Constituency List: England L-Q



Lancashire West
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: Rosie Cooper  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,258
Turnout: 74.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB32,030 58.9% 33.5%
CON20,341 37.4% 15.1%
LIB1,069 2.0% 14.8%
Green680 1.3% 7.6%
OTH269 0.5% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
LAB Majority11,689 21.5%Pred Maj 7.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
CON
6%
LIB
6%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
29%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Lancaster and Fleetwood
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: Cat Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,171
Turnout: 68.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,342 55.1% 31.2%
CON18,681 40.6% 15.9%
LIB1,170 2.5% 15.5%
Green796 1.7% 8.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority6,661 14.5%Pred Maj 5.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
51%
CON
9%
LIB
8%
Green
1%
Brexit
30%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Leeds Central
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Hilary Benn  (LAB)
Electorate: 89,537
Turnout: 53.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB33,453 70.2% 39.9%
CON9,755 20.5% 6.9%
UKIP2,056 4.3% 1.2%
Green1,189 2.5% 9.5%
LIB1,063 2.2% 13.6%
OTH157 0.3% 0.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority23,698 49.7%Pred Maj 13.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
71%
CON
1%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
LIB
4%
OTH
0%
Brexit
24%
ChUK
0%


Leeds East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Richard Burgon  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,950
Turnout: 62.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,428 61.4% 35.4%
CON12,676 30.6% 10.0%
UKIP1,742 4.2% 1.2%
LIB739 1.8% 13.8%
Green434 1.0% 8.4%
OTH422 1.0% 0.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority12,752 30.8%Pred Maj 6.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
CON
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
5%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
34%
ChUK
0%


Leeds North East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Fabian Hamilton  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,112
Turnout: 75.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB33,436 63.1% 41.6%
CON16,445 31.0% 11.2%
LIB1,952 3.7% 15.1%
Green680 1.3% 8.6%
OTH486 0.9% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 20.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority16,991 32.1%Pred Maj 20.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
79%
CON
2%
LIB
4%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
13%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Leeds North West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Alex Sobel  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,152
Turnout: 67.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,416 44.1% 27.2%
LIB16,192 35.0% 30.8%
CON9,097 19.7% 8.3%
Green582 1.3% 8.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 20.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.9%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
LAB Majority4,224 9.1%Pred Maj 3.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
35%
LIB
46%
CON
1%
Green
1%
Brexit
17%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

Leeds West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Rachel Reeves  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,955
Turnout: 62.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,013 64.0% 35.2%
CON11,048 26.2% 8.9%
UKIP1,815 4.3% 1.2%
Green1,023 2.4% 9.1%
LIB905 2.1% 14.3%
OTH425 1.0% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
LAB Majority15,965 37.8%Pred Maj 6.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
59%
CON
1%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
LIB
5%
OTH
0%
Brexit
33%
ChUK
0%


Leicester East
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Keith Vaz  (LAB)
Electorate: 77,788
Turnout: 67.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,116 67.0% 47.1%
CON12,688 24.2% 8.4%
MIN1,753 3.3% 0.0%
LIB1,343 2.6% 12.4%
Green1,070 2.0% 9.2%
OTH454 0.9% 0.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 20.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.8%
LAB Majority22,428 42.8%Pred Maj 26.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
89%
CON
1%
MIN
0%
LIB
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
8%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Leicester South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Jon Ashworth  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,534
Turnout: 66.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB37,157 73.6% 51.5%
CON10,896 21.6% 7.6%
LIB1,287 2.5% 12.2%
Green1,177 2.3% 8.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 17.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LAB Majority26,261 52.0%Pred Maj 33.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
93%
CON
1%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
Brexit
5%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Leicester West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Liz Kendall  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,834
Turnout: 57.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,823 60.8% 34.8%
CON11,763 31.4% 10.1%
UKIP1,406 3.7% 1.2%
LIB792 2.1% 14.3%
Green607 1.6% 9.1%
OTH121 0.3% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
LAB Majority11,060 29.5%Pred Maj 6.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
CON
3%
UKIP
0%
LIB
5%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
33%
ChUK
0%


Leicestershire North West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Andrew Bridgen  (CON)
Electorate: 75,362
Turnout: 71.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,153 58.2% 25.7%
LAB17,867 33.4% 17.0%
LIB3,420 6.4% 16.8%
Green1,101 2.1% 7.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority13,286 24.8%Pred Maj 3.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LAB
13%
LIB
9%
Green
1%
Brexit
47%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Leicestershire South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Alberto Costa  (CON)
Electorate: 78,895
Turnout: 71.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,795 61.4% 27.1%
LAB16,164 28.5% 13.7%
LIB2,403 4.2% 16.0%
UKIP2,235 3.9% 1.3%
Green1,092 1.9% 8.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority18,631 32.9%Pred Maj 3.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
33%
LAB
7%
LIB
9%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
49%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Leigh
County/Area: Western Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Joanne Platt  (LAB)
Electorate: 76,211
Turnout: 61.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,347 56.2% 28.8%
CON16,793 35.8% 12.7%
UKIP2,783 5.9% 1.3%
LIB951 2.0% 15.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.2%
Green0 0.0% 8.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority9,554 20.4%Pred Maj 2.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
41%
CON
5%
UKIP
0%
LIB
8%
Brexit
45%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Lewes
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP at 2017: Maria Caulfield  (CON)
Electorate: 70,947
Turnout: 76.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,820 49.5% 20.4%
LIB21,312 39.3% 45.4%
LAB6,060 11.2% 5.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 19.5%
Green0 0.0% 5.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority5,508 10.2%Pred Maj 25.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
7%
LIB
87%
LAB
0%
Brexit
6%
Green
0%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

