Constituency List: England T-Z



Tamworth

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Christopher Pincher  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:71,572
Turnout: 64.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,542 66.3% 37.4%
LAB10,908 23.7% 41.3%
LIB2,426 5.3% 3.0%
OTH1,245 2.7% 2.2%
Green935 2.0% 3.3%
Reform0 0.0% 11.6%
MIN0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority19,634 42.6% 3.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result, before the resignation of Chris Pincher in September 2023. Sarah Edwards (Labour) won the seat in a by-election on 19 October 2023.

Chance of winning
CON
38%
LAB
62%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
MIN
0%

Tatton

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Esther McVey  (CON)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:69,018
Turnout: 70.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,277 57.7% 30.0%
LAB10,890 22.2% 36.3%
LIB7,712 15.7% 9.5%
Green2,088 4.3% 7.0%
Reform0 0.0% 15.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
CON Majority17,387 35.5% 6.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
33%
LAB
65%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
2%
OTH
0%

Taunton Deane

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Rebecca Pow  (CON)
County/Area:Somerset (South West)
Electorate:88,676
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,164 53.6% 27.8%
LIB22,464 35.2% 33.0%
LAB4,715 7.4% 20.6%
MIN2,390 3.8% 0.0%
Reform0 0.0% 13.3%
Green0 0.0% 4.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority11,700 18.4% 5.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
31%
LIB
59%
LAB
10%
MIN
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Telford

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Lucy Allan  (CON)
County/Area:Shropshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:68,921
Turnout: 62.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,546 59.7% 27.9%
LAB14,605 34.1% 50.9%
LIB2,674 6.2% 3.3%
Reform0 0.0% 11.7%
Green0 0.0% 4.9%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
CON Majority10,941 25.5% 23.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
7%
LAB
93%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Tewkesbury

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Laurence Robertson  (CON)
County/Area:Gloucestershire (South West)
Electorate:83,958
Turnout: 72.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,728 58.4% 30.1%
LIB13,318 21.8% 20.2%
LAB9,310 15.2% 27.0%
Green2,784 4.6% 7.3%
Reform0 0.0% 13.8%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
CON Majority22,410 36.7% 3.1%
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Chance of winning
CON
53%
LIB
11%
LAB
34%
Green
0%
Reform
2%
OTH
0%

Thanet North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Roger Gale  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:72,756
Turnout: 66.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,066 62.4% 34.7%
LAB12,877 26.7% 37.6%
LIB3,439 7.1% 6.2%
Green1,796 3.7% 6.4%
Reform0 0.0% 13.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
CON Majority17,189 35.7% 3.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
41%
LAB
58%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Thanet South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Craig Mackinlay  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:73,223
Turnout: 65.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,084 56.1% 30.2%
LAB16,497 34.2% 43.2%
LIB2,727 5.7% 5.1%
Green1,949 4.0% 7.3%
Reform0 0.0% 12.9%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
CON Majority10,587 21.9% 13.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
81%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Thirsk and Malton

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Kevin Hollinrake  (CON)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:80,991
Turnout: 69.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,634 63.0% 32.4%
LAB10,480 18.5% 32.4%
LIB6,774 12.0% 9.9%
Green2,263 4.0% 6.4%
OTH1,437 2.5% 1.4%
Reform0 0.0% 17.6%
CON Majority25,154 44.5% 0.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
47%
LAB
49%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
3%

Thornbury and Yate

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Luke Hall  (CON)
County/Area:Bristol area (South West)
Electorate:69,492
Turnout: 75.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,202 57.8% 28.9%
LIB17,833 34.1% 34.9%
LAB4,208 8.1% 18.8%
Reform0 0.0% 12.6%
Green0 0.0% 4.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority12,369 23.7% 6.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
30%
LIB
65%
LAB
5%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Thurrock

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jackie Doyle-Price  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:79,659
Turnout: 59.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,795 58.6% 27.2%
LAB16,313 34.4% 48.6%
LIB1,510 3.2% 4.1%
OTH1,042 2.2% 1.8%
Green807 1.7% 5.4%
Reform0 0.0% 12.9%
CON Majority11,482 24.2% 21.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
9%
LAB
91%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%

Tiverton and Honiton

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Neil Parish  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:82,953
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,893 60.2% 33.7%
LAB11,654 19.5% 16.3%
LIB8,807 14.8% 33.1%
Green2,291 3.8% 4.2%
OTH968 1.6% 1.2%
Reform0 0.0% 11.5%
CON Majority24,239 40.7% 0.6%
Pred Maj
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Result shown is the original general election result, before the resignation of Mr Neil Parish. Richard Foord (Lib Dem) won the seat in a by-election on 23 June 2022.

