West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 53.4%44 31.0%026-2618
LAB 33.9%15 43.6%260+2641
LIB 7.9%0 7.7%00+00
Reform 1.4%0 10.8%00+00
Green 3.0%0 5.9%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Walsall North (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Wolverhampton North East (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
1579Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood74,91256.24.682.
10570Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne78,29557.56.777.
21559Birmingham Hall Green Tahir Ali80,28365.99.574.
39541Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood72,00658.512.570.
56524Warley John Spellar62,35759.714.
79501Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe82,66559.814.963.
86494Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher76,00658.516.464.
100480Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips74,70457.114.659.27.912.
122458Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,82861.518.961.
145435Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden62,88353.220.960.32.810.
175405Walsall South Valerie Vaz68,02462.422.859.
187393Stoke-on-Trent Central Jo Gideon55,41957.922.357.33.310.
192388West Bromwich East Nicola Richards62,04658.023.857.
204376Birmingham Northfield Gary Sambrook73,69458.522.554.44.311.
206374Coventry South Zarah Sultana70,97963.524.
210370West Bromwich West Shaun Bailey64,51753.424.455.82.911.
220360Coventry North West Taiwo Owatemi75,24763.423.353.54.910.
221359Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey66,14853.327.757.
233347Wolverhampton North East Jane Stevenson61,66055.625.654.33.510.
256324Warwick and Leamington Matt Western76,36271.022.448.07.511.
268312Wolverhampton South West Stuart Anderson60,53468.029.353.
274306Stoke-on-Trent North Jonathan Gullis68,29858.827.650.93.911.
305275Telford Lucy Allan68,92162.
317263Newcastle-under-Lyme Aaron Bell68,21165.629.948.
322258Worcester Robin Walker73,48569.327.444.75.911.
334246Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,17754.432.547.13.711.
338242Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton64,49161.432.546.64.811.
348232Dudley North Marco Longhi61,93659.233.446.03.811.
351229Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,30062.033.845.
352228Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski82,23871.829.641.310.411.
366214Nuneaton Marcus Jones70,22664.334.343.54.710.
367213Rugby Mark Pawsey72,29270.333.
369211Burton Kate Griffiths75,03665.035.343.
376204Stafford Theo Clarke72,57270.533.
380200Stourbridge Suzanne Webb69,89165.436.
394186Warwickshire North Craig Tracey70,27165.336.340.85.511.
405175Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard70,69369.235.739.
406174Redditch Rachel Maclean65,39167.437.340.55.310.
419161Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,81361.936.938.
425155Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,57264.339.640.
429151Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley65,48566.737.838.75.511.
444136Dudley South Mike Wood60,73160.238.738.35.411.
453127Wyre Forest Mark Garnier78,07764.837.236.07.612.
465115Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman72,08568.933.530.714.
473107Bromsgrove Sajid Javid75,07872.337.834.09.611.
48892Stone Bill Cash69,37871.839.134.18.311.
49288Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,63869.240.535.
50773Lichfield Michael Fabricant76,61670.540.433.98.311.
50872Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright68,15477.234.027.518.811.
51268Meriden Saqib Bhatti85,36863.438.731.78.911.
52555Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin76,24175.534.625.717.313.
55228Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,13865.444.432.
55327Solihull Julian Knight78,76070.338.226.615.411.
55624Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi74,03774.434.922.323.911.
55723Ludlow Philip Dunne69,44472.338.926.117.611.
56119Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston78,22071.841.327.411.612.
56218Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin70,25272.637.523.415.513.
56416Shropshire North Owen Paterson83,25867.935.220.227.310.
56614Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,66867.944.729.47.312.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.