Lewisham Deptford
County/Area: Lewisham (London)
MP at 2017: Vicky Foxcroft  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,472
Turnout: 70.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB42,461 77.0% 47.2%
CON7,562 13.7% 5.3%
LIB2,911 5.3% 18.1%
Green1,640 3.0% 9.5%
OTH538 1.0% 0.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 16.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority34,899 63.3%Pred Maj 29.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
88%
CON
0%
LIB
6%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
6%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Lewisham East
County/Area: Lewisham (London)
MP at 2017: Heidi Alexander  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,126
Turnout: 69.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB32,072 67.9% 39.3%
CON10,859 23.0% 8.0%
LIB2,086 4.4% 18.2%
Green803 1.7% 9.4%
UKIP798 1.7% 0.8%
OTH583 1.2% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority21,213 44.9%Pred Maj 17.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Ms Janet Daby (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 14 June 2018 after Heidi Alexander resigned as an MP in May 2018 to be appointed as a Deputy Mayor of London.

Chance of winning
LAB
72%
CON
1%
LIB
11%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
15%
ChUK
0%


Lewisham West and Penge
County/Area: Lewisham (London)
MP at 2017: Ellie Reeves  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,902
Turnout: 73.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,411 66.6% 39.0%
CON12,249 23.0% 7.9%
LIB3,317 6.2% 19.5%
Green1,144 2.2% 9.2%
UKIP700 1.3% 0.7%
OTH375 0.7% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 20.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
LAB Majority23,162 43.5%Pred Maj 18.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
73%
CON
1%
LIB
11%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
14%
ChUK
0%


Leyton and Wanstead
County/Area: Waltham Forest (London)
MP at 2017: John Cryer  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,285
Turnout: 70.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB32,234 69.8% 45.3%
CON9,627 20.8% 7.1%
LIB2,961 6.4% 17.9%
Green1,351 2.9% 9.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 17.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.2%
LAB Majority22,607 49.0%Pred Maj 27.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
84%
CON
1%
LIB
7%
Green
1%
Brexit
7%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Lichfield
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Michael Fabricant  (CON)
Electorate: 74,430
Turnout: 71.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,018 63.6% 29.6%
LAB15,437 28.8% 12.8%
LIB2,653 5.0% 18.6%
Green1,416 2.6% 7.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority18,581 34.7%Pred Maj 2.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
43%
LAB
6%
LIB
13%
Green
1%
Brexit
37%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Lincoln
County/Area: Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Karen Lee  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,111
Turnout: 66.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,333 47.9% 25.5%
CON21,795 44.7% 16.8%
UKIP1,287 2.6% 1.3%
LIB1,284 2.6% 15.3%
Green583 1.2% 8.4%
OTH436 0.9% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority1,538 3.2%Pred Maj 4.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
32%
CON
11%
UKIP
0%
LIB
8%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
47%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Liverpool Riverside
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Louise Ellman  (LAB)
Electorate: 76,332
Turnout: 62.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB40,599 84.5% 52.9%
CON4,652 9.7% 4.6%
Green1,582 3.3% 9.2%
LIB1,187 2.5% 13.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 17.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.3%
LAB Majority35,947 74.9%Pred Maj 35.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
94%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
2%
Brexit
4%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Liverpool Walton
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Dan Carden  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,738
Turnout: 67.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB36,175 85.7% 52.5%
CON3,624 8.6% 4.8%
MIN1,237 2.9% 0.0%
LIB638 1.5% 12.5%
Green523 1.2% 7.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 19.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority32,551 77.1%Pred Maj 32.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
Brexit
6%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Liverpool Wavertree
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Luciana Berger  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,411
Turnout: 69.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB34,717 79.6% 49.7%
CON5,251 12.0% 5.6%
LIB2,858 6.5% 15.3%
Green598 1.4% 8.1%
OTH216 0.5% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 18.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.0%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority29,466 67.5%Pred Maj 31.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Ms Berger announced her resignation from the Labour Party on 18 February 2019, was a member of Change UK until June 2019, and is now an independent MP.