Chance of winning
CON
50%
LAB
3%
LIB
46%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Tonbridge and Malling

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Tom Tugendhat  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:79,278
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,784 62.8% 33.7%
LIB8,843 15.5% 14.5%
LAB8,286 14.5% 26.2%
Green4,090 7.2% 10.1%
Reform0 0.0% 14.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.2%
CON Majority26,941 47.3% 7.5%
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Chance of winning
CON
67%
LIB
2%
LAB
29%
Green
0%
Reform
2%
OTH
0%

Tooting

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rosena Allin-Khan  (LAB)
County/Area:Wandsworth (London)
Electorate:76,954
Turnout: 76.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,811 52.7% 63.1%
CON16,504 28.2% 12.7%
LIB8,305 14.2% 4.5%
Green2,314 4.0% 8.3%
Reform462 0.8% 10.4%
OTH77 0.1% 1.0%
LAB Majority14,307 24.5% 50.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Torbay

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Kevin Foster  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:75,054
Turnout: 67.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,863 59.2% 31.6%
LIB12,114 24.0% 24.3%
LAB6,562 13.0% 24.1%
Green1,239 2.5% 4.8%
OTH648 1.3% 1.4%
Reform0 0.0% 13.7%
CON Majority17,749 35.2% 7.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
56%
LIB
21%
LAB
21%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
2%

Totnes

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Anthony Mangnall  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:69,863
Turnout: 74.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,751 53.2% 29.5%
LIB15,027 28.8% 24.9%
LAB8,860 17.0% 26.7%
OTH544 1.0% 0.8%
Reform0 0.0% 13.3%
Green0 0.0% 4.9%
CON Majority12,724 24.4% 2.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
43%
LIB
24%
LAB
31%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%

Tottenham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:David Lammy  (LAB)
County/Area:Haringey (London)
Electorate:75,740
Turnout: 61.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,621 76.0% 77.1%
CON5,446 11.6% 3.5%
LIB3,168 6.8% 2.8%
Green1,873 4.0% 7.6%
Reform527 1.1% 7.9%
OTH221 0.5% 1.2%
LAB Majority30,175 64.4% 69.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Truro and Falmouth

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Cherilyn Mackrory  (CON)
County/Area:Cornwall (South West)
Electorate:76,719
Turnout: 77.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,237 46.0% 23.5%
LAB22,676 38.3% 43.1%
LIB7,150 12.1% 12.7%
Green1,714 2.9% 6.8%
OTH413 0.7% 1.3%
Reform0 0.0% 12.7%
CON Majority4,561 7.7% 19.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
9%
LAB
90%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Tunbridge Wells

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Greg Clark  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:74,823
Turnout: 73.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,119 55.1% 29.6%
LIB15,474 28.3% 20.1%
LAB8,098 14.8% 30.5%
OTH959 1.8% 1.3%
Reform0 0.0% 13.0%
Green0 0.0% 5.5%
CON Majority14,645 26.8% 0.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
43%
LIB
8%
LAB
47%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%

Twickenham

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2019:Munira Wilson  (LIB)
County/Area:Richmond Upon Thames (London)
Electorate:84,906
Turnout: 76.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB36,166 56.1% 47.2%
CON22,045 34.2% 18.5%
LAB5,476 8.5% 16.5%
Reform816 1.3% 12.0%
Green0 0.0% 5.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
LIB Majority14,121 21.9% 28.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
95%
CON
2%
LAB
2%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Tynemouth

