Constituency List: England L-Q



Lancashire West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rosie Cooper  (LAB)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:73,347
Turnout: 71.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,458 52.1% 55.2%
CON19,122 36.3% 25.4%
LIB2,560 4.9% 5.9%
Reform2,275 4.3% 3.8%
Green1,248 2.4% 6.0%
OTH0 0.0% 3.7%
LAB Majority8,336 15.8% 29.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
96%
CON
4%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Lancaster and Fleetwood

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Cat Smith  (LAB)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:70,059
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,184 46.8% 52.1%
CON18,804 41.6% 27.3%
LIB2,018 4.5% 6.1%
Reform1,817 4.0% 3.6%
Green1,396 3.1% 7.2%
OTH0 0.0% 3.6%
LAB Majority2,380 5.3% 24.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
95%
CON
5%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Leeds Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Hilary Benn  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:90,971
Turnout: 54.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,413 61.7% 64.2%
CON11,143 22.6% 13.9%
Reform2,999 6.1% 2.9%
LIB2,343 4.8% 6.2%
Green2,105 4.3% 9.2%
OTH281 0.6% 3.6%
LAB Majority19,270 39.1% 50.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Leeds East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Richard Burgon  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:67,286
Turnout: 58.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,464 49.8% 54.5%
CON13,933 35.7% 24.8%
Reform2,981 7.6% 4.6%
LIB1,796 4.6% 5.7%
Green878 2.2% 6.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.9%
LAB Majority5,531 14.2% 29.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Leeds North East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Fabian Hamilton  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:70,580
Turnout: 71.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,024 57.5% 61.9%
CON11,935 23.6% 15.1%
LIB5,665 11.2% 9.1%
Green1,931 3.8% 8.5%
Reform1,769 3.5% 2.0%
OTH176 0.3% 3.3%
LAB Majority17,089 33.8% 46.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Leeds North West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Alex Sobel  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:67,741
Turnout: 72.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,971 48.6% 53.2%
CON13,222 26.8% 17.2%
LIB9,397 19.1% 16.6%
Green1,389 2.8% 7.5%
Reform1,304 2.6% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
LAB Majority10,749 21.8% 36.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Leeds West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rachel Reeves  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:67,727
Turnout: 59.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,186 55.1% 58.9%
CON11,622 28.9% 18.8%
Reform2,685 6.7% 3.9%
LIB1,787 4.4% 5.8%
Green1,274 3.2% 8.2%
OTH727 1.8% 4.3%
LAB Majority10,564 26.2% 40.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Leicester East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Claudia Webbe  (LAB)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:78,433
Turnout: 63.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,090 50.8% 58.9%
CON19,071 38.6% 22.3%
LIB2,800 5.7% 5.9%
Reform1,243 2.5% 2.0%
Green888 1.8% 7.4%
OTH329 0.7% 3.5%
LAB Majority6,019 12.2% 36.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Leicester South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jonathan Ashworth  (LAB)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:77,708
Turnout: 64.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB33,606 67.0% 67.0%
CON10,931 21.8% 13.0%
LIB2,754 5.5% 6.6%
Green1,669 3.3% 8.9%
Reform1,187 2.4% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
LAB Majority22,675 45.2% 53.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Leicester West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Liz Kendall  (LAB)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:64,940
Turnout: 53.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,291 49.7% 55.8%
CON13,079 37.6% 23.1%
LIB1,808 5.2% 6.0%
Reform1,620 4.7% 3.4%
Green977 2.8% 7.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.8%
LAB Majority4,212 12.1% 32.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Leicestershire North West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Andrew Bridgen  (CON)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:78,935
Turnout: 68.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,811 62.8% 43.8%
LAB13,411 24.9% 35.4%
LIB3,614 6.7% 6.7%
Green2,478 4.6% 6.5%
OTH507 0.9% 3.7%
Reform0 0.0% 3.9%
CON Majority20,400 37.9% 8.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
71%
LAB
29%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Leicestershire South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Alberto Costa  (CON)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:80,520
Turnout: 71.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,791 64.0% 44.7%
LAB12,787 22.3% 33.7%
LIB5,452 9.5% 8.2%
Green2,439 4.2% 6.2%
Reform0 0.0% 3.8%
OTH0 0.0% 3.4%
CON Majority24,004 41.8% 10.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
75%
LAB
25%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Leigh

