Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	54.6%	50	40.7%	3	1	+2	52
LAB	32.7%	7	19.9%	0	4	-4	3
LIB	7.9%	1	19.5%	2	0	+2	3
Brexit	0.0%	0	13.9%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.9%	0	3.6%	0	0	+0	0
UKIP	2.5%	0	0.8%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.3%	0	1.6%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2017	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Brexit %	Green %	UKIP %	MIN %	OTH %	2017 Win	Pred Win
99	448	Luton South	Gavin Shuker	67,188	68.7	27.7	43.7	12.0	11.1	3.3	0.8	0.0	1.3	LAB	LAB
107	440	Luton North	Kelvin Hopkins	66,811	69.8	29.2	43.7	11.2	10.7	3.3	0.7	0.0	1.2	LAB	LAB
137	409	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	78,003	71.7	16.2	26.8	42.7	5.1	7.0	0.7	0.0	1.4	LAB	LIB
161	386	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	74,182	69.2	24.6	32.1	20.5	8.3	12.1	0.9	0.0	1.6	LAB	LAB
252	295	Peterborough	Fiona Onasanya	71,522	66.7	36.3	31.7	13.0	13.5	3.4	0.8	0.0	1.4	LAB	CON
256	291	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,829	67.5	35.0	30.1	17.3	11.2	4.0	0.7	0.0	1.6	LAB	CON
262	285	Ipswich	Sandy Martin	74,799	68.4	35.0	29.3	14.6	14.3	4.2	0.9	0.0	1.8	LAB	CON
279	268	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	66,924	68.6	36.1	27.8	15.5	13.4	4.3	0.8	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
288	259	Watford	Richard Harrington	86,507	67.8	35.4	26.1	21.4	11.6	3.4	0.8	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
294	253	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	78,153	64.4	34.6	24.7	10.8	24.2	2.3	1.8	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
304	243	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	70,765	69.7	38.2	26.2	15.9	13.4	3.9	0.8	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
310	237	Colchester	Will Quince	79,996	66.9	33.1	20.1	29.1	11.5	3.8	0.8	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
319	228	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	73,501	64.3	39.0	24.0	14.6	15.9	3.9	0.9	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
330	217	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	72,888	70.9	38.8	22.6	19.3	12.7	3.9	0.8	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
339	208	Harlow	Robert Halfon	67,697	66.2	40.9	23.5	12.4	17.5	3.1	1.0	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
345	202	Waveney	Peter Aldous	80,784	65.2	40.6	22.5	13.4	16.7	3.9	1.0	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
346	201	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	75,011	69.7	40.7	22.4	18.2	12.9	3.5	0.7	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
352	194	St Albans	Anne Main	72,811	78.3	32.4	13.8	41.1	7.8	3.0	0.6	0.0	1.3	CON	LIB
353	194	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,408	61.8	40.6	22.0	12.2	19.4	2.9	1.1	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
368	179	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	75,916	77.4	39.4	19.1	25.8	8.8	4.0	0.7	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
373	174	Southend West	David Amess	67,677	69.7	40.9	20.3	17.8	14.3	3.6	0.9	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
383	164	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	81,045	70.2	39.2	17.7	24.6	12.9	3.2	0.8	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
384	163	Cambridgeshire South	Heidi Allen	85,257	76.2	37.3	15.6	32.4	8.6	4.0	0.7	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
386	161	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,320	70.8	40.6	18.6	21.3	13.5	3.5	0.9	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
389	158	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,121	73.2	38.2	15.8	31.2	10.1	2.6	0.7	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
392	155	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	73,541	64.1	42.7	20.0	11.3	20.2	2.6	1.2	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
395	152	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,670	69.8	43.2	20.4	16.6	13.8	3.3	0.8	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
407	139	Norfolk North	Norman Lamb	69,263	75.3	31.5	7.2	46.7	11.7	1.5	0.3	0.0	1.2	LIB	LIB
409	138	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	93,223	68.6	43.1	18.8	16.9	15.3	3.3	0.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
413	134	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	83,056	73.6	42.5	17.9	21.4	12.0	3.9	0.7	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
421	126	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	87,758	70.8	42.6	17.4	18.5	12.7	5.7	0.8	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
422	125	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	71,294	71.7	43.3	18.1	18.3	14.3	3.5	0.9	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
423	124	Norfolk North West	Henry Bellingham	72,062	67.7	44.5	19.2	14.1	16.6	3.1	0.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
425	122	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	79,366	73.2	42.8	17.5	19.8	12.9	4.1	0.8	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
427	120	Broadland	Keith Simpson	77,334	72.4	42.6	17.3	20.6	14.0	3.1	0.8	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
429	118	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,149	65.0	44.7	19.3	14.1	17.3	2.0	0.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
433	114	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	80,026	69.6	43.7	18.0	16.6	15.7	3.5	0.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
438	109	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	75,967	73.2	42.8	16.9	20.9	11.4	5.6	0.7	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
443	104	Hertford and Stortford	Mark Prisk	82,429	72.8	43.5	17.1	21.8	11.4	4.0	0.7	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
445	102	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	78,116	72.4	44.3	17.6	17.5	14.1	4.1	0.9	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
449	98	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,554	71.0	45.2	18.4	18.5	12.0	3.3	0.8	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
452	95	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	76,984	67.2	44.6	17.5	15.3	16.9	3.1	1.0	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
453	94	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,502	64.6	45.7	18.4	13.7	16.9	2.9	0.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
456	91	Hertfordshire South West	David Gauke	80,293	75.5	42.7	15.4	25.2	10.9	3.6	0.7	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
460	87	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	75,967	71.4	44.1	16.5	19.4	13.8	3.7	0.8	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
469	78	Bedfordshire North East	Alistair Burt	86,988	73.8	45.0	17.1	18.7	13.5	3.3	0.8	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
471	76	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	83,800	75.4	45.1	16.8	19.4	12.1	3.9	0.8	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
478	69	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,316	69.5	45.7	16.9	15.5	16.2	3.1	0.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
483	64	Norfolk South West	Elizabeth Truss	77,874	67.3	45.9	17.0	14.4	17.8	2.3	1.0	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
493	54	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,737	67.9	45.9	16.1	16.8	15.2	3.5	0.8	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
497	50	Clacton	Giles Watling	69,263	63.7	46.2	15.9	11.0	21.1	2.5	1.1	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
498	49	Cambridgeshire North East	Stephen Barclay	84,404	63.1	46.2	15.7	13.9	18.6	2.9	1.0	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
500	47	Witham	Priti Patel	69,137	71.2	46.4	15.8	17.2	13.9	4.4	0.7	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
506	41	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	83,690	72.8	44.4	13.2	25.2	12.9	2.2	0.7	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
525	22	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,470	64.4	48.8	15.6	11.7	19.6	1.9	0.9	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
530	17	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,556	70.4	49.0	14.9	13.7	17.3	2.8	0.9	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
535	12	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	74,911	70.6	48.0	13.1	19.0	14.9	2.7	0.7	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
540	7	Maldon	John Whittingdale	66,960	75.0	49.3	13.6	16.2	15.5	2.9	0.8	0.0	1.8	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.