West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 37.9%80+843
LAB 42.5%24 26.9%08-816
LIB 4.4%0 15.7%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 13.8%00+00
Green 1.7%0 3.4%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 0.8%00+00
Other 0.6%0 1.6%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Shrewsbury and Atcham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stoke-on-Trent Central (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
2545Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.316.362.88.78.32.30.80.00.8LABLAB
5542Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.015.159.713.35.44.70.70.01.0LABLAB
7540Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.416.559.114.65.03.40.60.00.7LABLAB
53494Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.024.547.512.79.53.80.70.01.4LABLAB
76471Warley John Spellar63,72463.125.343.812.112.63.90.80.01.5LABLAB
101446Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.321.837.623.212.62.70.90.01.3LABLAB
116431Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.427.040.413.113.33.70.90.01.7LABLAB
131416Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.927.038.217.89.55.20.80.01.6LABLAB
162385Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.431.739.110.913.52.60.80.01.3LABLAB
179368Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.231.036.313.013.53.70.80.01.7LABLAB
187360Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.930.234.111.817.53.50.90.01.9LABLAB
190357Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.031.334.617.210.14.30.70.01.8LABLAB
191356West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.332.335.611.514.43.40.80.02.1LABLAB
192355Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.431.234.216.511.34.30.80.01.7LABLAB
201346Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.331.533.315.013.64.10.90.01.7LABLAB
214333Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.032.032.112.816.73.61.10.01.8LABLAB
224323Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.032.932.111.916.93.41.00.01.9LABCON
225322West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.733.132.110.618.53.11.00.01.7LABCON
230317Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.333.531.814.014.23.90.80.01.8LABCON
247300Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.635.531.814.611.63.60.80.02.1LABCON
254293Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.735.530.811.716.43.20.80.01.6LABCON
268279Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.834.427.920.69.94.80.80.01.7LABCON
284263Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.737.628.810.717.92.51.00.01.6LABCON
285262Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.137.728.812.415.53.20.80.01.7CONCON
286261Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.637.128.113.015.53.70.80.01.8CONCON
290257Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.937.327.915.714.12.70.70.01.6LABCON
298249Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.637.126.516.313.24.30.90.01.7CONCON
301246Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.637.826.810.919.52.41.00.01.6CONCON
317230Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.639.725.212.916.53.20.90.01.6CONCON
322225Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.540.225.012.716.62.71.00.01.8CONCON
329218Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.638.422.420.013.23.60.80.01.6CONCON
343204Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.141.823.713.416.02.70.90.01.5CONCON
347200Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.341.723.413.915.72.80.90.01.6CONCON
349198Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.941.923.615.712.63.80.70.01.7CONCON
351196Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.141.122.717.013.43.40.70.01.7CONCON
355192Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.241.422.712.417.93.01.00.01.7CONCON
358189Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.543.124.113.014.62.90.70.01.5CONCON
364183Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.342.822.912.716.13.10.80.01.7CONCON
365182Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.442.422.512.118.02.61.00.01.5CONCON
367180Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.142.322.214.914.53.10.90.02.0CONCON
400147Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.144.220.814.615.82.30.70.01.6CONCON
402145Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.843.619.914.616.43.00.90.01.6CONCON
408139Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.644.920.514.614.92.70.70.01.6CONCON
435112Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.044.418.516.714.13.90.70.01.6CONCON
437110Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.945.119.218.211.63.20.70.02.0CONCON
46582Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.546.118.317.712.53.10.70.01.6CONCON
46681Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.043.615.819.215.23.70.80.01.6CONCON
47473Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.145.316.716.815.13.60.90.01.7CONCON
47968Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.042.313.427.611.92.70.60.01.4CONCON
48760Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.444.514.924.210.93.30.70.01.5CONCON
49057Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.946.617.017.313.53.30.70.01.6CONCON
49255Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.747.717.813.615.92.10.80.02.1CONCON
50344Stone Bill Cash67,82473.847.416.516.714.42.60.80.01.6CONCON
50443Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.944.914.022.612.73.60.70.01.5CONCON
50542Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.445.514.421.913.03.00.60.01.5CONCON
50740Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.344.913.724.011.73.20.60.01.8CONCON
52225Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.144.712.121.813.25.20.70.02.2CONCON
52720Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.447.614.317.814.93.10.80.01.5CONCON
5389Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.650.615.313.915.12.90.70.01.6CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.