West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 44.6%20+237
LAB 42.5%24 36.3%02-222
LIB 4.4%0 6.7%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 5.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 3.8%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 3.4%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stafford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Warwick and Leamington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
8563Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.
12559Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.311.
17554Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.411.771.
63508Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.
66505Warley John Spellar63,72463.121.760.
84487Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.315.450.820.
96475Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.425.557.
108463Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.927.456.
151420Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.930.352.
165406Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.432.751.
169402West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.333.851.
171400Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.233.951.
180391Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.332.347.
181390Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.433.748.
186385Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.
196375Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.035.846.
198373West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.735.
200371Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.035.345.
208363Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.338.
230341Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.740.844.
232339Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.639.743.
241330Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.840.
254317Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.943.642.
255316Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.742.
265306Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.144.641.
266305Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.644.340.
289282Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.643.637.
298273Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.645.
311260Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.647.
316255Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.645.532.
318253Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.547.433.
329242Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.950.333.
334237Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.149.832.
336235Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.
337234Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.347.829.
342229Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.250.531.
345226Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.352.532.
352219Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.
359212Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.553.531.
361210Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.452.
388183Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.653.727.
402169Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.853.926.
404167Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.156.528.
426145Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.956.525.
430141Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.
433138Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.
445126Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.557.525.
47992Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.959.
48685Stone Bill Cash67,82473.858.722.
48883Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.157.520.
49180Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.456.319.311.
49972Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.760.923.
50665Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.053.615.618.
51358Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.957.017.511.
52150Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.458.418.
53140Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.357.716.
54526Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.460.816.
55021Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.157.513.
55714Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.665.319.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.