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:James Grundy  (CON)
County/Area:Western Manchester (North West)
Electorate:77,417
Turnout: 60.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,266 45.3% 32.0%
LAB19,301 41.1% 47.8%
Reform3,161 6.7% 5.4%
LIB2,252 4.8% 5.7%
OTH999 2.1% 4.5%
Green0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority1,965 4.2% 15.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
15%
LAB
85%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Lewes

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Maria Caulfield  (CON)
County/Area:East Sussex (South East)
Electorate:71,503
Turnout: 76.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,268 47.9% 34.7%
LIB23,811 43.4% 37.1%
LAB3,206 5.8% 18.3%
Green1,453 2.6% 4.9%
OTH113 0.2% 2.5%
Reform0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority2,457 4.5% 2.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
45%
LIB
52%
LAB
3%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Lewisham Deptford

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Vicky Foxcroft  (LAB)
County/Area:Lewisham (London)
Electorate:80,631
Turnout: 68.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB39,216 70.8% 63.9%
CON6,303 11.4% 8.2%
LIB5,774 10.4% 11.7%
Green3,085 5.6% 12.3%
Reform789 1.4% 1.1%
OTH201 0.4% 2.7%
LAB Majority32,913 59.4% 51.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Lewisham East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Janet Daby  (LAB)
County/Area:Lewisham (London)
Electorate:67,857
Turnout: 66.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,661 59.5% 57.9%
CON9,653 21.5% 15.0%
LIB5,039 11.2% 12.6%
Green1,706 3.8% 9.2%
Reform1,234 2.8% 2.1%
OTH522 1.2% 3.2%
LAB Majority17,008 38.0% 42.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Lewisham West and Penge

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ellie Reeves  (LAB)
County/Area:Lewisham (London)
Electorate:74,617
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB31,860 61.2% 58.3%
CON10,317 19.8% 13.7%
LIB6,260 12.0% 13.1%
Green2,390 4.6% 10.0%
Reform1,060 2.0% 1.8%
OTH213 0.4% 3.1%
LAB Majority21,543 41.3% 44.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Leyton and Wanstead

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:John Cryer  (LAB)
County/Area:Waltham Forest (London)
Electorate:64,852
Turnout: 68.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,836 64.7% 61.0%
CON8,028 18.0% 13.0%
LIB4,666 10.5% 12.3%
Green1,805 4.1% 10.0%
Reform785 1.8% 1.1%
OTH427 1.0% 2.7%
LAB Majority20,808 46.7% 48.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Lichfield

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Michael Fabricant  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:76,616
Turnout: 70.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,844 64.5% 49.2%
LAB11,206 20.8% 27.9%
LIB5,632 10.4% 11.0%
Green1,743 3.2% 5.5%
OTH568 1.1% 2.8%
Reform0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority23,638 43.8% 21.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
91%
LAB
9%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Lincoln

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Karl McCartney  (CON)
County/Area:Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:74,942
Turnout: 67.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,267 47.9% 32.1%
LAB20,753 41.0% 48.2%
LIB2,422 4.8% 5.8%
Green1,195 2.4% 6.2%
Reform1,079 2.1% 3.7%
OTH913 1.8% 3.9%
CON Majority3,514 6.9% 16.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
18%
LAB
82%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Liverpool Riverside

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Kim Johnson  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:80,310
Turnout: 65.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB41,170 78.0% 72.9%
CON4,127 7.8% 5.9%
Green3,017 5.7% 10.8%
LIB2,696 5.1% 6.3%
Reform1,779 3.4% 1.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
LAB Majority37,043 70.2% 62.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Liverpool Walton

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Dan Carden  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:62,628
Turnout: 65.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB34,538 84.7% 77.3%
CON4,018 9.9% 7.3%
Green814 2.0% 6.8%
LIB756 1.9% 4.1%
OTH660 1.6% 3.0%
Reform0 0.0% 1.4%
LAB Majority30,520 74.8% 70.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Liverpool Wavertree

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Paula Barker  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:63,458
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB31,310 72.2% 70.3%
CON4,225 9.7% 7.8%
LIB4,055 9.3% 8.5%
Reform1,921 4.4% 2.2%
Green1,365 3.1% 8.1%
OTH501 1.2% 3.1%
LAB Majority27,085 62.4% 61.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Liverpool West Derby

