Constituency List: England R-S



Rayleigh and Wickford
County/Area: Essex (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Mark Francois  (CON)
Electorate: 78,556
Turnout: 70.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,914 66.7% 30.2%
LAB13,464 24.3% 9.9%
UKIP2,326 4.2% 1.3%
LIB1,557 2.8% 16.7%
Green1,062 1.9% 8.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority23,450 42.4%Pred Maj 0.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
42%
LAB
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
10%
Green
1%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Reading East
County/Area: Berkshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Matt Rodda  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,522
Turnout: 73.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,093 49.0% 27.4%
CON23,344 42.3% 17.5%
LIB3,378 6.1% 20.1%
Green1,093 2.0% 9.1%
OTH330 0.6% 0.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 22.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority3,749 6.8%Pred Maj 5.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
41%
CON
14%
LIB
19%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
23%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Reading West
County/Area: Berkshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Alok Sharma  (CON)
Electorate: 74,518
Turnout: 69.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,311 48.9% 21.1%
LAB22,435 43.3% 22.7%
LIB3,041 5.9% 19.6%
Green979 1.9% 8.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 24.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority2,876 5.6%Pred Maj 1.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
23%
LAB
25%
LIB
18%
Green
2%
Brexit
32%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Redcar
County/Area: Teesside (North East)
MP at 2017: Anna Turley  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,836
Turnout: 63.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,623 55.5% 28.8%
CON14,138 33.2% 11.5%
LIB2,849 6.7% 16.8%
UKIP1,950 4.6% 1.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.1%
Green0 0.0% 8.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority9,485 22.3%Pred Maj 2.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
40%
CON
3%
LIB
9%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
46%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Redditch
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Rachel Maclean  (CON)
Electorate: 64,334
Turnout: 70.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,652 52.3% 23.5%
LAB16,289 36.0% 18.3%
MIN2,239 5.0% 0.0%
UKIP1,371 3.0% 1.2%
LIB1,173 2.6% 17.2%
Green380 0.8% 8.0%
OTH99 0.2% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority7,363 16.3%Pred Maj 5.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
27%
LAB
14%
MIN
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
12%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Reigate
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
MP at 2017: Crispin Blunt  (CON)
Electorate: 74,628
Turnout: 72.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,896 57.4% 25.8%
LAB13,282 24.7% 10.2%
LIB5,889 10.9% 22.4%
Green2,214 4.1% 9.3%
UKIP1,542 2.9% 1.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority17,614 32.7%Pred Maj 2.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
3%
LIB
24%
Green
2%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
38%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Ribble South
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: Seema Kennedy  (CON)
Electorate: 75,752
Turnout: 72.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,980 52.9% 23.2%
LAB21,559 39.3% 20.2%
LIB2,073 3.8% 15.8%
UKIP1,387 2.5% 1.2%
Green494 0.9% 7.9%
OTH341 0.6% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
CON Majority7,421 13.5%Pred Maj 6.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
24%
LAB
20%
LIB
9%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Ribble Valley
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: Nigel Evans  (CON)
Electorate: 77,968
Turnout: 70.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,919 57.8% 26.4%
LAB18,720 33.9% 17.3%
LIB3,247 5.9% 16.8%
Green1,314 2.4% 7.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority13,199 23.9%Pred Maj 2.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
15%
LIB
11%
Green
1%
Brexit
41%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Richmond
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Rishi Sunak  (CON)
Electorate: 80,920
Turnout: 70.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,458 63.9% 29.7%
LAB13,350 23.4% 11.7%
LIB3,360 5.9% 17.2%
MIN2,106 3.7% 0.0%
Green1,739 3.1% 7.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority23,108 40.5%Pred Maj 0.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
41%
LAB
6%
LIB
9%
MIN
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
43%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Richmond Park
County/Area: Richmond Upon Thames (London)
MP at 2017: Zac Goldsmith  (CON)
Electorate: 80,025
Turnout: 79.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,588 45.1% 16.0%
LIB28,543 45.1% 51.8%
LAB5,773 9.1% 5.3%
UKIP426 0.7% 0.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 17.1%
Green0 0.0% 6.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
CON Majority45 0.1%Pred Maj 34.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
1%
LIB
95%
LAB
0%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
3%
Green
0%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

Rochdale
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Tony Lloyd  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,064
Turnout: 64.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,035 58.0% 38.9%
CON14,216 28.4% 9.9%
LIB4,027 8.0% 16.0%
UKIP1,641 3.3% 0.9%
MIN883 1.8% 0.0%
OTH242 0.5% 0.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 24.0%
Green0 0.0% 8.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
LAB Majority14,819 29.6%Pred Maj 14.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
70%
CON
2%
LIB
6%
UKIP
0%
MIN
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
21%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%


