Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 50.3%01-149
LAB 32.7%7 29.5%10+18
LIB 7.9%1 10.6%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 5.3%00+00
Green 1.9%0 3.0%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 1.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harlow (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bedford (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
92476Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.712.848.631.72.53.30.00.01.1LABLAB
111457Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.828.760.64.52.82.50.00.00.9LABLAB
113455Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.226.257.78.32.84.00.00.00.9LABLAB
115453Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.727.959.25.14.62.10.00.01.3LABLAB
242326Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.540.943.68.62.83.20.00.00.9LABLAB
243325Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.441.444.15.15.52.80.00.01.2LABLAB
245323Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.742.444.86.12.82.90.00.00.9LABLAB
260308Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.435.135.54.422.91.10.00.00.9CONLAB
263305Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.643.443.36.02.82.80.00.01.7CONCON
282286Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.841.338.811.94.82.40.00.00.9CONCON
299269Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.745.940.16.92.83.30.00.00.9CONCON
313255Colchester Will Quince79,99666.941.532.019.72.82.70.00.01.2CONCON
317251Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.344.433.75.46.62.80.06.20.9CONCON
325243Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.946.733.510.25.62.70.00.01.3CONCON
332236Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.249.735.14.96.82.60.00.00.9CONCON
341227Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.250.033.64.76.53.70.00.01.5CONCON
344224Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.849.832.85.09.12.40.00.00.9CONCON
345223Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.750.633.69.02.83.10.00.00.9CONCON
358210St Albans Anne Main72,81178.338.819.835.22.82.60.00.00.9CONCON
362206Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.448.729.313.42.83.40.00.02.4CONCON
365203Southend West David Amess67,67769.750.830.77.26.42.90.00.02.0CONCON
384184Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.249.326.514.95.72.60.00.00.9CONCON
387181Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.850.827.611.36.53.00.00.00.9CONCON
388180Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.152.529.24.39.62.60.00.01.7CONCON
391177Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.247.424.021.42.83.50.00.00.9CONCON
398170Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.854.930.57.52.82.80.00.01.5CONCON
399169Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.249.024.421.72.81.10.00.00.9CONCON
407161Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.653.927.711.12.83.70.00.00.9CONCON
412156Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.253.727.29.72.84.20.00.02.3CONCON
416152Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.754.227.28.26.13.20.00.01.2CONCON
417151Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.654.327.27.76.83.10.00.00.9CONCON
418150Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.755.928.75.66.02.90.00.00.9CONCON
419149Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.453.526.410.75.72.80.00.00.9CONCON
424144Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.654.626.87.96.63.20.00.00.9CONCON
431137Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.854.826.28.52.85.30.00.02.3CONCON
433135Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.056.627.86.27.31.10.00.00.9CONCON
435132Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.38.350.62.20.90.00.00.7LIBLIB
437131Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.254.325.110.52.86.50.00.00.9CONCON
440128Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.455.826.57.15.74.10.00.00.9CONCON
447121Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.856.025.310.82.84.10.00.00.9CONCON
451117Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.553.622.414.45.03.70.00.00.9CONCON
452116Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.056.725.48.15.83.00.00.00.9CONCON
453115Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.856.625.28.55.83.00.00.00.9CONCON
456112Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.456.224.58.65.54.30.00.00.9CONCON
461107Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.256.824.97.07.52.90.00.00.9CONCON
464104Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.325.28.82.84.00.00.02.0CONCON
465103Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.657.825.65.96.92.90.00.00.9CONCON
48088Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.358.424.57.37.71.10.00.00.9CONCON
49078Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.558.524.37.16.32.90.00.00.9CONCON
49672Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.756.922.14.810.42.80.01.02.0CONCON
49870Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.957.622.88.46.53.60.00.01.1CONCON
51058Witham Priti Patel69,13771.260.023.28.32.84.80.00.00.9CONCON
52939Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.160.121.37.26.93.00.00.01.5CONCON
53632Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.857.417.516.86.31.10.00.00.9CONCON
54226Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.462.921.85.18.21.10.00.00.9CONCON
54424Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.462.421.15.67.03.00.00.00.9CONCON
55513Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.661.417.211.16.32.90.00.01.1CONCON
5608Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.063.618.07.16.63.30.00.01.4CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.