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ian Byrne  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:65,640
Turnout: 67.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB34,117 77.6% 74.1%
CON4,133 9.4% 7.9%
Reform2,012 4.6% 2.8%
OTH1,826 4.2% 4.0%
LIB1,296 2.9% 4.7%
Green605 1.4% 6.6%
LAB Majority29,984 68.2% 66.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Loughborough

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jane Hunt  (CON)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:79,764
Turnout: 68.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,954 51.2% 33.7%
LAB20,785 38.0% 46.2%
LIB4,153 7.6% 7.5%
Green1,504 2.8% 6.6%
OTH235 0.4% 3.2%
Reform0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority7,169 13.1% 12.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
22%
LAB
78%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Louth and Horncastle

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Victoria Atkins  (CON)
County/Area:Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:79,634
Turnout: 65.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON38,021 72.7% 51.9%
LAB9,153 17.5% 29.1%
LIB4,114 7.9% 7.1%
OTH1,044 2.0% 3.7%
Reform0 0.0% 4.6%
Green0 0.0% 3.6%
CON Majority28,868 55.2% 22.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
93%
LAB
7%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Ludlow

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Philip Dunne  (CON)
County/Area:Shropshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:69,444
Turnout: 72.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,185 64.1% 48.5%
LIB8,537 17.0% 15.7%
LAB7,591 15.1% 24.1%
Green1,912 3.8% 5.6%
Reform0 0.0% 3.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority23,648 47.1% 24.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
94%
LIB
0%
LAB
6%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Luton North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Sarah Owen  (LAB)
County/Area:Bedfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:68,185
Turnout: 62.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,496 55.2% 54.5%
CON14,249 33.5% 25.5%
LIB2,063 4.8% 8.1%
Reform1,215 2.9% 2.1%
OTH795 1.9% 2.8%
Green771 1.8% 7.1%
LAB Majority9,247 21.7% 29.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
96%
CON
4%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Luton South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rachel Hopkins  (LAB)
County/Area:Bedfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:69,338
Turnout: 60.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,787 51.8% 53.8%
CON13,031 31.0% 25.4%
MIN3,893 9.3% 0.0%
Reform1,601 3.8% 2.8%
Green995 2.4% 8.0%
OTH757 1.8% 3.9%
LIB0 0.0% 6.1%
LAB Majority8,756 20.8% 28.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
96%
CON
4%
MIN
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%

Macclesfield

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:David Rutley  (CON)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:76,216
Turnout: 70.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,292 52.5% 36.1%
LAB17,581 32.6% 41.6%
LIB5,684 10.6% 9.1%
Green2,310 4.3% 6.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.4%
CON Majority10,711 19.9% 5.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
63%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Maidenhead

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Theresa May  (CON)
County/Area:Berkshire (South East)
Electorate:76,668
Turnout: 73.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,620 57.7% 43.1%
LIB13,774 24.4% 20.9%
LAB7,882 14.0% 24.8%
Green2,216 3.9% 6.1%
Reform0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority18,846 33.4% 18.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
86%
LIB
4%
LAB
10%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Maidstone and The Weald

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Helen Grant  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:76,109
Turnout: 67.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,220 60.4% 44.8%
LAB9,448 18.3% 26.7%
LIB8,482 16.4% 16.3%
Green2,172 4.2% 6.1%
OTH358 0.7% 2.8%
Reform0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority21,772 42.1% 18.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
86%
LAB
12%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Makerfield

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Yvonne Fovargue  (LAB)
County/Area:Western Manchester (North West)
Electorate:74,190
Turnout: 59.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,954 45.1% 51.1%
CON15,214 34.4% 25.4%
Reform5,817 13.1% 6.9%
LIB2,108 4.8% 5.9%
Green1,166 2.6% 6.0%
OTH0 0.0% 4.8%
LAB Majority4,740 10.7% 25.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
95%
CON
5%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Maldon

