MP at 2024: | Michael Wheeler (LAB) |
County/Area: | Central Manchester (North West) |
Electorate: | 78,643 |
Turnout: | 54.1% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 20,277 | 47.7% | 43.7% |
Reform | 9,186 | 21.6% | 25.1% |
CON | 6,791 | 16.0% | 16.3% |
Green | 3,283 | 7.7% | 8.5% |
LIB | 1,851 | 4.4% | 4.6% |
OTH | 689 | 1.6% | 0.7% |
MIN | 466 | 1.1% | 1.1% |
LAB Majority | 11,091 | 26.1% | 18.6% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
| ||
MIN |
|
MP at 2024: | Tom Rutland (LAB) |
County/Area: | West Sussex (South East) |
Electorate: | 74,738 |
Turnout: | 65.7% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 22,120 | 45.1% | 40.9% |
CON | 12,601 | 25.7% | 26.0% |
Reform | 7,169 | 14.6% | 18.2% |
Green | 3,246 | 6.6% | 7.4% |
LIB | 3,180 | 6.5% | 6.7% |
OTH | 762 | 1.6% | 0.7% |
LAB Majority | 9,519 | 19.4% | 14.9% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Beccy Cooper (LAB) |
County/Area: | West Sussex (South East) |
Electorate: | 77,038 |
Turnout: | 66.2% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 20,519 | 40.2% | 36.1% |
CON | 16,570 | 32.5% | 32.8% |
Reform | 7,562 | 14.8% | 18.1% |
Green | 3,274 | 6.4% | 7.2% |
LIB | 2,708 | 5.3% | 5.5% |
OTH | 364 | 0.7% | 0.3% |
LAB Majority | 3,949 | 7.7% | 3.3% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Mark Pritchard (CON) |
County/Area: | Shropshire (West Midlands) |
Electorate: | 78,942 |
Turnout: | 63.4% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
CON | 16,320 | 32.6% | 32.9% |
LAB | 15,437 | 30.9% | 26.9% |
Reform | 9,920 | 19.8% | 23.2% |
LIB | 4,757 | 9.5% | 9.8% |
Green | 3,028 | 6.1% | 6.8% |
OTH | 558 | 1.1% | 0.5% |
CON Majority | 883 | 1.8% | 6.0% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
CON |
| ||
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Emma Reynolds (LAB) |
County/Area: | Buckinghamshire (South East) |
Electorate: | 73,846 |
Turnout: | 60.4% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,035 | 35.9% | 31.8% |
CON | 11,444 | 25.6% | 26.1% |
Reform | 4,769 | 10.7% | 16.0% |
LIB | 4,236 | 9.5% | 9.9% |
MIN | 3,344 | 7.5% | 7.5% |
OTH | 2,616 | 5.9% | 2.6% |
Green | 2,193 | 4.9% | 6.1% |
LAB Majority | 4,591 | 10.3% | 5.7% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
MIN |
| ||
OTH |
| ||
Green |
|
MP at 2024: | Mark Garnier (CON) |
County/Area: | Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands) |
Electorate: | 77,394 |
Turnout: | 58.3% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
CON | 14,489 | 32.1% | 32.5% |
LAB | 13,677 | 30.3% | 26.3% |
Reform | 9,682 | 21.4% | 26.2% |
LIB | 2,809 | 6.2% | 6.6% |
Green | 2,443 | 5.4% | 6.5% |
OTH | 2,058 | 4.6% | 1.9% |
CON Majority | 812 | 1.8% | 6.2% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
CON |
| ||
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Mike Kane (LAB) |
County/Area: | Central Manchester (North West) |
Electorate: | 77,765 |
Turnout: | 50.3% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 20,596 | 52.6% | 48.7% |
Reform | 5,986 | 15.3% | 18.5% |
CON | 5,392 | 13.8% | 14.1% |
Green | 4,133 | 10.6% | 11.3% |
LIB | 1,985 | 5.1% | 5.3% |
MIN | 714 | 1.8% | 1.8% |
OTH | 326 | 0.8% | 0.3% |