Rochester and Strood
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2017: Kelly Tolhurst  (CON)
Electorate: 82,702
Turnout: 65.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,232 54.4% 21.8%
LAB19,382 36.0% 15.3%
UKIP2,893 5.4% 1.3%
LIB1,189 2.2% 17.4%
Green781 1.5% 9.1%
OTH292 0.5% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 32.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority9,850 18.3%Pred Maj 10.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
22%
LAB
8%
UKIP
0%
LIB
13%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
55%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Rochford and Southend East
County/Area: Essex (Anglia)
MP at 2017: James Duddridge  (CON)
Electorate: 73,501
Turnout: 64.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,013 48.7% 20.1%
LAB17,465 37.0% 18.4%
MIN2,924 6.2% 0.0%
UKIP1,777 3.8% 1.2%
LIB1,265 2.7% 17.7%
Green804 1.7% 8.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority5,548 11.7%Pred Maj 10.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
13%
MIN
0%
UKIP
0%
LIB
14%
Green
2%
Brexit
52%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Romford
County/Area: Havering (London)
MP at 2017: Andrew Rosindell  (CON)
Electorate: 73,516
Turnout: 67.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,671 59.4% 23.7%
LAB15,893 31.8% 13.6%
UKIP2,350 4.7% 1.3%
LIB1,215 2.4% 17.4%
Green815 1.6% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 32.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority13,778 27.6%Pred Maj 8.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
23%
LAB
9%
UKIP
0%
LIB
15%
Green
2%
Brexit
51%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Romsey and Southampton North
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Caroline Nokes  (CON)
Electorate: 67,186
Turnout: 74.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,668 57.1% 26.2%
LIB10,662 21.3% 28.0%
LAB9,614 19.2% 8.7%
Green953 1.9% 7.8%
OTH271 0.5% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 24.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.9%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority18,006 35.9%Pred Maj 1.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
32%
LIB
39%
LAB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
27%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

