Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 28.2%016-1634
LAB 32.7%7 18.8%21+18
LIB 7.9%1 19.1%50+56
Brexit 0.0%0 23.8%100+1010
Green 1.9%0 6.7%00+00
UKIP 2.5%0 1.2%00+00
Other 0.3%0 2.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton North, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Huntingdon (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Luton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
67386Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.820.947.712.310.
68385Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.719.346.113.512.
157296Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.
164288Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.79.524.446.
215238Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.726.333.113.818.
223230Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.525.630.617.616.
229224Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.424.428.714.621.
245208Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.624.226.815.
245207Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.421.624.
256197Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.825.726.122.516.
263190Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.726.425.515.623.
269184Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.326.623.414.
273179Colchester Will Quince79,99666.922.918.529.919.
274178Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.227.322.812.
274178Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.826.021.011.631.
275177Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.226.821.312.429.
284169Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.928.121.619.320.
291162Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.729.021.717.922.
298154Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.127.818.810.932.
305148Southend West David Amess67,67769.728.819.417.
317135St Albans Anne Main72,81178.323.112.642.613.
324129Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.830.519.215.825.
325128Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.227.716.124.521.
326127Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.828.717.120.822.
327126Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.429.117.425.617.
327125Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.729.517.813.
328124Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.318.66.747.821.
330123Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.030.318.013.728.
330122Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.226.714.331.
333120Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.629.416.615.528.
335118Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.630.217.316.326.
335117Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.
336117Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.
342111Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.629.716.520.
344109Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.429.115.819.325.
346107Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.730.016.617.
349103Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.728.714.810.
352101Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.830.115.917.624.
35499Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.631.717.413.
36093Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.430.816.216.326.
36390Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.230.915.914.528.
36389Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.330.615.613.530.
36489Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.230.715.619.722.
36885Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.430.615.
36983Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.130.214.413.
37677Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.531.515.514.428.
37875Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.034.718.617.
38073Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.831.515.420.922.
38766Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.832.315.617.624.
39063Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.932.515.516.
39359Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.431.614.410.934.
39459Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.531.414.324.619.
39756Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.432.915.318.
39954Witham Priti Patel69,13771.232.414.616.
41736Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.433.213.712.631.
41934Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.831.612.024.523.
43320Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.633.412.118.427.
44211Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.035.412.314.728.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.