| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27.6% | 15 | 24.5% | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| LAB | 34.0% | 38 | 22.9% | 1 | 25 | -24 | 14 |
| LIB | 8.8% | 2 | 11.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| Reform | 18.1% | 0 | 28.7% | 30 | 0 | +30 | 30 |
| Green | 6.6% | 1 | 9.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Other | 4.9% | 1 | 3.3% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Birmingham Ladywood' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Stratford-on-Avon', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stratford-on-Avon (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Birmingham Ladywood (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 200 | Birmingham Ladywood | Shabana Mahmood | 83,693 | 43.7 | 9.9 | 30.5 | 8.3 | 14.8 | 14.6 | 21.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 98 | 174 | Birmingham Selly Oak | Alistair Carns | 75,678 | 50.8 | 15.8 | 33.2 | 12.1 | 22.0 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 99 | 173 | Smethwick | Gurinder Singh Josan | 72,863 | 48.2 | 15.6 | 32.8 | 8.4 | 25.9 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 2.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 102 | 170 | Coventry East | Mary Creagh | 75,801 | 48.8 | 17.3 | 33.7 | 8.1 | 27.3 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 110 | 162 | Warwick and Leamington | Matt Western | 76,294 | 64.5 | 20.7 | 34.9 | 11.8 | 19.2 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 113 | 159 | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Tahir Ali | 76,936 | 54.1 | 13.7 | 26.5 | 15.4 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 11.2 | 5.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 114 | 157 | Birmingham Erdington | Paulette Hamilton | 77,463 | 43.6 | 16.8 | 29.4 | 9.4 | 31.7 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 115 | 157 | Shrewsbury | Julia Buckley | 76,633 | 67.3 | 19.2 | 31.6 | 14.9 | 25.3 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 119 | 153 | Birmingham Edgbaston | Preet Kaur Gill | 71,787 | 52.1 | 20.4 | 32.6 | 11.8 | 20.8 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 3.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 120 | 152 | Coventry North West | Taiwo Owatemi | 75,057 | 56.0 | 19.3 | 31.4 | 8.9 | 28.4 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 123 | 149 | Birmingham Perry Barr | Ayoub Khan | 76,350 | 49.1 | 15.1 | 26.3 | 7.5 | 17.2 | 10.1 | 23.0 | 0.8 | MIN | LAB |
| 123 | 148 | Wolverhampton South East | Pat McFadden | 77,473 | 43.1 | 17.5 | 28.7 | 6.5 | 36.2 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 129 | 143 | Coventry South | Zarah Sultana | 76,262 | 56.0 | 22.2 | 32.2 | 10.0 | 23.3 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 136 | 135 | Stoke-on-Trent Central | Gareth Snell | 73,693 | 47.9 | 17.3 | 26.5 | 8.9 | 35.8 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 3.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 138 | 134 | Birmingham Yardley | Jess Phillips | 73,203 | 49.4 | 15.1 | 23.7 | 10.5 | 22.9 | 7.7 | 20.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 139 | 132 | West Bromwich | Sarah Coombes | 74,026 | 49.3 | 20.2 | 28.7 | 8.6 | 31.9 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 154 | 118 | Worcester | Tom Collins | 74,931 | 61.4 | 21.7 | 28.6 | 11.4 | 24.6 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 154 | 117 | Telford | Shaun Davies | 73,808 | 55.2 | 21.2 | 27.9 | 7.8 | 34.0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 161 | 111 | Wolverhampton West | Warinder Juss | 77,851 | 56.1 | 24.4 | 29.8 | 8.6 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 163 | 108 | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Liam Byrne | 77,737 | 43.9 | 17.2 | 22.0 | 6.4 | 28.7 | 8.1 | 17.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 164 | 107 | Birmingham Northfield | Laurence Turner | 74,048 | 50.8 | 21.3 | 25.9 | 8.8 | 32.8 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 169 | 102 | Walsall and Bloxwich | Valerie Vaz | 75,968 | 49.0 | 19.3 | 21.5 | 6.1 | 32.0 | 8.2 | 12.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 174 | 97 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Adam Jogee | 67,839 | 58.4 | 25.2 | 26.2 | 8.6 | 32.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 174 | 97 | Stafford | Leigh Ingham | 70,608 | 65.2 | 26.5 | 27.5 | 8.1 | 28.3 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 177 | 94 | Stoke-on-Trent North | David Williams | 69,790 | 51.8 | 24.7 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 35.7 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 178 | 94 | Rugby | John Anthony Slinger | 74,901 | 65.4 | 27.5 | 27.2 | 9.6 | 26.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | CON |
