West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 25.8%05-530
LAB 42.5%24 26.8%20+226
LIB 4.4%0 15.7%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 22.2%30+33
Green 1.7%0 6.3%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 1.1%00+00
Other 0.6%0 2.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Shropshire North (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Wolverhampton South East (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
1452Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.39.067.710.16.64.80.90.00.9LABLAB
5448Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.09.463.415.63.46.50.70.00.9LABLAB
6447Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.410.262.716.63.45.40.70.00.9LABLAB
37416Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.016.152.113.110.36.20.90.01.3LABLAB
47406Warley John Spellar63,72463.115.748.312.514.16.81.10.01.6LABLAB
60393Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.312.941.126.910.76.01.10.01.4LABLAB
74379Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.417.243.313.716.26.71.20.01.7LABLAB
118335Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.422.743.111.613.86.31.10.01.5LABLAB
122331Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.918.938.918.912.87.71.00.01.9LABLAB
124329Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.917.537.311.323.76.71.40.02.0LABLAB
133320West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.321.139.111.519.46.11.20.01.7LABLAB
146307Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.221.238.013.917.76.41.20.01.7LABLAB
175278Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.320.734.215.219.57.11.20.02.0LABLAB
176277West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.721.134.410.923.66.61.50.01.9LABLAB
180273Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.421.934.817.015.67.61.10.02.0LABLAB
183270Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.020.632.911.824.66.61.40.02.0LABLAB
186267Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.022.834.918.214.07.21.00.01.9LABLAB
192261Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.021.032.213.622.87.11.40.01.9LABLAB
200253Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.321.931.714.122.56.51.20.02.1LABLAB
205248Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.722.331.112.125.55.91.20.01.9LABLAB
211242Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.626.033.614.216.37.11.10.01.9LABLAB
222231Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.724.229.511.026.06.11.40.01.9LABLAB
235218Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.125.128.412.425.05.91.20.01.9CONLAB
239214Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.624.527.312.726.16.21.20.02.0CONLAB
242210Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.624.527.210.927.96.11.50.02.0CONBrexit
244209Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.924.326.915.824.15.81.00.02.1LABLAB
246207Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.824.726.820.517.07.61.00.02.3LABLAB
264189Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.626.325.316.421.37.31.20.02.1CONCON
266187Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.626.524.712.726.36.41.30.02.1CONCON
267186Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.527.924.912.824.76.41.30.01.9CONCON
275178Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.626.020.919.623.46.71.10.02.3CONCON
275177Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.327.522.112.129.45.71.20.02.1CONBrexit
276177Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.129.123.313.524.76.21.20.02.0CONCON
276176Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.227.021.211.930.26.21.40.02.1CONBrexit
281172Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.127.921.816.624.36.11.10.02.1CONCON
283170Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.428.321.911.928.36.11.40.02.0CONCON
286167Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.329.122.513.725.26.21.20.02.0CONCON
287166Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.530.423.713.024.15.81.10.01.9CONCON
290163Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.929.622.415.123.36.41.10.02.1CONCON
298155Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.130.121.314.424.26.61.20.02.1CONCON
315138Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.129.519.414.128.25.51.10.02.1CONCON
318135Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.629.619.114.028.45.71.10.02.1CONCON
319134Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.829.218.614.028.56.31.30.02.2CONCON
339114Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.030.317.115.927.06.51.20.02.2CONCON
35697Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.932.518.217.921.76.41.00.02.2CONCON
36588Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.732.116.913.129.25.61.10.02.0CONCON
36687Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.029.714.518.527.46.61.20.02.1CONCON
36786Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.532.316.916.924.66.01.00.02.2CONCON
38469Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.131.915.416.325.97.01.30.02.3CONCON
39261Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.932.515.416.526.26.21.10.02.2CONCON
39855Stone Bill Cash67,82473.832.715.016.026.96.11.10.02.2CONCON
40053Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.030.812.828.019.85.81.00.01.9CONCON
40152Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.431.413.320.925.75.61.00.02.1CONCON
40647Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.432.113.623.321.46.41.00.02.3CONCON
40944Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.931.512.821.524.36.51.00.02.2CONCON
41142Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.331.312.423.523.75.91.00.02.2CONCON
42033Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.433.013.016.927.76.11.10.02.2CONCON
42132Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.131.111.020.926.96.91.10.02.1CONCON
42627Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.635.014.113.029.35.51.10.02.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.