Constituency List: Wales



Aberavon

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Kinnock  (LAB)
County/Area:West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:50,750
Turnout: 62.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,008 53.8% 55.9%
CON6,518 20.6% 16.0%
Reform3,108 9.8% 5.8%
Plaid2,711 8.6% 8.6%
LIB1,072 3.4% 2.6%
OTH731 2.3% 5.7%
Green450 1.4% 5.4%
LAB Majority10,490 33.2% 39.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Aberconwy

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Robin Millar  (CON)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:44,699
Turnout: 71.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,687 46.1% 41.5%
LAB12,653 39.7% 41.0%
Plaid2,704 8.5% 8.5%
LIB1,821 5.7% 4.3%
Green0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority2,034 6.4% 0.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
52%
LAB
48%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Alyn and Deeside

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mark Tami  (LAB)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:62,789
Turnout: 68.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,271 42.5% 44.4%
CON18,058 42.0% 37.4%
Reform2,678 6.2% 3.7%
LIB2,548 5.9% 4.5%
Plaid1,453 3.4% 3.4%
Green0 0.0% 3.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
LAB Majority213 0.5% 7.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
33%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Arfon

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:Hywel Williams  (Plaid)
County/Area:Gwynedd (Wales)
Electorate:42,215
Turnout: 68.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid13,134 45.2% 45.2%
LAB10,353 35.6% 36.7%
CON4,428 15.2% 11.7%
Reform1,159 4.0% 2.3%
Green0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 1.9%
Plaid Majority2,781 9.6% 8.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
Plaid
64%
LAB
36%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Blaenau Gwent

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Nick Smith  (LAB)
County/Area:Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:50,739
Turnout: 59.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,862 49.2% 52.2%
Reform6,215 20.6% 12.3%
CON5,749 19.0% 14.6%
Plaid1,722 5.7% 5.7%
LIB1,285 4.3% 3.2%
Green386 1.3% 7.0%
OTH0 0.0% 4.9%
LAB Majority8,647 28.6% 37.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
Reform
0%
CON
1%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Brecon and Radnorshire

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Fay Jones  (CON)
County/Area:Powys (Wales)
Electorate:55,490
Turnout: 74.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,958 53.1% 48.5%
LIB14,827 35.9% 31.0%
LAB3,944 9.5% 11.7%
OTH590 1.4% 4.9%
Green0 0.0% 4.0%
CON Majority7,131 17.3% 17.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
88%
LIB
12%
LAB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Bridgend

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jamie Wallis  (CON)
County/Area:Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:63,303
Turnout: 66.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,193 43.1% 38.5%
LAB17,036 40.3% 42.0%
LIB2,368 5.6% 4.2%
Plaid2,013 4.8% 4.8%
Reform1,811 4.3% 2.5%
Green815 1.9% 5.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority1,157 2.7% 3.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
40%
LAB
60%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Caerphilly

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Wayne David  (LAB)
County/Area:Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:63,166
Turnout: 63.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,018 44.9% 47.0%
CON11,185 27.9% 23.3%
Plaid6,424 16.0% 16.0%
Reform4,490 11.2% 6.6%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
LAB Majority6,833 17.0% 23.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
93%
CON
7%
Plaid
1%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cardiff Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jo Stevens  (LAB)
County/Area:South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:64,037
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,605 61.2% 63.3%
CON8,426 20.1% 15.5%
LIB6,298 15.1% 11.4%
Reform1,006 2.4% 1.4%
OTH487 1.2% 4.5%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
LAB Majority17,179 41.1% 47.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Cardiff North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Anna McMorrin  (LAB)
County/Area:South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:68,438
Turnout: 77.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,064 49.5% 51.1%
CON19,082 36.2% 31.6%
LIB3,580 6.8% 5.1%
Plaid1,606 3.0% 3.0%
Reform1,311 2.5% 1.5%
Green820 1.6% 4.6%
OTH203 0.4% 3.0%
LAB Majority6,982 13.3% 19.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
89%
CON
11%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cardiff South and Penarth

