West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 44.6%20+237
LAB 42.5%24 36.3%02-222
LIB 4.4%0 6.7%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 5.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 3.8%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 3.4%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
8563Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.010.276.54.82.93.20.00.02.5LABLAB
12559Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.311.074.83.75.22.70.00.02.5LABLAB
17554Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.411.771.47.83.03.50.00.02.6LABLAB
63508Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.022.161.94.73.43.50.01.33.1LABLAB
66505Warley John Spellar63,72463.121.760.94.26.73.60.00.02.9LABLAB
84487Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.315.450.820.27.72.80.00.03.1LABLAB
96475Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.425.557.24.86.33.30.00.03.0LABLAB
108463Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.927.456.75.63.44.00.00.02.9LABLAB
151420Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.930.352.03.58.03.30.00.02.9LABLAB
165406Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.432.751.13.67.52.20.00.02.9LABLAB
169402West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.333.851.73.93.43.50.00.03.7LABLAB
171400Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.233.951.74.33.43.80.00.02.9LABLAB
180391Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.332.347.74.96.53.50.02.32.9LABLAB
181390Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.433.748.85.15.63.50.00.03.3LABLAB
186385Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.035.049.15.93.43.50.00.03.2LABLAB
196375Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.035.846.63.87.43.50.00.02.9LABLAB
198373West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.735.245.83.29.83.10.00.02.9LABLAB
200371Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.035.345.34.38.23.30.00.03.5LABLAB
208363Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.338.247.04.43.44.10.00.02.9LABLAB
230341Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.740.844.74.53.43.80.00.02.9LABLAB
232339Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.639.743.14.15.83.50.00.03.7LABLAB
241330Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.840.040.47.54.94.40.00.02.9LABLAB
254317Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.943.642.06.03.42.20.00.02.9LABCON
255316Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.742.040.33.28.92.80.00.02.9LABCON
265306Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.144.641.24.23.43.70.00.02.9CONCON
266305Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.644.340.94.43.44.20.00.02.9CONCON
289282Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.643.637.05.76.04.50.00.03.1CONCON
298273Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.645.236.63.89.42.20.00.02.9CONCON
311260Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.647.135.04.36.93.80.00.02.9CONCON
316255Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.645.532.39.65.74.00.00.02.9CONCON
318253Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.547.433.84.28.23.20.00.03.3CONCON
329242Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.950.333.65.23.44.60.00.02.9CONCON
334237Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.149.832.17.83.44.00.00.02.9CONCON
336235Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.150.132.14.67.23.20.00.02.9CONCON
337234Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.347.829.84.96.43.00.05.03.1CONCON
342229Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.250.531.23.97.63.90.00.02.9CONCON
345226Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.352.532.74.53.44.20.00.02.9CONCON
352219Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.151.029.95.06.73.80.00.03.6CONCON
359212Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.553.531.64.83.43.80.00.02.9CONCON
361210Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.452.030.03.98.13.20.00.02.9CONCON
388183Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.653.727.75.63.43.40.03.42.9CONCON
402169Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.853.926.16.16.94.20.00.02.9CONCON
404167Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.156.528.66.43.42.20.00.02.9CONCON
426145Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.956.525.76.63.44.00.00.03.8CONCON
430141Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.056.024.97.63.45.30.00.02.9CONCON
433138Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.049.017.59.35.74.60.011.02.9CONCON
445126Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.557.525.16.93.44.30.00.02.9CONCON
47992Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.959.122.67.23.44.80.00.02.9CONCON
48685Stone Bill Cash67,82473.858.722.06.76.13.60.00.02.9CONCON
48883Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.157.520.67.17.14.80.00.02.9CONCON
49180Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.456.319.311.95.24.40.00.02.9CONCON
49972Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.760.923.65.63.42.20.00.04.3CONCON
50665Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.053.615.618.05.74.20.00.02.9CONCON
51358Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.957.017.511.76.05.00.00.02.9CONCON
52150Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.458.418.113.03.44.30.00.02.9CONCON
53140Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.357.716.014.43.44.70.00.03.8CONCON
54526Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.460.816.78.56.44.70.00.02.9CONCON
55021Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.157.513.013.93.37.60.00.04.6CONCON
55714Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.665.319.14.93.44.50.00.02.9CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.