West Midlands: Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 27.6%15 27.6%00+015
LAB 34.0%38 34.0%00+038
LIB 8.8%2 8.9%00+02
Reform 18.1%0 18.1%00+00
Green 6.6%1 6.6%00+01
Other 4.9%1 4.8%00+01

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Birmingham Ladywood' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Herefordshire North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Coventry South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
96438Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood83,69343.
109425Smethwick Gurinder Singh Josan72,86348.
126408Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden77,47343.116.950.32.322.
134400Coventry East Mary Creagh75,80148.816.949.53.418.
157377Birmingham Selly Oak Alistair Carns75,67850.815.345.
175359Birmingham Erdington Paulette Hamilton77,46343.616.143.73.523.
177357Coventry North West Taiwo Owatemi75,05756.020.346.94.618.
181353West Bromwich Sarah Coombes74,02649.320.146.23.719.
192342Warwick and Leamington Matt Western76,29464.523.548.77.910.
199335Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell73,69347.917.742.
207327Coventry South Zarah Sultana76,26256.023.847.
213321Telford Shaun Davies73,80855.221.444.73.824.
216317Birmingham Perry Barr Ayoub Khan76,35049.111.334.
218316Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Kaur Gill71,78752.
221313Shrewsbury Julia Buckley76,63367.322.544.513.
230304Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Tahir Ali76,93654.19.430.711.65.69.417.216.2LABLAB
233301Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips73,20349.410.
255279Wolverhampton West Warinder Juss77,85156.126.344.33.314.
259275Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Liam Byrne77,73743.913.631.22.818.96.926.60.0LABLAB
267267Wolverhampton North East Sureena Brackenridge70,71547.126.642.
271263Walsall and Bloxwich Valerie Vaz75,96849.
275259Worcester Tom Collins74,93161.425.040.48.714.610.40.00.9LABLAB
285249Birmingham Northfield Laurence Turner74,04850.825.439.64.821.
286248Stoke-on-Trent North David Williams69,79051.826.340.32.624.
296238Newcastle-under-Lyme Adam Jogee67,83958.427.640.
312222Halesowen Alex Ballinger68,54956.327.638.95.922.
321213Tipton and Wednesbury Antonia Bance74,10043.026.336.
328206Stafford Leigh Ingham70,60865.230.340.33.718.
339195Rugby John Anthony Slinger74,90165.430.839.86.716.
344190Nuneaton Jodie Gosling71,66257.528.536.93.322.
349185Stourbridge Cat Eccles68,31158.430.838.
352182Cannock Chase Josh Newbury76,97455.829.236.52.426.
366168Warwickshire North and Bedworth Rachel Margaret Taylor69,75258.730.636.
367167Dudley Sonia Kumar70,15151.028.934.
370164Burton and Uttoxeter Jacob Collier77,99458.530.635.53.721.
382152Tamworth Sarah Edwards75,05958.331.935.03.325.
392142Redditch Christopher James Bloore71,03859.733.
396138Lichfield Dave Robertson76,11864.533.535.17.319.
398136Stoke-on-Trent South Allison Gardner68,26360.
421113Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard78,94263.432.630.99.519.
422112Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,39458.332.130.36.321.
426108Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley69,89262.035.432.63.523.
427107Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman72,20363.132.629.811.718.
44688Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell74,08065.238.333.05.417.
45183Bromsgrove Bradley Anthony Thomas76,46865.932.826.814.719.
47361Solihull West and Shirley Neil Shastri-Hurst71,81365.334.724.916.915.
47757Meriden and Solihull East Saqib Bhatti73,65959.838.127.77.619.
47856Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton70,87157.738.928.44.324.
48846Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright74,92371.236.424.019.713.
49044Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Gavin Williamson71,56159.846.633.
49440Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Mike Wood71,66263.040.326.34.722.
49835Shropshire North Helen Morgan77,59463.922.06.952.915.
50925Droitwich and Evesham Nigel Huddleston76,62464.740.322.110.419.
51618Shropshire South Stuart Anderson76,72367.334.113.431.
51717Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin79,24269.
5267Stratford-on-Avon Manuela Perteghella75,71469.930.87.144.314.
5276Herefordshire North Ellie Chowns72,79769.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.