Constituency List: Wales



Aberavon
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Stephen Kinnock  (LAB)
Electorate: 49,891
Turnout: 66.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,662 68.1% 51.6%
CON5,901 17.7% 25.6%
Plaid2,761 8.3% 7.4%
UKIP1,345 4.0% 0.0%
LIB599 1.8% 3.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.7%
Green0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority16,761 50.4%Pred Maj 25.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
89%
CON
11%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Aberconwy
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Guto Bebb  (CON)
Electorate: 45,251
Turnout: 71.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,337 44.6% 46.2%
LAB13,702 42.6% 37.0%
Plaid3,170 9.9% 10.8%
LIB941 2.9% 6.0%
CON Majority635 2.0%Pred Maj 9.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Guto Bebb lost the Conservative whip on 3 September and is an independent MP.

Chance of winning
CON
66%
LAB
33%
Plaid
1%
LIB
0%


Alyn and Deeside
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Mark Tami  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,041
Turnout: 71.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,315 52.1% 43.5%
CON18,080 40.4% 42.7%
Plaid1,171 2.6% 2.8%
UKIP1,117 2.5% 0.0%
LIB1,077 2.4% 5.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 5.9%
LAB Majority5,235 11.7%Pred Maj 0.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
52%
CON
48%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%


Arfon
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Hywel Williams  (Plaid)
Electorate: 41,367
Turnout: 68.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid11,519 40.8% 35.2%
LAB11,427 40.5% 39.9%
CON4,614 16.4% 18.4%
LIB648 2.3% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 6.5%
Plaid Majority92 0.3%Pred Maj 4.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
Plaid
37%
LAB
58%
CON
5%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%

LAB Gain

Blaenau Gwent
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP at 2017: Nick Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 51,227
Turnout: 63.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,787 58.0% 46.9%
Plaid6,880 21.2% 13.6%
CON4,783 14.8% 23.8%
UKIP973 3.0% 0.0%
MIN666 2.1% 0.0%
LIB295 0.9% 3.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 9.8%
Green0 0.0% 2.5%
LAB Majority11,907 36.8%Pred Maj 23.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
85%
Plaid
2%
CON
12%
UKIP
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
1%
Green
0%


Brecon and Radnorshire
County/Area: Powys (Wales)
MP at 2017: Chris Davies  (CON)
Electorate: 56,010
Turnout: 73.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,081 48.6% 51.2%
LIB12,043 29.1% 24.8%
LAB7,335 17.7% 23.5%
Plaid1,299 3.1% 0.0%
UKIP576 1.4% 0.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority8,038 19.4%Pred Maj 26.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
85%
LIB
7%
LAB
8%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Bridgend
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Madeleine Moon  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,185
Turnout: 69.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,913 50.7% 39.1%
CON17,213 39.8% 42.0%
Plaid1,783 4.1% 4.9%
LIB919 2.1% 6.8%
UKIP781 1.8% 0.0%
OTH646 1.5% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 5.1%
Green0 0.0% 2.0%
LAB Majority4,700 10.9%Pred Maj 2.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
45%
CON
54%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%

CON Gain

Caerphilly
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP at 2017: Wayne David  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,381
Turnout: 64.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,491 54.5% 47.0%
CON10,413 25.2% 30.0%
Plaid5,962 14.4% 14.3%
UKIP1,259 3.0% 0.0%
LIB725 1.8% 0.0%
Green447 1.1% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.7%
LAB Majority12,078 29.2%Pred Maj 17.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
CON
20%
Plaid
1%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Brexit
0%


Cardiff Central
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Jo Stevens  (LAB)
Electorate: 59,288
Turnout: 68.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,193 62.4% 59.9%
CON7,997 19.8% 19.2%
LIB5,415 13.4% 14.9%
Plaid999 2.5% 0.0%
Green420 1.0% 0.0%
UKIP343 0.8% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority17,196 42.6%Pred Maj 40.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
1%
LIB
1%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
0%
OTH
0%


