Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 30.6% | 23 | 31.3% | 10 | 1 | +9 | 32 |
LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 23.8% | 0 | 11 | -11 | 16 |
LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 14.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 7 |
Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 22.1% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
Green | 6.9% | 1 | 7.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
Other | 2.4% | 0 | 1.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Norwich South' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hertford and Stortford (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
110 | 406 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 13.5 | 42.0 | 8.8 | 16.4 | 18.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
113 | 403 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 12.8 | 40.9 | 21.2 | 5.2 | 16.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
208 | 308 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 22.3 | 39.8 | 5.3 | 22.4 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LAB | LAB |
213 | 303 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 22.7 | 39.4 | 10.9 | 16.8 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
226 | 290 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 21.9 | 37.1 | 3.9 | 30.1 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | LAB | LAB |
241 | 275 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 19.6 | 32.2 | 6.3 | 20.5 | 5.8 | 11.3 | 4.2 | LAB | LAB |
244 | 272 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 24.1 | 36.2 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | LAB | LAB |
253 | 263 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 18.6 | 29.7 | 7.6 | 20.0 | 6.9 | 14.0 | 3.1 | LAB | LAB |
255 | 261 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 27.1 | 37.7 | 5.8 | 20.4 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LAB | LAB |
266 | 250 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 26.5 | 35.8 | 8.8 | 22.2 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | LAB | LAB |
268 | 248 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 29.1 | 38.3 | 10.1 | 17.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | LAB | LAB |
306 | 210 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 27.7 | 32.5 | 12.3 | 21.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
309 | 207 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 25.3 | 29.7 | 17.8 | 15.3 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 0.1 | LAB | LAB |
311 | 205 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 29.3 | 33.1 | 6.6 | 23.0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
327 | 189 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 30.3 | 32.9 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LAB | LAB |
333 | 183 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 33.7 | 35.3 | 7.1 | 17.3 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
337 | 178 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 25.3 | 26.1 | 3.5 | 39.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | Reform | Reform |
348 | 168 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 32.4 | 31.9 | 3.8 | 26.0 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | LAB | CON |
350 | 166 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 29.9 | 29.3 | 12.4 | 19.7 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LAB | CON |
355 | 161 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 30.3 | 28.9 | 4.3 | 28.8 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
359 | 156 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 26.6 | 24.9 | 3.9 | 37.5 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 2.3 | Reform | Reform |
360 | 156 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 32.1 | 30.0 | 7.6 | 22.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | CON |
364 | 152 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 31.8 | 29.3 | 11.1 | 20.2 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
369 | 147 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 30.8 | 27.2 | 7.1 | 22.1 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | CON |
373 | 143 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 30.1 | 26.0 | 14.8 | 19.9 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
382 | 134 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 31.6 | 26.8 | 14.8 | 21.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | LAB | CON |
383 | 132 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 25.9 | 21.0 | 6.7 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 14.2 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
391 | 125 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 32.4 | 26.4 | 5.0 | 17.4 | 6.5 | 12.1 | 0.4 | LAB | CON |
392 | 124 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 33.7 | 27.6 | 7.9 | 23.7 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
394 | 121 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 31.3 | 24.9 | 6.2 | 31.6 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
401 | 115 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 33.5 | 25.8 | 11.9 | 22.0 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
406 | 110 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 34.9 | 26.3 | 8.1 | 24.5 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
409 | 107 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 34.9 | 25.7 | 9.2 | 23.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | CON |
410 | 106 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 35.8 | 26.5 | 10.1 | 20.5 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
425 | 91 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 36.3 | 25.1 | 12.1 | 19.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | CON |
432 | 84 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 33.5 | 21.0 | 13.9 | 23.0 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
435 | 81 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 37.1 | 24.2 | 7.5 | 24.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
436 | 80 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 37.4 | 24.5 | 7.0 | 24.8 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | CON | CON |
440 | 76 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 34.9 | 21.5 | 10.1 | 25.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
445 | 71 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 36.2 | 22.4 | 6.7 | 27.9 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
447 | 68 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 18.8 | 4.4 | 57.3 | 12.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LIB | LIB |
450 | 66 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 33.2 | 17.7 | 12.4 | 23.6 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
456 | 60 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 37.9 | 21.4 | 7.7 | 24.6 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | CON |
458 | 58 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 39.3 | 22.6 | 11.5 | 20.4 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
464 | 52 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 36.7 | 19.3 | 15.3 | 23.6 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
464 | 51 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 28.5 | 10.5 | 5.2 | 50.7 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | Reform | Reform |
466 | 50 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 37.6 | 19.0 | 9.2 | 29.4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
473 | 43 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 37.3 | 17.3 | 12.8 | 28.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | CON | CON |
475 | 41 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 44.3 | 23.9 | 14.0 | 7.9 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 3.3 | CON | CON |
477 | 39 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 34.8 | 14.3 | 25.7 | 18.9 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
477 | 38 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 32.4 | 11.8 | 33.5 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LIB | LIB |
479 | 37 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 38.7 | 17.6 | 4.0 | 34.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
481 | 34 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 29.1 | 7.4 | 38.1 | 17.5 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | LIB | LIB |
483 | 32 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 28.0 | 5.4 | 47.6 | 13.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LIB | LIB |
484 | 32 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 45.3 | 22.4 | 8.5 | 18.3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | CON | CON |
491 | 24 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 31.1 | 6.4 | 40.6 | 17.8 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | LIB | LIB |
493 | 23 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 39.4 | 14.0 | 12.5 | 29.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
496 | 19 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 30.8 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 19.8 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | Green | Green |
500 | 16 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 42.2 | 14.8 | 7.8 | 28.3 | 5.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
501 | 14 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 30.9 | 3.2 | 50.8 | 11.0 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LIB | LIB |
511 | 4 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 36.3 | 2.6 | 41.9 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.