LAB Majority | 14,610 | 37.3% | 30.2% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
MIN |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Adam Dance (LIB) |
County/Area: | Somerset (South West) |
Electorate: | 79,700 |
Turnout: | 61.4% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LIB | 23,765 | 48.5% | 48.7% |
CON | 11,497 | 23.5% | 23.7% |
Reform | 7,677 | 15.7% | 18.1% |
LAB | 3,002 | 6.1% | 3.5% |
Green | 2,403 | 4.9% | 5.5% |
OTH | 608 | 1.2% | 0.6% |
LIB Majority | 12,268 | 25.1% | 25.0% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LIB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LAB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Rachael Maskell (LAB) |
County/Area: | North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber) |
Electorate: | 79,557 |
Turnout: | 54.5% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 24,537 | 56.6% | 52.7% |
CON | 5,383 | 12.4% | 12.7% |
Green | 5,185 | 12.0% | 12.7% |
Reform | 4,721 | 10.9% | 14.2% |
LIB | 3,051 | 7.0% | 7.3% |
OTH | 446 | 1.0% | 0.4% |
LAB Majority | 19,154 | 44.2% | 38.6% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Luke Charters (LAB) |
County/Area: | North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber) |
Electorate: | 76,228 |
Turnout: | 67.0% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 23,161 | 45.3% | 41.4% |
CON | 13,770 | 26.9% | 27.2% |
Reform | 5,912 | 11.6% | 14.8% |
LIB | 5,496 | 10.8% | 11.0% |
Green | 2,212 | 4.3% | 5.1% |
OTH | 555 | 1.1% | 0.5% |
LAB Majority | 9,391 | 18.4% | 14.2% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Stephen Kinnock (LAB) |
County/Area: | West Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 72,580 |
Turnout: | 49.3% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 17,838 | 49.9% | 46.0% |
Reform | 7,484 | 20.9% | 24.6% |
Plaid | 4,719 | 13.2% | 13.2% |
CON | 2,903 | 8.1% | 8.4% |
Green | 1,094 | 3.1% | 3.9% |
LIB | 916 | 2.6% | 2.8% |
OTH | 801 | 2.2% | 1.0% |
LAB Majority | 10,354 | 29.0% | 21.4% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Mark Tami (LAB) |
County/Area: | Clwyd (Wales) |
Electorate: | 75,790 |
Turnout: | 57.3% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 18,395 | 42.4% | 38.5% |
Reform | 9,601 | 22.1% | 26.4% |
CON | 7,892 | 18.2% | 18.6% |
LIB | 2,065 | 4.8% | 5.1% |
Plaid | 1,938 | 4.5% | 4.5% |
Green | 1,926 | 4.4% | 5.4% |
OTH | 1,575 | 3.6% | 1.6% |
LAB Majority | 8,794 | 20.3% | 12.1% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Claire Hughes (LAB) |
County/Area: | Clwyd (Wales) |
Electorate: | 69,023 |
Turnout: | 60.4% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 14,008 | 33.6% | 29.7% |
Plaid | 9,112 | 21.9% | 21.9% |
CON | 9,036 | 21.7% | 22.0% |
Reform | 6,091 | 14.6% | 17.9% |
LIB | 1,524 | 3.7% | 3.9% |
Green | 1,361 | 3.3% | 4.0% |
OTH | 528 | 1.3% | 0.6% |
LAB Majority | 4,896 | 11.8% | 7.7% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Nick Smith (LAB) |
County/Area: | Gwent (Wales) |
Electorate: | 70,153 |
Turnout: | 42.7% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,027 | 53.6% | 49.7% |
Plaid | 3,844 | 12.8% | 12.8% |
CON | 3,776 | 12.6% | 13.2% |
OTH | 2,718 | 9.1% | 4.1% |
Green | 1,719 | 5.7% | 7.2% |
LIB | 1,268 | 4.2% | 4.7% |
MIN | 570 | 1.9% | 1.9% |
