| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27.6% | 15 | 19.3% | 0 | 13 | -13 | 2 |
| LAB | 34.0% | 38 | 18.7% | 0 | 37 | -37 | 1 |
| LIB | 8.8% | 2 | 11.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| Reform | 18.1% | 0 | 36.1% | 50 | 0 | +50 | 50 |
| Green | 6.6% | 1 | 8.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Other | 4.9% | 1 | 6.0% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Warwick and Leamington' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Herefordshire North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Herefordshire North (prediction: Green), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 80 | Warwick and Leamington | Matt Western | 76,294 | 64.5 | 16.4 | 34.0 | 11.5 | 24.3 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 83 | 72 | Wolverhampton South East | Pat McFadden | 77,473 | 43.1 | 8.8 | 24.8 | 6.5 | 47.1 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 84 | 71 | Coventry North West | Taiwo Owatemi | 75,057 | 56.0 | 12.9 | 28.9 | 8.4 | 36.3 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 86 | 69 | Birmingham Selly Oak | Alistair Carns | 75,678 | 50.8 | 11.7 | 27.3 | 9.5 | 30.4 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 8.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 86 | 69 | Smethwick | Gurinder Singh Josan | 72,863 | 48.2 | 9.2 | 24.7 | 7.3 | 37.3 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 5.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 90 | 65 | Shrewsbury | Julia Buckley | 76,633 | 67.3 | 14.9 | 29.9 | 13.9 | 31.2 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 95 | 60 | Coventry East | Mary Creagh | 75,801 | 48.8 | 11.8 | 26.4 | 7.3 | 38.7 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 3.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 95 | 60 | Birmingham Ladywood | Shabana Mahmood | 83,693 | 43.7 | 4.3 | 18.8 | 11.1 | 23.7 | 16.6 | 24.5 | 0.9 | LAB | MIN |
| 95 | 60 | Coventry South | Zarah Sultana | 76,262 | 56.0 | 15.5 | 29.6 | 10.1 | 30.3 | 9.6 | 1.9 | 3.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 97 | 58 | West Bromwich | Sarah Coombes | 74,026 | 49.3 | 10.9 | 24.5 | 7.8 | 42.5 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 5.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 103 | 52 | Stoke-on-Trent Central | Gareth Snell | 73,693 | 47.9 | 9.7 | 21.8 | 6.2 | 46.3 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 8.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Birmingham Erdington | Paulette Hamilton | 77,463 | 43.6 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 43.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 8.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Worcester | Tom Collins | 74,931 | 61.4 | 16.4 | 26.6 | 10.8 | 31.8 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 2.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Birmingham Edgbaston | Preet Kaur Gill | 71,787 | 52.1 | 15.9 | 26.0 | 9.8 | 29.1 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 9.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Tahir Ali | 76,936 | 54.1 | 6.4 | 16.4 | 15.4 | 24.2 | 13.2 | 23.5 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Wolverhampton West | Warinder Juss | 77,851 | 56.1 | 15.8 | 25.7 | 8.1 | 34.7 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 5.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Birmingham Yardley | Jess Phillips | 73,203 | 49.4 | 7.9 | 16.8 | 11.7 | 33.0 | 7.9 | 21.7 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Birmingham Northfield | Laurence Turner | 74,048 | 50.8 | 14.7 | 23.4 | 8.1 | 40.8 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 47 | Birmingham Perry Barr | Ayoub Khan | 76,350 | 49.1 | 6.3 | 14.9 | 9.3 | 30.4 | 11.0 | 25.2 | 2.8 | MIN | Reform |
| 109 | 46 | Telford | Shaun Davies | 73,808 | 55.2 | 15.8 | 23.3 | 7.4 | 41.2 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 2.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 110 | 45 | Walsall and Bloxwich | Valerie Vaz | 75,968 | 49.0 | 10.2 | 17.3 | 6.5 | 42.0 | 8.5 | 14.5 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 112 | 43 | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Liam Byrne | 77,737 | 43.9 | 9.7 | 15.2 | 6.8 | 39.2 | 8.3 | 19.7 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 112 | 43 | Tipton and Wednesbury | Antonia Bance | 74,100 | 43.0 | 12.9 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 51.3 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 5.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 116 | 39 | Wolverhampton North East | Sureena Brackenridge | 70,715 | 47.1 | 17.9 | 19.8 | 7.1 | 43.8 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 118 | 37 | Stoke-on-Trent North | David Williams | 69,790 | 51.8 | 17.7 | 19.1 | 6.2 | 44.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 5.