Constituency List: Wales

Aberavon

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Stephen Kinnock (LAB)
County/Area:	West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	50,750
Turnout:	62.3%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,008	53.8%	62.2%
CON	6,518	20.6%	13.1%
Reform	3,108	9.8%	7.4%
Plaid	2,711	8.6%	3.3%
LIB	1,072	3.4%	5.6%
OTH	731	2.3%	3.2%
Green	450	1.4%	5.1%
LAB Majority	10,490	33.2%	49.1% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

Reform

Plaid

LIB

OTH

Green

Aberconwy

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Robin Millar (CON)
County/Area:	Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:	44,699
Turnout:	71.3%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	14,687	46.1%	27.9%
LAB	12,653	39.7%	49.4%
Plaid	2,704	8.5%	4.7%
LIB	1,821	5.7%	6.4%
Reform	0	0.0%	5.4%
Green	0	0.0%	4.6%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.6%
CON Majority	2,034	6.4%	21.5% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

LAB

91%

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Alyn and Deeside

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Mark Tami (LAB)
County/Area:	Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:	62,789
Turnout:	68.5%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,271	42.5%	51.0%
CON	18,058	42.0%	21.9%
Reform	2,678	6.2%	11.3%
LIB	2,548	5.9%	7.6%
Plaid	1,453	3.4%	1.1%
Green	0	0.0%	4.9%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.3%
LAB Majority	213	0.5%	29.1% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

98%

CON

Reform

LIB

Plaid

Green

OTH

Arfon

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:	Hywel Williams (Plaid)
County/Area:	Gwynedd (Wales)
Electorate:	42,215
Turnout:	68.9%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
Plaid	13,134	45.2%	61.1%
LAB	10,353	35.6%	24.8%
CON	4,428	15.2%	10.5%
Reform	1,159	4.0%	0.7%
LIB	0	0.0%	1.2%
Green	0	0.0%	1.3%
OTH	0	0.0%	0.4%
Plaid Majority	2,781	9.6%	36.3% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

Plaid

97%

LAB

CON

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Blaenau Gwent

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Nick Smith (LAB)
County/Area:	Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:	50,739
Turnout:	59.6%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	14,862	49.2%	60.6%
Reform	6,215	20.6%	9.4%
CON	5,749	19.0%	12.3%
Plaid	1,722	5.7%	3.0%
LIB	1,285	4.3%	5.9%
Green	386	1.3%	5.1%
OTH	0	0.0%	3.7%
LAB Majority	8,647	28.6%	48.3% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

Reform

CON

Plaid

LIB

Green

OTH

Brecon and Radnorshire

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Fay Jones (CON)
County/Area:	Powys (Wales)
Electorate:	55,490
Turnout:	74.5%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,958	53.1%	29.8%
LIB	14,827	35.9%	33.6%
LAB	3,944	9.5%	21.2%
OTH	590	1.4%	1.9%
Reform	0	0.0%	10.0%
Green	0	0.0%	3.5%
Plaid	0	0.0%	0.1%
CON Majority	7,131	17.3%	3.9% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

36%

LIB

54%

LAB

11%

OTH

Reform

Green

Plaid

Bridgend

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Jamie Wallis (CON)
County/Area:	Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	63,303
Turnout:	66.7%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	18,193	43.1%	23.4%
LAB	17,036	40.3%	50.5%
LIB	2,368	5.6%	7.7%
Plaid	2,013	4.8%	1.3%
Reform	1,811	4.3%	8.8%
Green	815	1.9%	6.0%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.2%
CON Majority	1,157	2.7%	27.2% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

LAB

97%

LIB

Plaid

Reform

Green

OTH

Caerphilly

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Wayne David (LAB)
County/Area:	Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:	63,166
Turnout:	63.5%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,018	44.9%	53.5%
CON	11,185	27.9%	17.0%
Plaid	6,424	16.0%	13.4%
Reform	4,490	11.2%	5.6%
LIB	0	0.0%	3.9%
Green	0	0.0%	4.5%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.2%
LAB Majority	6,833	17.0%	36.5% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