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Doughty  (LAB)
County/Area:South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:78,837
Turnout: 64.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,382 54.1% 55.8%
CON14,645 29.0% 24.4%
LIB2,985 5.9% 4.5%
Plaid2,386 4.7% 4.7%
Reform1,999 4.0% 2.3%
Green1,182 2.3% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
LAB Majority12,737 25.2% 31.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cardiff West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Kevin Brennan  (LAB)
County/Area:South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:68,508
Turnout: 67.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,908 51.8% 53.4%
CON12,922 28.0% 23.4%
Plaid3,864 8.4% 8.4%
LIB2,731 5.9% 4.5%
Reform1,619 3.5% 2.1%
Green1,133 2.5% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.7%
LAB Majority10,986 23.8% 30.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:Jonathan Edwards  (Plaid)
County/Area:Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:57,419
Turnout: 71.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid15,939 38.9% 38.9%
CON14,130 34.5% 29.9%
LAB8,622 21.0% 22.6%
Reform2,311 5.6% 3.3%
Green0 0.0% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
Plaid Majority1,809 4.4% 9.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
Plaid
61%
CON
27%
LAB
12%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Simon Hart  (CON)
County/Area:Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:59,158
Turnout: 71.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,183 52.7% 48.1%
LAB14,438 34.3% 35.5%
Plaid3,633 8.6% 8.6%
LIB1,860 4.4% 3.3%
Green0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.0%
CON Majority7,745 18.4% 12.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
80%
LAB
20%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ceredigion

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:Ben Lake  (Plaid)
County/Area:Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:56,386
Turnout: 71.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid15,208 37.9% 37.9%
CON8,879 22.1% 17.5%
LIB6,975 17.4% 13.1%
LAB6,317 15.8% 18.2%
Reform2,063 5.1% 3.0%
Green663 1.7% 6.3%
OTH0 0.0% 4.0%
Plaid Majority6,329 15.8% 19.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
Plaid
80%
CON
7%
LIB
2%
LAB
11%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Clwyd South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Simon Baynes  (CON)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:53,919
Turnout: 67.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,222 44.7% 40.1%
LAB14,983 41.3% 42.9%
Plaid2,137 5.9% 5.9%
LIB1,496 4.1% 3.1%
Reform1,468 4.0% 2.4%
Green0 0.0% 3.1%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority1,239 3.4% 2.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
41%
LAB
59%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Clwyd West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Jones  (CON)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:57,714
Turnout: 69.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,403 50.7% 46.1%
LAB13,656 34.0% 35.3%
Plaid3,907 9.7% 9.7%
LIB2,237 5.6% 4.2%
Green0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority6,747 16.8% 10.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
76%
LAB
24%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cynon Valley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Beth Winter  (LAB)
County/Area:Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:51,134
Turnout: 59.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,533 51.4% 53.5%
CON6,711 22.2% 17.6%
Reform3,045 10.1% 5.9%
Plaid2,562 8.5% 8.5%
OTH1,436 4.7% 8.2%
LIB949 3.1% 2.4%
Green0 0.0% 4.0%
LAB Majority8,822 29.2% 35.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Delyn

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Rob Roberts  (CON)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:54,560
Turnout: 70.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,756 43.7% 39.1%
LAB15,891 41.4% 43.2%
LIB2,346 6.1% 4.6%
Reform1,971 5.1% 3.0%
Plaid1,406 3.7% 3.7%
Green0 0.0% 3.4%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority865 2.3% 4.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
40%
LAB
60%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dwyfor Meirionnydd

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:Liz Saville Roberts  (Plaid)
County/Area:Gwynedd (Wales)
Electorate:44,362
Turnout: 67.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
Plaid14,447 48.3% 48.3%
CON9,707 32.4% 27.8%
LAB3,998 13.4% 14.9%
Reform1,776 5.9% 3.5%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
Plaid Majority4,740 15.8% 20.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
Plaid
88%
CON
11%
LAB
1%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Gower

