West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 53.4%44 38.9%010-1034
LAB 33.9%15 40.1%100+1025
LIB 7.9%0 10.1%00+00
Reform 1.4%0 2.9%00+00
Green 3.0%0 6.2%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Telford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Birmingham Northfield (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
15540Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood74,91256.29.767.
31524Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne78,29557.514.864.
40515Birmingham Hall Green Tahir Ali80,28365.913.860.711.
78477Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood72,00658.520.458.
96459Warley John Spellar62,35759.721.957.
97458Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe82,66559.821.756.
125430Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips74,70457.123.152.812.
146409Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher76,00658.526.
155400Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,82861.525.752.610.
186369Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey66,14853.329.
202353Warwick and Leamington Matt Western76,36271.029.148.511.
212343Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden62,88353.230.949.
214341Coventry South Zarah Sultana70,97963.530.048.310.
218337Walsall South Valerie Vaz68,02462.431.649.
222333Coventry North West Taiwo Owatemi75,24763.431.348.
228327Birmingham Northfield Gary Sambrook73,69458.532.947.
238317Stoke-on-Trent Central Jo Gideon55,41957.933.447.
253302Wolverhampton South West Stuart Anderson60,53468.
254301West Bromwich East Nicola Richards62,04658.034.546.
284271West Bromwich West Shaun Bailey64,51753.436.744.
287268Wolverhampton North East Jane Stevenson61,66055.637.
288267Worcester Robin Walker73,48569.336.
311244Newcastle-under-Lyme Aaron Bell68,21165.638.642.
316239Stoke-on-Trent North Jonathan Gullis68,29858.839.342.
319236Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski82,23871.837.840.311.
326229Telford Lucy Allan68,92162.141.441.
347208Rugby Mark Pawsey72,29270.341.338.410.
358197Stafford Theo Clarke72,57270.542.338.
369186Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,30062.043.938.
370185Nuneaton Marcus Jones70,22664.343.638.
375180Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton64,49161.444.939.
387168Stourbridge Suzanne Webb69,89165.444.
388167Burton Kate Griffiths75,03665.
390165Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,17754.445.
407148Dudley North Marco Longhi61,93659.245.737.
421134Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,63869.243.433.812.
425130Redditch Rachel Maclean65,39167.445.635.
435120Solihull Julian Knight78,76070.341.530.318.
437118Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright68,15477.241.730.317.
440115Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard70,69369.245.934.
450105Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman72,08568.943.931.813.
45798Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley65,48566.747.434.
45897Meriden Saqib Bhatti85,36863.445.232.411.
46095Shropshire North Owen Paterson83,25867.945.732.811.
46194Warwickshire North Craig Tracey70,27165.347.834.
47580Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,57264.347.733.
47976Stone Bill Cash69,37871.847.132.710.
48174Wyre Forest Mark Garnier78,07764.847.432.
48570Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,81361.948.834.
48669Bromsgrove Sajid Javid75,07872.346.231.512.
49065Dudley South Mike Wood60,73160.248.933.
50055Lichfield Michael Fabricant76,61670.547.231.411.
51243Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin76,24175.544.528.
52728Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi74,03774.444.125.420.
53124Ludlow Philip Dunne69,44472.346.927.
53223Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin70,25272.646.226.314.
53421Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston78,22071.849.028.512.
54114Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,13865.451.730.
5487Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,66867.953.627.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.