Reform | 0 | 0.0% | 6.4% |
LAB Majority | 12,183 | 40.7% | 36.5% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
OTH |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
MIN |
| ||
Reform |
|
MP at 2024: | David Chadwick (LIB) |
County/Area: | Powys (Wales) |
Electorate: | 73,114 |
Turnout: | 63.7% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LIB | 13,736 | 29.5% | 29.8% |
CON | 12,264 | 26.3% | 26.6% |
LAB | 9,904 | 21.3% | 17.4% |
Reform | 6,567 | 14.1% | 17.4% |
Plaid | 2,280 | 4.9% | 4.9% |
Green | 1,188 | 2.6% | 3.3% |
OTH | 609 | 1.3% | 0.6% |
LIB Majority | 1,472 | 3.2% | 3.1% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LIB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Chris Elmore (LAB) |
County/Area: | Mid Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 73,152 |
Turnout: | 56.6% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,516 | 39.9% | 36.0% |
Reform | 7,921 | 19.1% | 25.2% |
CON | 6,764 | 16.3% | 16.9% |
Plaid | 3,629 | 8.8% | 8.8% |
OTH | 3,338 | 8.1% | 3.6% |
Green | 1,760 | 4.3% | 5.6% |
LIB | 1,446 | 3.5% | 3.9% |
LAB Majority | 8,595 | 20.8% | 10.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
OTH |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
|
MP at 2024: | Ann Davies (Plaid) |
County/Area: | Dyfed (Wales) |
Electorate: | 74,003 |
Turnout: | 61.6% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
Plaid | 15,520 | 34.0% | 34.0% |
LAB | 10,985 | 24.1% | 20.2% |
CON | 8,825 | 19.4% | 19.6% |
Reform | 6,944 | 15.2% | 18.3% |
LIB | 1,461 | 3.2% | 3.4% |
Green | 1,371 | 3.0% | 3.7% |
OTH | 282 | 0.6% | 0.3% |
MIN | 216 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Plaid Majority | 4,535 | 9.9% | 13.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
Plaid |
| ||
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
| ||
MIN |
|
MP at 2024: | Chris Evans (LAB) |
County/Area: | Gwent (Wales) |
Electorate: | 72,643 |
Turnout: | 52.6% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 14,538 | 38.0% | 34.1% |
Plaid | 8,119 | 21.2% | 21.2% |
Reform | 7,754 | 20.3% | 23.1% |
CON | 4,385 | 11.5% | 11.7% |
LIB | 1,788 | 4.7% | 4.9% |
Green | 1,650 | 4.3% | 5.0% |
LAB Majority | 6,419 | 16.8% | 11.0% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
|
MP at 2024: | Jo Stevens (LAB) |
County/Area: | South Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 72,873 |
Turnout: | 53.7% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 15,833 | 40.5% | 36.6% |
LIB | 6,736 | 17.2% | 17.4% |
Reform | 4,980 | 12.7% | 15.7% |
Green | 3,916 | 10.0% | 10.7% |
CON | 3,913 | 10.0% | 10.3% |
Plaid | 3,550 | 9.1% | 9.1% |
OTH | 195 | 0.5% | 0.2% |
LAB Majority | 9,097 | 23.3% | 19.1% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Green |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Anna McMorrin (LAB) |
County/Area: | South Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 71,335 |
Turnout: | 66.5% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 20,849 | 43.9% | 40.0% |
CON | 9,642 | 20.3% | 20.6% |
Reform | 5,985 | 12.6% | 15.4% |
Plaid | 4,669 | 9.8% | 9.8% |
LIB | 3,168 | 6.7% | 6.9% |
Green | 3,160 | 6.7% | 7.3% |
LAB Majority | 11,207 | 23.6% | 19.5% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
