Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	57.2%	52	41.0%	0	8	-8	44
LAB	24.4%	5	34.4%	7	0	+7	12
LIB	13.4%	1	13.9%	1	0	+1	2
Reform	0.4%	0	2.7%	0	0	+0	0
Green	3.0%	0	6.1%	0	0	+0	0
Other	1.7%	0	2.0%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Cambridge, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Castle Point, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rochford and Southend East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bedford (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2019	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2019 Win	Pred Win
72	483	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	79,951	67.2	9.9	50.3	27.6	1.2	9.6	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
95	460	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	77,845	66.4	19.5	54.6	11.7	1.9	10.6	0.0	1.7	LAB	LAB
144	411	Luton South	Rachel Hopkins	69,338	60.7	25.6	53.0	6.5	4.9	7.5	0.0	2.6	LAB	LAB
152	403	Luton North	Sarah Owen	68,185	62.5	26.5	53.4	8.1	3.6	6.9	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
224	331	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,581	66.1	30.8	47.2	11.3	2.6	6.5	0.0	1.7	LAB	LAB
260	295	Watford	Dean Russell	83,359	69.7	31.5	42.6	16.6	2.3	5.3	0.0	1.7	CON	LAB
274	281	Peterborough	Paul Bristow	72,560	65.9	35.4	45.0	8.1	3.9	5.8	0.0	1.8	CON	LAB
276	279	Ipswich	Tom Hunt	75,525	65.6	35.5	44.9	8.3	2.9	6.6	0.0	1.8	CON	LAB
280	275	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	67,172	68.9	36.0	44.9	8.5	2.4	6.3	0.0	2.0	CON	LAB
295	260	Colchester	Will Quince	82,625	64.6	33.3	39.8	16.4	2.2	6.6	0.0	1.6	CON	LAB
305	250	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	71,562	66.6	37.2	42.0	10.1	2.4	6.5	0.0	1.8	CON	LAB
313	242	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	74,892	69.5	36.6	40.0	12.9	2.2	6.6	0.0	1.6	CON	LAB
325	230	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	79,659	59.6	41.5	41.2	6.7	3.3	5.2	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
335	220	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	75,624	61.0	41.4	39.7	8.8	2.9	4.8	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
338	216	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	73,727	78.1	26.9	24.7	40.1	1.6	5.4	0.0	1.3	LIB	LIB
343	212	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	76,323	77.1	33.0	30.4	28.3	1.7	4.9	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
344	211	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	74,035	69.3	39.7	37.1	12.8	2.5	6.3	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
361	193	Cambridgeshire South	Anthony Browne	87,288	76.7	31.7	26.7	33.9	1.6	4.6	0.0	1.5	CON	LIB
364	191	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,657	69.9	38.9	33.9	15.8	2.5	6.6	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
365	190	Hertford and Stortford	Julie Marson	81,765	73.5	39.5	34.5	14.6	2.3	7.1	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
366	189	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,769	74.2	34.5	29.4	27.8	2.0	4.4	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
374	181	Southend West	David Amess	69,043	67.4	41.9	36.5	12.5	2.6	4.6	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
382	173	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	76,123	72.7	40.2	34.0	15.0	2.2	7.0	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
389	166	Harlow	Robert Halfon	68,078	63.7	44.9	38.1	8.0	3.0	4.3	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
394	161	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,926	66.7	42.5	35.5	11.2	2.6	6.4	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
402	153	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	80,394	71.1	38.6	30.8	22.1	2.3	4.4	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
403	152	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	86,214	72.5	41.6	33.8	14.2	2.3	6.4	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
410	145	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	80,449	76.1	38.9	30.7	13.9	3.5	6.3	0.0	6.7	CON	CON
414	141	Waveney	Peter Aldous	82,791	61.8	44.7	35.6	7.9	2.8	7.0	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
415	140	Bedfordshire North East	Richard Fuller	90,678	71.7	42.8	33.4	12.9	2.6	5.9	0.0	2.5	CON	CON
417	138	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	81,910	71.2	41.6	32.2	14.7	2.5	6.7	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
426	129	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	87,795	73.7	43.0	32.8	13.2	2.5	6.3	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
428	127	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,971	70.6	43.3	32.8	13.2	2.4	6.5	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
432	123	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	94,909	68.0	44.2	33.1	11.6	2.6	6.7	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
438	117	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	74,153	70.1	44.4	32.9	12.1	2.6	6.0	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
446	109	Broadland	Jerome Mayhew	78,151	72.9	43.4	31.5	15.5	2.4	5.2	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
451	104	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	89,644	69.1	43.6	31.5	6.4	2.6	13.6	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
464	91	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	82,203	68.4	45.4	32.4	13.2	2.8	4.2	0.0	2.1	CON	CON
470	85	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	80,037	70.3	45.2	31.6	12.1	2.5	6.8	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
473	82	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,182	63.8	47.1	33.2	9.6	3.0	5.3	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
476	79	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,957	60.4	48.1	34.1	7.1	3.3	5.1	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
478	77	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	76,201	70.2	44.9	30.5	13.3	2.4	7.1	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
482	73	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	80,193	64.1	46.5	31.9	10.6	2.9	6.3	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
483	72	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,304	67.7	45.9	31.3	11.7	2.8	6.3	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
488	67	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	74,441	60.8	48.3	33.3	7.4	3.8	3.9	0.0	3.3	CON	CON
497	58	Norfolk North West	James Wild	72,080	64.7	48.0	32.3	9.4	2.9	5.6	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
501	54	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,906	63.1	47.8	31.9	9.9	3.0	5.5	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
525	30	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	87,017	72.5	44.7	26.9	18.0	2.3	6.3	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
526	29	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,208	67.1	48.8	30.7	10.7	3.1	4.1	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
528	27	Witham	Priti Patel	70,402	70.1	48.2	29.3	10.8	2.7	7.2	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
536	19	Norfolk South West	Liz Truss	78,455	65.6	50.3	29.5	9.7	3.2	5.1	0.0	2.2	CON	CON
542	13	Norfolk North	Duncan Baker	70,729	71.9	42.3	20.8	29.2	2.9	3.1	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
543	12	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,255	70.4	49.8	26.6	13.5	2.8	5.3	0.0	2.0	CON	CON
545	10	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	83,699	63.3	52.3	27.8	9.6	3.2	5.2	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
547	8	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,930	69.6	53.0	27.6	9.1	3.1	5.4	0.0	1.9	CON	CON
550	5	Maldon	John Whittingdale	72,438	69.6	52.2	25.6	12.1	2.8	5.5	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
551	4	Clacton	Giles Watling	70,930	61.3	54.2	27.1	7.8	3.7	4.7	0.0	2.6	CON	CON
552	3	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,608	63.6	55.9	27.4	8.2	3.4	3.3	0.0	1.8	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.