West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 49.0%35 27.8%06-629
LAB 42.5%24 32.2%60+630
LIB 4.4%0 7.1%00+00
UKIP 1.8%0 5.2%00+00
Green 1.7%0 4.4%00+00
ChUK 0.0%0 5.5%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 16.0%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 1.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Hodge Hill, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stourbridge (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Birmingham Northfield (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
1549Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne75,69861.38.567.
3547Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood70,02359.
5545Birmingham Hall Green Roger Godsiff78,27169.
46504Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood70,10663.015.753.
69481Warley John Spellar63,72463.
87463Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips72,58161.312.843.613.
107443Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher75,79261.417.
118432Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe74,37065.919.
138412Walsall South Valerie Vaz67,41765.420.344.
161389Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden69,95151.917.838.
164386West Bromwich East Tom Watson63,83361.321.
166384Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey65,06757.221.341.
175375Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,09164.
180370Coventry South James Cunningham70,75466.421.339.
190360Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson75,21466.321.738.
208342West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey65,95654.720.435.
210340Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds60,79960.021.336.
211339Stoke-on-Trent Central Gareth Snell58,19657.
216334Birmingham Northfield Richard Burden72,32261.323.737.
232318Wolverhampton South West Eleanor Smith60,00370.624.637.
244306Stoke-on-Trent North Ruth Smeeth72,36857.725.
252298Warwick and Leamington Matt Western74,23772.825.734.
268282Dudley North Ian Austin62,04362.725.
278272Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly65,54066.927.834.
281269Telford Lucy Allan68,16465.626.933.
283267Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton66,04663.127.933.
290260Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,30956.625.
301249Worcester Robin Walker72,81570.627.531.
316234Nuneaton Marcus Jones69,20166.628.729.
318232Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,85664.528.529.
324226Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski79,04373.629.
337213Stourbridge Margot James70,21567.130.628.
339211Stafford Jeremy Lefroy68,44575.932.
342208Rugby Mark Pawsey72,17571.131.428.
343207Redditch Rachel Maclean64,33470.330.928.
349201Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,54064.
350200Dudley South Mike Wood61,32362.430.
352198Burton Andrew Griffiths73,95467.532.928.
356194Warwickshire North Craig Tracey72,27765.332.
360190Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard68,64272.131.326.
395155Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,31966.134.426.
398152Wyre Forest Mark Garnier77,73465.832.324.
415135Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley66,00967.635.525.
428122Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,65269.935.925.
429121Shropshire North Owen Paterson80,53569.034.523.
46090Meriden Caroline Spelman81,43767.133.821.
46189Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman71,08871.033.320.
46585Bromsgrove Sajid Javid73,57173.536.924.
48169Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,36366.737.
48565Lichfield Michael Fabricant74,43071.937.
49258Solihull Julian Knight77,78473.034.319.
49456Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright66,32377.436.321.
49753Stone Bill Cash67,82473.837.
50545Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin74,38575.935.419.410.
50941Ludlow Philip Dunne68,03473.436.519.910.
51634Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi72,60972.336.
52228Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston76,06572.436.818.
52822Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin67,75174.134.716.
53416Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,45369.639.820.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.