Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 30.6% | 23 | 26.0% | 5 | 17 | -12 | 11 |
LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 20.9% | 0 | 15 | -15 | 12 |
LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 14.0% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 28.2% | 29 | 0 | +29 | 32 |
Green | 6.9% | 1 | 9.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
Other | 2.4% | 0 | 1.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Norfolk North (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 | 234 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 10.8 | 36.1 | 20.3 | 7.9 | 21.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
60 | 212 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 13.0 | 35.7 | 12.4 | 18.0 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
122 | 150 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 19.5 | 31.0 | 8.8 | 27.9 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
128 | 144 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 20.5 | 30.6 | 12.4 | 23.1 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
134 | 138 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 22.9 | 32.3 | 12.2 | 23.3 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
142 | 130 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 20.9 | 29.2 | 14.2 | 25.4 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
144 | 128 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 20.1 | 28.2 | 10.2 | 21.9 | 7.7 | 8.2 | 3.8 | LAB | LAB |
145 | 127 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 18.4 | 26.4 | 10.6 | 23.0 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 2.8 | LAB | LAB |
149 | 123 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 21.9 | 29.1 | 9.2 | 27.7 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
165 | 106 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 21.5 | 25.8 | 6.8 | 36.4 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
167 | 104 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 24.2 | 27.6 | 10.4 | 27.8 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
168 | 104 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 22.7 | 25.9 | 15.5 | 21.1 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 0.2 | LAB | LAB |
169 | 103 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 26.4 | 28.8 | 9.9 | 25.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
176 | 96 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 26.8 | 27.7 | 10.7 | 23.2 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
176 | 95 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 25.0 | 25.7 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
176 | 95 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 25.3 | 25.9 | 12.4 | 26.8 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
181 | 90 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 26.0 | 25.1 | 9.2 | 29.1 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
184 | 88 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 27.0 | 25.0 | 12.3 | 25.8 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | CON |
186 | 85 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 21.6 | 18.6 | 7.4 | 44.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | Reform | Reform |
186 | 85 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 25.7 | 22.7 | 14.2 | 26.8 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
186 | 85 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 17.7 | 14.5 | 42.6 | 14.7 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LIB | LIB |
186 | 85 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 25.4 | 21.9 | 10.6 | 27.4 | 13.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
188 | 83 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 26.5 | 22.6 | 12.1 | 30.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | CON | Reform |
188 | 83 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 25.8 | 21.8 | 7.4 | 27.4 | 8.4 | 8.9 | 0.4 | LAB | Reform |
189 | 83 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 28.7 | 24.6 | 9.6 | 26.5 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | CON |
189 | 82 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 21.7 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 36.4 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 0.4 | LAB | Reform |
189 | 82 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 28.2 | 23.3 | 10.9 | 28.6 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
189 | 82 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 27.1 | 22.0 | 7.8 | 33.8 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
190 | 82 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 28.0 | 22.7 | 13.2 | 27.8 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | CON |
190 | 81 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 26.1 | 20.8 | 8.0 | 34.6 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
190 | 81 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 23.5 | 18.2 | 7.9 | 40.8 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | Reform | Reform |
192 | 80 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 29.1 | 23.4 | 11.5 | 26.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | CON |
192 | 79 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 28.0 | 22.4 | 10.0 | 31.6 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | CON | Reform |
192 | 79 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 27.1 | 21.1 | 10.2 | 31.3 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
199 | 73 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 28.6 | 21.6 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | CON |
203 | 68 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 26.6 | 18.4 | 14.4 | 30.2 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
205 | 66 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 23.3 | 14.3 | 29.9 | 21.8 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 2.6 | LIB | LIB |
207 | 64 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 22.3 | 13.1 | 36.2 | 19.8 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LIB | LIB |
209 | 62 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 27.1 | 17.6 | 11.6 | 33.5 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | Reform |
210 | 61 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 27.6 | 18.1 | 9.0 | 36.1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | CON | Reform |
211 | 60 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 28.9 | 19.1 | 9.9 | 33.3 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | Reform |
215 | 57 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 31.1 | 21.0 | 11.7 | 27.9 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
216 | 55 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 27.1 | 16.3 | 13.2 | 29.7 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
216 | 55 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 29.1 | 18.2 | 9.4 | 33.9 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | Reform |
218 | 54 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 26.6 | 15.6 | 25.6 | 24.3 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | CON |
218 | 53 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 29.5 | 18.2 | 10.2 | 31.9 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | Reform |
220 | 51 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 30.7 | 18.7 | 9.3 | 31.8 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
222 | 50 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 29.3 | 17.2 | 21.0 | 23.3 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | CON | CON |
223 | 48 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 28.4 | 16.0 | 14.2 | 33.6 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
228 | 43 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 24.7 | 10.6 | 7.5 | 50.3 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | Reform | Reform |
231 | 40 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 30.3 | 16.0 | 13.1 | 33.1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
232 | 39 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 25.4 | 11.0 | 38.8 | 17.2 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LIB | LIB |
232 | 39 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 23.4 | 8.6 | 7.0 | 27.7 | 32.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | Green | Green |
236 | 36 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 35.1 | 19.5 | 14.8 | 18.2 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | CON |
236 | 35 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 31.9 | 16.3 | 10.1 | 34.1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
241 | 31 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 28.9 | 12.3 | 28.7 | 22.2 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | LIB | CON |
246 | 25 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 31.4 | 14.0 | 12.3 | 35.1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | Reform |
246 | 25 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 32.2 | 14.7 | 6.8 | 38.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
247 | 25 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 36.5 | 18.9 | 11.0 | 24.5 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
254 | 17 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 32.1 | 13.2 | 9.3 | 36.8 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | CON | Reform |
258 | 13 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 28.7 | 8.3 | 29.2 | 28.5 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LIB | LIB |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.