Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 57.2%52 55.3%01-151
LAB 24.4%5 28.8%10+16
LIB 13.4%1 8.6%00+01
Brexit 0.4%0 0.2%00+00
Green 3.0%0 3.9%00+00
Other 1.7%0 3.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Thurrock (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Watford (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
64500Cambridge Daniel Zeichner79,95167.214.154.921.
91473Norwich South Clive Lewis77,84566.427.
107457Luton North Sarah Owen68,18562.531.658.
112452Luton South Rachel Hopkins69,33860.729.
202362Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,58166.
229335Peterborough Paul Bristow72,56065.944.945.
231333Watford Dean Russell83,35969.743.743.
263301Norwich North Chloe Smith67,17268.948.743.
265299Ipswich Tom Hunt75,52565.648.542.
289275Colchester Will Quince82,62564.648.637.
299265Stevenage Stephen McPartland71,56266.651.338.
308256Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps74,89269.550.836.
328236Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price79,65959.656.736.
336228Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami76,32377.145.323.627.
338226Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge75,62461.056.834.
339225Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning74,03569.354.732.
339224St Albans Daisy Cooper73,72778.137.415.341.
352212Southend West David Amess69,04367.457.432.
356208Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,76974.248.222.923.
359205Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,65769.952.927.
361203Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald76,12372.754.729.
362202Hertford and Stortford Julie Marson81,76573.554.328.
366198Cambridgeshire South Anthony Browne87,28876.744.518.333.
374190Norfolk South Richard Bacon86,21472.556.
383181Harlow Robert Halfon68,07863.761.633.
387177Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey81,91071.254.726.
394170Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,92666.758.629.
400164Chelmsford Vicky Ford80,39471.154.124.716.
409155Waveney Peter Aldous82,79161.860.329.
412152Broadland Jerome Mayhew78,15172.957.726.
413151Bedfordshire North East Richard Fuller90,67871.757.326.
418146Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries87,79573.758.
422142Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra80,44976.147.715.
428136Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin74,15370.159.426.
439125Norfolk Mid George Freeman82,20368.460.627.
455109Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara94,90968.060.626.
456108Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,97170.660.726.
46995Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter80,03770.360.825.
47490Suffolk South James Cartlidge76,20170.260.424.
47787Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,95760.464.
48678Broxbourne Charles Walker73,18263.863.826.
49074Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill89,64469.
49470Norfolk North West James Wild72,08064.763.926.
50262Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,30467.762.624.
51054Suffolk West Matt Hancock80,19364.
51450Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe74,44160.864.324.
52539Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,90663.
53034Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch87,01772.561.119.611.
53232Norfolk North Duncan Baker70,72971.956.815.
54321Witham Priti Patel70,40270.164.821.
54420Braintree James Cleverly75,20867.165.722.
55113Norfolk South West Liz Truss78,45565.667.
55410Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,25570.466.718.
5568Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,93069.670.819.
5577Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay83,69963.370.719.
5595Clacton Giles Watling70,93061.370.418.
5604Maldon John Whittingdale72,43869.670.
5613Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,60863.674.919.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.