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Whittingdale  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:72,438
Turnout: 69.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,304 72.0% 54.5%
LAB6,263 12.4% 22.0%
LIB5,990 11.9% 11.7%
Green1,851 3.7% 5.4%
Reform0 0.0% 3.8%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority30,041 59.6% 32.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LAB
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Manchester Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Lucy Powell  (LAB)
County/Area:Central Manchester (North West)
Electorate:92,247
Turnout: 56.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB36,823 70.4% 68.8%
CON7,734 14.8% 9.5%
LIB3,420 6.5% 7.0%
Reform2,335 4.5% 2.1%
Green1,870 3.6% 9.6%
OTH107 0.2% 3.0%
LAB Majority29,089 55.6% 59.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Manchester Gorton

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Afzal Khan  (LAB)
County/Area:Central Manchester (North West)
Electorate:76,419
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB34,583 77.6% 73.6%
CON4,244 9.5% 6.5%
LIB2,448 5.5% 6.7%
Green1,697 3.8% 9.9%
Reform1,573 3.5% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
LAB Majority30,339 68.1% 63.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Manchester Withington

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jeff Smith  (LAB)
County/Area:Central Manchester (North West)
Electorate:76,530
Turnout: 69.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,902 67.7% 66.7%
LIB7,997 15.1% 12.7%
CON5,820 11.0% 7.4%
Green1,968 3.7% 9.8%
Reform1,308 2.5% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority27,905 52.7% 53.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
LIB
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Mansfield

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Ben Bradley  (CON)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:77,131
Turnout: 63.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,484 63.9% 44.1%
LAB15,178 30.8% 38.8%
LIB1,626 3.3% 4.7%
OTH985 2.0% 3.8%
Reform0 0.0% 4.3%
Green0 0.0% 4.2%
CON Majority16,306 33.1% 5.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
64%
LAB
36%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Meon Valley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Flick Drummond  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:75,737
Turnout: 72.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,271 64.3% 48.4%
LIB11,716 21.4% 18.8%
LAB5,644 10.3% 21.4%
Green2,198 4.0% 5.6%
Reform0 0.0% 3.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority23,555 43.0% 27.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LIB
1%
LAB
4%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Meriden

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Saqib Bhatti  (CON)
County/Area:Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
Electorate:85,368
Turnout: 63.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,358 63.4% 47.4%
LAB11,522 21.3% 28.7%
LIB5,614 10.4% 11.1%
Green2,667 4.9% 6.6%
Reform0 0.0% 3.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority22,836 42.2% 18.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
88%
LAB
12%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Middlesbrough

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Andy McDonald  (LAB)
County/Area:Teesside (North East)
Electorate:60,764
Turnout: 56.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,207 50.5% 57.9%
CON8,812 25.8% 20.2%
MIN4,548 13.3% 0.0%
Reform2,168 6.4% 3.9%
LIB816 2.4% 5.0%
Green546 1.6% 6.8%
OTH0 0.0% 6.3%
LAB Majority8,395 24.6% 37.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
MIN
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Simon Clarke  (CON)
County/Area:Teesside (North East)
Electorate:72,348
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,135 58.8% 40.3%
LAB16,509 34.5% 41.7%
LIB1,953 4.1% 5.4%
Green1,220 2.6% 5.4%
Reform0 0.0% 3.8%
OTH0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority11,626 24.3% 1.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
47%
LAB
53%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Milton Keynes North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Ben Everitt  (CON)
County/Area:Buckinghamshire (South East)
Electorate:91,545
Turnout: 68.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,938 49.5% 36.0%
LAB24,683 39.5% 41.8%
LIB4,991 8.0% 10.0%
Green1,931 3.1% 6.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority6,255 10.0% 5.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
36%
LAB
64%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Milton Keynes South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Iain Stewart  (CON)
County/Area:Buckinghamshire (South East)
Electorate:96,363
Turnout: 66.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,011 50.0% 36.1%
LAB25,067 39.2% 42.5%
LIB4,688 7.3% 9.3%
Green1,495 2.3% 6.7%
OTH746 1.2% 2.9%
Reform0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority6,944 10.8% 6.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
66%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Mitcham and Morden

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Siobhain McDonagh  (LAB)
County/Area:Merton (London)
Electorate:70,021
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,964 61.1% 59.2%
CON11,482 25.1% 17.7%
LIB3,717 8.1% 9.9%
Reform1,202 2.6% 2.1%
Green1,160 2.5% 8.2%
OTH216 0.5% 3.0%
LAB Majority16,482 36.0% 41.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Mole Valley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Paul Beresford  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:74,665
Turnout: 76.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,656 55.4% 42.2%
LIB19,615 34.3% 27.9%
LAB2,965 5.2% 18.8%
Green1,874 3.3% 5.5%
OTH1,000 1.8% 2.8%
Reform0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority12,041 21.1% 14.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
82%
LIB
16%
LAB
3%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Morecambe and Lunesdale