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Tonia Antoniazzi  (LAB)
County/Area:West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:61,762
Turnout: 72.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,208 45.4% 47.0%
CON18,371 41.3% 36.7%
Plaid2,288 5.1% 5.1%
LIB2,236 5.0% 3.8%
Reform1,379 3.1% 1.8%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
LAB Majority1,837 4.1% 10.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
74%
CON
26%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Islwyn

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Chris Evans  (LAB)
County/Area:Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:55,423
Turnout: 62.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,356 44.7% 47.2%
CON9,892 28.8% 24.2%
Reform4,834 14.1% 8.3%
Plaid2,286 6.7% 6.7%
LIB1,313 3.8% 2.9%
Green669 1.9% 6.7%
OTH0 0.0% 4.1%
LAB Majority5,464 15.9% 23.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
93%
CON
7%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Llanelli

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Nia Griffith  (LAB)
County/Area:Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:60,518
Turnout: 63.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,125 42.2% 44.1%
CON11,455 30.0% 25.4%
Plaid7,048 18.4% 18.4%
Reform3,605 9.4% 5.5%
Green0 0.0% 3.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
LAB Majority4,670 12.2% 18.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
87%
CON
11%
Plaid
2%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Gerald Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:56,322
Turnout: 57.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,913 52.4% 54.7%
CON6,307 19.6% 15.1%
Reform3,604 11.2% 6.6%
Plaid2,446 7.6% 7.6%
OTH1,860 5.8% 9.4%
LIB1,116 3.5% 2.6%
Green0 0.0% 4.2%
LAB Majority10,606 32.9% 39.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Monmouth

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Davies  (CON)
County/Area:Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:67,098
Turnout: 74.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,160 52.1% 47.5%
LAB16,178 32.2% 33.8%
LIB4,909 9.8% 7.4%
Green1,353 2.7% 5.6%
Plaid1,182 2.4% 2.4%
OTH435 0.9% 3.4%
CON Majority9,982 19.9% 13.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
82%
LAB
18%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Plaid
0%
OTH
0%

Montgomeryshire

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Craig Williams  (CON)
County/Area:Powys (Wales)
Electorate:48,997
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,020 58.5% 53.9%
LIB7,882 23.0% 18.1%
LAB5,585 16.3% 18.4%
OTH727 2.1% 5.6%
Green0 0.0% 4.0%
CON Majority12,138 35.5% 35.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
1%
LAB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Neath

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Christina Rees  (LAB)
County/Area:West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:56,419
Turnout: 65.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,920 43.3% 45.3%
CON10,283 28.0% 23.4%
Plaid4,495 12.2% 12.2%
Reform3,184 8.7% 5.1%
LIB1,485 4.0% 3.0%
Green728 2.0% 5.8%
OTH661 1.8% 5.1%
LAB Majority5,637 15.3% 22.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
7%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Newport East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jessica Morden  (LAB)
County/Area:Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:58,554
Turnout: 62.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,125 44.4% 46.4%
CON14,133 39.0% 34.3%
Reform2,454 6.8% 4.0%
LIB2,121 5.8% 4.4%
Plaid872 2.4% 2.4%
Green577 1.6% 5.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
LAB Majority1,992 5.5% 12.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
77%
CON
23%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Newport West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ruth Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:66,657
Turnout: 65.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,977 43.7% 45.4%
CON18,075 41.6% 37.0%
LIB2,565 5.9% 4.5%
Reform1,727 4.0% 2.3%
Plaid1,187 2.7% 2.7%
Green902 2.1% 5.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
LAB Majority902 2.1% 8.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
70%
CON
30%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ogmore

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Chris Elmore  (LAB)
County/Area:Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:57,581
Turnout: 61.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,602 49.7% 51.7%
CON9,797 27.7% 23.1%
Reform2,991 8.5% 5.0%
Plaid2,919 8.2% 8.2%
LIB1,460 4.1% 3.1%
Green621 1.8% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
LAB Majority7,805 22.1% 28.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Pontypridd

