| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 30.6% | 23 | 22.3% | 2 | 15 | -13 | 10 |
| LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 18.2% | 0 | 23 | -23 | 4 |
| LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 12.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 7 |
| Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 31.3% | 34 | 0 | +34 | 37 |
| Green | 6.9% | 1 | 12.6% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| Other | 2.4% | 0 | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cambridgeshire North West (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Hitchin (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 381 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 9.0 | 25.4 | 14.6 | 9.6 | 36.2 | 2.0 | 3.2 | LAB | Green |
| 23 | 361 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 5.9 | 44.9 | 2.6 | 36.3 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 3.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 28 | 356 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 8.0 | 41.6 | 5.5 | 34.7 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 54 | 330 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 22.0 | 26.1 | 12.7 | 22.1 | 15.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 64 | 320 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 16.6 | 25.9 | 15.2 | 23.6 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 81 | 303 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 11.6 | 35.4 | 3.8 | 35.9 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 82 | 302 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 8.7 | 37.1 | 4.3 | 37.6 | 8.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 84 | 299 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 11.0 | 21.7 | 8.1 | 22.7 | 32.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Green |
| 88 | 296 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 8.4 | 38.7 | 3.3 | 40.4 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 91 | 292 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 24.7 | 21.3 | 11.6 | 24.0 | 16.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | LAB | CON |
| 93 | 291 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 22.7 | 21.5 | 15.2 | 24.3 | 14.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 94 | 289 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 23.3 | 10.0 | 41.5 | 13.0 | 9.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 103 | 281 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 21.2 | 25.3 | 8.4 | 29.2 | 13.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 275 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 15.0 | 11.7 | 39.5 | 16.0 | 14.7 | 1.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 108 | 275 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 32.2 | 19.1 | 11.1 | 23.4 | 10.9 | 0.9 | 2.5 | CON | CON |
| 123 | 261 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 25.9 | 23.1 | 9.6 | 28.6 | 10.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | CON | Reform |
| 125 | 258 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 31.0 | 2.1 | 53.8 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 129 | 255 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 22.1 | 21.1 | 13.7 | 27.6 | 13.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 136 | 247 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 30.7 | 20.0 | 9.9 | 26.8 | 10.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | CON | CON |
| 136 | 247 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 25.2 | 11.7 | 28.1 | 18.7 | 12.6 | 0.7 | 3.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 143 | 241 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 24.1 | 19.9 | 13.6 | 27.4 | 12.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 146 | 238 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 21.0 | 22.4 | 11.0 | 30.1 | 12.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 159 | 224 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 23.3 | 12.9 | 29.4 | 21.8 | 9.7 | 0.8 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 181 | 202 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 21.0 | 14.3 | 27.0 | 25.1 | 9.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | LIB | LIB |
| 182 | 202 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 13.3 | 20.4 | 7.4 | 31.3 | 14.8 | 6.2 | 6.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 193 | 191 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 23.7 | 14.8 | 21.4 | 26.4 | 10.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | CON | Reform |
| 206 | 177 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 29.0 | 15.9 | 8.9 | 28.4 | 14.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | LAB | CON |
| 207 | 177 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 22.3 | 19.8 | 7.9 | 32.4 | 15.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 222 | 162 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 20.3 | 20.5 | 8.9 | 34.3 | 12.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 233 | 151 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 22.2 | 19.2 | 12.5 | 33.7 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | CON | Reform |
| 241 | 143 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 13.4 | 17.3 | 7.5 | 32.3 | 15.5 | 13.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 251 | 132 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 24.2 | 11.6 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 254 | 130 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 21.7 | 18.9 | 11.5 | 35.1 | 10.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 262 | 122 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 10.2 | 28.3 | 3.9 | 45.3 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 264 | 120 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 21.6 | 19.6 | 9.3 | 36.5 | 10.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | CON | Reform |
| 265 | 119 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 19.6 | 18.0 | 6.5 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 280 | 103 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 42.5 | 12.5 | 5.3 | 30.6 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
| 285 | 98 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 26.7 | 8.1 | 6.5 | 26.6 | 29.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | Green | Green |
| 302 | 82 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 20.9 | 18.4 | 7.2 | 38.6 | 12.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 304 | 80 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 28.9 | 16.5 | 7.8 | 36.8 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
| 320 | 64 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 19.7 | 18.9 | 7.5 | 40.0 | 11.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 321 | 62 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 44.9 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 31.9 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
| 321 | 62 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 36.5 | 12.0 | 6.5 | 33.4 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 2.1 | CON | CON |
| 331 | 53 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 27.5 | 15.0 | 7.2 | 37.5 | 10.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 335 | 49 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 32.2 | 13.9 | 7.3 | 36.7 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
| 347 | 37 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 34.7 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 35.8 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | CON | Reform |
| 350 | 34 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 32.2 | 14.2 | 5.1 | 39.0 | 7.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | CON | Reform |
| 355 | 29 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 32.2 | 10.4 | 7.8 | 35.7 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | CON | Reform |
| 356 | 28 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 19.3 | 15.5 | 8.3 | 40.9 | 9.2 | 5.1 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 363 | 20 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 41.5 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 35.9 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | CON | CON |
| 363 | 20 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 37.8 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 37.4 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
| 367 | 17 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 19.0 | 16.5 | 7.4 | 43.9 | 10.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 369 | 15 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 32.7 | 10.5 | 5.4 | 41.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
| 370 | 14 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 39.8 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 40.1 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
| 371 | 13 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 19.4 | 15.7 | 4.7 | 47.4 | 9.6 | 1.2 | 2.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 372 | 12 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 15.8 | 17.0 | 6.6 | 49.1 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | Reform | Reform |
| 372 | 11 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 41.1 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 40.3 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
| 373 | 11 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 39.5 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 42.4 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
| 376 | 8 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 38.2 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 43.9 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | CON | Reform |
| 379 | 5 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 37.7 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 48.2 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | CON | Reform |
| 382 | 2 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 31.6 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 54.3 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.