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:David Morris  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:67,397
Turnout: 67.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,925 52.8% 36.2%
LAB17,571 38.8% 45.3%
LIB2,328 5.1% 6.0%
Green938 2.1% 5.5%
OTH548 1.2% 3.7%
Reform0 0.0% 3.4%
CON Majority6,354 14.0% 9.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LAB
70%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Morley and Outwood

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Andrea Jenkyns  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:78,803
Turnout: 65.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,424 56.7% 38.7%
LAB18,157 35.0% 42.7%
LIB2,285 4.4% 5.6%
Green1,107 2.1% 5.6%
OTH957 1.8% 3.8%
Reform0 0.0% 3.6%
CON Majority11,267 21.7% 4.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
40%
LAB
60%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

New Forest East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Julian Lewis  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:73,549
Turnout: 69.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,769 64.5% 48.6%
LAB7,518 14.8% 24.3%
LIB7,390 14.6% 14.2%
Green2,434 4.8% 6.2%
OTH675 1.3% 3.0%
Reform0 0.0% 3.6%
CON Majority25,251 49.7% 24.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

New Forest West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Desmond Swayne  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:70,866
Turnout: 71.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,113 63.8% 48.5%
LIB7,710 15.3% 14.3%
LAB6,595 13.1% 23.5%
Green3,888 7.7% 7.4%
Reform0 0.0% 3.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority24,403 48.5% 25.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LIB
0%
LAB
5%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Newark

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Robert Jenrick  (CON)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:75,850
Turnout: 72.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,660 63.3% 44.7%
LAB12,844 23.5% 34.3%
LIB5,308 9.7% 8.3%
Green1,950 3.6% 5.8%
Reform0 0.0% 3.7%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority21,816 39.8% 10.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
26%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Newbury

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Laura Farris  (CON)
County/Area:Berkshire (South East)
Electorate:83,414
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,431 57.4% 42.7%
LIB18,384 30.6% 25.5%
LAB4,404 7.3% 20.2%
Green2,454 4.1% 6.0%
OTH325 0.5% 2.8%
Reform0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority16,047 26.7% 17.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
86%
LIB
10%
LAB
4%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Newcastle upon Tyne Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Chi Onwurah  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:57,845
Turnout: 64.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,568 57.6% 61.2%
CON9,290 24.8% 16.3%
LIB2,709 7.2% 7.4%
Reform2,542 6.8% 3.2%
Green1,365 3.6% 8.2%
OTH0 0.0% 3.6%
LAB Majority12,278 32.8% 44.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Newcastle upon Tyne East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Nick Brown  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:63,796
Turnout: 68.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,049 60.1% 61.8%
CON10,586 24.4% 14.8%
LIB4,535 10.5% 9.4%
Green2,195 5.1% 9.2%
Reform0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
LAB Majority15,463 35.7% 47.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Newcastle upon Tyne North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Catherine McKinnell  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:68,486
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,354 45.4% 52.3%
CON15,589 33.2% 23.5%
LIB4,357 9.3% 8.6%
Reform4,331 9.2% 4.7%
Green1,368 2.9% 6.8%
OTH0 0.0% 4.0%
LAB Majority5,765 12.3% 28.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Newcastle-under-Lyme

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Aaron Bell  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:68,211
Turnout: 65.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,485 52.5% 39.8%
LAB16,039 35.9% 38.9%
LIB2,361 5.3% 8.1%
Reform1,921 4.3% 4.5%
Green933 2.1% 5.7%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority7,446 16.6% 0.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
53%
LAB
47%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Newton Abbot

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Anne Marie Morris  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:72,529
Turnout: 72.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,190 55.5% 41.7%
LIB11,689 22.2% 20.3%
LAB9,329 17.8% 26.5%
Green1,508 2.9% 5.4%
OTH840 1.6% 2.9%
Reform0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority17,501 33.3% 15.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
81%
LIB
4%
LAB
15%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Norfolk Mid