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Alan Campbell  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:77,261
Turnout: 72.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,928 48.1% 57.9%
CON22,071 39.4% 18.3%
LIB3,791 6.8% 3.8%
Reform1,963 3.5% 12.1%
Green1,281 2.3% 6.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority4,857 8.7% 39.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Tyneside North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mary Glindon  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:78,902
Turnout: 63.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,051 49.7% 60.8%
CON15,490 30.7% 12.4%
Reform5,254 10.4% 14.5%
LIB3,241 6.4% 4.3%
Green1,393 2.8% 5.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
LAB Majority9,561 19.0% 46.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Uxbridge and South Ruislip

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Boris Johnson  (CON)
County/Area:Hillingdon (London)
Electorate:70,365
Turnout: 68.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,351 52.6% 37.2%
LAB18,141 37.6% 44.5%
LIB3,026 6.3% 2.7%
Green1,090 2.3% 3.6%
OTH579 1.2% 2.6%
Reform0 0.0% 8.2%
MIN0 0.0% 1.2%
CON Majority7,210 15.0% 7.3%
Pred Maj
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Result shown is the original general election result, before the resignation of Boris Johnson. Steve Tuckwell (Con) held the seat in a by-election on 20 July 2023.

Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
68%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
MIN
0%

Vauxhall

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Florence Eshalomi  (LAB)
County/Area:Lambeth (London)
Electorate:88,659
Turnout: 63.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB31,615 56.1% 66.9%
LIB12,003 21.3% 5.8%
CON9,422 16.7% 6.2%
Green2,516 4.5% 9.7%
Reform641 1.1% 10.5%
OTH136 0.2% 1.0%
LAB Majority19,612 34.8% 56.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
LIB
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Wakefield

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Imran Ahmad-Khan  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:70,192
Turnout: 64.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,283 47.3% 25.4%
LAB17,925 39.8% 49.6%
Reform2,725 6.1% 10.5%
LIB1,772 3.9% 2.0%
OTH1,322 2.9% 5.4%
Green0 0.0% 3.3%
MIN0 0.0% 3.8%
CON Majority3,358 7.5% 24.3%
Pred Maj
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Result shown is the original general election result, before the resignation of Mr Imran Ahmad Khan. Simon Lightwood (Labour) won the seat in a by-election on 23 June 2022.

Chance of winning
CON
5%
LAB
94%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Wallasey

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Angela Eagle  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:66,310
Turnout: 70.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,901 64.3% 69.1%
CON11,579 24.9% 10.5%
Reform2,037 4.4% 10.7%
LIB1,843 4.0% 2.6%
Green1,132 2.4% 5.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.6%
LAB Majority18,322 39.4% 58.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Walsall North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Eddie Hughes  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:67,177
Turnout: 54.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,334 63.8% 30.2%
LAB11,369 31.1% 47.8%
LIB1,236 3.4% 3.3%
Green617 1.7% 4.4%
Reform0 0.0% 12.7%
OTH0 0.0% 1.6%
CON Majority11,965 32.7% 17.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
11%
LAB
89%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Walsall South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Valerie Vaz  (LAB)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:68,024
Turnout: 62.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,872 49.1% 59.9%
CON17,416 41.0% 20.6%
Reform1,660 3.9% 11.0%
LIB1,602 3.8% 2.9%
Green634 1.5% 3.8%
OTH288 0.7% 1.6%
LAB Majority3,456 8.1% 39.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Walthamstow

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Stella Creasy  (LAB)
County/Area:Waltham Forest (London)
Electorate:70,267
Turnout: 68.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB36,784 76.1% 77.4%
CON5,922 12.3% 4.6%
LIB2,874 5.9% 2.4%
Green1,733 3.6% 6.7%
Reform768 1.6% 7.9%
OTH254 0.5% 1.1%
LAB Majority30,862 63.9% 69.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Wansbeck

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ian Lavery  (LAB)
County/Area:Northumberland (North East)
Electorate:63,339
Turnout: 64.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,124 42.3% 53.8%
CON16,310 40.3% 18.3%
Reform3,141 7.8% 15.2%
LIB2,539 6.3% 5.2%
Green1,217 3.0% 5.7%
OTH178 0.4% 1.8%
LAB Majority814 2.0% 35.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wantage

