Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 28.2%016-1634
LAB 32.7%7 18.8%21+18
LIB 7.9%1 19.1%50+56
Brexit 0.0%0 23.8%100+1010
Green 1.9%0 6.7%00+00
UKIP 2.5%0 1.2%00+00
Other 0.3%0 2.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton North, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Huntingdon (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Luton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
67386Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.820.947.712.310.95.91.00.01.3LABLAB
68385Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.719.346.113.512.36.31.00.01.4LABLAB
157296Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.216.232.121.613.613.41.00.02.1LABLAB
164288Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.79.524.446.87.78.80.80.02.0LABLIB
215238Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.726.333.113.818.16.11.10.01.6LABLAB
223230Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.525.630.617.616.76.71.10.01.8LABLAB
229224Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.424.428.714.621.97.21.30.02.0LABLAB
245208Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.624.226.815.123.86.81.20.02.1CONLAB
245207Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.421.624.011.231.27.52.30.02.2CONBrexit
256197Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.825.726.122.516.16.71.10.01.8CONLAB
263190Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.726.425.515.623.06.41.10.02.0CONCON
269184Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.326.623.414.125.37.21.30.02.1CONCON
273179Colchester Will Quince79,99666.922.918.529.919.06.71.10.02.0CONLIB
274178Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.227.322.812.128.26.31.40.02.0CONBrexit
274178Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.826.021.011.631.36.51.50.02.1CONBrexit
275177Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.226.821.312.429.07.01.40.02.2CONBrexit
284169Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.928.121.619.320.47.31.20.02.2CONCON
291162Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.729.021.717.922.16.31.10.02.0CONCON
298154Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.127.818.810.932.66.31.60.02.1CONBrexit
305148Southend West David Amess67,67769.728.819.417.024.37.11.20.02.1CONCON
317135St Albans Anne Main72,81178.323.112.642.613.25.80.80.01.9CONLIB
324129Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.830.519.215.825.16.21.10.02.1CONCON
325128Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.227.716.124.521.66.71.10.02.1CONCON
326127Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.828.717.120.822.97.01.20.02.2CONCON
327126Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.429.117.425.617.27.31.00.02.4CONCON
327125Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.729.517.813.229.66.41.30.02.1CONBrexit
328124Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.318.66.747.821.03.60.60.01.7LIBLIB
330123Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.030.318.013.728.75.81.30.02.1CONCON
330122Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.226.714.331.219.05.80.90.02.1CONLIB
333120Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.629.416.615.528.36.81.30.02.2CONCON
335118Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.630.217.316.326.06.71.30.02.2CONCON
335117Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.227.014.032.216.96.80.90.02.3CONLIB
336117Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.229.216.218.725.66.91.10.02.3CONCON
342111Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.629.716.520.223.76.61.10.02.2CONCON
344109Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.429.115.819.325.86.51.20.02.2CONCON
346107Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.730.016.617.125.96.91.20.02.3CONCON
349103Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.728.714.810.236.36.21.60.02.1CONBrexit
352101Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.830.115.917.624.98.11.20.02.2CONCON
35499Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.631.717.413.228.06.31.40.02.0CONCON
36093Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.430.816.216.326.07.21.20.02.3CONCON
36390Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.230.915.914.528.86.51.40.02.0CONCON
36389Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.330.615.613.530.86.11.30.02.0CONBrexit
36489Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.230.715.619.722.87.71.10.02.3CONCON
36885Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.430.615.118.026.16.71.20.02.3CONCON
36983Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.130.214.413.132.86.01.40.02.0CONBrexit
37677Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.531.515.514.428.86.51.30.02.1CONCON
37875Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.034.718.617.019.67.01.10.02.1CONCON
38073Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.831.515.420.922.26.71.10.02.3CONCON
38766Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.832.315.617.624.56.71.10.02.2CONCON
39063Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.932.515.516.125.67.01.20.02.1CONCON
39359Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.431.614.410.934.25.61.30.02.0CONBrexit
39459Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.531.414.324.619.66.81.00.02.3CONCON
39756Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.432.915.318.223.56.81.10.02.2CONCON
39954Witham Priti Patel69,13771.232.414.616.027.16.71.10.02.1CONCON
41736Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.433.213.712.631.35.91.20.02.0CONCON
41934Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.831.612.024.523.15.71.00.02.2CONCON
43320Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.633.412.118.427.15.81.10.02.1CONCON
44211Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.035.412.314.728.46.01.10.02.1CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.