Scotland

Predictions of seats won at Westminster

Scotland has a distinct political make-up and its politics can behave differently from the rest of the UK. Polling in Scottish newspapers and media also allows us to make specific predictions for Scottish seats at Westminster. These pages contain Scotland-specific information, analysis and predictions.


Current Scotland Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON 25.1%6 23.6%3
LAB 18.6%1 19.2%1
LIB 9.5%4 6.0%0
Reform 0.5%0 0.3%0
Green 1.0%0 1.5%0
SNP 45.0%48 47.5%55
Other 0.3%0 2.1%0

Prediction based on opinion polls from 28 Apr 2021 to 24 Jun 2021, sampling 4,454 people.


Scottish Westminster Seats

KEY
SNP
CON
LAB
LIB
Reform
Green

Geographical Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2013


USER-DEFINED SCOTTISH POLL

Make Your Prediction for Scotland

Make your own predictions for Scotland overall and for any particular Scottish constituency.

Make your prediction

SCOTTISH POLL

Scottish Parliament Voting Intention

Scottish Poll March 2021

New poll by Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now shows the SNP doing well for the Scottish parliamentary elections, and explains why the new Alba party might not be good for unionists.

SCOTTISH PREDICTIONS

Our Predictions for Scotland

See our current predictions for Scotland overall at a glance to see what a Westminster general election might look like.

View our predictions

OPINION POLLS

Scottish Opinion Polls

A history of all Scottish Opinion Polls for Westminster Voting Intention since the last general election.

View Scottish polls

SCOTTISH PREDICTIONS

Detailed Predictions

See the seat-by-seat prediction details of all the Scottish seats, including seat details and chances that each party can win that seat.

View seat-by-seat predictions