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:David Johnston  (CON)
County/Area:Oxfordshire (South East)
Electorate:90,867
Turnout: 73.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,085 50.7% 25.1%
LIB21,432 31.9% 26.9%
LAB10,181 15.2% 27.9%
OTH1,475 2.2% 1.0%
Reform0 0.0% 13.0%
Green0 0.0% 6.1%
CON Majority12,653 18.8% 1.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
27%
LIB
33%
LAB
39%
OTH
0%
Reform
2%
Green
0%

Warley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:John Spellar  (LAB)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:62,357
Turnout: 59.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,901 58.8% 68.8%
CON10,390 27.9% 11.9%
Reform2,469 6.6% 10.5%
LIB1,588 4.3% 2.5%
Green891 2.4% 4.7%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority11,511 30.9% 56.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Warrington North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Charlotte Nichols  (LAB)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:72,235
Turnout: 64.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,611 44.2% 56.5%
CON19,102 40.9% 19.0%
LIB3,071 6.6% 3.4%
Reform2,626 5.6% 13.7%
Green1,257 2.7% 5.9%
OTH0 0.0% 1.6%
LAB Majority1,509 3.2% 37.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Warrington South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Andy Carter  (CON)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:86,015
Turnout: 72.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,187 45.5% 21.9%
LAB26,177 42.3% 51.6%
LIB5,732 9.3% 5.0%
Reform1,635 2.6% 14.2%
OTH168 0.3% 2.0%
Green0 0.0% 5.2%
CON Majority2,010 3.2% 29.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
3%
LAB
97%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Warwick and Leamington

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Matt Western  (LAB)
County/Area:Warwickshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:76,362
Turnout: 71.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,718 43.8% 48.6%
CON22,929 42.3% 19.7%
LIB4,995 9.2% 7.0%
Green1,536 2.8% 9.5%
Reform807 1.5% 13.4%
OTH220 0.4% 1.9%
LAB Majority789 1.5% 28.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Warwickshire North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Craig Tracey  (CON)
County/Area:Warwickshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:70,271
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,249 65.9% 33.9%
LAB12,293 26.8% 41.4%
LIB2,069 4.5% 5.0%
Green1,303 2.8% 4.8%
Reform0 0.0% 13.8%
OTH0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority17,956 39.1% 7.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
68%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Washington and Sunderland West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Sharon Hodgson  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:66,278
Turnout: 56.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,941 42.5% 58.6%
CON12,218 32.6% 14.3%
Reform5,439 14.5% 15.4%
LIB2,071 5.5% 3.4%
Green1,005 2.7% 5.8%
OTH839 2.2% 2.5%
LAB Majority3,723 9.9% 43.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Watford

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Dean Russell  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:83,359
Turnout: 69.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,421 45.5% 22.1%
LAB21,988 37.9% 44.9%
LIB9,323 16.1% 14.0%
OTH333 0.6% 1.5%
Reform0 0.0% 12.5%
Green0 0.0% 5.0%
CON Majority4,433 7.6% 22.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
6%
LAB
93%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Waveney

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Peter Aldous  (CON)
County/Area:Suffolk (Anglia)
Electorate:82,791
Turnout: 61.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,778 62.2% 31.1%
LAB13,776 26.9% 40.2%
Green2,727 5.3% 7.8%
LIB2,603 5.1% 5.5%
OTH245 0.5% 1.5%
Reform0 0.0% 13.9%
CON Majority18,002 35.2% 9.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
27%
LAB
72%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Wealden

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nus Ghani  (CON)
County/Area:East Sussex (South East)
Electorate:82,992
Turnout: 73.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,043 60.8% 32.9%
LIB11,388 18.7% 16.8%
LAB9,377 15.4% 25.1%
Green3,099 5.1% 9.3%
Reform0 0.0% 14.5%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
CON Majority25,655 42.1% 7.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
66%
LIB
5%
LAB
26%
Green
0%
Reform
3%
OTH
0%

Weaver Vale

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mike Amesbury  (LAB)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:70,551
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,772 44.9% 53.9%
CON22,210 43.8% 21.0%
LIB3,300 6.5% 4.1%
Reform1,380 2.7% 13.4%
Green1,051 2.1% 6.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority562 1.1% 32.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wellingborough

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Peter Bone  (CON)
County/Area:Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:80,765
Turnout: 64.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,277 62.2% 31.4%
LAB13,737 26.5% 41.7%
LIB4,078 7.9% 5.4%
Green1,821 3.5% 5.5%
Reform0 0.0% 14.3%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority18,540 35.7% 10.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result, before Peter Bone was removed by a recall petition in October 2023. Gen Kitchen (Labour) won the seat in a by-election on 15 February 2024.