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:George Freeman  (CON)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:82,203
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,051 62.4% 47.3%
LAB12,457 22.2% 29.1%
LIB7,739 13.8% 12.8%
OTH939 1.7% 2.8%
Reform0 0.0% 3.6%
Green0 0.0% 4.3%
CON Majority22,594 40.2% 18.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
87%
LAB
13%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Norfolk North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Duncan Baker  (CON)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:70,729
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,792 58.6% 43.6%
LIB15,397 30.3% 28.2%
LAB3,895 7.7% 18.2%
Reform1,739 3.4% 4.2%
Green0 0.0% 3.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority14,395 28.3% 15.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LIB
13%
LAB
3%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Norfolk North West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:James Wild  (CON)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:72,080
Turnout: 64.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,627 65.7% 49.4%
LAB10,705 23.0% 29.1%
LIB3,625 7.8% 9.2%
Green1,645 3.5% 5.7%
Reform0 0.0% 3.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority19,922 42.7% 20.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
90%
LAB
10%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Norfolk South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Richard Bacon  (CON)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:86,214
Turnout: 72.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,258 58.0% 43.2%
LAB14,983 24.0% 30.8%
LIB8,744 14.0% 13.8%
Green2,499 4.0% 6.4%
Reform0 0.0% 3.1%
OTH0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority21,275 34.0% 12.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
78%
LAB
22%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Norfolk South West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Liz Truss  (CON)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:78,455
Turnout: 65.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,507 69.0% 52.2%
LAB9,312 18.1% 26.1%
LIB4,166 8.1% 9.3%
Green1,645 3.2% 5.2%
OTH836 1.6% 3.0%
Reform0 0.0% 4.2%
CON Majority26,195 50.9% 26.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Yvette Cooper  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:84,527
Turnout: 57.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,297 37.9% 47.6%
CON17,021 35.3% 26.9%
Reform8,032 16.6% 8.2%
LIB3,147 6.5% 6.3%
OTH1,762 3.7% 6.0%
Green0 0.0% 5.0%
LAB Majority1,276 2.6% 20.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
90%
CON
10%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Northampton North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Michael Ellis  (CON)
County/Area:Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:58,768
Turnout: 67.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,031 53.2% 35.4%
LAB15,524 39.3% 46.0%
LIB2,031 5.1% 6.1%
Green953 2.4% 6.2%
Reform0 0.0% 3.1%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority5,507 13.9% 10.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
26%
LAB
74%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Northampton South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Andrew Lewer  (CON)
County/Area:Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:62,163
Turnout: 65.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,914 51.2% 33.8%
LAB16,217 39.7% 46.9%
LIB2,482 6.1% 6.4%
Green1,222 3.0% 6.7%
Reform0 0.0% 3.0%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority4,697 11.5% 13.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
81%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Northamptonshire South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Andrea Leadsom  (CON)
County/Area:Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:90,842
Turnout: 73.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON41,755 62.4% 44.4%
LAB13,994 20.9% 32.9%
LIB7,891 11.8% 9.3%
Green2,634 3.9% 6.3%
OTH634 0.9% 3.5%
Reform0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority27,761 41.5% 11.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
23%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Norwich North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Chloe Smith  (CON)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:67,172
Turnout: 68.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,397 50.5% 37.1%
LAB18,659 40.3% 42.1%
LIB2,663 5.8% 8.2%
Green1,078 2.3% 6.5%
OTH488 1.1% 2.9%
Reform0 0.0% 3.1%
CON Majority4,738 10.2% 5.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
63%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Norwich South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Clive Lewis  (LAB)
County/Area:Norfolk (Anglia)
Electorate:77,845
Turnout: 66.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,766 53.7% 52.1%
CON15,006 29.0% 19.7%
LIB4,776 9.2% 11.6%
Green2,469 4.8% 10.8%
Reform1,656 3.2% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
LAB Majority12,760 24.7% 32.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Nottingham East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Nadia Whittome  (LAB)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:66,262
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,735 64.3% 66.4%
CON8,342 20.9% 12.9%
LIB1,954 4.9% 6.2%
OTH1,447 3.6% 3.4%
Reform1,343 3.4% 1.8%
Green1,183 3.0% 9.2%
LAB Majority17,393 43.5% 53.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Nottingham North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Alex Norris  (LAB)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:66,495
Turnout: 53.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,337 49.1% 54.9%
CON12,847 36.4% 23.6%
Reform2,686 7.6% 4.7%
LIB1,582 4.5% 5.4%
Green868 2.5% 7.1%
OTH0 0.0% 4.2%
LAB Majority4,490 12.7% 31.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Nottingham South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Lilian Greenwood  (LAB)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:79,485
Turnout: 60.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,586 55.2% 59.9%
CON14,018 29.1% 17.9%
LIB3,935 8.2% 8.0%
Reform2,012 4.2% 2.4%
Green1,583 3.3% 8.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
LAB Majority12,568 26.1% 42.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Nuneaton