Chance of winning
LAB
91%
CON
0%
LIB
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
6%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Liverpool West Derby
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Stephen Twigg  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,164
Turnout: 69.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB37,371 82.7% 52.3%
CON4,463 9.9% 5.3%
MIN2,150 4.8% 0.0%
LIB545 1.2% 12.5%
Green329 0.7% 7.3%
OTH305 0.7% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 19.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority32,908 72.9%Pred Maj 32.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
6%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Loughborough
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Nicky Morgan  (CON)
Electorate: 79,607
Turnout: 68.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,022 49.9% 20.7%
LAB22,753 42.0% 23.5%
LIB1,937 3.6% 15.7%
UKIP1,465 2.7% 1.1%
Green971 1.8% 9.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority4,269 7.9%Pred Maj 4.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
29%
LIB
10%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
41%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Louth and Horncastle
County/Area: Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Victoria Atkins  (CON)
Electorate: 79,006
Turnout: 66.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,733 63.9% 26.4%
LAB14,092 26.7% 11.5%
UKIP2,460 4.7% 1.5%
LIB1,990 3.8% 15.7%
OTH496 0.9% 0.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 34.3%
Green0 0.0% 8.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
CON Majority19,641 37.2%Pred Maj 7.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
29%
LAB
5%
UKIP
0%
LIB
8%
OTH
0%
Brexit
57%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Ludlow
County/Area: Shropshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Philip Dunne  (CON)
Electorate: 68,034
Turnout: 73.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,433 62.9% 29.1%
LAB12,147 24.3% 10.6%
LIB5,336 10.7% 21.8%
Green1,054 2.1% 7.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority19,286 38.6%Pred Maj 2.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
42%
LAB
5%
LIB
20%
Green
1%
Brexit
32%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Luton North
County/Area: Bedfordshire (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Kelvin Hopkins  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,811
Turnout: 69.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,765 63.8% 40.3%
CON15,401 33.0% 12.5%
LIB808 1.7% 15.2%
Green648 1.4% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 20.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.3%
LAB Majority14,364 30.8%Pred Maj 19.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Hopkins was suspended from the Labour party in November 2017 following allegations of sexual misconduct, but remains an independent member of parliament.

Chance of winning
LAB
79%
CON
3%
LIB
5%
Green
1%
Brexit
12%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Luton South
County/Area: Bedfordshire (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Gavin Shuker  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,188
Turnout: 68.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,804 62.4% 39.4%
CON14,879 32.3% 11.5%
LIB1,056 2.3% 15.5%
UKIP795 1.7% 0.8%
Green439 1.0% 8.5%
OTH160 0.3% 0.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
LAB Majority13,925 30.2%Pred Maj 17.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Shuker announced his resignation from the Labour Party on 18 February 2019, was a member of Change UK until June 2019, and is now an independent MP.

Chance of winning
LAB
76%
CON
2%
LIB
5%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
16%
ChUK
0%


Macclesfield
County/Area: Cheshire (North West)
MP at 2017: David Rutley  (CON)
Electorate: 75,228
Turnout: 72.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,595 52.7% 22.9%
LAB19,987 36.8% 19.8%
LIB3,350 6.2% 17.4%
Green1,213 2.2% 8.5%
OTH1,162 2.1% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.9%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority8,608 15.9%Pred Maj 4.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
24%
LAB
21%
LIB
11%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
43%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

Brexit Gain

Maidenhead
County/Area: Berkshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Theresa May  (CON)
Electorate: 76,276
Turnout: 76.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,718 64.8% 31.2%
LAB11,261 19.3% 8.9%
LIB6,540 11.2% 22.3%
Green907 1.6% 8.3%
UKIP871 1.5% 0.9%
OTH660 1.1% 0.6%
MIN282 0.5% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority26,457 45.4%Pred Maj 6.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
47%
LAB
2%
LIB
21%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%
Brexit
28%
ChUK
0%


Maidstone and The Weald
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2017: Helen Grant  (CON)
Electorate: 75,334
Turnout: 68.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,136 56.4% 24.5%
LAB11,432 22.1% 9.2%
LIB8,455 16.4% 24.7%
UKIP1,613 3.1% 1.1%
Green888 1.7% 8.5%
OTH172 0.3% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority17,704 34.2%Pred Maj 3.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
27%
LAB
2%
LIB
27%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
41%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Makerfield
County/Area: Western Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Yvonne Fovargue  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,259
Turnout: 63.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,245 60.2% 35.1%
CON14,703 31.3% 13.1%
MIN2,663 5.7% 0.0%
LIB1,322 2.8% 15.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.8%
Green0 0.0% 7.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority13,542 28.9%Pred Maj 9.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
61%
CON
5%
MIN
0%
LIB
7%
Brexit
26%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Maldon
County/Area: Essex (Anglia)
MP at 2017: John Whittingdale  (CON)
Electorate: 66,960
Turnout: 75.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,111 67.9% 31.4%
LAB10,681 21.3% 9.1%
LIB2,181 4.3% 17.3%
UKIP1,899 3.8% 1.2%
Green1,073 2.1% 8.1%
OTH257 0.5% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
CON Majority23,430 46.7%Pred Maj 1.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
46%
LAB
2%
LIB
11%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%