Cardiff North
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Anna McMorrin  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,221
Turnout: 77.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,081 50.1% 43.4%
CON21,907 42.1% 36.5%
Plaid1,738 3.3% 4.7%
LIB1,714 3.3% 6.4%
UKIP582 1.1% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 6.1%
Green0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority4,174 8.0%Pred Maj 7.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
63%
CON
37%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Cardiff South and Penarth
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Stephen Doughty  (LAB)
Electorate: 76,499
Turnout: 66.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,182 59.5% 51.4%
CON15,318 30.2% 29.1%
Plaid2,162 4.3% 4.6%
LIB1,430 2.8% 5.0%
UKIP942 1.9% 0.0%
Green532 1.0% 2.6%
OTH170 0.3% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 7.3%
LAB Majority14,864 29.3%Pred Maj 22.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
86%
CON
14%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
0%


Cardiff West
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Kevin Brennan  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,221
Turnout: 69.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,425 56.7% 49.3%
CON13,874 29.8% 28.4%
Plaid4,418 9.5% 8.0%
LIB1,214 2.6% 5.0%
UKIP698 1.5% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 6.8%
Green0 0.0% 2.5%
LAB Majority12,551 26.9%Pred Maj 20.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
85%
CON
15%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%


Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP at 2017: Jonathan Edwards  (Plaid)
Electorate: 55,976
Turnout: 73.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid16,127 39.3% 33.0%
LAB12,219 29.8% 29.7%
CON10,778 26.3% 28.8%
UKIP985 2.4% 0.0%
LIB920 2.2% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.6%
Plaid Majority3,908 9.5%Pred Maj 3.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
Plaid
39%
LAB
31%
CON
29%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%


Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP at 2017: Simon Hart  (CON)
Electorate: 58,548
Turnout: 72.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,771 46.8% 50.3%
LAB16,661 39.5% 34.6%
Plaid3,933 9.3% 9.9%
LIB956 2.3% 5.2%
UKIP905 2.1% 0.0%
CON Majority3,110 7.4%Pred Maj 15.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
23%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%


Ceredigion
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP at 2017: Ben Lake  (Plaid)
Electorate: 52,889
Turnout: 75.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid11,623 29.2% 21.2%
LIB11,519 29.0% 22.0%
LAB8,017 20.2% 22.8%
CON7,307 18.4% 22.9%
UKIP602 1.5% 0.0%
Green542 1.4% 3.4%
OTH157 0.4% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 7.6%
Plaid Majority104 0.3%Pred Maj 0.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
Plaid
22%
LIB
21%
LAB
27%
CON
29%
UKIP
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
1%

CON Gain

Clwyd South
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Susan Elan Jones  (LAB)
Electorate: 54,341
Turnout: 69.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,002 50.7% 41.1%
CON14,646 39.1% 44.0%
Plaid2,293 6.1% 3.6%
UKIP802 2.1% 0.0%
LIB731 2.0% 5.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 5.7%
LAB Majority4,356 11.6%Pred Maj 2.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
44%
CON
56%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%

CON Gain

Clwyd West
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP at 2017: David Jones  (CON)
Electorate: 58,263
Turnout: 69.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,541 48.1% 49.5%
LAB16,104 39.6% 34.4%
Plaid3,918 9.6% 10.5%
LIB1,091 2.7% 5.7%
CON Majority3,437 8.5%Pred Maj 15.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
22%
Plaid
1%
LIB
0%


Cynon Valley
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Ann Clwyd  (LAB)
Electorate: 51,332
Turnout: 62.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,404 61.0% 48.2%
CON6,166 19.4% 26.1%
Plaid4,376 13.8% 12.1%
UKIP1,271 4.0% 0.0%
LIB585 1.8% 4.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority13,238 41.6%Pred Maj 22.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
84%
CON
14%
Plaid
1%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
OTH
0%


Delyn
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP at 2017: David Hanson  (LAB)
Electorate: 54,116
Turnout: 72.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,573 52.2% 46.8%
CON16,333 41.4% 40.2%
Plaid1,481 3.8% 3.4%
LIB1,031 2.6% 4.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority4,240 10.8%Pred Maj 6.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
CON
38%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%


Dwyfor Meirionnydd
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Liz Roberts  (Plaid)
Electorate: 44,699
Turnout: 67.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid13,687 45.1% 37.9%
CON8,837 29.1% 29.1%
LAB6,273 20.7% 24.7%
LIB937 3.1% 0.0%
UKIP614 2.0% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.3%
Plaid Majority4,850 16.0%Pred Maj 8.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
Plaid
54%
CON
27%
LAB
18%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
1%