Chance of winning
CON
25%
LAB
74%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Wells

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:James Heappey  (CON)
County/Area:Somerset (South West)
Electorate:84,124
Turnout: 73.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,336 54.1% 29.2%
LIB23,345 37.9% 34.7%
LAB4,304 7.0% 17.9%
OTH643 1.0% 0.8%
Reform0 0.0% 13.1%
Green0 0.0% 4.4%
CON Majority9,991 16.2% 5.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
33%
LIB
62%
LAB
5%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%

Welwyn Hatfield

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Grant Shapps  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:74,892
Turnout: 69.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,394 52.6% 27.6%
LAB16,439 31.6% 43.6%
LIB6,602 12.7% 9.1%
Green1,618 3.1% 6.4%
Reform0 0.0% 12.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
CON Majority10,955 21.0% 16.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
15%
LAB
85%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Wentworth and Dearne

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:John Healey  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:74,536
Turnout: 55.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,742 40.3% 56.4%
CON14,577 35.1% 15.4%
Reform7,019 16.9% 17.4%
LIB1,705 4.1% 3.0%
OTH1,514 3.6% 3.1%
Green0 0.0% 4.8%
LAB Majority2,165 5.2% 39.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
0%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

West Bromwich East

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Nicola Richards  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:62,046
Turnout: 58.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,804 46.7% 21.7%
LAB15,211 42.3% 58.0%
Reform1,475 4.1% 11.8%
LIB1,313 3.6% 2.8%
Green627 1.7% 4.0%
OTH545 1.5% 1.7%
CON Majority1,593 4.4% 36.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
1%
LAB
99%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

West Bromwich West

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Shaun Bailey  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:64,517
Turnout: 53.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,419 50.5% 22.3%
LAB13,620 39.5% 56.4%
Reform1,841 5.3% 12.5%
LIB915 2.7% 2.6%
Green664 1.9% 4.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority3,799 11.0% 34.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
1%
LAB
99%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

West Ham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Lyn Brown  (LAB)
County/Area:Newham (London)
Electorate:97,947
Turnout: 61.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB42,181 70.1% 76.6%
CON9,793 16.3% 5.0%
LIB4,161 6.9% 2.2%
Green1,780 3.0% 6.1%
Reform1,679 2.8% 8.6%
OTH606 1.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority32,388 53.8% 68.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Westminster North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Karen Buck  (LAB)
County/Area:City of Westminster (London)
Electorate:65,519
Turnout: 65.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,240 54.2% 61.5%
CON12,481 29.1% 13.9%
LIB5,593 13.0% 4.3%
Green1,064 2.5% 7.9%
Reform418 1.0% 10.9%
OTH115 0.3% 1.4%
LAB Majority10,759 25.1% 47.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Westmorland and Lonsdale

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2019:Tim Farron  (LIB)
County/Area:Cumbria (North West)
Electorate:67,789
Turnout: 77.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB25,795 48.9% 43.7%
CON23,861 45.3% 22.3%
LAB2,293 4.4% 14.6%
Reform763 1.4% 14.9%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LIB Majority1,934 3.7% 21.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
92%
CON
6%
LAB
1%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Weston-Super-Mare

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:John Penrose  (CON)
County/Area:Bristol area (South West)
Electorate:82,526
Turnout: 67.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,983 57.5% 29.9%
LAB14,862 26.7% 37.7%
LIB6,935 12.5% 11.6%
Green1,834 3.3% 6.3%
Reform0 0.0% 13.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
CON Majority17,121 30.8% 7.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
29%
LAB
69%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Wigan