Manchester Central
County/Area: Central Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Lucy Powell  (LAB)
Electorate: 90,261
Turnout: 55.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB38,490 77.4% 47.2%
CON7,045 14.2% 5.5%
LIB1,678 3.4% 13.5%
UKIP1,469 3.0% 0.8%
Green846 1.7% 9.5%
OTH192 0.4% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
LAB Majority31,445 63.2%Pred Maj 26.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
87%
CON
0%
LIB
2%
UKIP
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
10%
ChUK
0%


Manchester Gorton
County/Area: Central Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Mohammed Khan  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,362
Turnout: 61.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,085 76.3% 54.8%
CON3,355 7.3% 3.7%
MIN2,615 5.7% 0.0%
LIB2,597 5.7% 12.8%
Green1,038 2.3% 9.3%
UKIP952 2.1% 0.6%
OTH311 0.7% 0.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 16.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority31,730 69.0%Pred Maj 38.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
96%
CON
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
3%
ChUK
0%


Manchester Withington
County/Area: Central Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Jeff Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,553
Turnout: 71.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB38,424 71.7% 48.3%
LIB8,549 15.9% 20.1%
CON5,530 10.3% 4.9%
Green865 1.6% 8.9%
OTH234 0.4% 0.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 14.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority29,875 55.7%Pred Maj 28.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
89%
LIB
7%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
4%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Mansfield
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Ben Bradley  (CON)
Electorate: 77,811
Turnout: 64.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,392 46.6% 17.7%
LAB22,335 44.5% 22.2%
UKIP2,654 5.3% 1.5%
MIN1,079 2.2% 0.0%
LIB697 1.4% 14.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 33.6%
Green0 0.0% 8.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority1,057 2.1%Pred Maj 11.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
11%
LAB
21%
UKIP
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
7%
Brexit
60%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Meon Valley
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: George Hollingbery  (CON)
Electorate: 74,246
Turnout: 73.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,624 65.7% 30.5%
LAB9,932 18.3% 8.0%
LIB5,900 10.9% 21.4%
UKIP1,435 2.6% 1.1%
Green1,301 2.4% 8.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority25,692 47.4%Pred Maj 3.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
46%
LAB
1%
LIB
18%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
33%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Meriden
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Caroline Spelman  (CON)
Electorate: 81,437
Turnout: 67.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,873 62.0% 26.5%
LAB14,675 26.9% 11.6%
LIB2,663 4.9% 18.6%
UKIP2,016 3.7% 1.2%
Green1,416 2.6% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority19,198 35.1%Pred Maj 3.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
6%
LIB
14%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Middlesbrough
County/Area: Teesside (North East)
MP at 2017: Andy McDonald  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,114
Turnout: 58.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,404 65.7% 37.6%
CON9,531 26.7% 9.2%
UKIP1,452 4.1% 1.2%
MIN632 1.8% 0.0%
LIB368 1.0% 13.4%
Green250 0.7% 8.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority13,873 38.9%Pred Maj 9.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
64%
CON
1%
UKIP
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
4%
Green
1%
Brexit
30%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
County/Area: Teesside (North East)
MP at 2017: Simon Clarke  (CON)
Electorate: 72,336
Turnout: 65.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,643 49.6% 20.5%
LAB22,623 47.5% 25.8%
LIB1,354 2.8% 15.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.0%
Green0 0.0% 7.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority1,020 2.1%Pred Maj 2.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
16%
LAB
35%
LIB
8%
Brexit
40%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Milton Keynes North
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Mark Lancaster  (CON)
Electorate: 89,272
Turnout: 71.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,307 47.5% 19.9%
LAB28,392 44.5% 23.1%
LIB2,499 3.9% 18.5%
UKIP1,390 2.2% 1.0%
Green1,107 1.7% 8.8%
OTH169 0.3% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
CON Majority1,915 3.0%Pred Maj 2.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
20%
LAB
26%
LIB
16%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
36%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Milton Keynes South
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Iain Stewart  (CON)
Electorate: 92,494
Turnout: 69.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,652 47.5% 19.5%
LAB28,927 44.9% 22.9%
LIB1,895 2.9% 17.8%
UKIP1,833 2.8% 1.0%
Green1,179 1.8% 8.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority1,725 2.7%Pred Maj 3.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
25%
LIB
16%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
39%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Mitcham and Morden
County/Area: Merton (London)
MP at 2017: Siobhain McDonagh  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,705
Turnout: 70.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB33,039 68.7% 40.4%
CON11,664 24.2% 8.3%
LIB1,494 3.1% 16.9%
UKIP1,054 2.2% 0.8%
Green644 1.3% 9.1%
OTH223 0.5% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority21,375 44.4%Pred Maj 18.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
CON
1%
LIB
8%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
14%
ChUK
0%