Gower
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Tonia Antoniazzi  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,163
Turnout: 73.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,727 49.9% 48.5%
CON19,458 42.7% 39.2%
Plaid1,669 3.7% 2.2%
LIB931 2.0% 5.8%
UKIP642 1.4% 0.0%
OTH149 0.3% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 4.3%
LAB Majority3,269 7.2%Pred Maj 9.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
69%
CON
31%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
0%


Islwyn
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP at 2017: Chris Evans  (LAB)
Electorate: 56,256
Turnout: 64.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,238 58.8% 45.4%
CON9,826 27.2% 31.8%
Plaid2,739 7.6% 7.6%
UKIP1,605 4.4% 0.0%
LIB685 1.9% 4.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.7%
Green0 0.0% 2.3%
LAB Majority11,412 31.6%Pred Maj 13.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
75%
CON
24%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%


Llanelli
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP at 2017: Nia Griffith  (LAB)
Electorate: 59,434
Turnout: 67.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,568 53.5% 45.0%
CON9,544 23.7% 29.2%
Plaid7,351 18.2% 16.8%
UKIP1,331 3.3% 0.0%
LIB548 1.4% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 9.0%
LAB Majority12,024 29.8%Pred Maj 15.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
75%
CON
22%
Plaid
3%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%


Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Gerald Jones  (LAB)
Electorate: 55,463
Turnout: 60.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,407 66.8% 51.6%
CON6,073 18.1% 25.7%
Plaid2,740 8.2% 8.3%
UKIP1,484 4.4% 0.0%
LIB841 2.5% 5.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority16,334 48.7%Pred Maj 25.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
89%
CON
10%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
OTH
0%


Monmouth
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP at 2017: David Davies  (CON)
Electorate: 64,909
Turnout: 76.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,411 53.1% 51.7%
LAB18,205 36.6% 32.5%
LIB2,064 4.2% 6.8%
Plaid1,338 2.7% 5.7%
Green954 1.9% 2.8%
UKIP762 1.5% 0.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority8,206 16.5%Pred Maj 19.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
83%
LAB
17%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Montgomeryshire
County/Area: Powys (Wales)
MP at 2017: Glyn Davies  (CON)
Electorate: 50,755
Turnout: 68.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,075 51.8% 54.3%
LIB8,790 25.2% 21.3%
LAB5,542 15.9% 23.9%
Plaid1,960 5.6% 0.0%
Green524 1.5% 0.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority9,285 26.6%Pred Maj 30.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
90%
LIB
3%
LAB
7%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Neath
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Christina Rees  (LAB)
Electorate: 55,859
Turnout: 68.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,713 56.7% 44.4%
CON9,082 23.7% 28.7%
Plaid5,339 13.9% 11.6%
UKIP1,419 3.7% 0.0%
LIB732 1.9% 4.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.4%
Green0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority12,631 33.0%Pred Maj 15.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
CON
22%
Plaid
1%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Newport East
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP at 2017: Jessica Morden  (LAB)
Electorate: 57,233
Turnout: 64.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,804 56.5% 44.6%
CON12,801 34.8% 35.8%
UKIP1,180 3.2% 0.0%
LIB966 2.6% 5.2%
Plaid881 2.4% 3.8%
OTH188 0.5% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.4%
Green0 0.0% 2.2%
LAB Majority8,003 21.7%Pred Maj 8.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
66%
CON
33%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%


Newport West
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP at 2017: Paul Flynn  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,399
Turnout: 67.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,723 52.3% 43.7%
CON17,065 39.3% 37.2%
UKIP1,100 2.5% 0.0%
Plaid1,077 2.5% 4.0%
LIB976 2.2% 4.9%
Green497 1.1% 2.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 7.6%
LAB Majority5,658 13.0%Pred Maj 6.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Ms Ruth Jones (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 4 April 2019 after the death of Paul Flynn in February 2019.

