Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	54.6%	50	30.5%	0	8	-8	42
LAB	32.7%	7	25.2%	6	0	+6	13
LIB	7.9%	1	9.4%	1	0	+1	2
UKIP	2.5%	0	5.6%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.9%	0	4.4%	0	0	+0	0
ChUK	0.0%	0	5.8%	0	0	+0	0
Brexit	0.0%	0	17.2%	1	0	+1	1
Minor	0.3%	0	2.0%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Maldon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hemel Hempstead (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2017	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	UKIP %	Green %	NAT %	ChUK %	Brexit %	MIN %	OTH %	2017 Win	Pred Win
88	462	Luton South	Gavin Shuker	67,188	68.7	18.3	49.0	5.7	3.9	5.0	0.0	5.4	11.9	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
89	461	Luton North	Kelvin Hopkins	66,811	69.8	19.6	49.9	5.4	3.5	4.3	0.0	5.4	10.9	0.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
109	441	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	78,003	71.7	11.2	39.0	23.6	2.7	6.2	0.0	7.8	8.6	0.0	1.0	LAB	LAB
119	431	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	74,182	69.2	17.4	43.9	9.2	4.0	5.4	0.0	6.1	12.5	0.0	1.6	LAB	LAB
238	312	Peterborough	Fiona Onasanya	71,522	66.7	25.9	37.0	6.3	4.9	3.9	0.0	5.5	15.0	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
247	303	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,829	67.5	25.7	35.8	8.4	4.5	4.5	0.0	5.8	13.8	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
250	300	Ipswich	Sandy Martin	74,799	68.4	24.6	34.0	6.3	5.6	4.7	0.0	5.5	17.3	0.0	2.0	LAB	LAB
275	275	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	66,924	68.6	26.8	33.6	6.9	5.1	4.1	0.0	5.7	15.8	0.0	2.1	CON	LAB
277	273	Watford	Richard Harrington	86,507	67.8	26.1	32.7	10.1	4.6	4.8	0.0	6.1	14.2	0.0	1.5	CON	LAB
286	263	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	78,153	64.4	19.5	24.9	4.3	9.5	6.4	0.0	4.6	28.3	0.0	2.5	CON	Brexit
297	253	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	70,765	69.7	27.9	32.2	7.1	5.3	3.8	0.0	5.4	16.3	0.0	2.0	CON	LAB
311	239	Colchester	Will Quince	79,996	66.9	25.8	27.5	14.5	4.7	4.2	0.0	6.6	14.8	0.0	1.8	CON	LAB
315	235	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	73,501	64.3	27.2	28.3	6.3	6.3	4.8	0.0	5.5	19.3	0.0	2.3	CON	LAB
319	231	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	72,888	70.9	27.7	28.1	8.9	5.7	4.7	0.0	5.7	17.4	0.0	1.9	CON	LAB
321	229	Harlow	Robert Halfon	67,697	66.2	28.1	27.7	5.3	6.8	4.1	0.0	5.0	20.7	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
334	216	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	75,011	69.7	30.4	28.6	8.3	5.2	3.7	0.0	5.7	16.1	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
338	212	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,408	61.8	27.7	25.1	5.3	7.3	4.6	0.0	5.1	22.2	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
344	206	Waveney	Peter Aldous	80,784	65.2	29.0	26.2	5.6	6.5	4.8	0.0	5.4	20.1	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
367	183	Southend West	David Amess	67,677	69.7	30.8	25.4	7.3	5.8	5.1	0.0	5.8	17.8	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
368	182	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	75,916	77.4	31.6	26.2	11.8	4.2	4.8	0.0	6.6	13.2	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
369	180	St Albans	Anne Main	72,811	78.3	24.3	18.7	32.9	3.2	3.4	0.0	6.0	10.4	0.0	1.1	CON	LIB
373	177	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	73,541	64.1	29.0	23.1	4.6	7.8	4.4	0.0	4.8	23.7	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
382	168	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	81,045	70.2	30.5	23.8	11.6	5.2	4.5	0.0	6.3	16.2	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
385	165	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,320	70.8	31.1	24.0	9.6	5.5	4.8	0.0	6.0	17.0	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
391	159	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,670	69.8	33.8	25.8	7.4	5.3	3.7	0.0	5.6	16.4	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
396	154	Cambridgeshire South	Heidi Allen	85,257	76.2	31.2	23.0	16.7	3.9	4.3	0.0	7.0	12.4	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
401	149	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,121	73.2	31.9	23.3	16.6	3.9	3.4	0.0	6.9	12.4	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
402	148	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,149	65.0	32.4	23.6	6.0	6.5	3.8	0.0	5.2	20.0	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