| 178 | 93 | Wolverhampton North East | Sureena Brackenridge | 70,715 | 47.1 | 25.0 | 24.7 | 7.0 | 35.6 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 179 | 92 | Tipton and Wednesbury | Antonia Bance | 74,100 | 43.0 | 22.4 | 21.8 | 7.3 | 39.4 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 184 | 87 | Halesowen | Alex Ballinger | 68,549 | 56.3 | 25.6 | 23.3 | 9.3 | 32.1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 188 | 83 | Cannock Chase | Josh Newbury | 76,974 | 55.8 | 25.3 | 21.8 | 7.1 | 37.1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 188 | 83 | Nuneaton | Jodie Gosling | 71,662 | 57.5 | 26.0 | 22.3 | 7.3 | 31.8 | 9.9 | 2.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 188 | 83 | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | Rachel Margaret Taylor | 69,752 | 58.7 | 25.9 | 21.7 | 7.5 | 37.1 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 189 | 82 | Stourbridge | Cat Eccles | 68,311 | 58.4 | 27.8 | 23.1 | 8.0 | 30.1 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 190 | 81 | Burton and Uttoxeter | Jacob Collier | 77,994 | 58.5 | 27.0 | 21.6 | 7.7 | 31.8 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 192 | 79 | Lichfield | Dave Robertson | 76,118 | 64.5 | 28.4 | 22.7 | 11.0 | 30.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 192 | 79 | Tamworth | Sarah Edwards | 75,059 | 58.3 | 27.6 | 21.4 | 7.7 | 34.8 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 194 | 77 | Dudley | Sonia Kumar | 70,151 | 51.0 | 26.1 | 19.5 | 7.6 | 37.4 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 195 | 76 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Allison Gardner | 68,263 | 60.0 | 28.5 | 21.7 | 8.8 | 32.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 196 | 75 | Redditch | Christopher James Bloore | 71,038 | 59.7 | 28.4 | 21.4 | 8.5 | 31.1 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 200 | 71 | Wrekin, The | Mark Pritchard | 78,942 | 63.4 | 27.4 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 30.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
| 201 | 70 | Hereford and South Herefordshire | Jesse Norman | 72,203 | 63.1 | 26.9 | 19.4 | 13.2 | 30.0 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
| 203 | 68 | Wyre Forest | Mark Garnier | 77,394 | 58.3 | 27.5 | 19.4 | 10.4 | 32.5 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | CON | Reform |
| 205 | 66 | Staffordshire Moorlands | Karen Bradley | 69,892 | 62.0 | 29.4 | 20.6 | 7.8 | 33.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | Reform |
| 214 | 58 | Bromsgrove | Bradley Anthony Thomas | 76,468 | 65.9 | 28.8 | 18.8 | 15.7 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | CON | CON |
| 216 | 56 | Kenilworth and Southam | Jeremy Wright | 74,923 | 71.2 | 30.0 | 19.5 | 18.4 | 23.4 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
| 218 | 53 | Shropshire North | Helen Morgan | 77,594 | 63.9 | 19.8 | 8.5 | 37.6 | 27.8 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LIB | LIB |
| 221 | 51 | Sutton Coldfield | Andrew Mitchell | 74,080 | 65.2 | 34.0 | 21.9 | 9.1 | 24.5 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 229 | 43 | Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Gavin Williamson | 71,561 | 59.8 | 36.0 | 21.9 | 11.7 | 19.6 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 2.6 | CON | CON |
| 230 | 42 | Solihull West and Shirley | Neil Shastri-Hurst | 71,813 | 65.3 | 31.7 | 17.6 | 16.1 | 22.9 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 231 | 41 | Meriden and Solihull East | Saqib Bhatti | 73,659 | 59.8 | 32.3 | 18.0 | 10.7 | 29.3 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
| 235 | 36 | Aldridge-Brownhills | Wendy Morton | 70,871 | 57.7 | 33.0 | 17.6 | 7.9 | 33.8 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | CON | Reform |
| 238 | 33 | Shropshire South | Stuart Anderson | 76,723 | 67.3 | 27.4 | 11.4 | 24.9 | 29.6 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
| 239 | 33 | Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Mike Wood | 71,662 | 63.0 | 33.6 | 17.3 | 8.7 | 32.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | CON | CON |
| 242 | 30 | Worcestershire West | Harriett Baldwin | 79,242 | 69.0 | 28.9 | 12.4 | 21.5 | 25.9 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 243 | 29 | Droitwich and Evesham | Nigel Huddleston | 76,624 | 64.7 | 31.9 | 15.4 | 12.2 | 30.4 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 245 | 26 | Herefordshire North | Ellie Chowns | 72,797 | 69.2 | 24.0 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 27.2 | 34.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | Green | Green |
| 246 | 25 | Stratford-on-Avon | Manuela Perteghella | 75,714 | 69.9 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 34.3 | 25.0 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | LIB |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.