Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 30.5%08-842
LAB 32.7%7 25.2%60+613
LIB 7.9%1 9.4%10+12
UKIP 2.5%0 5.6%00+00
Green 1.9%0 4.4%00+00
ChUK 0.0%0 5.8%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 17.2%10+11
Minor 0.3%0 2.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hemel Hempstead (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
88462Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.718.349.
89461Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.819.649.
109441Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.711.
119431Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.217.443.
238312Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.725.937.
247303Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.525.735.
250300Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.424.634.
275275Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.626.833.
277273Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.826.132.710.
286263Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.419.524.
297253Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.727.932.
311239Colchester Will Quince79,99666.925.827.514.
315235Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.327.
319231Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.927.728.
321229Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.
334216Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.730.428.
338212Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.827.725.
344206Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.
367183Southend West David Amess67,67769.730.825.
368182Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.431.626.
369180St Albans Anne Main72,81178.324.318.732.
373177Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.
382168Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.230.523.811.
385165Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.831.
391159Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.833.825.
396154Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.
401149Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.231.923.316.
402148Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.032.423.
403147Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.632.
407143Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.732.823.
410140Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.
411139Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.232.823.
418132Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.634.
419131Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.733.
420130Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.632.722.
421129Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.232.922.
422128Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.833.
426124Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.433.322.
432118Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.433.822.
438112Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.232.621.
443107Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.633.822.
444106Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.834.823.
446104Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.533.521.611.
450100Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.433.921.
46288Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.933.421.
46684Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.731.
46783Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.835.
46882Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.534.
47080Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.334.
47773Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.435.922.
47970Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.323.510.
49060Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.133.819.
49357Witham Priti Patel69,13771.
51436Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.436.419.
52030Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.835.618.
52525Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.437.319.
53317Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.636.817.
54010Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.038.517.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.