Predictions of seats won at Westminster
Northern Ireland has a different set of parties competing to win Westminster seats. NI polling for general elections has been very limited in the past, which has unfortunately prevented NI predictions. In a new collaboration between Electoral Calculus and respected NI pollster LucidTalk we plan to bring regular polling for the province along with seat-by-seat predictions, analysis and information.
The first LucidTalk poll was conducted in August 2019 and these pages show the most recent prediction for Northern Ireland Westminster seats.
Current Northern Ireland Prediction
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUP | 30.6 | 8 | 30.6 | 8 |
| SF | 22.8 | 7 | 22.8 | 7 |
| SDLP | 14.9 | 2 | 14.9 | 2 |
| Alliance | 16.8 | 1 | 16.8 | 1 |
| UUP | 11.7 | 0 | 11.7 | 0 |
| Green | 0.2 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| MIN | 3.1 | 0 | 3.0 | 0 |
Prediction based on opinion polls from 12 Dec 2019 to 12 Dec 2019, sampling 1,000 people.
Please note: Since no recent polls have been conducted, the current 'prediction' is just the result of the 2019 general election.
Northern Ireland Westminster Seats
Geographical Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2013
Northern Ireland polling and seat projection is a collaboration between Electoral Calculus and LucidTalk.
USER-DEFINED NI POLL
Make Your Prediction for Northern Ireland
Make your own predictions for Northern Ireland overall and for any particular NI constituency.
NORTHERN IRELAND PREDICTIONS
Our Predictions for Northern Ireland
See our current predictions for Northern Ireland overall at a glance to see what a Westminster general election might look like.
OPINION POLLS
Northern Ireland Opinion Polls
A history of all Northern Ireland Opinion Polls for Westminster Voting Intention since the last general election.
NORTHERN IRELAND PREDICTIONS
Detailed Predictions
See the seat-by-seat prediction details of all the NI seats, including seat details and chances that each party can win that seat.