|
MP at 2024: | Stephen Doughty (LAB) |
County/Area: | South Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 72,613 |
Turnout: | 54.0% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 17,428 | 44.5% | 40.6% |
Green | 5,661 | 14.5% | 15.1% |
CON | 5,459 | 13.9% | 14.2% |
Reform | 4,493 | 11.5% | 14.3% |
Plaid | 3,227 | 8.2% | 8.2% |
LIB | 2,908 | 7.4% | 7.6% |
LAB Majority | 11,767 | 30.0% | 25.5% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
|
MP at 2024: | Alex Barros-Curtis (LAB) |
County/Area: | South Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 75,473 |
Turnout: | 59.3% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,442 | 36.7% | 32.8% |
Plaid | 9,423 | 21.1% | 21.1% |
CON | 6,835 | 15.3% | 15.6% |
Reform | 5,626 | 12.6% | 16.6% |
Green | 3,157 | 7.1% | 8.0% |
LIB | 1,921 | 4.3% | 4.6% |
OTH | 1,353 | 3.0% | 1.4% |
LAB Majority | 7,019 | 15.7% | 11.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Ben Lake (Plaid) |
County/Area: | Dyfed (Wales) |
Electorate: | 75,690 |
Turnout: | 61.2% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
Plaid | 21,738 | 46.9% | 46.9% |
LIB | 6,949 | 15.0% | 15.2% |
LAB | 5,386 | 11.6% | 7.7% |
Reform | 5,374 | 11.6% | 14.4% |
CON | 4,763 | 10.3% | 10.5% |
Green | 1,864 | 4.0% | 4.7% |
MIN | 228 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Plaid Majority | 14,789 | 31.9% | 31.7% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
MIN |
|
MP at 2024: | Becky Gittins (LAB) |
County/Area: | Clwyd (Wales) |
Electorate: | 76,637 |
Turnout: | 62.4% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 18,484 | 38.7% | 34.7% |
CON | 13,862 | 29.0% | 29.3% |
Reform | 7,626 | 15.9% | 19.3% |
Plaid | 3,733 | 7.8% | 7.8% |
LIB | 1,859 | 3.9% | 4.1% |
Green | 1,659 | 3.5% | 4.2% |
OTH | 599 | 1.3% | 0.6% |
LAB Majority | 4,622 | 9.7% | 5.5% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Gill German (LAB) |
County/Area: | Clwyd (Wales) |
Electorate: | 75,027 |
Turnout: | 55.5% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 14,794 | 35.5% | 31.6% |
CON | 13,598 | 32.7% | 32.9% |
Reform | 7,000 | 16.8% | 19.6% |
Plaid | 3,159 | 7.6% | 7.6% |
LIB | 1,685 | 4.0% | 4.3% |
Green | 1,391 | 3.3% | 4.0% |
LAB Majority | 1,196 | 2.9% | 1.3% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
|
MP at 2024: | Liz Saville Roberts (Plaid) |
County/Area: | Gwynedd (Wales) |
Electorate: | 73,042 |
Turnout: | 55.3% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
Plaid | 21,788 | 53.9% | 53.9% |
LAB | 5,912 | 14.6% | 10.7% |
Reform | 4,857 | 12.0% | 15.1% |
CON | 4,712 | 11.7% | 11.9% |
Green | 1,448 | 3.6% | 4.3% |
LIB | 1,381 | 3.4% | 3.6% |
OTH | 297 | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Plaid Majority | 15,876 | 39.3% | 38.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
Plaid |
| ||
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Tonia Antoniazzi (LAB) |
County/Area: | West Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 76,123 |
Turnout: | 62.0% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 20,480 | 43.4% | 39.5% |
CON | 8,913 | 18.9% | 19.1% |
Reform | 8,530 | 18.1% | 21.1% |
Plaid | 3,942 | 8.3% | 8.3% |
LIB | 2,593 | 5.5% | 5.7% |
