Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 57.2%52 41.0%08-844
LAB 24.4%5 34.4%70+712
LIB 13.4%1 13.9%10+12
Reform 0.4%0 2.7%00+00
Green 3.0%0 6.1%00+00
Other 1.7%0 2.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rochford and Southend East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bedford (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
72483Cambridge Daniel Zeichner79,95167.29.950.327.
95460Norwich South Clive Lewis77,84566.419.554.611.71.910.60.01.7LABLAB
144411Luton South Rachel Hopkins69,33860.725.653.
152403Luton North Sarah Owen68,18562.526.553.
224331Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,58166.130.847.
260295Watford Dean Russell83,35969.731.542.616.
274281Peterborough Paul Bristow72,56065.935.445.
276279Ipswich Tom Hunt75,52565.635.544.
280275Norwich North Chloe Smith67,17268.936.
295260Colchester Will Quince82,62564.633.339.816.
305250Stevenage Stephen McPartland71,56266.637.
313242Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps74,89269.536.640.
325230Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price79,65959.641.541.
335220Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge75,62461.041.439.
338216St Albans Daisy Cooper73,72778.126.924.740.
343212Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami76,32377.133.030.428.
344211Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning74,03569.339.737.
361193Cambridgeshire South Anthony Browne87,28876.731.726.733.
364191Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,65769.938.933.915.
365190Hertford and Stortford Julie Marson81,76573.539.534.514.
366189Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,76974.234.529.427.
374181Southend West David Amess69,04367.441.936.512.
382173Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald76,12372.740.
389166Harlow Robert Halfon68,07863.744.938.
394161Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,92666.742.535.511.
402153Chelmsford Vicky Ford80,39471.138.630.822.
403152Norfolk South Richard Bacon86,21472.541.633.814.
410145Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra80,44976.138.930.713.
414141Waveney Peter Aldous82,79161.844.735.
415140Bedfordshire North East Richard Fuller90,67871.742.833.412.
417138Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey81,91071.241.632.
426129Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries87,79573.743.032.813.
428127Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,97170.643.332.813.
432123Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara94,90968.
438117Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin74,15370.144.432.912.
446109Broadland Jerome Mayhew78,15172.943.431.515.
451104Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill89,64469.143.631.56.42.613.60.02.3CONCON
46491Norfolk Mid George Freeman82,20368.445.432.413.
47085Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter80,03770.345.231.612.
47382Broxbourne Charles Walker73,18263.847.
47679Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,95760.448.
47877Suffolk South James Cartlidge76,20170.244.930.513.
48273Suffolk West Matt Hancock80,19364.146.531.910.
48372Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,30467.745.931.311.
48867Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe74,44160.848.333.
49758Norfolk North West James Wild72,08064.748.
50154Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,90663.147.831.
52530Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch87,01772.544.726.918.
52629Braintree James Cleverly75,20867.148.830.710.
52827Witham Priti Patel70,40270.148.229.310.
53619Norfolk South West Liz Truss78,45565.650.329.
54213Norfolk North Duncan Baker70,72971.942.320.829.
54312Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,25570.449.826.613.
54510Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay83,69963.352.327.
5478Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,93069.653.
5505Maldon John Whittingdale72,43869.652.225.612.
5514Clacton Giles Watling70,93061.354.
5523Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,60863.655.927.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.