99%

CON

Plaid

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Cardiff Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Jo Stevens (LAB)
County/Area:	South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	64,037
Turnout:	65.3%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	25,605	61.2%	59.6%
CON	8,426	20.1%	13.1%
LIB	6,298	15.1%	16.3%
Reform	1,006	2.4%	4.9%
OTH	487	1.2%	1.3%
Green	0	0.0%	4.6%
Plaid	0	0.0%	0.2%
LAB Majority	17,179	41.1%	43.3% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

LIB

Reform

OTH

Green

Plaid

Cardiff North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Anna McMorrin (LAB)
County/Area:	South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	68,438
Turnout:	77.0%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	26,064	49.5%	55.3%
CON	19,082	36.2%	21.4%
LIB	3,580	6.8%	8.0%
Plaid	1,606	3.0%	0.6%
Reform	1,311	2.5%	7.0%
Green	820	1.6%	6.2%
OTH	203	0.4%	1.6%
LAB Majority	6,982	13.3%	33.9% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

98%

CON

LIB

Plaid

Reform

Green

OTH

Cardiff South and Penarth

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Stephen Doughty (LAB)
County/Area:	South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	78,837
Turnout:	64.2%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	27,382	54.1%	60.1%
CON	14,645	29.0%	16.5%
LIB	2,985	5.9%	7.9%
Plaid	2,386	4.7%	0.8%
Reform	1,999	4.0%	6.7%
Green	1,182	2.3%	6.4%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.6%
LAB Majority	12,737	25.2%	43.6% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

LIB

Plaid

Reform

Green

OTH

Cardiff West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Kevin Brennan (LAB)
County/Area:	South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	68,508
Turnout:	67.4%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	23,908	51.8%	60.1%
CON	12,922	28.0%	17.7%
Plaid	3,864	8.4%	2.7%
LIB	2,731	5.9%	6.9%
Reform	1,619	3.5%	4.7%
Green	1,133	2.5%	6.5%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.5%
LAB Majority	10,986	23.8%	42.4% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:	Jonathan Edwards (Plaid)
County/Area:	Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:	57,419
Turnout:	71.4%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
Plaid	15,939	38.9%	50.3%
CON	14,130	34.5%	20.8%
LAB	8,622	21.0%	23.5%
Reform	2,311	5.6%	1.2%
LIB	0	0.0%	1.6%
Green	0	0.0%	1.9%
OTH	0	0.0%	0.7%
Plaid Majority	1,809	4.4%	26.8% Pred Maj

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Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Edwards is now an independent MP following a police caution for domestic violence, after which he left the Plaid parliamentary group.

Chance of winning

Plaid

91%

CON

LAB

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Simon Hart (CON)
County/Area:	Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:	59,158
Turnout:	71.2%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	22,183	52.7%	30.0%
LAB	14,438	34.3%	46.7%
Plaid	3,633	8.6%	3.6%
LIB	1,860	4.4%	5.8%
Reform	0	0.0%	7.3%
Green	0	0.0%	4.7%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.8%
CON Majority	7,745	18.4%	16.7% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

12%

LAB

88%

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Ceredigion

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:	Ben Lake (Plaid)
County/Area:	Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:	56,386
Turnout:	71.1%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
Plaid	15,208	37.9%	35.1%
CON	8,879	22.1%	17.9%
LIB	6,975	17.4%	13.5%
LAB	6,317	15.8%	27.5%
Reform	2,063	5.1%	1.6%
Green	663	1.7%	3.2%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.1%
Plaid Majority	6,329	15.8%	7.7% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

Plaid

60%

CON

LIB

LAB

32%

Reform

Green

OTH

Clwyd South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Simon Baynes (CON)
County/Area:	Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:	53,919
Turnout:	67.3%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	16,222	44.7%	23.8%
LAB	14,983	41.3%	51.9%
Plaid	2,137	5.9%	2.9%
LIB	1,496	4.1%	6.0%
Reform	1,468	4.0%	8.6%
Green	0	0.0%	4.6%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.2%
CON Majority	1,239	3.4%	28.1% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

