West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 49.1%40+439
LAB 42.5%24 33.7%04-420
LIB 4.4%0 11.2%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 2.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 2.5%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.6%0 1.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Wolverhampton North East (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
2567Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.315.671.
5564Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.014.869.
6563Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.415.
52517Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.025.555.
76493Warley John Spellar63,72463.
78491Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.324.548.
109460Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.929.
112457Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.430.248.810.
152417Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.035.448.
154415Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.434.
170399Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.033.643.913.
178391Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.836.145.310.
180389Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.
198371Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.340.
200369Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.935.141.89.810.
202367West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.336.
217352Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.337.841.710.
223346Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.439.
226343Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.643.344.
233336Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.
246323Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.740.
252317Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.941.236.711.
259310West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.744.636.
289280Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.650.632.912.
295274Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.653.934.911.
301268Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.154.734.910.
315254Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.651.529.515.
330239Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.954.630.312.
331238Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.757.
343226Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.155.329.
350219Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.657.330.610.
369200Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.558.
370199Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.263.535.
374195Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.357.629.
376193Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.659.430.
379190Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.157.728.411.
384185Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.558.829.
391178Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.158.628.
404165Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.957.
421148Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.360.
427142Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.454.722.
445124Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.558.625.
457112Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.660.
458111Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.058.824.612.
469100Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.054.820.
47198Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.160.726.
47297Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.461.927.
47792Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.860.925.611.
47990Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.058.022.616.
48683Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.356.920.520.
49079Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.957.721.
49673Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.960.123.312.
50267Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.458.721.417.
51158Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.
53138Stone Bill Cash67,82473.862.022.913.
53534Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.158.819.
54821Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.764.522.610.
55316Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.462.820.
5618Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.666.320.611.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.