Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 30.6%00+023
LAB 29.4%27 29.4%00+027
LIB 13.2%7 13.3%00+07
Reform 17.5%3 17.5%00+03
Green 6.9%1 6.9%00+01
Other 2.4%0 2.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Norwich South' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Southend East and Rochford (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Norwich North (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
111423Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.012.947.68.011.618.30.01.6LABLAB
115419Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.912.146.620.30.016.32.32.5LABLAB
208326Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.121.745.44.618.09.60.00.7LABLAB
216318Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.122.045.110.011.25.92.43.4LABLAB
231303Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.221.342.73.125.54.31.81.1LABLAB
247287Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.818.637.95.112.15.011.310.0LABLAB
250284Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.123.541.914.214.85.40.00.2LABLAB
258276Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.917.635.46.412.56.314.07.8LABLAB
262272Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.726.643.35.116.08.30.00.8LABLAB
274260Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.925.941.48.118.06.20.00.3LABLAB
276258Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.928.543.99.412.95.00.00.3LABLAB
317217Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.127.238.211.617.45.60.00.0LABLAB
320214Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.924.735.317.111.15.56.00.4LABLAB
327207Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.528.738.85.818.26.80.01.7LABLAB
340194Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.429.738.57.715.48.10.00.5LABLAB
347187Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.433.241.06.413.26.20.00.0LABLAB
352181Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.624.631.82.735.34.30.01.3ReformReform
362172Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.131.937.63.121.85.20.00.3LABLAB
364170Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.929.335.011.615.38.00.00.7LABLAB
373161Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.329.834.63.624.77.40.00.0LABLAB
373160Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.425.830.52.830.84.30.05.7ReformReform
375159Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.531.535.66.817.66.90.01.5LABLAB
381153Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.131.334.910.416.17.20.00.0LABLAB
385149Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.630.132.96.316.911.30.02.5LABLAB
388146Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.429.531.714.115.98.90.00.0LABLAB
399135Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.031.132.514.117.54.60.00.2LABLAB
400134Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.325.326.75.922.54.114.21.2LABLAB
409125Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.131.832.04.212.96.112.11.0LABLAB
410124Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.533.233.37.219.76.70.00.0LABLAB
413121Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.830.730.65.527.05.00.01.3CONCON
420114Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.433.031.511.217.96.50.00.0CONCON
424110Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.734.432.07.420.45.80.00.0CONCON
425109Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.134.131.48.317.35.20.03.6CONCON
428106Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.835.132.29.315.55.80.02.1CONCON
44391Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.135.630.811.214.15.20.03.0CONCON
45282Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.533.026.713.219.08.20.00.0CONCON
45480Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.036.529.96.820.56.20.00.0CONCON
45579Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.136.830.16.320.55.70.00.6CONCON
45975Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.834.327.29.320.96.30.02.0CONCON
46371Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.035.528.05.923.25.90.01.5CONCON
46667St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.018.210.056.68.46.30.00.4LIBLIB
46866Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.632.623.411.719.012.20.01.2CONCON
47559Witham Priti Patel79,07264.037.227.06.919.57.00.02.4CONCON
47955Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.438.828.210.816.45.90.00.0CONCON
48351Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.936.125.014.619.54.80.00.0CONCON
48350Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.427.916.24.446.24.20.01.1ReformReform
48945Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.737.024.68.525.34.60.00.0CONCON
49242Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.843.329.612.80.16.00.08.3CONCON
49341Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.136.722.912.024.33.70.00.4CONCON
49539Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.634.120.024.914.15.20.01.7CONCON
49538Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.231.817.532.712.34.50.01.2LIBLIB
49737Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.338.123.33.330.15.20.00.0CONCON
49835St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.728.213.137.010.85.00.05.8LIBLIB
50132Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.027.511.146.98.94.80.00.8LIBLIB
50331Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.344.728.07.813.74.70.01.1CONCON
51023Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.930.512.039.913.33.10.20.9LIBLIB
51222Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.738.919.711.825.04.60.00.0CONCON
51617Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.230.39.42.515.941.70.00.2GreenGreen
51816Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.841.520.47.023.15.10.52.3CONCON
5249Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.230.57.550.27.83.60.00.4LIBLIB
5312Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.935.96.141.413.53.00.00.0LIBLIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.