403	147	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	93,223	68.6	32.2	23.3	7.3	6.1	4.6	0.0	5.6	18.8	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
407	143	Norfolk North West	Henry Bellingham	72,062	67.7	32.8	23.6	5.9	6.4	4.1	0.0	5.3	19.6	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
410	140	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,554	71.0	33.2	23.9	8.0	5.4	5.3	0.0	5.7	16.6	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
411	139	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	79,366	73.2	32.8	23.4	8.6	5.6	4.4	0.0	5.9	17.2	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
418	132	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	83,056	73.6	34.1	24.2	9.7	4.9	3.9	0.0	6.1	15.1	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
419	131	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	71,294	71.7	33.1	23.1	7.7	5.8	4.7	0.0	5.8	17.8	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
420	130	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	80,026	69.6	32.7	22.6	7.2	6.2	4.5	0.0	5.6	19.0	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
421	129	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	75,967	73.2	32.9	22.8	9.2	5.5	4.7	0.0	5.9	17.0	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
422	128	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	87,758	70.8	33.2	23.0	8.0	5.7	4.6	0.0	5.8	17.6	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
426	124	Broadland	Keith Simpson	77,334	72.4	33.3	22.9	9.1	5.5	4.3	0.0	6.0	16.9	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
432	118	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	78,116	72.4	33.8	22.9	7.0	5.9	4.6	0.0	5.7	18.1	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
438	112	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	76,984	67.2	32.6	21.5	6.6	6.7	4.5	0.0	5.3	20.5	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
443	107	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,502	64.6	33.8	22.3	5.9	6.5	4.3	0.0	5.3	19.7	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
444	106	Hertford and Stortford	Mark Prisk	82,429	72.8	34.8	23.1	9.7	4.9	4.1	0.0	6.1	15.4	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
446	104	Hertfordshire South West	David Gauke	80,293	75.5	33.5	21.6	11.7	5.0	4.8	0.0	6.3	15.4	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
450	100	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	75,967	71.4	33.9	21.8	7.9	5.8	4.6	0.0	5.8	18.0	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
462	88	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,737	67.9	33.4	21.0	7.3	6.4	4.7	0.0	5.5	19.6	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
466	84	Clacton	Giles Watling	69,263	63.7	31.2	18.6	4.7	8.1	4.8	0.0	5.0	24.7	0.0	2.8	CON	CON
467	83	Bedfordshire North East	Alistair Burt	86,988	73.8	35.1	22.4	8.0	5.5	4.4	0.0	5.7	17.0	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
468	82	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,316	69.5	34.2	21.4	6.6	6.4	4.1	0.0	5.4	19.6	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
470	80	Norfolk South West	Elizabeth Truss	77,874	67.3	34.0	21.1	6.5	6.6	4.0	0.0	5.3	20.1	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
477	73	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	83,800	75.4	35.9	22.5	8.2	5.3	4.1	0.0	5.8	16.2	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
479	70	Norfolk North	Norman Lamb	69,263	75.3	23.5	10.0	39.5	4.2	2.3	0.0	6.0	13.1	0.0	1.5	LIB	LIB
490	60	Cambridgeshire North East	Stephen Barclay	84,404	63.1	33.8	19.1	6.3	7.1	4.2	0.0	5.2	21.7	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
493	57	Witham	Priti Patel	69,137	71.2	36.2	21.1	7.5	5.8	3.8	0.0	5.6	17.8	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
514	36	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,470	64.4	36.4	19.3	5.2	6.8	3.9	0.0	5.2	20.8	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
520	30	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	83,690	72.8	35.6	18.2	12.6	5.2	4.0	0.0	6.3	16.1	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
525	25	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,556	70.4	37.3	19.0	5.5	6.5	4.1	0.0	5.2	20.0	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
533	17	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	74,911	70.6	36.8	17.3	8.7	6.2	4.1	0.0	5.6	19.1	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
540	10	Maldon	John Whittingdale	66,960	75.0	38.5	17.5	6.5	6.3	4.3	0.0	5.4	19.3	0.0	2.2	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.