Chance of winning
LAB
62%
CON
37%
UKIP
0%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Brexit
0%


Ogmore
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Chris Elmore  (LAB)
Electorate: 56,661
Turnout: 65.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,225 62.4% 48.0%
CON9,354 25.1% 29.8%
Plaid2,796 7.5% 7.3%
UKIP1,235 3.3% 0.0%
LIB594 1.6% 4.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.3%
Green0 0.0% 2.3%
LAB Majority13,871 37.3%Pred Maj 18.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
81%
CON
19%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%


Pontypridd
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Owen Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 60,566
Turnout: 65.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,103 55.4% 49.4%
CON10,655 26.7% 29.9%
Plaid4,102 10.3% 12.5%
LIB1,963 4.9% 0.0%
UKIP1,071 2.7% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 7.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority11,448 28.7%Pred Maj 19.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
83%
CON
16%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
0%
OTH
0%


Preseli Pembrokeshire
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP at 2017: Stephen Crabb  (CON)
Electorate: 58,540
Turnout: 72.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,302 43.4% 49.0%
LAB17,988 42.6% 36.9%
Plaid2,711 6.4% 8.5%
MIN1,209 2.9% 0.0%
LIB1,106 2.6% 5.5%
UKIP850 2.0% 0.0%
OTH31 0.1% 0.0%
CON Majority314 0.7%Pred Maj 12.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
70%
LAB
30%
Plaid
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Rhondda
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Chris Bryant  (LAB)
Electorate: 50,513
Turnout: 65.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,096 64.1% 50.2%
Plaid7,350 22.3% 16.4%
CON3,333 10.1% 19.0%
UKIP880 2.7% 0.0%
LIB277 0.8% 3.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.6%
Green0 0.0% 2.5%
LAB Majority13,746 41.7%Pred Maj 31.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
Plaid
3%
CON
5%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%


Swansea East
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Carolyn Harris  (LAB)
Electorate: 58,521
Turnout: 60.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,307 63.4% 49.0%
CON9,139 26.0% 30.1%
Plaid1,689 4.8% 5.8%
UKIP1,040 3.0% 0.0%
LIB625 1.8% 4.2%
Green359 1.0% 2.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.4%
LAB Majority13,168 37.5%Pred Maj 18.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
81%
CON
18%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Brexit
0%


Swansea West
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Geraint Davies  (LAB)
Electorate: 56,892
Turnout: 65.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,278 59.8% 51.9%
CON11,680 31.3% 28.7%
Plaid1,529 4.1% 6.0%
LIB1,269 3.4% 6.8%
Green434 1.2% 0.0%
OTH92 0.2% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 6.6%
LAB Majority10,598 28.4%Pred Maj 23.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
86%
CON
14%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
0%


Torfaen
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP at 2017: Nick Thomas-Symonds  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,839
Turnout: 62.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,134 57.6% 44.5%
CON11,894 31.0% 34.2%
Plaid2,059 5.4% 6.0%
UKIP1,490 3.9% 0.0%
LIB852 2.2% 4.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.6%
Green0 0.0% 2.2%
LAB Majority10,240 26.6%Pred Maj 10.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
68%
CON
32%
Plaid
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%


Vale of Clwyd
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Chris Ruane  (LAB)
Electorate: 56,890
Turnout: 68.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,423 50.2% 46.8%
CON17,044 44.1% 40.3%
Plaid1,551 4.0% 3.4%
LIB666 1.7% 4.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 4.8%
LAB Majority2,379 6.1%Pred Maj 6.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
CON
38%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%


Vale of Glamorgan
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP at 2017: Alun Cairns  (CON)
Electorate: 73,958
Turnout: 72.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,501 47.5% 50.9%
LAB23,311 43.4% 46.1%
Plaid2,295 4.3% 0.0%
LIB1,020 1.9% 0.0%
UKIP868 1.6% 0.0%
Green419 0.8% 2.5%
OTH304 0.6% 0.5%
CON Majority2,190 4.1%Pred Maj 4.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
57%
LAB
43%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
UKIP
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Wrexham
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Ian Lucas  (LAB)
Electorate: 50,422
Turnout: 69.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,153 48.9% 40.1%
CON15,321 43.7% 43.3%
Plaid1,753 5.0% 2.6%
LIB865 2.5% 5.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 6.2%
Green0 0.0% 1.9%
LAB Majority1,832 5.2%Pred Maj 3.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
45%
CON
55%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
0%
Green
0%

CON Gain

Ynys Mon
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP at 2017: Albert Owen  (LAB)
Electorate: 52,448
Turnout: 71.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,643 41.9% 38.1%
CON10,384 27.8% 30.4%
Plaid10,237 27.4% 23.1%
UKIP624 1.7% 0.0%
LIB479 1.3% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 8.4%
LAB Majority5,259 14.1%Pred Maj 7.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
CON
30%
Plaid
11%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Brexit
1%