LIB Gain

Rossendale and Darwen
County/Area: Lancashire (North West)
MP at 2017: Jake Berry  (CON)
Electorate: 72,495
Turnout: 69.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,499 50.8% 21.7%
LAB22,283 44.4% 24.3%
LIB1,550 3.1% 15.5%
Green824 1.6% 7.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority3,216 6.4%Pred Maj 3.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
20%
LAB
31%
LIB
8%
Green
2%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Rother Valley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Kevin Barron  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,230
Turnout: 65.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,821 48.1% 23.5%
CON19,939 40.3% 14.6%
UKIP3,704 7.5% 1.5%
LIB1,155 2.3% 15.2%
Green869 1.8% 9.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 34.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
LAB Majority3,882 7.8%Pred Maj 10.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
24%
CON
7%
UKIP
0%
LIB
8%
Green
2%
Brexit
59%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Rotherham
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Sarah Champion  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,237
Turnout: 60.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,404 56.4% 31.2%
CON10,017 26.4% 9.1%
UKIP3,316 8.7% 1.5%
LIB1,754 4.6% 14.9%
MIN1,432 3.8% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 32.6%
Green0 0.0% 8.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority11,387 30.0%Pred Maj 1.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
43%
CON
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
6%
MIN
0%
Brexit
48%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Rugby
County/Area: Warwickshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Mark Pawsey  (CON)
Electorate: 72,175
Turnout: 71.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,872 54.3% 24.0%
LAB19,660 38.3% 18.8%
LIB2,851 5.6% 19.0%
Green953 1.9% 7.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority8,212 16.0%Pred Maj 2.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
29%
LAB
17%
LIB
16%
Green
2%
Brexit
37%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner
County/Area: Hillingdon (London)
MP at 2017: Nick Hurd  (CON)
Electorate: 73,425
Turnout: 72.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,555 57.2% 23.7%
LAB16,575 31.0% 16.0%
LIB3,813 7.1% 20.6%
Green1,268 2.4% 9.5%
UKIP1,171 2.2% 0.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority13,980 26.2%Pred Maj 2.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
28%
LAB
14%
LIB
21%
Green
3%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
34%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Runnymede and Weybridge
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
MP at 2017: Philip Hammond  (CON)
Electorate: 74,887
Turnout: 68.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,436 60.9% 27.2%
LAB13,386 25.9% 10.8%
LIB3,765 7.3% 20.5%
UKIP1,675 3.2% 1.1%
Green1,347 2.6% 9.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority18,050 35.0%Pred Maj 0.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
35%
LAB
4%
LIB
20%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
39%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Rushcliffe
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Kenneth Clarke  (CON)
Electorate: 74,740
Turnout: 78.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,223 51.8% 23.5%
LAB22,213 38.1% 21.3%
LIB2,759 4.7% 16.4%
Green1,626 2.8% 9.0%
UKIP1,490 2.6% 1.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority8,010 13.7%Pred Maj 2.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
28%
LAB
22%
LIB
11%
Green
2%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
38%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Rutland and Melton
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Alan Duncan  (CON)
Electorate: 78,463
Turnout: 73.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,169 62.8% 28.0%
LAB13,065 22.7% 10.7%
LIB4,711 8.2% 17.8%
UKIP1,869 3.2% 1.3%
Green1,755 3.0% 8.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority23,104 40.1%Pred Maj 3.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
38%
LAB
4%
LIB
10%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
46%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Saffron Walden
County/Area: Essex (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Kemi Badenoch  (CON)
Electorate: 83,690
Turnout: 72.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,629 61.8% 28.5%
LAB12,663 20.8% 9.5%
LIB8,528 14.0% 23.4%
UKIP2,091 3.4% 1.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.5%
Green0 0.0% 7.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority24,966 41.0%Pred Maj 2.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
39%
LAB
3%
LIB
24%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
33%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Salford and Eccles
County/Area: Central Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Rebecca Long-Bailey  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,082
Turnout: 61.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB31,168 65.5% 36.1%
CON12,036 25.3% 8.7%
UKIP2,320 4.9% 1.2%
LIB1,286 2.7% 14.7%
Green809 1.7% 9.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority19,132 40.2%Pred Maj 8.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
61%
CON
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
5%
Green
1%
Brexit
31%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Salisbury
County/Area: Wiltshire (South West)
MP at 2017: John Glen  (CON)
Electorate: 72,892
Turnout: 73.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,952 58.1% 25.9%
LAB13,619 25.5% 10.0%
LIB5,982 11.2% 22.9%
UKIP1,191 2.2% 1.1%
Green1,152 2.2% 8.7%
OTH415 0.8% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority17,333 32.5%Pred Maj 2.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
29%
LAB
4%
LIB
26%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Scarborough and Whitby
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Robert Goodwill  (CON)
Electorate: 73,593
Turnout: 68.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,401 48.4% 19.0%
LAB20,966 41.6% 21.1%
UKIP1,682 3.3% 1.4%
LIB1,354 2.7% 15.5%
Green915 1.8% 8.6%
MIN680 1.3% 0.0%
OTH451 0.9% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 32.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
CON Majority3,435 6.8%Pred Maj 10.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
14%
LAB
20%
UKIP
0%
LIB
10%
Green
2%
MIN
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
53%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Scunthorpe
County/Area: Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Nic Dakin  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,578
Turnout: 65.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,916 52.0% 28.0%
CON17,485 43.5% 16.3%
UKIP1,247 3.1% 1.3%
LIB554 1.4% 14.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.1%
Green0 0.0% 7.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority3,431 8.5%Pred Maj 2.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
38%
CON
9%
UKIP
0%
LIB
6%
Brexit
45%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Sedgefield
County/Area: Durham (North East)
MP at 2017: Phil Wilson  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,890
Turnout: 65.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,202 53.4% 27.9%
CON16,143 38.8% 14.6%
UKIP1,763 4.2% 1.3%
LIB797 1.9% 15.0%
Green686 1.6% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority6,059 14.6%Pred Maj 2.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
39%
CON
6%
UKIP
0%
LIB
7%
Green
1%
Brexit
46%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Sefton Central
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Bill Esterson  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,019
Turnout: 75.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB32,830 63.0% 37.4%
CON17,212 33.0% 14.4%
LIB1,381 2.7% 15.3%
Green656 1.3% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 22.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.9%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority15,618 30.0%Pred Maj 15.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
70%
CON
5%
LIB
6%
Green
1%
Brexit
18%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Selby and Ainsty
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Nigel Adams  (CON)
Electorate: 75,765
Turnout: 74.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,921 58.7% 26.4%
LAB19,149 34.1% 17.4%
LIB2,293 4.1% 15.9%
UKIP1,713 3.1% 1.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.2%
Green0 0.0% 7.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority13,772 24.6%Pred Maj 2.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
32%
LAB
14%
LIB
9%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
44%
Green
2%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Sevenoaks
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2017: Michael Fallon  (CON)
Electorate: 71,061
Turnout: 72.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,644 63.7% 28.6%
LAB10,727 20.9% 8.7%
LIB4,280 8.4% 20.2%
UKIP1,894 3.7% 1.2%
Green1,673 3.3% 8.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority21,917 42.8%Pred Maj 0.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
40%
LAB
2%
LIB
16%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
41%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Gill Furniss  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,344
Turnout: 59.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,193 67.3% 39.2%
CON9,050 21.6% 7.4%
UKIP2,645 6.3% 1.3%
LIB1,061 2.5% 13.0%
Green737 1.8% 8.6%
OTH184 0.4% 0.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
LAB Majority19,143 45.7%Pred Maj 10.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
1%
UKIP
0%
LIB
4%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
27%
ChUK
0%


