West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 37.9%80+843
LAB 42.5%24 26.9%08-816
LIB 4.4%0 15.7%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 13.8%00+00
Green 1.7%0 3.4%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 0.8%00+00
Other 0.6%0 1.6%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Shrewsbury and Atcham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stoke-on-Trent Central (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
2545Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.316.362.
5542Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.015.159.713.
7540Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.416.559.
53494Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.024.547.512.
76471Warley John Spellar63,72463.125.343.812.
101446Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.321.837.623.
116431Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.427.040.413.
131416Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.927.
162385Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.431.739.110.913.
179368Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.231.036.313.
187360Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.930.234.111.817.
190357Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.031.334.617.
191356West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.332.335.611.514.
192355Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.431.234.216.511.
201346Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.331.533.315.
214333Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.
224323Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.032.932.111.916.
225322West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.733.132.110.618.
230317Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.333.531.814.
247300Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.635.531.814.611.
254293Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.735.530.811.716.
268279Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.834.427.920.
284263Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.737.628.810.717.
285262Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.137.728.812.415.
286261Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.637.
290257Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.937.327.915.714.
298249Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.637.126.516.313.
301246Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.637.826.810.919.
317230Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.639.725.212.916.
322225Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.540.225.012.716.
329218Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.638.422.420.
343204Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.141.823.713.416.
347200Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.341.723.413.915.
349198Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.941.923.615.712.
351196Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.141.122.717.
355192Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.241.422.712.417.
358189Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.543.
364183Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.342.822.912.716.
365182Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.442.422.512.
367180Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.142.322.214.914.
400147Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.144.220.814.615.
402145Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.843.619.914.616.
408139Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.644.920.514.614.
435112Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.044.418.516.714.
437110Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.945.
46582Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.546.118.317.712.
46681Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.043.615.819.
47473Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.145.316.716.815.
47968Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.042.313.427.611.
48760Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.444.514.924.
49057Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.946.617.017.313.
49255Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.747.717.813.615.
50344Stone Bill Cash67,82473.847.416.516.714.
50443Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.944.914.022.612.
50542Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.445.514.421.913.
50740Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.344.913.724.
52225Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.144.712.121.813.
52720Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.447.614.317.814.
5389Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.650.615.313.915.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.