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Marcus Jones  (CON)
County/Area:Warwickshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:70,226
Turnout: 64.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,390 60.6% 45.2%
LAB14,246 31.5% 35.2%
LIB1,862 4.1% 7.0%
Green1,692 3.7% 6.2%
Reform0 0.0% 3.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority13,144 29.1% 10.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
75%
LAB
25%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Old Bexley and Sidcup

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:James Brokenshire  (CON)
County/Area:Bexley (London)
Electorate:66,104
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,786 64.5% 48.5%
LAB10,834 23.5% 30.0%
LIB3,822 8.3% 9.6%
Green1,477 3.2% 5.6%
OTH226 0.5% 2.8%
Reform0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority18,952 41.1% 18.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result, before the death of Mr Brokenshire in October 2021. There will be a by-election in due course.

Chance of winning
CON
88%
LAB
12%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Oldham East and Saddleworth

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Debbie Abrahams  (LAB)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:72,120
Turnout: 64.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,088 43.5% 49.9%
CON18,589 40.3% 29.0%
Reform2,980 6.5% 4.2%
LIB2,423 5.2% 6.8%
OTH1,306 2.8% 4.3%
Green778 1.7% 5.9%
LAB Majority1,499 3.2% 20.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
91%
CON
9%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Oldham West and Royton

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jim McMahon  (LAB)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:72,999
Turnout: 60.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,579 55.3% 59.7%
CON13,452 30.3% 21.4%
Reform3,316 7.5% 3.7%
LIB1,484 3.3% 5.3%
OTH922 2.1% 3.7%
Green681 1.5% 6.3%
LAB Majority11,127 25.0% 38.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Orpington

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gareth Bacon  (CON)
County/Area:Bromley (London)
Electorate:68,877
Turnout: 70.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,882 63.4% 47.4%
LAB8,504 17.5% 26.3%
LIB7,552 15.5% 14.6%
Green1,783 3.7% 5.8%
Reform0 0.0% 3.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority22,378 45.9% 21.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
89%
LAB
10%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Oxford East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Anneliese Dodds  (LAB)
County/Area:Oxfordshire (South East)
Electorate:78,303
Turnout: 63.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,135 57.0% 54.5%
CON10,303 20.9% 14.7%
LIB6,884 13.9% 15.8%
Green2,392 4.8% 10.3%
Reform1,146 2.3% 1.6%
OTH499 1.0% 3.0%
LAB Majority17,832 36.1% 38.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Oxford West and Abingdon

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2019:Layla Moran  (LIB)
County/Area:Oxfordshire (South East)
Electorate:76,951
Turnout: 76.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB31,340 53.3% 43.7%
CON22,397 38.1% 26.9%
LAB4,258 7.2% 20.5%
Reform829 1.4% 2.2%
Green0 0.0% 4.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
LIB Majority8,943 15.2% 16.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
84%
CON
12%
LAB
4%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Pendle

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Andrew Stephenson  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:65,289
Turnout: 68.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,076 54.2% 37.1%
LAB17,890 40.2% 46.5%
LIB1,548 3.5% 5.2%
Green678 1.5% 5.4%
OTH268 0.6% 3.1%
Reform0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority6,186 13.9% 9.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
29%
LAB
71%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Penistone and Stocksbridge

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Miriam Cates  (CON)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:70,925
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,688 47.8% 34.9%
LAB16,478 33.3% 42.5%
LIB5,054 10.2% 8.4%
Reform4,300 8.7% 5.9%
Green0 0.0% 4.4%
OTH0 0.0% 4.0%
CON Majority7,210 14.6% 7.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
68%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Penrith and The Border