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Lisa Nandy  (LAB)
County/Area:Western Manchester (North West)
Electorate:75,680
Turnout: 59.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,042 46.7% 59.2%
CON14,314 31.8% 14.8%
Reform5,959 13.2% 14.9%
LIB2,428 5.4% 3.0%
Green1,299 2.9% 6.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
LAB Majority6,728 14.9% 44.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wiltshire North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:James Gray  (CON)
County/Area:Wiltshire (South West)
Electorate:73,280
Turnout: 74.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,373 59.1% 31.2%
LIB14,747 26.9% 26.7%
LAB5,699 10.4% 23.2%
Green1,939 3.5% 5.5%
Reform0 0.0% 12.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority17,626 32.2% 4.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
53%
LIB
28%
LAB
17%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Wiltshire South West

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Andrew Murrison  (CON)
County/Area:Wiltshire (South West)
Electorate:77,969
Turnout: 70.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,038 60.2% 32.2%
LAB11,408 20.8% 32.4%
LIB8,015 14.6% 14.8%
Green2,434 4.4% 6.0%
Reform0 0.0% 13.4%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
CON Majority21,630 39.4% 0.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
49%
LAB
48%
LIB
2%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Wimbledon

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Stephen Hammond  (CON)
County/Area:Merton (London)
Electorate:68,240
Turnout: 77.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,373 38.4% 20.6%
LIB19,745 37.2% 24.5%
LAB12,543 23.7% 35.9%
OTH366 0.7% 1.2%
Reform0 0.0% 11.9%
Green0 0.0% 5.9%
CON Majority628 1.2% 11.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
8%
LIB
16%
LAB
74%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%

Winchester

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Steve Brine  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:75,582
Turnout: 77.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,430 48.3% 26.6%
LIB27,445 46.6% 39.7%
LAB2,723 4.6% 16.8%
OTH292 0.5% 0.7%
Reform0 0.0% 11.5%
Green0 0.0% 4.7%
CON Majority985 1.7% 13.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
16%
LIB
81%
LAB
3%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Windsor

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Adam Afriyie  (CON)
County/Area:Berkshire (South East)
Electorate:75,038
Turnout: 71.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,501 58.6% 34.3%
LIB11,422 21.3% 14.4%
LAB8,147 15.2% 30.3%
Green1,796 3.3% 6.6%
OTH884 1.6% 1.7%
Reform0 0.0% 12.7%
CON Majority20,079 37.4% 3.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
61%
LIB
1%
LAB
37%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%

Wirral South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Alison McGovern  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:57,280
Turnout: 76.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,284 51.2% 54.6%
CON16,179 37.2% 18.8%
LIB2,917 6.7% 4.1%
Reform1,219 2.8% 13.0%
Green948 2.2% 7.7%
OTH0 0.0% 1.8%
LAB Majority6,105 14.0% 35.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wirral West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Margaret Greenwood  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:55,550
Turnout: 77.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,695 48.2% 55.0%
CON17,692 41.2% 22.2%
LIB2,706 6.3% 4.1%
Green965 2.2% 5.3%
Reform860 2.0% 12.0%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
LAB Majority3,003 7.0% 32.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Witham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Priti Patel  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:70,402
Turnout: 70.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,876 66.6% 36.2%
LAB8,794 17.8% 31.0%
LIB4,584 9.3% 9.9%
Green3,090 6.3% 7.6%
Reform0 0.0% 14.1%
OTH0 0.0% 1.2%
CON Majority24,082 48.8% 5.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
62%
LAB
37%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Witney

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Robert Courts  (CON)
County/Area:Oxfordshire (South East)
Electorate:83,845
Turnout: 73.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,856 55.2% 30.5%
LIB18,679 30.5% 22.8%
LAB8,770 14.3% 27.9%
Reform0 0.0% 12.5%
Green0 0.0% 5.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority15,177 24.8% 2.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
48%
LIB
15%
LAB
36%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Woking

