West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	53.4%	44	29.3%	0	28	-28	16
LAB	33.9%	15	44.0%	28	0	+28	43
LIB	7.9%	0	8.0%	0	0	+0	0
Reform	1.4%	0	12.8%	0	0	+0	0
Green	3.0%	0	5.3%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.5%	0	0.5%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Walsall North (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Wolverhampton North East (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2019	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2019 Win	Pred Win
1	565	Birmingham Ladywood	Shabana Mahmood	74,912	56.2	3.5	82.4	2.2	7.0	4.6	0.0	0.3	LAB	LAB
10	556	Birmingham Hodge Hill	Liam Byrne	78,295	57.5	5.6	78.3	2.1	9.2	4.3	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
21	545	Birmingham Hall Green	Tahir Ali	80,283	65.9	8.1	74.4	3.4	9.4	4.2	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
41	525	Birmingham Perry Barr	Khalid Mahmood	72,006	58.5	11.1	70.9	3.5	10.1	3.9	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
57	509	Warley	John Spellar	62,357	59.7	12.7	68.6	2.9	10.9	4.4	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
77	489	Birmingham Selly Oak	Steve McCabe	82,665	59.8	13.5	64.2	4.0	10.8	7.1	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
85	481	Coventry North East	Colleen Fletcher	76,006	58.5	15.0	64.7	3.4	11.6	4.9	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
97	469	Birmingham Yardley	Jess Phillips	74,704	57.1	12.8	59.6	8.2	14.2	4.6	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
119	447	Birmingham Edgbaston	Preet Gill	68,828	61.5	17.3	61.8	4.5	10.7	5.2	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
145	421	Wolverhampton South East	Pat McFadden	62,883	53.2	19.6	60.7	3.0	12.2	4.0	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
174	392	Walsall South	Valerie Vaz	68,024	62.4	21.4	59.7	3.4	11.4	3.6	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
183	383	Stoke-on-Trent Central	Jo Gideon	55,419	57.9	20.9	57.7	3.5	12.6	4.9	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
192	374	West Bromwich East	Nicola Richards	62,046	58.0	22.5	57.7	3.2	12.3	3.7	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
203	363	Birmingham Northfield	Gary Sambrook	73,694	58.5	20.9	54.8	4.6	13.3	5.8	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
205	361	Coventry South	Zarah Sultana	70,979	63.5	22.4	56.1	4.8	11.2	5.0	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
209	357	West Bromwich West	Shaun Bailey	64,517	53.4	23.1	56.2	3.1	13.0	4.1	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
215	351	Coventry North West	Taiwo Owatemi	75,247	63.4	21.6	53.9	5.2	13.0	5.8	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
221	345	Birmingham Erdington	Jack Dromey	66,148	53.3	26.5	58.2	2.0	8.8	2.9	1.1	0.5	LAB	LAB
230	336	Wolverhampton North East	Jane Stevenson	61,660	55.6	24.2	54.7	3.7	12.7	4.2	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
247	319	Warwick and Leamington	Matt Western	76,362	71.0	20.5	48.4	7.9	13.7	8.9	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
266	300	Wolverhampton South West	Stuart Anderson	60,534	68.0	27.9	53.8	3.9	10.6	3.4	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
273	293	Stoke-on-Trent North	Jonathan Gullis	68,298	58.8	26.2	51.3	4.2	13.7	4.1	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
299	267	Telford	Lucy Allan	68,921	62.1	28.7	50.7	3.9	11.8	4.6	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
311	255	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Aaron Bell	68,211	65.6	28.2	48.4	5.5	12.8	4.6	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
312	254	Worcester	Robin Walker	73,485	69.3	25.5	45.1	6.2	14.1	8.4	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
329	237	Walsall North	Eddie Hughes	67,177	54.4	31.0	47.6	3.9	12.9	4.2	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
