West Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 53.4%44 51.6%04-440
LAB 33.9%15 37.2%40+419
LIB 7.9%0 5.1%00+00
Brexit 1.4%0 0.8%00+00
Green 3.0%0 3.7%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.6%00+00

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Birmingham Ladywood, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Staffordshire South, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Telford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to West Bromwich East (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
7557Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood74,91256.210.381.
12552Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne78,29557.513.680.
26538Birmingham Hall Green Tahir Ali80,28365.912.770.
61503Birmingham Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood72,00658.524.966.
73491Warley John Spellar62,35759.726.
89475Birmingham Yardley Jess Phillips74,70457.
95469Birmingham Selly Oak Steve McCabe82,66559.829.
122442Coventry North East Colleen Fletcher76,00658.533.556.
139425Birmingham Edgbaston Preet Gill68,82861.535.
167397Birmingham Erdington Jack Dromey66,14853.338.
178386Walsall South Valerie Vaz68,02462.439.
192372Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden62,88353.240.949.
198366Warwick and Leamington Matt Western76,36271.040.447.
201363Coventry South Zarah Sultana70,97963.540.647.
204360Coventry North West Taiwo Owatemi75,24763.441.547.
217347Stoke-on-Trent Central Jo Gideon55,41957.943.546.
223341Birmingham Northfield Gary Sambrook73,69458.544.545.
224340Wolverhampton South West Stuart Anderson60,53468.046.447.
225339West Bromwich East Nicola Richards62,04658.044.945.
267297West Bromwich West Shaun Bailey64,51753.448.742.
272292Wolverhampton North East Jane Stevenson61,66055.649.842.
277287Worcester Robin Walker73,48569.348.940.
285279Stoke-on-Trent North Jonathan Gullis68,29858.850.440.
291273Newcastle-under-Lyme Aaron Bell68,21165.650.639.
301263Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski82,23871.850.737.
334230Telford Lucy Allan68,92162.157.836.
335229Rugby Mark Pawsey72,29270.355.734.
345219Stafford Theo Clarke72,57270.556.833.
348216Stoke-on-Trent South Jack Brereton64,49161.460.335.
349215Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris68,30062.058.634.
353211Nuneaton Marcus Jones70,22664.358.833.
357207Stourbridge Suzanne Webb69,89165.458.433.
358206Burton Kate Griffiths75,03665.058.833.
378186Dudley North Marco Longhi61,93659.
393171Walsall North Eddie Hughes67,17754.462.
411153Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell75,63869.258.527.
415149Solihull Julian Knight78,76070.356.525.411.
419145Redditch Rachel Maclean65,39167.461.529.
425139Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright68,15477.255.923.612.
435129Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley65,48566.762.729.
436128Wrekin, The Mark Pritchard70,69369.261.628.
444120Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman72,08568.959.425.
461103Stone Bill Cash69,37871.861.726.
463101Warwickshire North Craig Tracey70,27165.364.
46599Shropshire North Owen Paterson83,25867.960.925.
47886Bromsgrove Sajid Javid75,07872.361.525.
48084Meriden Saqib Bhatti85,36863.461.624.
48381Worcestershire West Harriett Baldwin76,24175.558.821.911.
49272Wyre Forest Mark Garnier78,07764.863.325.
50361Lichfield Michael Fabricant76,61670.562.724.
50559Tamworth Christopher Pincher71,57264.364.526.
50856Dudley South Mike Wood60,73160.
51747Cannock Chase Amanda Milling74,81361.966.526.
53133Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi74,03774.458.717.
53529Ludlow Philip Dunne69,44472.362.220.310.
54519Herefordshire North Bill Wiggin70,25272.661.
54816Worcestershire Mid Nigel Huddleston78,22071.864.820.
55212Aldridge-Brownhills Wendy Morton60,13865.468.923.
5586Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson73,66867.971.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.