Mole Valley
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
MP at 2017: Paul Beresford  (CON)
Electorate: 74,545
Turnout: 76.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,092 61.9% 29.1%
LIB10,955 19.3% 26.1%
LAB7,864 13.9% 6.8%
Green1,463 2.6% 8.0%
UKIP1,352 2.4% 1.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority24,137 42.6%Pred Maj 3.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
40%
LIB
30%
LAB
1%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
28%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Morecambe and Lunesdale
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: David Morris  (CON)
Electorate: 66,838
Turnout: 68.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,773 47.7% 19.5%
LAB20,374 44.6% 23.5%
LIB1,699 3.7% 16.0%
UKIP1,333 2.9% 1.2%
Green478 1.0% 8.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority1,399 3.1%Pred Maj 5.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
15%
LAB
30%
LIB
10%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
42%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Morley and Outwood
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Andrea Jenkyns  (CON)
Electorate: 76,495
Turnout: 68.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,550 50.7% 22.0%
LAB24,446 46.7% 26.0%
LIB1,361 2.6% 15.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.4%
Green0 0.0% 7.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority2,104 4.0%Pred Maj 0.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
20%
LAB
35%
LIB
9%
Brexit
34%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

New Forest East
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Julian Lewis  (CON)
Electorate: 72,602
Turnout: 70.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,162 62.6% 28.7%
LAB10,167 19.8% 8.5%
LIB7,786 15.2% 23.7%
Green1,251 2.4% 7.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority21,995 42.8%Pred Maj 1.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
39%
LAB
2%
LIB
23%
Green
1%
Brexit
36%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


New Forest West
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Desmond Swayne  (CON)
Electorate: 68,787
Turnout: 72.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,170 66.8% 31.0%
LAB9,739 19.6% 8.3%
LIB4,781 9.6% 20.8%
Green1,454 2.9% 7.7%
OTH483 1.0% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority23,431 47.2%Pred Maj 3.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
47%
LAB
2%
LIB
16%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
35%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Newark
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Robert Jenrick  (CON)
Electorate: 75,526
Turnout: 72.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,493 62.7% 28.3%
LAB16,344 29.7% 14.8%
LIB2,786 5.1% 16.3%
UKIP1,419 2.6% 1.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.5%
Green0 0.0% 7.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority18,149 33.0%Pred Maj 1.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
38%
LAB
9%
LIB
8%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
44%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Newbury
County/Area: Berkshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Richard Benyon  (CON)
Electorate: 82,923
Turnout: 73.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,399 61.5% 28.4%
LIB13,019 21.4% 27.5%
LAB8,596 14.1% 7.0%
Green1,531 2.5% 7.4%
OTH304 0.5% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.9%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
CON Majority24,380 40.1%Pred Maj 0.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
36%
LIB
34%
LAB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
28%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Newcastle upon Tyne Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North East)
MP at 2017: Chi Onwurah  (LAB)
Electorate: 55,571
Turnout: 66.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,071 64.9% 39.9%
CON9,134 24.6% 8.4%
LIB1,812 4.9% 14.5%
UKIP1,482 4.0% 1.1%
Green595 1.6% 8.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
LAB Majority14,937 40.3%Pred Maj 14.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
73%
CON
1%
LIB
4%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
21%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Newcastle upon Tyne East
County/Area: Newcastle area (North East)
MP at 2017: Nicholas Brown  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,333
Turnout: 66.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,127 67.6% 39.1%
CON8,866 21.3% 7.8%
LIB2,574 6.2% 15.8%
UKIP1,315 3.2% 1.0%
Green755 1.8% 9.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority19,261 46.3%Pred Maj 14.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
71%
CON
1%
LIB
5%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
23%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Newcastle upon Tyne North
County/Area: Newcastle area (North East)
MP at 2017: Catherine McKinnell  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,312
Turnout: 72.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,729 55.4% 31.0%
CON16,380 33.9% 12.2%
LIB2,533 5.2% 16.3%
UKIP1,780 3.7% 1.2%
Green513 1.1% 8.6%
OTH353 0.7% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
LAB Majority10,349 21.4%Pred Maj 2.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
48%
CON
4%
LIB
8%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
39%
ChUK
0%


Newcastle-under-Lyme
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Paul Farrelly  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,540
Turnout: 66.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,124 48.2% 24.6%
CON21,094 48.1% 20.5%
LIB1,624 3.7% 18.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.5%
Green0 0.0% 7.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority30 0.1%Pred Maj 0.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
30%
CON
19%
LIB
15%
Brexit
35%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Newton Abbot
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP at 2017: Anne Marie Morris  (CON)
Electorate: 71,722
Turnout: 72.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,635 55.5% 25.1%
LAB11,475 22.2% 8.9%
LIB10,601 20.5% 27.3%
Green926 1.8% 7.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority17,160 33.2%Pred Maj 0.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
29%
LAB
3%
LIB
36%
Green
1%
Brexit
32%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

