broadland	Keith Simpson	77,334	72.4	53.5	23.4	10.2	6.2	3.8	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
422	148	Norfolk North	Norman Lamb	69,263	75.3	37.2	6.8	50.0	2.4	1.5	0.0	0.0	2.0	LIB	LIB
425	146	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	80,026	69.6	54.5	23.8	7.4	7.1	4.3	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
434	137	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	87,758	70.8	54.8	23.2	8.0	3.4	6.4	0.0	0.0	4.2	CON	CON
435	136	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,149	65.0	56.5	24.8	5.7	7.9	2.2	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
440	131	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	75,967	73.2	54.2	22.1	10.0	3.4	7.5	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
442	129	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	78,116	72.4	55.7	23.5	6.6	6.3	5.1	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
452	119	Hertford and Stortford	Mark Prisk	82,429	72.8	55.9	22.3	10.4	3.4	5.2	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
455	116	Hertfordshire South West	David Gauke	80,293	75.5	53.5	19.4	13.9	5.5	4.8	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
457	114	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,554	71.0	56.7	22.4	7.6	6.4	4.1	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
458	113	Bedfordshire North East	Alistair Burt	86,988	73.8	56.5	22.2	8.0	6.3	4.1	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
460	111	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	75,967	71.4	56.1	21.5	8.1	6.1	5.4	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
463	108	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	76,984	67.2	56.7	21.9	6.5	8.0	4.0	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
467	104	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	83,800	75.4	57.2	22.2	8.3	3.4	5.0	0.0	0.0	3.9	CON	CON
468	103	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,502	64.6	57.7	22.6	5.4	7.4	4.0	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
487	84	Norfolk South West	Elizabeth Truss	77,874	67.3	58.3	21.5	6.8	8.3	2.2	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
493	78	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,316	69.5	58.4	21.3	6.6	6.9	3.9	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
503	68	Clacton	Giles Watling	69,263	63.7	56.8	19.1	4.3	11.0	3.8	0.0	1.0	4.0	CON	CON
504	67	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,737	67.9	57.5	19.8	8.0	7.1	4.6	0.0	0.0	3.1	CON	CON
514	57	Witham	Priti Patel	69,137	71.2	59.9	20.2	7.8	3.4	5.9	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
532	39	Cambridgeshire North East	Stephen Barclay	84,404	63.1	60.0	18.3	6.7	7.5	4.1	0.0	0.0	3.4	CON	CON
539	32	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	83,690	72.8	57.4	14.5	16.3	6.8	2.2	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
544	27	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,470	64.4	62.8	18.8	4.6	8.7	2.2	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
547	24	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,556	70.4	62.3	18.1	5.1	7.6	4.1	0.0	0.0	2.9	CON	CON
558	13	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	74,911	70.6	61.4	14.2	10.6	6.9	3.9	0.0	0.0	3.1	CON	CON
564	7	Maldon	John Whittingdale	66,960	75.0	63.5	15.0	6.6	7.2	4.3	0.0	0.0	3.4	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.