Sheffield Central
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Paul Blomfield  (LAB)
Electorate: 77,560
Turnout: 61.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB33,963 70.9% 41.9%
CON6,215 13.0% 5.2%
Green3,848 8.0% 11.8%
LIB2,465 5.1% 14.4%
UKIP1,060 2.2% 1.0%
OTH326 0.7% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 23.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
LAB Majority27,748 58.0%Pred Maj 18.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
79%
CON
0%
Green
1%
LIB
4%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
16%
ChUK
0%


Sheffield Hallam
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Jared O Mara  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,455
Turnout: 77.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,881 38.4% 20.3%
LIB19,756 34.6% 39.4%
CON13,561 23.8% 9.2%
UKIP929 1.6% 0.7%
Green823 1.4% 8.1%
OTH70 0.1% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 19.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
LAB Majority2,125 3.7%Pred Maj 19.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Mr O'Mara announced his resignation from the Labour Party on 12 July 2018, but remains the member of parliament.

Chance of winning
LAB
12%
LIB
77%
CON
1%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
10%
ChUK
0%

LIB Gain

Sheffield Heeley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Louise Haigh  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,040
Turnout: 65.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,524 60.0% 33.1%
CON12,696 28.7% 9.9%
LIB2,022 4.6% 15.5%
UKIP1,977 4.5% 1.2%
Green943 2.1% 8.8%
OTH64 0.1% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority13,828 31.3%Pred Maj 4.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
52%
CON
2%
LIB
7%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
37%
ChUK
0%


Sheffield South East
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Clive Betts  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,945
Turnout: 63.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,520 58.5% 33.0%
CON13,722 31.5% 10.8%
UKIP2,820 6.5% 1.3%
LIB1,432 3.3% 14.6%
OTH102 0.2% 0.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.7%
Green0 0.0% 8.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
LAB Majority11,798 27.1%Pred Maj 3.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
51%
CON
3%
UKIP
0%
LIB
6%
OTH
0%
Brexit
39%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%


Sherwood
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Mark Spencer  (CON)
Electorate: 76,196
Turnout: 70.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,492 51.5% 21.2%
LAB22,294 41.8% 21.2%
UKIP1,801 3.4% 1.3%
LIB1,113 2.1% 14.9%
Green664 1.2% 8.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority5,198 9.7%Pred Maj 9.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
20%
UKIP
0%
LIB
8%
Green
1%
Brexit
51%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Shipley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Philip Davies  (CON)
Electorate: 73,133
Turnout: 73.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,417 51.3% 23.8%
LAB22,736 42.6% 25.7%
LIB2,202 4.1% 16.0%
MIN1,040 1.9% 0.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 23.9%
Green0 0.0% 7.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.9%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority4,681 8.8%Pred Maj 1.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
26%
LAB
35%
LIB
10%
MIN
0%
Brexit
29%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LAB Gain

Shrewsbury and Atcham
County/Area: Shropshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Daniel Kawczynski  (CON)
Electorate: 79,043
Turnout: 73.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,073 50.0% 21.7%
LAB22,446 38.6% 18.6%
LIB4,254 7.3% 20.2%
UKIP1,363 2.3% 1.0%
Green1,067 1.8% 8.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority6,627 11.4%Pred Maj 5.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
23%
LAB
16%
LIB
19%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Shropshire North
County/Area: Shropshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Owen Paterson  (CON)
Electorate: 80,535
Turnout: 69.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,642 60.5% 27.2%
LAB17,287 31.1% 13.9%
LIB2,948 5.3% 18.9%
Green1,722 3.1% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority16,355 29.4%Pred Maj 0.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
35%
LAB
9%
LIB
14%
Green
1%
Brexit
41%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Sittingbourne and Sheppey
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2017: Gordon Henderson  (CON)
Electorate: 81,715
Turnout: 62.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,911 60.2% 26.8%
LAB15,700 30.6% 13.5%
MIN2,133 4.2% 0.0%
LIB1,392 2.7% 17.8%
OTH695 1.4% 0.9%
Green558 1.1% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.2%
CON Majority15,211 29.6%Pred Maj 3.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
6%
MIN
0%
LIB
13%
OTH
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
46%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