LAB

96%

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Clwyd West

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	David Jones (CON)
County/Area:	Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:	57,714
Turnout:	69.7%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	20,403	50.7%	30.1%
LAB	13,656	34.0%	45.9%
Plaid	3,907	9.7%	5.5%
LIB	2,237	5.6%	6.2%
Reform	0	0.0%	6.3%
Green	0	0.0%	4.3%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.7%
CON Majority	6,747	16.8%	15.7% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

15%

LAB

85%

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Cynon Valley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Beth Winter (LAB)
County/Area:	Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	51,134
Turnout:	59.1%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,533	51.4%	60.9%
CON	6,711	22.2%	14.0%
Reform	3,045	10.1%	5.4%
Plaid	2,562	8.5%	8.3%
OTH	1,436	4.7%	2.8%
LIB	949	3.1%	4.6%
Green	0	0.0%	4.0%
LAB Majority	8,822	29.2%	46.9% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

Reform

Plaid

OTH

LIB

Green

Delyn

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Rob Roberts (CON)
County/Area:	Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:	54,560
Turnout:	70.3%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	16,756	43.7%	23.8%
LAB	15,891	41.4%	50.2%
LIB	2,346	6.1%	7.4%
Reform	1,971	5.1%	10.4%
Plaid	1,406	3.7%	1.2%
Green	0	0.0%	4.8%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.2%
CON Majority	865	2.3%	26.4% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

LAB

95%

LIB

Reform

Plaid

Green

OTH

Dwyfor Meirionnydd

Prediction: Plaid hold

MP at 2019:	Liz Saville Roberts (Plaid)
County/Area:	Gwynedd (Wales)
Electorate:	44,362
Turnout:	67.5%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
Plaid	14,447	48.3%	60.1%
CON	9,707	32.4%	19.1%
LAB	3,998	13.4%	16.5%
Reform	1,776	5.9%	0.8%
LIB	0	0.0%	1.5%
Green	0	0.0%	1.6%
OTH	0	0.0%	0.5%
Plaid Majority	4,740	15.8%	41.1% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

Plaid

98%

CON

LAB

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Gower

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Tonia Antoniazzi (LAB)
County/Area:	West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	61,762
Turnout:	72.0%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	20,208	45.4%	52.8%
CON	18,371	41.3%	23.9%
Plaid	2,288	5.1%	1.4%
LIB	2,236	5.0%	6.9%
Reform	1,379	3.1%	7.9%
Green	0	0.0%	5.2%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.0%
LAB Majority	1,837	4.1%	28.9% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

97%

CON

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Islwyn

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Chris Evans (LAB)
County/Area:	Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:	55,423
Turnout:	62.0%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,356	44.7%	56.0%
CON	9,892	28.8%	16.4%
Reform	4,834	14.1%	8.8%
Plaid	2,286	6.7%	4.5%
LIB	1,313	3.8%	5.9%
Green	669	1.9%	5.7%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.8%
LAB Majority	5,464	15.9%	39.6% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

99%

CON

Reform

Plaid

LIB

Green

OTH

Llanelli

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Nia Griffith (LAB)
County/Area:	Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:	60,518
Turnout:	63.2%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,125	42.2%	48.1%
CON	11,455	30.0%	18.6%
Plaid	7,048	18.4%	22.2%
Reform	3,605	9.4%	3.4%
LIB	0	0.0%	2.9%
Green	0	0.0%	3.3%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.6%
LAB Majority	4,670	12.2%	26.0% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

95%

CON

Plaid

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Gerald Jones (LAB)
County/Area:	Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	56,322
Turnout:	57.3%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,913	52.4%	60.0%
CON	6,307	19.6%	12.6%
Reform	3,604	11.2%	8.6%
Plaid	2,446	7.6%	3.4%
OTH	1,860	5.8%	3.8%
LIB	1,116	3.5%	7.0%
Green	0	0.0%	4.6%
LAB Majority	10,606	32.9%	47.4% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