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Alex Davies-Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:60,327
Turnout: 64.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,381 44.5% 46.2%
CON11,494 29.4% 24.8%
Plaid4,990 12.8% 12.8%
Reform2,917 7.5% 4.4%
OTH2,278 5.8% 8.6%
Green0 0.0% 3.2%
LAB Majority5,887 15.1% 21.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
8%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Preseli Pembrokeshire

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Crabb  (CON)
County/Area:Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:59,606
Turnout: 71.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,381 50.4% 45.8%
LAB16,319 38.5% 39.7%
Plaid2,776 6.5% 6.5%
LIB1,943 4.6% 3.5%
Green0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority5,062 11.9% 6.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
66%
LAB
34%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Rhondda

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Chris Bryant  (LAB)
County/Area:Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:50,262
Turnout: 59.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,115 54.4% 56.4%
CON4,675 15.8% 12.1%
Plaid4,069 13.7% 13.7%
Reform3,733 12.6% 7.4%
LIB612 2.1% 1.6%
Green438 1.5% 5.4%
OTH0 0.0% 3.4%
LAB Majority11,440 38.6% 42.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Swansea East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Carolyn Harris  (LAB)
County/Area:West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:58,450
Turnout: 57.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,405 51.8% 53.8%
CON9,435 28.1% 23.5%
Reform2,842 8.5% 5.0%
Plaid1,905 5.7% 5.7%
LIB1,409 4.2% 3.2%
Green583 1.7% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
LAB Majority7,970 23.7% 30.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
Reform
0%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Swansea West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Geraint Davies  (LAB)
County/Area:West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:57,078
Turnout: 62.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,493 51.6% 53.6%
CON10,377 29.0% 24.4%
LIB2,993 8.4% 6.3%
Plaid1,984 5.5% 5.5%
Reform1,983 5.5% 3.3%
Green0 0.0% 3.7%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
LAB Majority8,116 22.7% 29.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
96%
CON
4%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Torfaen

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Nick Thomas-Symonds  (LAB)
County/Area:Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:62,330
Turnout: 59.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,546 41.8% 44.5%
CON11,804 31.8% 27.1%
Reform5,742 15.4% 9.1%
LIB1,831 4.9% 3.7%
Plaid1,441 3.9% 3.9%
Green812 2.2% 7.3%
OTH0 0.0% 4.4%
LAB Majority3,742 10.1% 17.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
85%
CON
15%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Plaid
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Vale of Clwyd

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:James Davies  (CON)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:56,649
Turnout: 65.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,270 46.4% 41.8%
LAB15,443 41.5% 43.1%
Plaid1,552 4.2% 4.2%
Reform1,477 4.0% 2.3%
LIB1,471 4.0% 3.0%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority1,827 4.9% 1.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
48%
LAB
52%
Plaid
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Vale of Glamorgan

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Alun Cairns  (CON)
County/Area:South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:76,508
Turnout: 71.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,305 49.8% 45.2%
LAB23,743 43.3% 44.3%
Green3,251 5.9% 7.9%
OTH508 0.9% 2.6%
CON Majority3,562 6.5% 0.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
53%
LAB
47%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Wrexham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Sarah Atherton  (CON)
County/Area:Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:49,737
Turnout: 67.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON15,199 45.3% 40.7%
LAB13,068 39.0% 40.6%
Plaid2,151 6.4% 6.4%
LIB1,447 4.3% 3.3%
Reform1,222 3.6% 2.1%
Green445 1.3% 4.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority2,131 6.4% 0.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
49%
LAB
51%
Plaid
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ynys Mon

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Virginia Crosbie  (CON)
County/Area:Gwynedd (Wales)
Electorate:51,925
Turnout: 70.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON12,959 35.5% 30.9%
LAB10,991 30.1% 31.6%
Plaid10,418 28.5% 28.5%
Reform2,184 6.0% 3.5%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority1,968 5.4% 0.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
43%
Plaid
19%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%