Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 22.5%713-617
LAB 29.4%27 15.7%027-270
LIB 13.2%7 13.1%02-25
Reform 17.5%3 30.9%320+3235
Green 6.9%1 13.6%20+23
Other 2.4%0 4.2%10+11

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Clacton (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: Green).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
Reform
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
8318Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.98.526.212.711.536.03.41.7LABGreen
70256Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.923.117.415.416.118.39.50.3LABCON
78248Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.07.923.27.823.334.10.03.7LABGreen
79248Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.118.222.410.622.619.34.22.7LABReform
81246Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.921.023.213.623.616.40.02.2LABReform
85241Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.815.119.05.920.119.620.40.0LABMIN
87240Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.113.628.96.930.316.20.04.1LABReform
92235Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.117.822.513.224.518.50.03.5LABReform
132195Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.921.519.315.425.415.80.02.6LABReform
139188Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.920.522.09.628.815.50.03.6LABReform
141185St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.015.29.737.716.817.50.03.1LIBLIB
148179Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.914.518.07.525.420.10.014.6LABReform
156171Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.419.019.411.827.320.10.02.5LABReform
161166Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.120.518.614.827.416.00.02.6LABReform
164162Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.021.38.437.717.413.30.01.9LIBLIB
167159Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.225.65.045.214.28.30.01.7LIBLIB
168158Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.432.817.96.827.412.30.02.8LABCON
192135Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.717.920.28.831.918.50.02.6LABReform
195131Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.227.012.122.824.410.30.03.3LIBCON
196131Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.217.720.65.932.814.36.81.9LABReform
203123St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.720.99.230.822.313.90.02.9LIBLIB
207120Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.618.517.410.530.919.50.03.3LABReform
207119Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.130.516.68.530.111.30.03.0LABCON
209117Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.634.311.315.725.210.00.03.5CONCON
212114Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.924.17.531.921.712.10.91.8LIBLIB
217110Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.527.017.87.432.411.80.03.6LABReform
220107Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.519.218.610.233.315.80.03.0LABReform
223104Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.419.315.815.830.716.10.02.3LABReform
24087Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.319.014.98.131.49.816.10.7LABReform
25374Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.128.516.85.435.69.70.03.9LABReform
26165Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.134.89.73.029.79.113.30.5LABCON
26462Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.844.88.76.329.36.90.04.0CONCON
26462Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.136.512.18.332.87.50.02.8CONCON
26957Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.345.78.85.131.26.10.03.2CONCON
27156Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.317.816.88.439.514.20.03.3LABReform
27155Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.140.810.54.933.27.00.03.7CONCON
27254Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.839.510.56.333.57.40.02.9CONCON
27750Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.618.217.26.940.59.80.07.4ReformReform
27848Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.438.510.76.234.17.50.03.1CONCON
28443Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.923.75.830.331.76.10.02.3LIBReform
28442Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.040.89.05.634.96.60.03.0LABCON
28938Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.031.812.46.738.77.20.03.2CONReform
28937Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.740.79.64.136.06.40.03.2CONCON
28937Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.441.88.65.835.06.40.02.4CONCON
28937Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.537.510.24.536.78.00.03.2LABCON
29037Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.634.09.36.236.110.60.03.8CONReform
29136Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.534.410.06.936.98.80.03.0CONReform
29235Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.419.715.26.842.210.30.05.8ReformReform
29334Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.136.910.25.137.36.80.03.7CONReform
30126Witham Priti Patel79,07264.037.88.74.838.46.70.03.6CONReform
30323Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.140.97.26.137.74.90.03.1CONCON
30621Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.834.79.73.841.16.40.04.3CONReform
30720Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.838.78.04.339.46.00.03.5CONReform
31413Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.036.58.34.342.15.70.03.2CONReform
31710Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.739.06.15.842.04.50.02.7CONReform
3189Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.837.06.34.442.64.51.63.6CONReform
3198Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.935.76.86.044.04.90.02.5CONReform
3216Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.737.16.44.745.04.60.02.3CONReform
3233Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.26.42.21.941.545.20.02.8GreenGreen
3252Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.331.75.32.854.43.80.01.9CONReform
3261Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.427.64.84.056.04.30.03.2ReformReform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.