Brexit Gain

Skipton and Ripon
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
MP at 2017: Julian Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 78,108
Turnout: 74.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,425 62.7% 28.5%
LAB16,440 28.3% 14.0%
Green3,734 6.4% 8.7%
MIN1,539 2.6% 0.0%
LIB0 0.0% 14.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority19,985 34.4%Pred Maj 2.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
38%
LAB
8%
Green
2%
MIN
0%
LIB
7%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Sleaford and North Hykeham
County/Area: Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: Caroline Johnson  (CON)
Electorate: 90,925
Turnout: 72.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON42,245 64.2% 28.3%
LAB17,008 25.8% 11.5%
LIB2,722 4.1% 15.8%
UKIP1,954 3.0% 1.4%
Green968 1.5% 8.0%
OTH900 1.4% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 32.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
CON Majority25,237 38.4%Pred Maj 4.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
4%
LIB
8%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
50%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Slough
County/Area: Berkshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Tan Dhesi  (LAB)
Electorate: 83,272
Turnout: 65.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB34,170 62.9% 39.8%
CON17,172 31.6% 11.2%
LIB1,308 2.4% 15.7%
UKIP1,228 2.3% 0.7%
OTH417 0.8% 0.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.2%
Green0 0.0% 9.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
LAB Majority16,998 31.3%Pred Maj 18.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
77%
CON
3%
LIB
6%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
14%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%


Solihull
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Julian Knight  (CON)
Electorate: 77,784
Turnout: 73.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,985 58.1% 26.9%
LAB12,414 21.9% 10.2%
LIB8,901 15.7% 24.3%
UKIP1,291 2.3% 1.0%
Green1,157 2.0% 8.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority20,571 36.2%Pred Maj 0.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
4%
LIB
26%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
32%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Somerset North
County/Area: Bristol area (South West)
MP at 2017: Liam Fox  (CON)
Electorate: 80,538
Turnout: 77.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,605 54.2% 27.6%
LAB16,502 26.6% 11.9%
LIB5,982 9.6% 22.6%
MIN3,929 6.3% 0.0%
Green1,976 3.2% 8.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority17,103 27.6%Pred Maj 2.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
6%
LIB
25%
MIN
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
31%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Somerset North East
County/Area: Bristol area (South West)
MP at 2017: Jacob Rees-Mogg  (CON)
Electorate: 71,350
Turnout: 75.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,992 53.6% 24.7%
LAB18,757 34.7% 15.5%
LIB4,461 8.3% 21.1%
Green1,245 2.3% 8.2%
OTH588 1.1% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
CON Majority10,235 18.9%Pred Maj 1.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
31%
LAB
10%
LIB
22%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
35%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

Brexit Gain

Somerton and Frome
County/Area: Somerset (South West)
MP at 2017: David Warburton  (CON)
Electorate: 84,435
Turnout: 75.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,231 57.0% 25.9%
LIB13,325 21.0% 27.2%
LAB10,998 17.3% 7.4%
Green2,047 3.2% 8.1%
OTH991 1.6% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority22,906 36.0%Pred Maj 0.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LIB
34%
LAB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
34%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

LIB Gain

South Holland and The Deepings
County/Area: Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2017: John Hayes  (CON)
Electorate: 76,381
Turnout: 65.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,179 69.9% 29.1%
LAB10,282 20.4% 9.3%
UKIP2,185 4.3% 1.6%
LIB1,433 2.8% 14.6%
Green894 1.8% 7.6%
OTH342 0.7% 0.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 35.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
CON Majority24,897 49.5%Pred Maj 6.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
6%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
57%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

South Shields
County/Area: Newcastle area (North East)
MP at 2017: Emma Lewell-Buck  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,449
Turnout: 64.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,078 61.5% 31.4%
CON10,570 25.9% 8.8%
UKIP3,006 7.4% 1.5%
Green1,437 3.5% 9.0%
LIB681 1.7% 13.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 33.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority14,508 35.6%Pred Maj 1.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
46%
CON
1%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
LIB
5%
Brexit
47%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Southampton Itchen
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Royston Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 71,716
Turnout: 65.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,773 46.5% 17.9%
LAB21,742 46.5% 22.7%
LIB1,421 3.0% 18.0%
UKIP1,122 2.4% 1.1%
Green725 1.5% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority31 0.1%Pred Maj 5.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
14%
LAB
24%
LIB
15%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
44%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Southampton Test
County/Area: Hampshire (South East)
MP at 2017: Alan Whitehead  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,194
Turnout: 66.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,509 58.7% 32.6%
CON16,006 34.1% 12.5%
LIB1,892 4.0% 18.7%
MIN816 1.7% 0.0%
OTH680 1.4% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 23.8%
Green0 0.0% 8.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.8%
LAB Majority11,503 24.5%Pred Maj 8.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
55%
CON
5%
LIB
14%
MIN
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
24%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Southend West
County/Area: Essex (Anglia)
MP at 2017: David Amess  (CON)
Electorate: 67,677
Turnout: 69.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,046 55.2% 23.6%
LAB16,046 34.0% 15.5%
LIB2,110 4.5% 18.6%
UKIP1,666 3.5% 1.1%
Green831 1.8% 9.1%
OTH492 1.0% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority10,000 21.2%Pred Maj 5.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
28%
LAB
9%
LIB
16%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
44%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Southport
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Damien Moore  (CON)
Electorate: 69,400
Turnout: 69.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,541 38.7% 16.1%
LAB15,627 32.6% 17.5%
LIB12,661 26.4% 26.9%
UKIP1,127 2.4% 1.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.0%
Green0 0.0% 8.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority2,914 6.1%Pred Maj 0.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
10%
LAB
15%
LIB
36%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
37%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Spelthorne
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
MP at 2017: Kwasi Kwarteng  (CON)
Electorate: 72,641
Turnout: 69.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,692 57.3% 24.8%
LAB15,267 30.5% 12.7%
LIB2,755 5.5% 19.0%
UKIP2,296 4.6% 1.2%
Green1,105 2.2% 8.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority13,425 26.8%Pred Maj 5.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
28%
LAB
6%
LIB
15%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
48%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

