Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 54.5%20+252
LAB 32.7%7 26.9%02-25
LIB 7.9%1 13.9%00+01
Brexit 0.0%0 0.7%00+00
Green 1.9%0 1.9%00+00
UKIP 2.5%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.3%0 2.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cambridgeshire South East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
65509Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.732.
82492Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.716.338.
95479Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.831.650.
100474Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.227.045.315.
205369Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.538.342.911.
246328Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.444.540.
256318Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.745.637.
272302Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.848.333.416.
279295Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.651.034.911.
289285Colchester Will Quince79,99666.946.127.823.
292282St Albans Anne Main72,81178.340.521.334.
298276Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.753.
299275Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.448.
304270Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.246.425.
305268Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.416.
314260Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.952.930.314.
322252Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.860.
324250Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.542.118.413.
330244Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.248.723.825.
334240Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.754.929.613.
338236Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.355.930.
349225Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.253.125.619.
365209Southend West David Amess67,67769.756.627.813.
367207Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.855.025.814.
376198Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.655.425.916.
381193Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.
388186Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.258.728.
391183Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.260.429.
396178Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.855.424.315.
401173Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.256.324.914.
404170Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.858.627.
419155Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.461.
428146Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.457.324.314.
430144Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.758.324.912.
434140Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.724.
447127Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.459.425.
452122Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.660.025.312.
456118Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.459.
462112Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.859.
466108Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.861.826.
469105Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.660.625.
48094Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.058.622.616.
49777Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.762.625.
51262Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.858.720.
51361Witham Priti Patel69,13771.261.522.812.
52252Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.563.223.711.
52351Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.063.624.
52846Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.164.925.
53242Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.263.323.411.
54232Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.664.423.610.
54430Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.962.521.412.
55618Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.365.322.
56113Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.664.318.713.
56311Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.
5659Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.066.219.812.
5686Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.467.820.310.
5695Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.769.
5713Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.470.320.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.