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jonathan Lord  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:75,454
Turnout: 71.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,396 48.9% 26.8%
LIB16,629 30.8% 23.8%
LAB8,827 16.4% 29.6%
Green1,485 2.8% 6.2%
OTH600 1.1% 1.3%
Reform0 0.0% 12.4%
CON Majority9,767 18.1% 2.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
34%
LIB
19%
LAB
46%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%

Wokingham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Redwood  (CON)
County/Area:Berkshire (South East)
Electorate:83,953
Turnout: 73.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,734 49.6% 28.9%
LIB23,351 37.7% 26.2%
LAB6,450 10.4% 27.0%
Green1,382 2.2% 5.6%
OTH80 0.1% 0.9%
Reform0 0.0% 11.4%
CON Majority7,383 11.9% 1.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
39%
LIB
28%
LAB
32%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%

Wolverhampton North East

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jane Stevenson  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:61,660
Turnout: 55.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,722 51.7% 23.4%
LAB13,642 39.8% 54.9%
Reform1,354 3.9% 12.3%
LIB960 2.8% 3.1%
Green603 1.8% 4.5%
OTH0 0.0% 1.7%
CON Majority4,080 11.9% 31.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
2%
LAB
98%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wolverhampton South East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Pat McFadden  (LAB)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:62,883
Turnout: 53.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,522 46.4% 60.9%
CON14,287 42.7% 18.8%
Reform2,094 6.3% 11.8%
LIB1,019 3.0% 2.6%
Green521 1.6% 4.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority1,235 3.7% 42.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wolverhampton South West

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Stuart Anderson  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:60,534
Turnout: 68.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,864 48.3% 27.1%
LAB18,203 44.3% 54.0%
LIB2,041 5.0% 3.3%
Reform1,028 2.5% 10.5%
Green0 0.0% 3.6%
OTH0 0.0% 1.4%
CON Majority1,661 4.0% 26.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
5%
LAB
95%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Worcester

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Robin Walker  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:73,485
Turnout: 69.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,856 50.8% 24.8%
LAB19,098 37.5% 45.3%
LIB3,666 7.2% 5.3%
Green1,694 3.3% 9.0%
OTH584 1.1% 1.9%
Reform0 0.0% 13.7%
CON Majority6,758 13.3% 20.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
9%
LAB
90%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%

Worcestershire Mid

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nigel Huddleston  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:78,220
Turnout: 71.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,426 66.7% 38.7%
LAB9,408 16.8% 28.0%
LIB6,474 11.5% 11.1%
Green2,177 3.9% 6.6%
OTH638 1.1% 1.2%
Reform0 0.0% 14.5%
CON Majority28,018 49.9% 10.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
75%
LAB
24%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%

Worcestershire West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Harriett Baldwin  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:76,241
Turnout: 75.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,909 60.7% 31.9%
LIB10,410 18.1% 16.7%
LAB9,496 16.5% 26.4%
Green2,715 4.7% 8.0%
Reform0 0.0% 15.7%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
CON Majority24,499 42.6% 5.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
58%
LIB
4%
LAB
32%
Green
0%
Reform
4%
OTH
0%

Workington

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Mark Jenkinson  (CON)
County/Area:Cumbria (North West)
Electorate:61,370
Turnout: 67.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,488 49.3% 21.7%
LAB16,312 39.2% 51.3%
Reform1,749 4.2% 16.2%
LIB1,525 3.7% 4.2%
OTH929 2.2% 1.3%
Green596 1.4% 5.3%
CON Majority4,176 10.0% 29.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
3%
LAB
96%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Worsley and Eccles South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Barbara Keeley  (LAB)
County/Area:Central Manchester (North West)
Electorate:75,219
Turnout: 59.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,446 45.7% 58.3%
CON17,227 38.5% 17.1%
Reform3,224 7.2% 13.3%
LIB2,510 5.6% 2.9%
Green1,300 2.9% 6.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
LAB Majority3,219 7.2% 41.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Worthing East and Shoreham

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Tim Loughton  (CON)
County/Area:West Sussex (South East)
Electorate:75,194
Turnout: 70.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,107 51.0% 28.4%
LAB19,633 37.0% 45.1%
LIB4,127 7.8% 6.0%
Green2,006 3.8% 6.9%
OTH255 0.5% 1.3%
Reform0 0.0% 12.3%
CON Majority7,474 14.1% 16.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
13%
LAB
86%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Worthing West