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Neil Hudson  (CON)
County/Area:Cumbria (North West)
Electorate:67,555
Turnout: 70.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,875 60.4% 42.8%
LAB10,356 21.7% 33.7%
LIB5,364 11.2% 9.4%
Green2,159 4.5% 6.3%
OTH1,070 2.2% 4.1%
Reform0 0.0% 3.7%
CON Majority18,519 38.7% 9.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
71%
LAB
29%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Peterborough

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Paul Bristow  (CON)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:72,560
Turnout: 65.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,334 46.7% 35.9%
LAB19,754 41.3% 43.7%
LIB2,334 4.9% 7.8%
Reform2,127 4.4% 3.7%
Green728 1.5% 6.1%
OTH524 1.1% 2.9%
CON Majority2,580 5.4% 7.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
68%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Plymouth Moor View

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Johnny Mercer  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:69,430
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,831 60.7% 44.7%
LAB13,934 31.5% 35.5%
LIB2,301 5.2% 7.5%
Green1,173 2.7% 5.6%
Reform0 0.0% 3.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority12,897 29.2% 9.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
26%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Plymouth Sutton and Devonport

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Luke Pollard  (LAB)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:77,852
Turnout: 68.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,461 47.9% 48.8%
CON20,704 38.9% 28.0%
Reform2,909 5.5% 4.0%
LIB2,545 4.8% 8.3%
Green1,557 2.9% 7.8%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
LAB Majority4,757 8.9% 20.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
8%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Poole

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Robert Syms  (CON)
County/Area:Dorset (South West)
Electorate:73,989
Turnout: 68.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,599 58.7% 43.8%
LAB10,483 20.8% 29.0%
LIB7,819 15.5% 14.7%
Green1,702 3.4% 6.0%
OTH848 1.7% 3.0%
Reform0 0.0% 3.4%
CON Majority19,116 37.9% 14.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
82%
LAB
17%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Poplar and Limehouse

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Apsana Begum  (LAB)
County/Area:Tower Hamlets (London)
Electorate:91,836
Turnout: 66.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB38,660 63.1% 60.9%
CON9,756 15.9% 11.2%
LIB8,832 14.4% 14.0%
Green2,159 3.5% 10.5%
Reform1,493 2.4% 0.9%
OTH376 0.6% 2.5%
LAB Majority28,904 47.2% 46.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Portsmouth North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Penny Mordaunt  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:71,299
Turnout: 64.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,172 61.4% 45.5%
LAB12,392 27.0% 32.9%
LIB3,419 7.4% 9.2%
Green1,304 2.8% 5.9%
OTH623 1.4% 3.0%
Reform0 0.0% 3.6%
CON Majority15,780 34.4% 12.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
80%
LAB
20%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Portsmouth South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Morgan  (LAB)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:74,186
Turnout: 63.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,068 48.6% 48.5%
CON17,705 37.3% 25.7%
LIB5,418 11.4% 14.2%
Reform994 2.1% 2.5%
OTH240 0.5% 2.7%
Green0 0.0% 6.3%
LAB Majority5,363 11.3% 22.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
7%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Preston

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mark Hendrick  (LAB)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:59,672
Turnout: 56.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,870 61.8% 62.6%
CON8,724 25.8% 17.3%
Reform1,799 5.3% 2.9%
LIB1,737 5.1% 6.6%
Green660 2.0% 7.1%
OTH0 0.0% 3.5%
LAB Majority12,146 35.9% 45.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Pudsey

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Stuart Andrew  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:73,212
Turnout: 74.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,453 48.8% 32.9%
LAB22,936 42.3% 48.5%
LIB3,088 5.7% 6.5%
Green894 1.6% 5.8%
OTH844 1.6% 3.5%
Reform0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority3,517 6.5% 15.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
17%
LAB
83%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%

Putney

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Fleur Anderson  (LAB)
County/Area:Wandsworth (London)
Electorate:65,556
Turnout: 77.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,780 45.1% 47.7%
CON18,006 35.7% 24.2%
LIB8,548 16.9% 15.9%
Green1,133 2.2% 8.0%
Reform0 0.0% 1.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
LAB Majority4,774 9.5% 23.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
93%
CON
6%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%