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 118 | 37 | Halesowen | Alex Ballinger | 68,549 | 56.3 | 18.4 | 19.7 | 9.6 | 41.1 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 118 | 37 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Adam Jogee | 67,839 | 58.4 | 20.6 | 21.7 | 8.2 | 38.4 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Stafford | Leigh Ingham | 70,608 | 65.2 | 23.5 | 23.3 | 7.8 | 32.9 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 3.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Rugby | John Anthony Slinger | 74,901 | 65.4 | 23.8 | 23.3 | 9.8 | 31.5 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Cannock Chase | Josh Newbury | 76,974 | 55.8 | 19.2 | 18.4 | 6.6 | 45.8 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Nuneaton | Jodie Gosling | 71,662 | 57.5 | 19.5 | 18.7 | 7.6 | 40.5 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Stourbridge | Cat Eccles | 68,311 | 58.4 | 20.9 | 19.9 | 8.5 | 38.6 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | Rachel Margaret Taylor | 69,752 | 58.7 | 20.7 | 18.5 | 7.2 | 44.2 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Dudley | Sonia Kumar | 70,151 | 51.0 | 17.9 | 15.2 | 7.1 | 47.2 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 4.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Burton and Uttoxeter | Jacob Collier | 77,994 | 58.5 | 21.1 | 18.2 | 8.0 | 39.3 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 35 | Tamworth | Sarah Edwards | 75,059 | 58.3 | 21.9 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 42.3 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 2.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 121 | 34 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Allison Gardner | 68,263 | 60.0 | 21.8 | 17.4 | 7.9 | 41.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 5.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 122 | 33 | Lichfield | Dave Robertson | 76,118 | 64.5 | 24.4 | 20.0 | 10.7 | 35.5 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 3.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 122 | 33 | Redditch | Christopher James Bloore | 71,038 | 59.7 | 23.1 | 18.4 | 8.9 | 38.1 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 123 | 32 | Wyre Forest | Mark Garnier | 77,394 | 58.3 | 21.9 | 16.1 | 9.1 | 39.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 6.2 | CON | Reform |
| 125 | 30 | Hereford and South Herefordshire | Jesse Norman | 72,203 | 63.1 | 23.1 | 16.4 | 12.8 | 36.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 3.1 | CON | Reform |
| 125 | 30 | Wrekin, The | Mark Pritchard | 78,942 | 63.4 | 23.2 | 16.5 | 11.9 | 36.7 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 3.6 | CON | Reform |
| 125 | 30 | Staffordshire Moorlands | Karen Bradley | 69,892 | 62.0 | 24.0 | 17.1 | 7.5 | 41.8 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 2.7 | CON | Reform |
| 127 | 28 | Sutton Coldfield | Andrew Mitchell | 74,080 | 65.2 | 28.4 | 19.6 | 10.4 | 30.9 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | CON | Reform |
| 127 | 28 | Bromsgrove | Bradley Anthony Thomas | 76,468 | 65.9 | 24.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 33.3 | 5.7 | 0.4 | 4.9 | CON | Reform |
| 132 | 23 | Solihull West and Shirley | Neil Shastri-Hurst | 71,813 | 65.3 | 25.9 | 14.6 | 18.1 | 29.6 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | CON | Reform |
| 132 | 23 | Aldridge-Brownhills | Wendy Morton | 70,871 | 57.7 | 25.6 | 14.3 | 8.0 | 43.1 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 2.9 | CON | Reform |
| 132 | 23 | Shropshire North | Helen Morgan | 77,594 | 63.9 | 16.9 | 5.2 | 37.5 | 33.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 2.9 | LIB | LIB |
| 132 | 23 | Meriden and Solihull East | Saqib Bhatti | 73,659 | 59.8 | 27.7 | 15.2 | 11.2 | 35.4 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | CON | Reform |
| 134 | 22 | Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Gavin Williamson | 71,561 | 59.8 | 31.7 | 18.4 | 10.2 | 24.2 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 8.5 | CON | CON |
| 135 | 20 | Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Mike Wood | 71,662 | 63.0 | 27.9 | 14.1 | 8.2 | 39.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | CON | Reform |
| 136 | 20 | Kenilworth and Southam | Jeremy Wright | 74,923 | 71.2 | 29.9 | 15.7 | 18.9 | 24.5 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | CON | CON |
| 139 | 16 | Droitwich and Evesham | Nigel Huddleston | 76,624 | 64.7 | 28.7 | 12.2 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | Reform |
| 141 | 14 | Shropshire South | Stuart Anderson | 76,723 | 67.3 | 24.9 | 7.9 | 24.8 | 34.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 2.7 | CON | Reform |
| 143 | 12 | Worcestershire West | Harriett Baldwin | 79,242 | 69.0 | 27.0 | 8.9 | 21.6 | 30.1 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 3.2 | CON | Reform |
| 145 | 10 | Stratford-on-Avon | Manuela Perteghella | 75,714 | 69.9 | 24.3 | 5.4 | 35.1 | 28.0 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 147 | 8 | Herefordshire North | Ellie Chowns | 72,797 | 69.2 | 23.8 | 4.2 | 6.7 | 31.0 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | Green | Green |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.