Green | 2,488 | 5.3% | 6.0% |
OTH | 283 | 0.6% | 0.3% |
LAB Majority | 11,567 | 24.5% | 18.4% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Nia Griffith (LAB) |
County/Area: | Dyfed (Wales) |
Electorate: | 71,536 |
Turnout: | 57.0% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 12,751 | 31.3% | 27.4% |
Reform | 11,247 | 27.6% | 31.0% |
Plaid | 9,511 | 23.3% | 23.3% |
CON | 4,275 | 10.5% | 10.8% |
LIB | 1,254 | 3.1% | 3.3% |
Green | 1,106 | 2.7% | 3.5% |
OTH | 600 | 1.5% | 0.7% |
LAB Majority | 1,504 | 3.7% | 3.6% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Gerald Jones (LAB) |
County/Area: | Mid Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 74,460 |
Turnout: | 47.3% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 15,791 | 44.8% | 40.9% |
Reform | 8,344 | 23.7% | 27.2% |
Plaid | 4,768 | 13.5% | 13.5% |
CON | 2,687 | 7.6% | 7.9% |
LIB | 1,276 | 3.6% | 3.9% |
Green | 1,231 | 3.5% | 4.3% |
OTH | 587 | 1.7% | 0.7% |
MIN | 531 | 1.5% | 1.5% |
LAB Majority | 7,447 | 21.1% | 13.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
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MIN |
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MP at 2024: | Catherine Fookes (LAB) |
County/Area: | Gwent (Wales) |
Electorate: | 74,823 |
Turnout: | 68.0% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 21,010 | 41.3% | 37.4% |
CON | 17,672 | 34.8% | 35.1% |
Reform | 5,438 | 10.7% | 14.1% |
Green | 2,357 | 4.6% | 5.4% |
LIB | 2,279 | 4.5% | 4.7% |
Plaid | 1,273 | 2.5% | 2.5% |
OTH | 815 | 1.6% | 0.7% |
LAB Majority | 3,338 | 6.6% | 2.4% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
OTH |
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MP at 2024: | Steve Witherden (LAB) |
County/Area: | Powys (Wales) |
Electorate: | 74,039 |
Turnout: | 58.4% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 12,709 | 29.4% | 25.5% |
Reform | 8,894 | 20.6% | 23.4% |
CON | 7,775 | 18.0% | 18.2% |
LIB | 6,470 | 15.0% | 15.2% |
Plaid | 5,667 | 13.1% | 13.1% |
Green | 1,744 | 4.0% | 4.7% |
LAB Majority | 3,815 | 8.8% | 2.1% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
Green |
|
MP at 2024: | Carolyn Harris (LAB) |
County/Area: | West Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 76,291 |
Turnout: | 52.6% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,797 | 41.8% | 37.9% |
Reform | 10,170 | 25.3% | 28.1% |
Plaid | 5,350 | 13.3% | 13.3% |
CON | 3,765 | 9.4% | 9.6% |
LIB | 2,344 | 5.8% | 6.0% |
Green | 1,711 | 4.3% | 4.9% |
LAB Majority | 6,627 | 16.5% | 9.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
|
MP at 2024: | Jessica Morden (LAB) |
County/Area: | Gwent (Wales) |
Electorate: | 76,845 |
Turnout: | 50.1% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,370 | 42.5% | 38.6% |
Reform | 7,361 | 19.1% | 23.9% |
CON | 6,487 | 16.8% | 17.3% |
Plaid | 2,239 | 5.8% | 5.8% |
Green | 2,092 | 5.4% | 6.5% |
LIB | 2,045 | 5.3% | 5.7% |
OTH | 1,937 | 5.0% | 2.2% |
LAB Majority | 9,009 | 23.4% | 14.7% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Ruth Jones (LAB) |
County/Area: | Gwent (Wales) |
Electorate: | 75,781 |
Turnout: | 55.4% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 17,409 | 41.5% | 37.6% |
Reform | 8,541 | 20.4% | 24.7% |
