West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 49.1%40+439
LAB 42.5%24 33.7%04-420
LIB 4.4%0 11.2%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 2.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 2.5%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.6%0 1.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Wolverhampton North East (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
NAT
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
2567Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.315.671.64.44.72.50.00.00.01.2LABLAB
5564Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.014.869.48.43.34.10.00.00.00.0LABLAB
6563Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.415.069.67.73.13.30.00.00.01.3LABLAB
52517Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.025.555.18.65.53.20.00.00.02.0LABLAB
76493Warley John Spellar63,72463.128.052.09.27.73.20.00.00.00.0LABLAB
78491Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.324.548.116.67.83.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
109460Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.929.148.113.45.44.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
112457Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.430.248.810.17.83.20.00.00.00.0LABLAB
152417Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.035.448.26.67.42.40.00.00.00.0LABLAB
154415Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.434.146.77.07.92.40.00.00.01.9LABLAB
170399Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.033.643.913.25.73.60.00.00.00.0LABLAB
178391Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.836.145.310.93.92.30.00.00.01.5LABLAB
180389Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.235.044.210.07.63.20.00.00.00.0LABLAB
198371Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.340.147.07.04.31.60.00.00.00.0LABLAB
200369Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.935.141.89.810.23.10.00.00.00.0LABLAB
202367West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.336.042.58.38.22.90.00.00.02.2LABLAB
217352Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.337.841.710.76.92.90.00.00.00.0LABLAB
223346Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.439.241.88.75.63.20.00.00.01.5LABLAB
226343Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.643.344.38.44.00.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
233336Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.042.142.26.37.41.90.00.00.00.0LABLAB
246323Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.740.137.88.29.02.90.00.00.02.1LABCON
252317Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.941.236.711.87.82.50.00.00.00.0LABCON
259310West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.744.636.27.79.02.60.00.00.00.0LABCON
289280Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.650.632.912.10.03.00.00.00.01.4CONCON
295274Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.653.934.911.20.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
301268Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.154.734.910.40.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
315254Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.651.529.515.00.02.50.00.00.01.5CONCON
330239Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.954.630.312.40.02.70.00.00.00.0CONCON
331238Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.757.132.98.40.01.60.00.00.00.0LABCON
343226Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.155.329.213.10.02.40.00.00.00.0CONCON
350219Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.657.330.610.00.02.20.00.00.00.0CONCON
369200Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.558.029.69.40.01.80.00.00.01.2CONCON
370199Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.263.535.10.00.01.40.00.00.00.0CONCON
374195Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.357.629.011.30.02.10.00.00.00.0CONCON
376193Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.659.430.68.50.01.50.00.00.00.0CONCON
379190Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.157.728.411.60.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
384185Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.558.829.39.80.02.10.00.00.00.0CONCON
391178Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.158.628.79.80.01.80.00.00.01.1CONCON
404165Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.957.026.014.50.02.50.00.00.00.0CONCON
421148Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.360.028.010.00.02.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
427142Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.454.722.219.10.02.70.00.00.01.4CONCON
445124Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.558.625.113.80.02.40.00.00.00.0CONCON
457112Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.660.126.011.90.01.90.00.00.00.0CONCON
458111Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.058.824.612.50.02.80.00.00.01.3CONCON
469100Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.054.820.122.80.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
47198Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.160.726.010.60.01.60.00.00.01.1CONCON
47297Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.461.927.09.40.01.70.00.00.00.0CONCON
47792Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.860.925.611.40.02.20.00.00.00.0CONCON
47990Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.058.022.616.40.03.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
48683Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.356.920.520.00.02.60.00.00.00.0CONCON
49079Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.957.721.218.30.02.80.00.00.00.0CONCON
49673Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.960.123.312.80.02.50.00.00.01.3CONCON
50267Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.458.721.417.50.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
51158Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.161.123.212.90.02.80.00.00.00.0CONCON
53138Stone Bill Cash67,82473.862.022.913.10.02.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
53534Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.158.819.118.20.03.90.00.00.00.0CONCON
54821Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.764.522.610.10.01.50.00.00.01.3CONCON
55316Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.462.820.213.20.02.50.00.00.01.3CONCON
5618Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.666.320.611.00.02.10.00.00.00.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.