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Peter Bottomley  (CON)
County/Area:West Sussex (South East)
Electorate:78,585
Turnout: 69.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,475 55.8% 33.2%
LAB15,652 28.6% 38.4%
LIB6,024 11.0% 8.0%
Green2,008 3.7% 6.5%
OTH489 0.9% 1.3%
Reform0 0.0% 12.6%
CON Majority14,823 27.1% 5.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
35%
LAB
65%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Wrekin, The

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Mark Pritchard  (CON)
County/Area:Shropshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:70,693
Turnout: 69.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,029 63.5% 33.1%
LAB12,303 25.2% 39.7%
LIB4,067 8.3% 6.5%
Green1,491 3.0% 5.5%
Reform0 0.0% 13.9%
OTH0 0.0% 1.3%
CON Majority18,726 38.3% 6.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
67%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Wycombe

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Steve Baker  (CON)
County/Area:Buckinghamshire (South East)
Electorate:78,098
Turnout: 70.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,766 45.2% 25.6%
LAB20,552 37.5% 47.3%
LIB6,543 11.9% 7.8%
Green1,454 2.7% 5.5%
OTH1,441 2.6% 1.7%
Reform0 0.0% 12.0%
CON Majority4,214 7.7% 21.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
8%
LAB
91%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Wyre and Preston North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Ben Wallace  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:74,775
Turnout: 70.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,589 59.7% 32.4%
LAB14,808 28.0% 39.9%
LIB4,463 8.4% 4.8%
Green1,729 3.3% 6.5%
OTH335 0.6% 1.5%
Reform0 0.0% 14.9%
CON Majority16,781 31.7% 7.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LAB
69%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%

Wyre Forest

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Mark Garnier  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:78,077
Turnout: 64.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,960 65.2% 34.6%
LAB11,547 22.8% 36.6%
LIB4,081 8.1% 7.0%
Green1,973 3.9% 5.6%
Reform0 0.0% 14.7%
OTH0 0.0% 1.5%
CON Majority21,413 42.4% 2.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
42%
LAB
57%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%

Wythenshawe and Sale East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mike Kane  (LAB)
County/Area:Central Manchester (North West)
Electorate:76,313
Turnout: 58.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,855 53.3% 61.7%
CON13,459 30.1% 12.5%
LIB3,111 7.0% 3.0%
Reform2,717 6.1% 12.9%
Green1,559 3.5% 7.8%
OTH58 0.1% 2.1%
LAB Majority10,396 23.2% 48.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Yeovil

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Marcus Fysh  (CON)
County/Area:Somerset (South West)
Electorate:82,468
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,588 58.4% 29.3%
LIB18,407 31.1% 33.6%
LAB3,761 6.3% 18.2%
Green1,629 2.7% 4.5%
OTH875 1.5% 0.8%
Reform0 0.0% 13.6%
CON Majority16,181 27.3% 4.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LIB
60%
LAB
5%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%

York Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rachael Maskell  (LAB)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:74,899
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,312 55.2% 65.2%
CON13,767 27.8% 11.1%
LIB4,149 8.4% 3.3%
Green2,107 4.3% 8.0%
Reform1,479 3.0% 10.8%
OTH691 1.4% 1.5%
LAB Majority13,545 27.4% 54.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

York Outer

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Julian Sturdy  (CON)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:74,673
Turnout: 74.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,324 49.4% 22.5%
LAB17,339 31.3% 40.4%
LIB9,992 18.1% 15.5%
OTH692 1.3% 1.3%
Reform0 0.0% 14.7%
Green0 0.0% 5.6%
CON Majority9,985 18.0% 17.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
10%
LAB
88%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%

Yorkshire East

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Greg Knight  (CON)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:80,923
Turnout: 65.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,988 64.4% 30.5%
LAB11,201 21.2% 36.3%
LIB4,219 8.0% 7.0%
OTH1,686 3.2% 2.3%
Green1,675 3.2% 5.6%
Reform0 0.0% 18.3%
CON Majority22,787 43.2% 5.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
65%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
Reform
3%