332	234	Stoke-on-Trent South	Jack Brereton	64,491	61.4	30.9	47.0	5.1	13.0	3.4	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
342	224	Dudley North	Marco Longhi	61,936	59.2	32.0	46.4	4.0	12.9	4.3	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
344	222	Shrewsbury and Atcham	Daniel Kawczynski	82,238	71.8	27.9	41.7	10.8	13.3	6.1	0.0	0.3	CON	LAB
345	221	Halesowen and Rowley Regis	James Morris	68,300	62.0	32.3	46.0	4.3	12.3	4.6	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
359	207	Rugby	Mark Pawsey	72,292	70.3	31.4	42.8	7.6	12.8	5.0	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
360	206	Nuneaton	Marcus Jones	70,226	64.3	32.7	43.9	5.0	12.6	5.4	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
366	200	Burton	Kate Griffiths	75,036	65.0	33.8	44.3	4.5	12.0	5.0	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
368	198	Stafford	Theo Clarke	72,572	70.5	31.4	41.4	6.3	13.7	6.7	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
374	192	Stourbridge	Suzanne Webb	69,891	65.4	34.6	42.8	5.3	12.5	4.4	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
388	178	Warwickshire North	Craig Tracey	70,271	65.3	34.7	41.2	5.9	13.4	4.5	0.0	0.3	CON	LAB
398	168	Wrekin, The	Mark Pritchard	70,693	69.2	33.9	39.5	7.4	13.6	5.2	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
400	166	Redditch	Rachel Maclean	65,391	67.4	35.7	40.9	5.6	12.6	4.9	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
414	152	Cannock Chase	Amanda Milling	74,813	61.9	35.3	39.1	4.4	13.8	7.0	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
422	144	Staffordshire Moorlands	Karen Bradley	65,485	66.7	36.1	39.1	5.8	13.5	5.1	0.0	0.4	CON	LAB
427	139	Tamworth	Christopher Pincher	71,572	64.3	38.2	41.1	3.4	12.3	3.1	1.1	0.7	CON	LAB
438	128	Dudley South	Mike Wood	60,731	60.2	37.0	38.7	5.8	13.5	4.5	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
446	120	Wyre Forest	Mark Garnier	78,077	64.8	35.4	36.4	7.9	14.6	5.2	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
457	109	Hereford and South Herefordshire	Jesse Norman	72,085	68.9	31.7	31.1	14.4	15.5	6.9	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
464	102	Bromsgrove	Sajid Javid	75,078	72.3	36.0	34.4	10.0	13.7	5.6	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
477	89	Stone	Bill Cash	69,378	71.8	37.3	34.5	8.7	13.6	5.6	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
485	81	Sutton Coldfield	Andrew Mitchell	75,638	69.2	38.7	35.6	8.6	11.8	5.0	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
496	70	Lichfield	Michael Fabricant	76,616	70.5	38.6	34.3	8.6	13.0	5.2	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
498	68	Kenilworth and Southam	Jeremy Wright	68,154	77.2	32.2	27.9	19.2	13.3	7.1	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
504	62	Meriden	Saqib Bhatti	85,368	63.4	36.8	32.1	9.2	14.1	7.2	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
515	51	Worcestershire West	Harriett Baldwin	76,241	75.5	32.7	26.1	17.7	15.5	7.5	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
538	28	Solihull	Julian Knight	78,760	70.3	36.4	27.0	15.8	13.9	6.4	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
539	27	Aldridge-Brownhills	Wendy Morton	60,138	65.4	42.6	33.2	6.4	13.5	3.8	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
544	22	Stratford-on-Avon	Nadhim Zahawi	74,037	74.4	33.2	22.7	24.3	13.6	6.0	0.0	0.2	CON	CON
545	21	Ludlow	Philip Dunne	69,444	72.3	37.2	26.5	18.0	13.3	4.8	0.0	0.2	CON	CON
547	19	Worcestershire Mid	Nigel Huddleston	78,220	71.8	39.5	27.8	12.0	14.2	6.2	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
548	18	Herefordshire North	Bill Wiggin	70,252	72.6	35.7	23.8	15.9	15.4	8.9	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
550	16	Shropshire North	Owen Paterson	83,258	67.9	33.4	20.6	27.7	13.2	4.4	0.0	0.6	CON	CON
552	14	Staffordshire South	Gavin Williamson	73,668	67.9	42.9	29.8	7.7	14.2	4.9	0.0	0.4	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.