Norfolk Mid
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: George Freeman  (CON)
Electorate: 80,026
Turnout: 69.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,828 59.0% 25.6%
LAB16,742 30.1% 12.6%
LIB2,848 5.1% 18.7%
UKIP2,092 3.8% 1.2%
Green1,158 2.1% 8.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority16,086 28.9%Pred Maj 4.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
31%
LAB
5%
LIB
14%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
48%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Norfolk North
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Norman Lamb  (LIB)
Electorate: 69,263
Turnout: 75.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LIB25,260 48.4% 48.2%
CON21,748 41.7% 16.4%
LAB5,180 9.9% 5.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.1%
Green0 0.0% 5.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LIB Majority3,512 6.7%Pred Maj 27.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LIB
92%
CON
3%
LAB
0%
Brexit
5%
Green
0%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Norfolk North West
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Henry Bellingham  (CON)
Electorate: 72,062
Turnout: 67.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,408 60.2% 25.7%
LAB15,620 32.0% 13.6%
UKIP1,539 3.2% 1.3%
LIB1,393 2.9% 17.4%
Green851 1.7% 8.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority13,788 28.2%Pred Maj 5.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LAB
6%
UKIP
0%
LIB
13%
Green
1%
Brexit
50%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Norfolk South
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Richard Bacon  (CON)
Electorate: 83,056
Turnout: 73.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,580 58.2% 27.0%
LAB18,902 30.9% 14.3%
LIB5,074 8.3% 20.8%
Green1,555 2.5% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority16,678 27.3%Pred Maj 1.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
8%
LIB
19%
Green
1%
Brexit
34%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Norfolk South West
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Elizabeth Truss  (CON)
Electorate: 77,874
Turnout: 67.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,894 62.8% 26.9%
LAB14,582 27.8% 11.1%
UKIP2,575 4.9% 1.3%
LIB2,365 4.5% 18.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.4%
Green0 0.0% 8.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority18,312 34.9%Pred Maj 4.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
4%
UKIP
0%
LIB
12%
Brexit
49%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Yvette Cooper  (LAB)
Electorate: 81,641
Turnout: 60.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,268 59.5% 30.8%
CON14,769 30.0% 10.5%
UKIP3,030 6.2% 1.4%
MIN1,431 2.9% 0.0%
LIB693 1.4% 14.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 32.3%
Green0 0.0% 8.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
LAB Majority14,499 29.5%Pred Maj 1.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
43%
CON
3%
UKIP
0%
MIN
0%
LIB
6%
Brexit
46%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Northampton North
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Michael Ellis  (CON)
Electorate: 58,183
Turnout: 69.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,065 47.2% 18.7%
LAB18,258 45.2% 24.4%
UKIP1,404 3.5% 1.3%
LIB1,015 2.5% 14.9%
Green636 1.6% 8.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority807 2.0%Pred Maj 5.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
14%
LAB
28%
UKIP
0%
LIB
8%
Green
1%
Brexit
49%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Northampton South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Andrew Lewer  (CON)
Electorate: 60,993
Turnout: 67.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,231 46.9% 17.7%
LAB18,072 44.0% 24.0%
UKIP1,630 4.0% 1.3%
LIB1,405 3.4% 15.4%
Green696 1.7% 8.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority1,159 2.8%Pred Maj 6.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
13%
LAB
28%
UKIP
0%
LIB
8%
Green
1%
Brexit
50%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Northamptonshire South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Andrea Leadsom  (CON)
Electorate: 85,756
Turnout: 75.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON40,599 62.5% 29.1%
LAB17,759 27.3% 13.5%
LIB3,623 5.6% 16.6%
UKIP1,363 2.1% 1.2%
Green1,357 2.1% 8.0%
OTH297 0.5% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority22,840 35.1%Pred Maj 0.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
40%
LAB
7%
LIB
9%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
42%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Norwich North
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Chloe Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 66,924
Turnout: 68.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,900 47.7% 19.7%
LAB21,393 46.6% 23.7%
LIB1,480 3.2% 17.9%
Green782 1.7% 8.0%
OTH340 0.7% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
CON Majority507 1.1%Pred Maj 2.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
18%
LAB
27%
LIB
14%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
39%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

Brexit Gain

Norwich South
County/Area: Norfolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Clive Lewis  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,182
Turnout: 69.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB31,311 61.0% 34.1%
CON15,715 30.6% 11.0%
LIB2,841 5.5% 19.5%
Green1,492 2.9% 9.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 22.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority15,596 30.4%Pred Maj 11.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
60%
CON
4%
LIB
15%
Green
1%
Brexit
21%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Nottingham East
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Chris Leslie  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,762
Turnout: 63.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,102 71.5% 45.1%
CON8,512 21.6% 7.9%
LIB1,003 2.6% 13.4%
UKIP817 2.1% 0.8%
Green698 1.8% 9.1%
OTH195 0.5% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority19,590 49.8%Pred Maj 23.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Leslie announced his resignation from the Labour Party on 18 February 2019, and is now a member of Change UK.

