Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 26.0%517-1211
LAB 29.4%27 20.9%015-1512
LIB 13.2%7 14.0%02-25
Reform 17.5%3 28.2%290+2932
Green 6.9%1 9.3%00+01
Other 2.4%0 1.7%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Norfolk North (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
38234Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.910.836.120.37.921.32.21.3LABLAB
60212Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.013.035.712.418.019.20.01.6LABLAB
122150Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.119.531.08.827.911.70.01.1LABLAB
128144Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.120.530.612.423.19.72.11.5LABLAB
134138Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.922.932.312.223.38.40.00.8LABLAB
142130Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.120.929.214.225.49.30.00.9LABLAB
144128Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.820.128.210.221.97.78.23.8LABLAB
145127Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.918.426.410.623.08.99.92.8LABLAB
149123Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.721.929.19.227.711.00.01.1LABLAB
165106Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.221.525.86.836.47.31.70.5LABReform
167104Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.924.227.610.427.89.30.00.6LABReform
168104Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.922.725.915.521.19.35.30.2LABLAB
169103Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.426.428.89.925.09.10.00.8LABLAB
17696Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.426.827.710.723.211.00.00.7LABLAB
17695Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.925.025.713.026.09.80.00.6LABReform
17695Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.125.325.912.426.89.00.00.5LABReform
18190Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.526.025.19.229.19.70.01.0LABReform
18488Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.127.025.012.325.89.50.00.5LABCON
18685Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.621.618.67.444.47.00.01.0ReformReform
18685Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.425.722.714.226.810.00.00.5LABReform
18685St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.017.714.542.614.79.50.01.0LIBLIB
18685Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.625.421.910.627.413.40.01.3LABReform
18883Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.426.522.612.130.77.70.00.4CONReform
18883Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.125.821.87.427.48.48.90.4LABReform
18983Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.528.724.69.626.59.60.01.0LABCON
18982Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.321.717.09.036.46.88.70.4LABReform
18982Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.128.223.310.928.67.60.01.4CONReform
18982Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.127.122.07.833.88.50.00.8LABReform
19082Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.028.022.713.227.87.70.00.6LABCON
19081Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.326.120.88.034.69.80.00.7LABReform
19081Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.423.518.27.940.87.30.02.4ReformReform
19280Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.829.123.411.526.78.30.01.0CONCON
19279Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.728.022.410.031.67.60.00.4CONReform
19279Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.527.121.110.231.39.70.00.6LABReform
19973Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.128.621.614.026.08.50.01.4CONCON
20368Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.526.618.414.430.29.90.00.5CONReform
20566St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.723.314.329.921.88.10.02.6LIBLIB
20764Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.022.313.136.219.87.80.00.8LIBLIB
20962Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.827.117.611.633.58.90.01.2CONReform
21061Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.827.618.19.036.18.10.01.1CONReform
21160Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.028.919.19.933.38.20.00.6CONReform
21557Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.431.121.011.727.97.90.00.5CONCON
21655Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.627.116.313.229.712.80.00.9CONReform
21655Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.029.118.29.433.98.30.01.0CONReform
21854Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.226.615.625.624.37.30.00.7LIBCON
21853Witham Priti Patel79,07264.029.518.210.231.99.00.01.2CONReform
22051Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.130.718.79.331.88.60.00.9CONReform
22250Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.629.317.221.023.37.90.01.3CONCON
22348Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.928.416.014.233.67.20.00.5CONReform
22843Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.424.710.67.550.35.80.01.0ReformReform
23140Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.130.316.013.133.16.70.00.7CONReform
23239Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.225.411.038.817.26.90.00.8LIBLIB
23239Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.223.48.67.027.732.80.00.5GreenGreen
23636Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.835.119.514.818.29.40.03.0CONCON
23635Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.731.916.310.134.17.00.00.7CONReform
24131Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.928.912.328.722.26.90.30.7LIBCON
24625Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.731.414.012.335.16.70.00.6CONReform
24625Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.332.214.76.838.76.90.00.7CONReform
24725Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.336.518.911.024.58.20.00.9CONCON
25417Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.832.113.29.336.87.00.51.2CONReform
25813Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.928.78.329.228.54.90.00.3LIBLIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.