Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 54.6%50 50.3%01-149
LAB 32.7%7 29.5%10+18
LIB 7.9%1 10.6%00+01
UKIP 2.5%0 5.3%00+00
Green 1.9%0 3.0%00+00
Minor 0.3%0 1.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harlow (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bedford (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
92476Cambridge Daniel Zeichner78,00371.712.848.631.
111457Luton North Kelvin Hopkins66,81169.828.760.
113455Norwich South Clive Lewis74,18269.
115453Luton South Gavin Shuker67,18868.727.959.
242326Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,82967.540.943.
243325Ipswich Sandy Martin74,79968.441.444.
245323Peterborough Fiona Onasanya71,52266.742.444.
260308Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price78,15364.435.135.54.422.
263305Norwich North Chloe Smith66,92468.643.443.
282286Watford Richard Harrington86,50767.841.338.811.
299269Stevenage Stephen McPartland70,76569.745.940.
313255Colchester Will Quince79,99666.941.532.
317251Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge73,50164.344.433.
325243Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps72,88870.946.733.510.
332236Harlow Robert Halfon67,69766.249.735.
341227Waveney Peter Aldous80,78465.
344224Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,40861.849.832.
345223Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning75,01169.750.633.
358210St Albans Anne Main72,81178.338.819.835.
362206Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami75,91677.448.729.313.
365203Southend West David Amess67,67769.750.830.
384184Chelmsford Vicky Ford81,04570.249.326.514.
387181Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,32070.850.827.611.
388180Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe73,54164.152.529.
391177Cambridgeshire South Heidi Allen85,25776.247.424.
398170Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,67069.854.930.
399169Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,12173.249.024.421.
407161Norfolk South Richard Bacon83,05673.653.927.711.
412156Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey79,36673.253.727.
416152Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin71,29471.754.
417151Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara93,22368.654.327.
418150Norfolk North West Henry Bellingham72,06267.755.928.
419149Broadland Keith Simpson77,33472.453.526.410.
424144Norfolk Mid George Freeman80,02669.654.626.
431137Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill87,75870.854.826.
433135Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,14965.056.627.
435132Norfolk North Norman Lamb69,26375.337.38.350.
437131Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald75,96773.254.325.
440128Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter78,11672.455.826.
447121Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk82,42972.856.025.310.
451117Hertfordshire South West David Gauke80,29375.553.622.414.
452116Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,55471.056.725.
453115Bedfordshire North East Alistair Burt86,98873.856.625.
456112Suffolk South James Cartlidge75,96771.456.
461107Suffolk West Matt Hancock76,98467.256.824.
464104Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries83,80075.457.325.
465103Broxbourne Charles Walker73,50264.657.825.
48088Norfolk South West Elizabeth Truss77,87467.358.424.
49078Braintree James Cleverly75,31669.558.524.
49672Clacton Giles Watling69,26363.756.922.14.810.
49870Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,73767.957.622.
51058Witham Priti Patel69,13771.
52939Cambridgeshire North East Stephen Barclay84,40463.
53632Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch83,69072.857.417.516.
54226Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,47064.462.921.
54424Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,55670.462.421.
55513Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart74,91170.661.417.
5608Maldon John Whittingdale66,96075.063.618.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.