Chance of winning
LAB
84%
CON
1%
LIB
3%
UKIP
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
12%
ChUK
0%


Nottingham North
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Alex Norris  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,894
Turnout: 57.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,067 60.2% 31.9%
CON11,907 31.1% 10.0%
UKIP2,133 5.6% 1.4%
LIB674 1.8% 14.2%
Green538 1.4% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority11,160 29.1%Pred Maj 0.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
46%
CON
3%
UKIP
0%
LIB
5%
Green
1%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Nottingham South
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Lilian Greenwood  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,178
Turnout: 67.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,013 62.4% 38.1%
CON14,851 30.9% 10.8%
LIB1,564 3.2% 14.7%
UKIP1,103 2.3% 0.9%
Green598 1.2% 9.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 24.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
LAB Majority15,162 31.5%Pred Maj 14.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
71%
CON
3%
LIB
5%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
20%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Nuneaton
County/Area: Warwickshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Marcus Jones  (CON)
Electorate: 69,201
Turnout: 66.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,755 51.6% 21.3%
LAB19,016 41.3% 19.7%
UKIP1,619 3.5% 1.2%
LIB914 2.0% 16.9%
Green763 1.7% 8.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority4,739 10.3%Pred Maj 8.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
20%
LAB
18%
UKIP
0%
LIB
12%
Green
2%
Brexit
47%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Old Bexley and Sidcup
County/Area: Bexley (London)
MP at 2017: James Brokenshire  (CON)
Electorate: 66,005
Turnout: 72.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,545 61.5% 26.3%
LAB14,079 29.3% 12.5%
UKIP1,619 3.4% 1.2%
LIB1,572 3.3% 18.0%
Green820 1.7% 8.7%
OTH407 0.8% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
CON Majority15,466 32.2%Pred Maj 4.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LAB
9%
UKIP
0%
LIB
14%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Oldham East and Saddleworth
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Debbie Abrahams  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,223
Turnout: 65.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,629 54.5% 32.6%
CON17,447 37.1% 13.2%
UKIP2,278 4.8% 1.1%
LIB1,683 3.6% 15.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.6%
Green0 0.0% 8.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
LAB Majority8,182 17.4%Pred Maj 4.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
54%
CON
5%
UKIP
0%
LIB
7%
Brexit
33%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Oldham West and Royton
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Jim McMahon  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,418
Turnout: 63.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,846 65.2% 41.7%
CON12,648 27.6% 9.3%
UKIP1,899 4.1% 1.0%
LIB956 2.1% 13.0%
Green439 1.0% 8.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.3%
LAB Majority17,198 37.6%Pred Maj 16.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
CON
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
3%
Green
1%
Brexit
18%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Orpington
County/Area: Bromley (London)
MP at 2017: Jo Johnson  (CON)
Electorate: 67,906
Turnout: 74.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,762 62.9% 27.2%
LAB12,301 24.4% 10.4%
LIB3,315 6.6% 19.8%
UKIP2,023 4.0% 1.2%
Green1,060 2.1% 8.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority19,461 38.6%Pred Maj 2.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
33%
LAB
6%
LIB
17%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
42%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Oxford East
County/Area: Oxfordshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Anneliese Dodds  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,360
Turnout: 68.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,118 65.2% 37.0%
CON11,834 22.0% 8.6%
LIB4,904 9.1% 21.0%
Green1,785 3.3% 9.8%
OTH255 0.5% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 19.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority23,284 43.2%Pred Maj 16.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
70%
CON
2%
LIB
14%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
13%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Oxford West and Abingdon
County/Area: Oxfordshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Layla Moran  (LIB)
Electorate: 79,289
Turnout: 75.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LIB26,256 43.7% 49.2%
CON25,440 42.4% 16.3%
LAB7,573 12.6% 5.9%
UKIP751 1.3% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 18.6%
Green0 0.0% 6.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
LIB Majority816 1.4%Pred Maj 30.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LIB
95%
CON
2%
LAB
0%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
3%
Green
0%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Pendle
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: Andrew Stephenson  (CON)
Electorate: 64,963
Turnout: 69.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,986 49.0% 20.3%
LAB20,707 46.2% 29.2%
LIB941 2.1% 14.2%
MIN718 1.6% 0.0%
Green502 1.1% 7.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
CON Majority1,279 2.9%Pred Maj 3.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
17%
LAB
44%
LIB
7%
MIN
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
31%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LAB Gain

Penistone and Stocksbridge
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Angela Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,293
Turnout: 69.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,807 45.8% 23.1%
CON21,485 43.2% 16.9%
UKIP3,453 6.9% 1.4%
LIB2,042 4.1% 15.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.8%
Green0 0.0% 8.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority1,322 2.7%Pred Maj 8.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Ms Smith announced her resignation from the Labour Party on 18 February 2019, was a member of Change UK until June 2019, and is now an independent MP.

