Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 22.4%014-149
LAB 29.4%27 16.6%022-225
LIB 13.2%7 13.1%02-25
Reform 17.5%3 32.3%380+3841
Green 6.9%1 12.3%00+01
Other 2.4%0 3.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hertsmere (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
Reform
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
17397Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.911.129.915.29.926.37.70.0LABLAB
56358Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.17.145.03.735.25.23.80.0LABLAB
77337Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.15.744.53.639.53.43.30.0LABLAB
82332Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.011.825.58.421.725.47.20.0LABLAB
96318Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.918.324.914.923.213.65.10.0LABLAB
108306Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.922.524.612.025.311.54.00.0LABReform
117297Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.17.139.53.141.35.33.70.0LABReform
118296Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.97.839.33.741.24.53.30.0LABReform
126288Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.819.821.17.524.020.47.20.0LABReform
135278St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.016.912.135.516.115.43.90.0LIBLIB
141273Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.422.124.09.629.211.33.70.0LABReform
150264Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.916.219.05.825.915.317.80.0LABReform
160253Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.229.64.444.912.35.82.90.0LIBLIB
170243Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.021.411.033.319.811.33.20.0LIBLIB
174240Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.923.819.113.028.112.73.30.0LABReform
178236Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.422.520.110.529.613.73.70.0LABReform
180234Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.718.422.98.232.713.34.50.0LABReform
186228Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.121.920.412.530.811.23.30.0LABReform
193221Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.122.019.411.730.612.34.00.0LABReform
193220St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.723.610.726.322.013.44.10.0LIBLIB
217197Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.422.217.513.031.212.93.20.0LABReform
218195Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.840.611.99.425.710.32.20.0CONCON
227186Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.831.716.110.230.49.71.80.0CONCON
229185Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.022.617.913.332.510.43.30.0LABReform
236178Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.222.812.025.827.09.82.60.0LIBReform
242172Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.26.833.62.849.34.62.80.0LABReform
244170Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.521.818.610.034.511.83.30.0LABReform
246168Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.624.612.919.628.811.32.80.0CONReform
254160Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.922.910.526.627.010.12.80.0LIBReform
261152Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.139.612.48.529.38.22.10.0CONCON
268146Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.521.518.08.235.312.84.20.0LABReform
274140Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.124.915.07.133.312.76.90.0LABReform
289125Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.628.113.67.433.713.43.80.0LABReform
291123Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.726.516.09.336.29.22.70.0CONReform
292122Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.428.714.410.434.79.12.60.0CONReform
314100Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.528.514.17.735.710.43.60.0LABReform
31895Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.138.910.66.232.78.13.60.0CONCON
32291Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.444.29.26.031.77.11.90.0CONCON
32984Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.344.99.25.032.46.61.80.0CONCON
33578Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.221.95.75.429.633.04.40.0GreenGreen
33678Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.121.616.87.540.910.13.10.0LABReform
35559Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.533.810.08.235.98.93.10.0CONReform
36549Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.318.914.69.041.610.25.70.0LABReform
37341Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.630.99.38.437.211.23.10.0CONReform
37935Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.323.014.16.342.910.63.10.0LABReform
38232Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.417.516.46.545.811.02.90.0ReformReform
38429Witham Priti Patel79,07264.040.57.84.937.97.21.60.0CONCON
38925Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.837.08.05.139.17.33.50.0CONReform
38924Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.939.37.76.338.96.01.70.0CONCON
39024Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.822.213.37.545.19.02.80.0CONReform
39222Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.039.18.14.940.26.21.40.0CONReform
39321Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.038.58.34.540.56.51.70.0CONReform
39420Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.139.77.46.340.05.31.20.0CONReform
39618Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.138.97.94.740.86.31.40.0CONReform
39717Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.739.17.84.741.05.81.50.0CONReform
39716Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.740.86.55.839.95.61.30.0CONCON
40014Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.616.915.86.649.68.92.20.0ReformReform
4058Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.910.32.743.239.63.21.00.0LIBLIB
4068Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.337.07.23.044.76.31.80.0CONReform
4095Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.838.75.24.444.75.81.20.0CONReform
4131Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.429.04.12.957.05.21.80.0ReformReform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.