Reform

Plaid

OTH

LIB

Green

Monmouth

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	David Davies (CON)
County/Area:	Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:	67,098
Turnout:	74.8%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	26,160	52.1%	29.0%
LAB	16,178	32.2%	42.3%
LIB	4,909	9.8%	10.4%
Green	1,353	2.7%	7.2%
Plaid	1,182	2.4%	0.4%
OTH	435	0.9%	1.8%
Reform	0	0.0%	8.9%
CON Majority	9,982	19.9%	13.2% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

18%

LAB

82%

LIB

Green

Plaid

OTH

Reform

Montgomeryshire

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:	Craig Williams (CON)
County/Area:	Powys (Wales)
Electorate:	48,997
Turnout:	69.8%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	20,020	58.5%	32.9%
LIB	7,882	23.0%	23.1%
LAB	5,585	16.3%	28.1%
OTH	727	2.1%	2.0%
Reform	0	0.0%	9.8%
Green	0	0.0%	4.0%
Plaid	0	0.0%	0.2%
CON Majority	12,138	35.5%	4.8% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

CON

57%

LIB

11%

LAB

32%

OTH

Reform

Green

Plaid

Neath

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Christina Rees (LAB)
County/Area:	West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	56,419
Turnout:	65.1%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,920	43.3%	55.0%
CON	10,283	28.0%	17.5%
Plaid	4,495	12.2%	10.2%
Reform	3,184	8.7%	4.9%
LIB	1,485	4.0%	5.1%
Green	728	2.0%	4.9%
OTH	661	1.8%	2.3%
LAB Majority	5,637	15.3%	37.5% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

99%

CON

Plaid

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Newport East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Jessica Morden (LAB)
County/Area:	Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:	58,554
Turnout:	62.0%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,125	44.4%	51.1%
CON	14,133	39.0%	20.3%
Reform	2,454	6.8%	11.3%
LIB	2,121	5.8%	9.0%
Plaid	872	2.4%	0.7%
Green	577	1.6%	5.5%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.1%
LAB Majority	1,992	5.5%	30.7% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

98%

CON

Reform

LIB

Plaid

Green

OTH

Newport West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Ruth Jones (LAB)
County/Area:	Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:	66,657
Turnout:	65.2%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,977	43.7%	52.5%
CON	18,075	41.6%	21.5%
LIB	2,565	5.9%	7.8%
Reform	1,727	4.0%	9.5%
Plaid	1,187	2.7%	0.6%
Green	902	2.1%	6.3%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.9%
LAB Majority	902	2.1%	31.0% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

98%

CON

LIB

Reform

Plaid

Green

OTH

Ogmore

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Chris Elmore (LAB)
County/Area:	Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	57,581
Turnout:	61.5%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,602	49.7%	58.5%
CON	9,797	27.7%	15.8%
Reform	2,991	8.5%	7.3%
Plaid	2,919	8.2%	4.8%
LIB	1,460	4.1%	5.6%
Green	621	1.8%	5.5%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.5%
LAB Majority	7,805	22.1%	42.8% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

Reform

Plaid

LIB

Green

OTH

Pontypridd

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Alex Davies-Jones (LAB)
County/Area:	Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	60,327
Turnout:	64.7%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,381	44.5%	55.4%
CON	11,494	29.4%	18.7%
Plaid	4,990	12.8%	5.5%
Reform	2,917	7.5%	6.6%
OTH	2,278	5.8%	3.1%
LIB	0	0.0%	5.8%
Green	0	0.0%	4.9%
LAB Majority	5,887	15.1%	36.7% Pred Maj

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Chance of winning

LAB

99%

CON

Plaid

Reform

OTH

LIB

Green

Preseli Pembrokeshire

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Stephen Crabb (CON)
County/Area:	Dyfed (Wales)
Electorate:	59,606
Turnout:	71.2%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,381	50.4%	27.9%
LAB	16,319	38.5%	49.5%
Plaid	2,776	6.5%	1.6%
LIB	1,943	4.6%	6.3%
Reform	0	0.0%	7.8%
Green	0	0.0%	4.9%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.1%
CON Majority	5,062	11.9%	21.6% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