CON | 6,710 | 16.0% | 16.4% |
Plaid | 3,529 | 8.4% | 8.4% |
LIB | 2,087 | 5.0% | 5.3% |
Green | 2,078 | 5.0% | 5.9% |
OTH | 1,597 | 3.8% | 1.7% |
LAB Majority | 8,868 | 21.1% | 12.9% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Henry Tufnell (LAB) |
County/Area: | Dyfed (Wales) |
Electorate: | 79,031 |
Turnout: | 59.0% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,505 | 35.4% | 31.5% |
CON | 14,627 | 31.4% | 31.7% |
Reform | 7,828 | 16.8% | 20.2% |
Plaid | 2,962 | 6.4% | 6.4% |
LIB | 2,372 | 5.1% | 5.3% |
Green | 1,654 | 3.5% | 4.3% |
OTH | 681 | 1.5% | 0.7% |
LAB Majority | 1,878 | 4.0% | 0.2% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Alex Davies-Jones (LAB) |
County/Area: | Mid Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 75,951 |
Turnout: | 51.8% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 16,225 | 41.2% | 37.3% |
Reform | 7,823 | 19.9% | 25.5% |
Plaid | 5,275 | 13.4% | 13.4% |
CON | 3,775 | 9.6% | 10.1% |
OTH | 2,809 | 7.1% | 3.2% |
Green | 1,865 | 4.7% | 6.0% |
LIB | 1,606 | 4.1% | 4.5% |
LAB Majority | 8,402 | 21.3% | 11.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
OTH |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
|
MP at 2024: | Chris Bryant (LAB) |
County/Area: | Mid Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 74,493 |
Turnout: | 48.1% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 17,118 | 47.8% | 43.9% |
Reform | 9,328 | 26.1% | 28.9% |
Plaid | 5,198 | 14.5% | 14.5% |
CON | 2,050 | 5.7% | 6.0% |
Green | 1,177 | 3.3% | 3.9% |
LIB | 935 | 2.6% | 2.8% |
LAB Majority | 7,790 | 21.8% | 15.0% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
|
MP at 2024: | Torsten Bell (LAB) |
County/Area: | West Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 74,236 |
Turnout: | 48.0% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 14,761 | 41.4% | 37.5% |
Reform | 6,246 | 17.5% | 20.7% |
LIB | 4,367 | 12.2% | 12.5% |
Plaid | 4,105 | 11.5% | 11.5% |
CON | 3,536 | 9.9% | 10.2% |
Green | 2,305 | 6.5% | 7.2% |
OTH | 337 | 0.9% | 0.4% |
LAB Majority | 8,515 | 23.9% | 16.8% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Green |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Nick Thomas-Symonds (LAB) |
County/Area: | Gwent (Wales) |
Electorate: | 71,738 |
Turnout: | 49.8% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 15,176 | 42.5% | 38.6% |
Reform | 7,854 | 22.0% | 25.9% |
CON | 5,737 | 16.1% | 16.4% |
Plaid | 2,571 | 7.2% | 7.2% |
Green | 1,705 | 4.8% | 5.7% |
LIB | 1,644 | 4.6% | 4.9% |
OTH | 1,018 | 2.9% | 1.3% |
LAB Majority | 7,322 | 20.5% | 12.7% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|
MP at 2024: | Kanishka Narayan (LAB) |
County/Area: | South Glamorgan (Wales) |
Electorate: | 74,374 |
Turnout: | 61.6% |
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Predicted Votes |
---|---|---|---|
LAB | 17,740 | 38.7% | 34.8% |
CON | 13,524 | 29.5% | 29.8% |
Reform | 6,973 | 15.2% | 18.8% |
Plaid | 3,245 | 7.1% | 7.1% |
Green | 1,881 | 4.1% | 4.9% |
LIB | 1,612 | 3.5% | 3.8% |
OTH | 851 | 1.9% | 0.8% |
LAB Majority | 4,216 | 9.2% | 5.0% Pred Maj |
Chance of winning | |||
---|---|---|---|
LAB |
| ||
CON |
| ||
Reform |
| ||
Plaid |
| ||
Green |
| ||
LIB |
| ||
OTH |
|