St Albans
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Anne Main  (CON)
Electorate: 72,811
Turnout: 78.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,571 43.1% 17.2%
LIB18,462 32.4% 42.7%
LAB13,137 23.0% 9.9%
Green828 1.5% 6.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 19.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.4%
CON Majority6,109 10.7%Pred Maj 22.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
6%
LIB
84%
LAB
2%
Green
0%
Brexit
8%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

St Austell and Newquay
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP at 2017: Steve Double  (CON)
Electorate: 78,618
Turnout: 69.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,856 49.5% 21.6%
LAB15,714 29.0% 11.8%
LIB11,642 21.5% 27.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.8%
Green0 0.0% 7.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.8%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority11,142 20.6%Pred Maj 1.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
6%
LIB
39%
Brexit
35%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

St Helens North
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Conor McGinn  (LAB)
Electorate: 76,088
Turnout: 66.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB32,012 63.7% 33.7%
CON13,606 27.1% 9.9%
UKIP2,097 4.2% 1.2%
LIB1,287 2.6% 14.9%
Green1,220 2.4% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority18,406 36.6%Pred Maj 4.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
53%
CON
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
6%
Green
2%
Brexit
36%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


St Helens South and Whiston
County/Area: Merseyside (North West)
MP at 2017: Marie Rimmer  (LAB)
Electorate: 79,036
Turnout: 66.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,879 67.8% 36.7%
CON11,536 21.8% 8.5%
LIB2,101 4.0% 15.0%
UKIP1,953 3.7% 1.2%
Green1,417 2.7% 8.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority24,343 46.0%Pred Maj 9.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
CON
1%
LIB
6%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
30%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


St Ives
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP at 2017: Derek Thomas  (CON)
Electorate: 67,462
Turnout: 75.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,120 43.2% 16.7%
LIB21,808 42.6% 46.8%
LAB7,298 14.2% 5.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 21.2%
Green0 0.0% 5.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority312 0.6%Pred Maj 25.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
4%
LIB
88%
LAB
0%
Brexit
7%
Green
0%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

Stafford
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Jeremy Lefroy  (CON)
Electorate: 68,445
Turnout: 75.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,424 54.7% 24.7%
LAB20,695 39.9% 19.7%
LIB1,540 3.0% 17.5%
Green1,265 2.4% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority7,729 14.9%Pred Maj 1.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
31%
LAB
19%
LIB
12%
Green
1%
Brexit
36%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Staffordshire Moorlands
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Karen Bradley  (CON)
Electorate: 66,009
Turnout: 67.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,963 58.1% 28.1%
LAB15,133 33.9% 16.1%
MIN1,524 3.4% 0.0%
LIB1,494 3.3% 17.7%
Green541 1.2% 7.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority10,830 24.3%Pred Maj 1.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
40%
LAB
11%
MIN
0%
LIB
13%
Green
1%
Brexit
35%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Staffordshire South
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Gavin Williamson  (CON)
Electorate: 73,453
Turnout: 69.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,656 69.8% 32.4%
LAB12,923 25.3% 10.7%
LIB1,348 2.6% 16.8%
Green1,182 2.3% 7.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.2%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority22,733 44.5%Pred Maj 3.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
49%
LAB
4%
LIB
9%
Green
1%
Brexit
37%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Stalybridge and Hyde
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Jonathan Reynolds  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,409
Turnout: 59.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,277 57.2% 32.2%
CON16,193 38.1% 13.9%
LIB996 2.3% 15.2%
Green991 2.3% 8.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority8,084 19.0%Pred Maj 5.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
52%
CON
6%
LIB
7%
Green
1%
Brexit
33%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Stevenage
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Stephen McPartland  (CON)
Electorate: 70,765
Turnout: 69.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,798 50.3% 20.8%
LAB21,414 43.4% 22.3%
LIB2,032 4.1% 18.1%
Green1,085 2.2% 7.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority3,384 6.9%Pred Maj 4.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
20%
LAB
23%
LIB
15%
Green
2%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Stockport
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Ann Coffey  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,425
Turnout: 65.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,282 63.3% 37.1%
CON11,805 28.4% 10.1%
LIB1,778 4.3% 15.7%
UKIP1,088 2.6% 1.0%
Green591 1.4% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
LAB Majority14,477 34.8%Pred Maj 12.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Ms Coffey announced her resignation from the Labour Party on 18 February 2019, and is now a member of Change UK.

Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
3%
LIB
5%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
24%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Stockton North
County/Area: Teesside (North East)
MP at 2017: Alex Cunningham  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,279
Turnout: 64.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,304 56.9% 29.5%
CON15,589 36.5% 12.5%
UKIP1,834 4.3% 1.4%
LIB646 1.5% 14.6%
Green358 0.8% 8.1%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority8,715 20.4%Pred Maj 2.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
41%
CON
4%
UKIP
0%
LIB
6%
Green
1%
Brexit
47%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Stockton South
County/Area: Teesside (North East)
MP at 2017: Paul Williams  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,619
Turnout: 71.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,102 48.5% 27.0%
CON25,214 46.8% 19.8%
UKIP1,186 2.2% 1.1%
LIB951 1.8% 14.6%
Green371 0.7% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority888 1.6%Pred Maj 0.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
38%
CON
14%
UKIP
0%
LIB
7%
Green
1%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Stoke-on-Trent Central
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Gareth Snell  (LAB)
Electorate: 58,196
Turnout: 57.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,083 51.5% 25.7%
CON13,186 39.8% 13.7%
UKIP1,608 4.9% 1.2%
LIB680 2.1% 17.0%
Green378 1.1% 9.2%
OTH210 0.6% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.2%
LAB Majority3,897 11.8%Pred Maj 4.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
32%
CON
7%
UKIP
0%
LIB
10%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
48%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Stoke-on-Trent North
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Ruth Smeeth  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,368
Turnout: 57.7%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,272 50.9% 25.8%
CON18,913 45.3% 17.7%
LIB916 2.2% 16.8%
Green685 1.6% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority2,359 5.6%Pred Maj 2.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
34%
CON
13%
LIB
11%
Green
2%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Stoke-on-Trent South
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Jack Brereton  (CON)
Electorate: 66,046
Turnout: 63.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,451 49.1% 20.5%
LAB19,788 47.5% 24.0%
LIB808 1.9% 16.7%
Green643 1.5% 7.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 27.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority663 1.6%Pred Maj 3.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
19%
LAB
30%
LIB
10%
Green
2%
Brexit
39%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Stone
County/Area: Staffordshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Bill Cash  (CON)
Electorate: 67,824
Turnout: 73.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,614 63.2% 29.8%
LAB14,119 28.2% 11.9%
LIB2,222 4.4% 18.2%
UKIP1,370 2.7% 1.1%
Green707 1.4% 7.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority17,495 35.0%Pred Maj 1.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
44%
LAB
6%
LIB
12%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
37%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Stourbridge
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Margot James  (CON)
Electorate: 70,215
Turnout: 67.1%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,706 54.5% 23.2%
LAB18,052 38.3% 18.5%
UKIP1,801 3.8% 1.2%
LIB1,083 2.3% 16.9%
Green493 1.0% 8.3%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority7,654 16.2%Pred Maj 5.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
27%
LAB
15%
UKIP
0%
LIB
10%
Green
2%
Brexit
46%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Stratford-on-Avon
County/Area: Warwickshire (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Nadhim Zahawi  (CON)
Electorate: 72,609
Turnout: 72.3%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,657 62.2% 28.8%
LAB11,699 22.3% 10.1%
LIB6,357 12.1% 22.6%
Green1,345 2.6% 7.8%
OTH474 0.9% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
CON Majority20,958 39.9%Pred Maj 2.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
41%
LAB
4%
LIB
20%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
34%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Streatham
County/Area: Lambeth (London)
MP at 2017: Chuka Umunna  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,532
Turnout: 71.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB38,212 68.5% 41.7%
CON11,927 21.4% 7.5%
LIB3,611 6.5% 19.9%
Green1,696 3.0% 9.6%
UKIP349 0.6% 0.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 17.7%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 0.3%
LAB Majority26,285 47.1%Pred Maj 21.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is the original general election result. Mr Umunna announced his resignation from the Labour Party on 18 February 2019, was a member of Change UK until June 2019, and is now an independent MP.

