Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland has a different set of parties competing to win Westminster seats. NI polling for general elections has been very limited in the past, which has unfortunately prevented NI predictions. In a new collaboration between Electoral Calculus and respected NI pollster LucidTalk we plan to bring regular polling for the province along with seat-by-seat predictions, analysis and information.

The first LucidTalk poll was conducted in August 2019 and these pages show the most recent prediction for Northern Ireland Westminster seats.

Northern Ireland polling and seat projection is a collaboration between Electoral Calculus and LucidTalk.

Predictions of seats won at Westminster

Features which will be available:

Current Northern Ireland Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
DUP36.01028.08
SF29.4724.07
Alliance7.9016.03
UUP10.309.00
SDLP11.7014.00
Green0.901.00
MIN3.718.00

Prediction based on opinion polls from 30 Oct 2019 to 01 Nov 2019, sampling 2,386 people.

Seat prediction is based on the latest all-province polling and not based on constituency-level polling.