West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 27.8%06-629
LAB 42.5%24 32.2%60+630
LIB 4.4%0 7.1%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 5.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 4.4%00+00
ChUK 0.0%0 5.5%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 16.0%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stourbridge (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Birmingham Northfield (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
ChUK
%
Brexit
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
1549Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.38.567.94.32.35.10.04.86.90.00.3LABLAB
3547Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.08.166.26.32.05.70.05.16.30.00.4LABLAB
5545Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.49.165.97.11.65.40.05.45.10.00.2LABLAB
46504Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.015.753.76.23.15.40.05.59.60.00.8LABLAB
69481Warley John Spellar63,72463.115.148.65.74.55.70.05.213.90.01.2LABLAB
87463Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.312.843.613.14.45.40.06.413.40.00.9LABLAB
107443Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.417.145.26.34.75.50.05.514.40.01.4LABLAB
118432Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.919.045.57.73.75.20.05.911.70.01.3LABLAB
138412Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.420.344.05.14.85.10.05.214.50.01.1LABLAB
161389Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.917.838.55.46.25.40.05.119.10.02.3LABLAB
164386West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.321.041.25.55.14.50.05.115.80.01.8LABLAB
166384Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.221.341.46.24.84.40.05.514.70.01.6LABLAB
175375Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.022.141.27.84.05.10.05.912.60.01.4LABLAB
180370Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.421.339.87.04.65.70.05.814.30.01.5LABLAB
190360Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.321.738.56.74.95.30.05.715.30.01.8LABLAB
208342West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.720.435.54.96.75.10.05.020.30.02.1LABLAB
210340Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.021.336.05.36.34.60.05.019.30.02.2LABLAB
211339Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.021.135.55.76.35.20.05.219.10.01.9LABLAB
216334Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.323.737.46.25.14.10.05.515.90.02.0LABLAB
232318Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.624.637.06.24.85.60.05.514.80.01.6LABLAB
244306Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.725.035.65.85.53.90.05.316.90.02.0LABLAB
252298Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.825.734.68.94.35.40.06.113.40.01.7LABLAB
268282Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.725.032.54.76.54.40.05.019.80.02.0LABLAB
278272Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.927.834.47.14.73.50.05.614.80.02.0LABLAB
281269Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.626.933.25.95.53.80.05.317.10.02.2CONLAB
283267Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.127.933.85.75.33.70.05.316.30.02.0CONLAB
290260Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.625.030.05.07.04.40.05.021.40.02.4CONLAB
301249Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.627.531.57.05.34.90.05.616.40.01.8CONLAB
316234Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.628.729.55.66.04.40.05.318.40.02.1CONLAB
318232Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.528.529.05.46.24.60.05.219.00.02.0CONLAB
324226Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.629.028.49.15.24.40.05.816.10.02.0CONCON
337213Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.130.628.25.75.94.30.05.318.00.02.0CONCON
339211Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.932.129.56.65.03.90.05.515.50.01.9CONCON
342208Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.131.428.68.05.03.80.05.715.60.02.0CONCON
343207Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.330.928.16.05.84.10.05.317.80.02.0CONCON
349201Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.230.126.45.26.54.30.05.120.00.02.4CONCON
350200Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.430.226.35.16.64.20.05.120.10.02.3CONCON
352198Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.532.928.96.05.23.60.05.416.10.01.8CONCON
356194Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.332.128.05.85.63.60.05.317.30.02.3CONCON
360190Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.131.326.86.15.94.60.05.318.10.02.0CONCON
395155Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.134.426.36.95.33.00.05.416.40.02.3CONCON
398152Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.832.324.06.66.14.40.05.518.90.02.3CONCON
415135Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.635.525.96.65.13.40.05.515.80.02.1CONCON
428122Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.935.925.27.74.74.20.05.914.50.01.8CONCON
429121Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.034.523.77.65.53.80.05.617.10.02.1CONCON
46090Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.133.821.47.16.34.50.05.519.20.02.2CONCON
46189Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.033.320.98.76.24.20.05.519.00.02.2CONCON
46585Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.536.924.37.54.93.70.05.715.10.01.9CONCON
48169Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.737.023.16.25.63.20.05.317.40.02.3CONCON
48565Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.937.022.67.45.33.60.05.616.40.02.1CONCON
49258Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.034.319.213.55.04.50.06.415.50.01.7CONCON
49456Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.436.321.010.84.74.40.06.314.70.01.8CONCON
49753Stone Bill Cash67,82473.837.221.77.05.53.90.05.517.10.02.1CONCON
50545Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.935.419.410.05.64.50.05.917.20.02.0CONCON
50941Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.436.519.910.75.23.50.05.916.10.02.1CONCON
51634Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.336.219.011.85.14.00.06.215.80.02.0CONCON
52228Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.436.818.87.86.14.10.05.518.70.02.2CONCON
52822Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.134.716.210.76.34.70.05.819.30.02.2CONCON
53416Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.639.820.25.75.83.20.05.117.90.02.2CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.