CON

LAB

92%

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Rhondda

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Chris Bryant (LAB)
County/Area:	Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	50,262
Turnout:	59.0%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,115	54.4%	62.0%
CON	4,675	15.8%	11.1%
Plaid	4,069	13.7%	13.9%
Reform	3,733	12.6%	3.6%
LIB	612	2.1%	3.2%
Green	438	1.5%	3.9%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.3%
LAB Majority	11,440	38.6%	48.1% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

Plaid

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Swansea East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Carolyn Harris (LAB)
County/Area:	West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	58,450
Turnout:	57.4%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,405	51.8%	60.6%
CON	9,435	28.1%	15.0%
Reform	2,842	8.5%	8.3%
Plaid	1,905	5.7%	2.4%
LIB	1,409	4.2%	6.0%
Green	583	1.7%	5.2%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.6%
LAB Majority	7,970	23.7%	45.6% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

Reform

Plaid

LIB

Green

OTH

Swansea West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Geraint Davies (LAB)
County/Area:	West Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	57,078
Turnout:	62.8%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,493	51.6%	58.3%
CON	10,377	29.0%	16.7%
LIB	2,993	8.4%	10.0%
Plaid	1,984	5.5%	1.2%
Reform	1,983	5.5%	7.1%
Green	0	0.0%	4.9%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.9%
LAB Majority	8,116	22.7%	41.6% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

LAB

100%

CON

LIB

Plaid

Reform

Green

OTH

Torfaen

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:	Nick Thomas-Symonds (LAB)
County/Area:	Gwent (Wales)
Electorate:	62,330
Turnout:	59.6%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,546	41.8%	52.2%
CON	11,804	31.8%	17.0%
Reform	5,742	15.4%	12.3%
LIB	1,831	4.9%	7.5%
Plaid	1,441	3.9%	1.9%
Green	812	2.2%	6.2%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.9%
LAB Majority	3,742	10.1%	35.2% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

LAB

99%

CON

Reform

LIB

Plaid

Green

OTH

Vale of Clwyd

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	James Davies (CON)
County/Area:	Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:	56,649
Turnout:	65.7%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	17,270	46.4%	24.7%
LAB	15,443	41.5%	51.3%
Plaid	1,552	4.2%	1.5%
Reform	1,477	4.0%	9.9%
LIB	1,471	4.0%	5.9%
Green	0	0.0%	4.5%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.2%
CON Majority	1,827	4.9%	26.6% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

CON

LAB

96%

Plaid

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH

Vale of Glamorgan

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Alun Cairns (CON)
County/Area:	South Glamorgan (Wales)
Electorate:	76,508
Turnout:	71.6%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,305	49.8%	25.7%
LAB	23,743	43.3%	51.0%
Green	3,251	5.9%	8.2%
OTH	508	0.9%	1.9%
LIB	0	0.0%	4.9%
Reform	0	0.0%	8.1%
Plaid	0	0.0%	0.2%
CON Majority	3,562	6.5%	25.3% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

CON

LAB

95%

Green

OTH

LIB

Reform

Plaid

Wrexham

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Sarah Atherton (CON)
County/Area:	Clwyd (Wales)
Electorate:	49,737
Turnout:	67.4%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	15,199	45.3%	24.8%
LAB	13,068	39.0%	49.9%
Plaid	2,151	6.4%	1.9%
LIB	1,447	4.3%	7.0%
Reform	1,222	3.6%	9.0%
Green	445	1.3%	5.1%
OTH	0	0.0%	2.2%
CON Majority	2,131	6.4%	25.1% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

CON

LAB

95%

Plaid

LIB

Reform

Green

OTH

Ynys Mon

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:	Virginia Crosbie (CON)
County/Area:	Gwynedd (Wales)
Electorate:	51,925
Turnout:	70.4%

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	12,959	35.5%	23.3%
LAB	10,991	30.1%	36.0%
Plaid	10,418	28.5%	32.0%
Reform	2,184	6.0%	2.3%
LIB	0	0.0%	2.5%
Green	0	0.0%	2.9%
OTH	0	0.0%	1.2%
CON Majority	1,968	5.4%	4.0% Pred Maj

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Chance of winning

CON

11%

LAB

60%

Plaid

30%

Reform

LIB

Green

OTH