West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 43.9%02-233
LAB 42.5%24 40.4%20+226
LIB 4.4%0 5.5%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 5.9%00+00
Green 1.7%0 3.5%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 0.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
8561Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.09.880.
12557Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.310.578.
17552Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.411.
63506Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.021.366.
66503Warley John Spellar63,72463.
84485Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.314.755.
95474Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.424.761.
109460Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.926.760.
151418Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.929.656.
165404Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.432.
170399West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.333.
171398Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.
180389Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.331.651.
181388Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.433.
186383Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.034.353.
197372Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.
199370West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.734.549.
201368Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.034.649.
209360Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.337.551.
230339Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.740.
232337Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.639.
241328Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.839.344.
255314Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.942.946.
256313Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.741.344.
265304Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.143.945.
267302Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.643.645.
289280Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.642.941.
298271Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.644.440.72.610.
311258Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.646.439.
317252Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.644.836.
319250Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.546.737.
328241Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.949.637.
333236Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.
334235Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.149.436.
335234Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.347.
341228Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.249.835.
344225Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.351.836.
354215Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.
358211Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.552.835.
360209Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.451.334.
384185Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.653.
402167Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.853.
403166Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.155.832.
427142Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.955.829.
429140Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.055.329.
431138Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.048.321.
445124Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.556.829.
47693Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.958.426.
47990Stone Bill Cash67,82473.858.
48485Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.156.824.
48881Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.455.623.510.
49376Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.760.
49970Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.052.919.816.
50762Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.956.321.610.
51752Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.457.722.
52841Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.357.
54227Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.460.
54821Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.156.816.912.
55316Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.664.623.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.