West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 25.8%05-530
LAB 42.5%24 26.8%20+226
LIB 4.4%0 15.7%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 22.2%30+33
Green 1.7%0 6.3%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 1.1%00+00
Other 0.6%0 2.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Shropshire North (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Wolverhampton South East (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
1452Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.39.067.710.
5448Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.09.463.415.
6447Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.410.262.716.
37416Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.
47406Warley John Spellar63,72463.115.748.312.514.
60393Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.312.941.126.910.
74379Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.417.243.313.716.
118335Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.422.743.111.613.
122331Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.918.938.918.912.
124329Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.917.537.311.323.
133320West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.321.139.111.519.
146307Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.
175278Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.320.734.
176277West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.721.134.410.923.
180273Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.421.934.817.
183270Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.020.632.911.824.
186267Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.022.834.918.
192261Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.
200253Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.321.931.714.
205248Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.722.331.
211242Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.626.033.614.
222231Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.724.229.511.
235218Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.125.128.412.425.
239214Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.624.527.312.726.
242210Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.624.527.210.927.
244209Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.924.326.915.824.
246207Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.824.726.820.517.
264189Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.626.325.316.421.
266187Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.626.524.712.726.
267186Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.527.924.912.824.
275178Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.626.020.919.623.
275177Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.327.522.
276177Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.129.123.313.524.
276176Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.
281172Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.127.921.816.624.
283170Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.428.321.911.928.
286167Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.329.122.513.725.
287166Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.530.423.713.
290163Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.929.622.415.
298155Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.130.121.314.424.
315138Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.129.519.414.
318135Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.629.619.
319134Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.829.218.614.
339114Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.030.317.115.927.
35697Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.932.518.217.921.
36588Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.732.116.913.
36687Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.029.714.518.527.
36786Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.532.316.916.924.
38469Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.131.915.416.325.
39261Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.932.515.416.526.
39855Stone Bill Cash67,82473.832.715.
40053Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.030.812.828.
40152Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.431.413.320.925.
40647Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.432.113.623.321.
40944Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.931.512.821.524.
41142Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.331.312.423.523.
42033Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.433.013.016.927.
42132Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.
42627Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.635.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.