Chance of winning
LAB
24%
CON
10%
UKIP
0%
LIB
10%
Brexit
54%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Penrith and The Border
County/Area: Cumbria (North West)
MP at 2017: Rory Stewart  (CON)
Electorate: 65,139
Turnout: 71.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,078 60.4% 26.3%
LAB12,168 26.2% 12.3%
LIB3,641 7.8% 18.1%
UKIP1,142 2.5% 1.3%
Green1,029 2.2% 8.4%
OTH412 0.9% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
CON Majority15,910 34.2%Pred Maj 4.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LAB
8%
LIB
12%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
49%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Peterborough
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Fiona Onasanya  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,522
Turnout: 66.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,950 48.1% 27.3%
CON22,343 46.8% 18.8%
LIB1,597 3.3% 16.9%
Green848 1.8% 7.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority607 1.3%Pred Maj 1.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Ms Onasanya was expelled from the Labour Party in January 2019 after her conviction for perverting the course of justice, and was recalled by a constituency petition. Ms Lisa Forbes (LAB) won the seat in a by-election on 6 June 2019.

Chance of winning
LAB
36%
CON
17%
LIB
12%
Green
1%
Brexit
34%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Plymouth Moor View
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP at 2017: Johnny Mercer  (CON)
Electorate: 69,342
Turnout: 65.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,567 51.9% 20.2%
LAB18,548 40.8% 17.6%
UKIP1,849 4.1% 1.3%
LIB917 2.0% 17.3%
Green536 1.2% 8.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 32.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority5,019 11.1%Pred Maj 12.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
18%
LAB
11%
UKIP
0%
LIB
14%
Green
1%
Brexit
56%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP at 2017: Luke Pollard  (LAB)
Electorate: 76,584
Turnout: 66.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,283 53.3% 26.0%
CON20,476 40.0% 14.6%
UKIP1,364 2.7% 1.0%
LIB1,244 2.4% 18.4%
Green604 1.2% 9.5%
OTH237 0.5% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority6,807 13.3%Pred Maj 1.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
31%
CON
9%
UKIP
0%
LIB
17%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Poole
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP at 2017: Robert Syms  (CON)
Electorate: 73,811
Turnout: 67.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,888 57.9% 25.1%
LAB14,679 29.4% 12.0%
LIB4,433 8.9% 21.4%
Green1,299 2.6% 8.4%
OTH551 1.1% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority14,209 28.5%Pred Maj 3.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
29%
LAB
5%
LIB
23%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
42%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

Brexit Gain

Poplar and Limehouse
County/Area: Tower Hamlets (London)
MP at 2017: Jim Fitzpatrick  (LAB)
Electorate: 87,274
Turnout: 67.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB39,558 67.3% 47.9%
CON11,846 20.1% 6.2%
LIB3,959 6.7% 16.9%
MIN1,477 2.5% 0.0%
Green989 1.7% 8.8%
UKIP849 1.4% 0.5%
OTH136 0.2% 0.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 17.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority27,712 47.1%Pred Maj 30.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
88%
CON
0%
LIB
5%
MIN
0%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
6%
ChUK
0%


Portsmouth North
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Penny Mordaunt  (CON)
Electorate: 71,374
Turnout: 66.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,860 54.8% 22.3%
LAB15,895 33.7% 14.3%
LIB2,608 5.5% 19.1%
UKIP1,926 4.1% 1.3%
Green791 1.7% 8.7%
OTH130 0.3% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
CON Majority9,965 21.1%Pred Maj 9.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
23%
LAB
8%
LIB
16%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
52%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Portsmouth South
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Stephen Morgan  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,785
Turnout: 63.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,290 41.0% 20.3%
CON16,736 37.6% 13.2%
LIB7,699 17.3% 25.9%
UKIP1,129 2.5% 1.0%
Green712 1.6% 9.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority1,554 3.5%Pred Maj 0.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
18%
CON
8%
LIB
35%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
37%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Preston
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: Mark Hendrick  (LAB)
Electorate: 57,791
Turnout: 61.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,210 68.0% 41.0%
CON8,487 23.8% 8.2%
UKIP1,348 3.8% 1.0%
LIB1,204 3.4% 13.9%
Green348 1.0% 8.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
LAB Majority15,723 44.2%Pred Maj 15.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
74%
CON
1%
UKIP
0%
LIB
4%
Green
1%
Brexit
20%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Pudsey
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Stuart Andrew  (CON)
Electorate: 72,622
Turnout: 74.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,550 47.4% 21.5%
LAB25,219 46.7% 28.2%
LIB1,761 3.3% 15.6%
MIN1,138 2.1% 0.0%
OTH291 0.5% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 24.0%
Green0 0.0% 7.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority331 0.6%Pred Maj 4.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
43%
LIB
10%
MIN
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
28%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

LAB Gain

Putney
County/Area: Wandsworth (London)
MP at 2017: Justine Greening  (CON)
Electorate: 65,026
Turnout: 72.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,679 44.1% 17.0%
LAB19,125 40.8% 23.7%
LIB5,448 11.6% 24.3%
Green1,107 2.4% 9.6%
UKIP477 1.0% 0.7%
OTH58 0.1% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority1,554 3.3%Pred Maj 0.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
12%
LAB
32%
LIB
30%
Green
3%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
23%
ChUK
0%

LIB Gain