Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 57.2%52 55.3%01-151
LAB 24.4%5 28.8%10+16
LIB 13.4%1 8.6%00+01
Brexit 0.4%0 0.2%00+00
Green 3.0%0 3.9%00+00
Other 1.7%0 3.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Thurrock (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Watford (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2019
Win
Pred
Win
64500Cambridge Daniel Zeichner79,95167.214.154.921.61.25.50.02.7LABLAB
91473Norwich South Clive Lewis77,84566.427.258.35.41.95.80.01.4LABLAB
107457Luton North Sarah Owen68,18562.531.658.42.81.72.50.02.9LABLAB
112452Luton South Rachel Hopkins69,33860.729.254.00.02.32.89.32.5LABLAB
202362Bedford Mohammad Yasin71,58166.141.247.75.71.13.00.01.4LABLAB
229335Peterborough Paul Bristow72,56065.944.945.02.82.72.30.02.3CONLAB
231333Watford Dean Russell83,35969.743.743.49.30.01.20.02.3CONCON
263301Norwich North Chloe Smith67,17268.948.743.13.30.02.90.01.9CONCON
265299Ipswich Tom Hunt75,52565.648.542.52.91.83.30.01.0CONCON
289275Colchester Will Quince82,62564.648.637.88.10.04.00.01.6CONCON
299265Stevenage Stephen McPartland71,56266.651.338.75.00.03.80.01.1CONCON
308256Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps74,89269.550.836.27.40.04.10.01.5CONCON
328236Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price79,65959.656.736.41.80.02.20.02.8CONCON
336228Hitchin and Harpenden Bim Afolami76,32377.145.323.627.00.01.50.02.7CONCON
338226Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge75,62461.056.834.93.60.00.60.04.1CONCON
339225Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning74,03569.354.732.67.20.04.10.01.4CONCON
339224St Albans Daisy Cooper73,72778.137.415.341.70.03.20.02.4LIBLIB
352212Southend West David Amess69,04367.457.432.46.60.00.90.02.6CONCON
356208Cambridgeshire South East Lucy Frazer86,76974.248.222.923.80.01.50.03.7CONCON
359205Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly84,65769.952.927.59.30.05.00.05.3CONCON
361203Hertfordshire North East Oliver Heald76,12372.754.729.19.00.05.50.01.7CONCON
362202Hertford and Stortford Julie Marson81,76573.554.328.58.30.05.60.03.3CONCON
366198Cambridgeshire South Anthony Browne87,28876.744.518.333.60.01.50.02.1CONCON
374190Norfolk South Richard Bacon86,21472.556.229.08.10.05.10.01.6CONCON
383181Harlow Robert Halfon68,07863.761.633.73.20.00.60.00.9CONCON
387177Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey81,91071.254.726.68.70.05.80.04.2CONCON
394170Bedfordshire South West Andrew Selous79,92666.758.629.55.90.04.70.01.3CONCON
400164Chelmsford Vicky Ford80,39471.154.124.716.70.01.50.03.1CONCON
409155Waveney Peter Aldous82,79161.860.329.53.00.05.90.01.3CONCON
412152Broadland Jerome Mayhew78,15172.957.726.89.40.03.70.02.4CONCON
413151Bedfordshire North East Richard Fuller90,67871.757.326.37.10.03.93.91.4CONCON
418146Bedfordshire Mid Nadine Dorries87,79573.758.026.37.30.04.80.03.5CONCON
422142Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra80,44976.147.715.85.90.03.326.01.3CONCON
428136Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin74,15370.159.426.76.60.04.70.02.6CONCON
439125Norfolk Mid George Freeman82,20368.460.627.18.00.01.10.03.2CONCON
455109Cambridgeshire North West Shailesh Vara94,90968.060.626.36.20.05.60.01.3CONCON
456108Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,97170.660.726.37.30.04.20.01.5CONCON
46995Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Dan Poulter80,03770.360.825.46.70.05.70.01.4CONCON
47490Suffolk South James Cartlidge76,20170.260.424.07.30.06.90.01.5CONCON
47787Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis71,95760.464.027.42.20.02.90.03.5CONCON
48678Broxbourne Charles Walker73,18263.863.826.74.90.03.50.01.1CONCON
49074Bury St Edmunds Jo Churchill89,64469.159.121.80.00.015.90.03.1CONCON
49470Norfolk North West James Wild72,08064.763.926.34.50.04.30.01.0CONCON
50262Epping Forest Eleanor Laing74,30467.762.624.46.20.04.80.02.0CONCON
51054Suffolk West Matt Hancock80,19364.164.024.45.30.05.20.01.2CONCON
51450Basildon South and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe74,44160.864.324.62.50.00.57.30.7CONCON
52539Basildon and Billericay John Baron69,90663.165.224.34.90.03.90.01.6CONCON
53034Saffron Walden Kemi Badenoch87,01772.561.119.611.20.06.10.02.0CONCON
53232Norfolk North Duncan Baker70,72971.956.815.221.92.11.70.02.4CONCON
54321Witham Priti Patel70,40270.164.821.55.40.07.10.01.2CONCON
54420Braintree James Cleverly75,20867.165.722.55.50.00.80.05.5CONCON
55113Norfolk South West Liz Truss78,45565.667.221.54.70.03.90.02.7CONCON
55410Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,25570.466.718.67.90.04.20.02.6CONCON
5568Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois78,93069.670.819.44.40.04.40.01.0CONCON
5577Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay83,69963.370.719.34.70.04.20.01.1CONCON
5595Clacton Giles Watling70,93061.370.418.33.40.03.40.04.5CONCON
5604Maldon John Whittingdale72,43869.670.216.96.90.04.60.01.4CONCON
5613Castle Point Rebecca Harris69,60863.674.919.63.90.00.70.01.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.