Chance of winning
LAB
80%
CON
1%
LIB
10%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
7%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Stretford and Urmston
County/Area: Central Manchester (North West)
MP at 2017: Kate Green  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,840
Turnout: 69.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB33,519 66.8% 41.3%
CON13,814 27.5% 9.9%
UKIP1,094 2.2% 0.9%
LIB1,001 2.0% 14.0%
Green641 1.3% 8.3%
OTH122 0.2% 0.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 23.4%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority19,705 39.3%Pred Maj 18.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
CON
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
3%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
16%
ChUK
0%


Stroud
County/Area: Gloucestershire (South West)
MP at 2017: David Drew  (LAB)
Electorate: 82,849
Turnout: 77.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,994 47.0% 23.3%
CON29,307 45.9% 20.4%
LIB2,053 3.2% 18.5%
Green1,423 2.2% 8.7%
UKIP1,039 1.6% 0.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority687 1.1%Pred Maj 1.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
27%
CON
22%
LIB
16%
Green
2%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
33%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Suffolk Central and Ipswich North
County/Area: Suffolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Dan Poulter  (CON)
Electorate: 78,116
Turnout: 72.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,992 60.1% 26.7%
LAB16,807 29.7% 12.9%
LIB2,431 4.3% 18.3%
Green1,659 2.9% 8.6%
UKIP1,635 2.9% 1.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority17,185 30.4%Pred Maj 2.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
5%
LIB
15%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Suffolk Coastal
County/Area: Suffolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Therese Coffey  (CON)
Electorate: 79,366
Turnout: 73.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,713 58.1% 25.7%
LAB17,701 30.5% 13.4%
LIB4,048 7.0% 19.9%
Green1,802 3.1% 8.3%
OTH810 1.4% 0.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.1%
CON Majority16,012 27.6%Pred Maj 2.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
7%
LIB
18%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
40%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%

Brexit Gain

Suffolk South
County/Area: Suffolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: James Cartlidge  (CON)
Electorate: 75,967
Turnout: 71.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,829 60.5% 26.8%
LAB15,080 27.8% 11.8%
LIB3,154 5.8% 19.3%
Green1,723 3.2% 8.7%
UKIP1,449 2.7% 1.2%
Brexit0 0.0% 29.1%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority17,749 32.7%Pred Maj 2.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
34%
LAB
5%
LIB
16%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
43%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Suffolk West
County/Area: Suffolk (Anglia)
MP at 2017: Matt Hancock  (CON)
Electorate: 76,984
Turnout: 67.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,649 61.2% 25.4%
LAB14,586 28.2% 11.5%
UKIP2,396 4.6% 1.3%
LIB2,180 4.2% 18.2%
Green935 1.8% 8.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 31.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.3%
OTH0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority17,063 33.0%Pred Maj 6.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
30%
LAB
4%
UKIP
0%
LIB
14%
Green
1%
Brexit
50%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Sunderland Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North East)
MP at 2017: Julie Elliott  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,728
Turnout: 62.0%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,056 55.5% 29.6%
CON15,059 33.4% 11.4%
UKIP2,209 4.9% 1.3%
LIB1,777 3.9% 15.8%
Green705 1.6% 9.1%
OTH305 0.7% 0.6%
Brexit0 0.0% 30.5%
ChUK0 0.0% 1.7%
LAB Majority9,997 22.2%Pred Maj 0.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
43%
CON
3%
UKIP
0%
LIB
7%
Green
2%
OTH
0%
Brexit
45%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Surrey East
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
MP at 2017: Sam Gyimah  (CON)
Electorate: 82,004
Turnout: 72.2%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,310 59.6% 28.7%
LAB11,396 19.2% 8.6%
LIB6,197 10.5% 21.6%
MIN2,973 5.0% 0.0%
UKIP2,227 3.8% 1.1%
Green1,100 1.9% 8.4%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority23,914 40.4%Pred Maj 0.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
41%
LAB
2%
LIB
18%
MIN
0%
UKIP
0%
Green
1%
Brexit
38%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Surrey Heath
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
MP at 2017: Michael Gove  (CON)
Electorate: 80,537
Turnout: 71.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,118 64.2% 30.1%
LAB12,175 21.1% 9.1%
LIB6,271 10.8% 21.8%
Green2,258 3.9% 8.0%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.6%
UKIP0 0.0% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority24,943 43.1%Pred Maj 3.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
44%
LAB
2%
LIB
20%
Green
1%
Brexit
33%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%


Surrey South West
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
MP at 2017: Jeremy Hunt  (CON)
Electorate: 78,042
Turnout: 77.4%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,683 55.7% 34.6%
MIN12,093 20.0% 0.0%
LAB7,606 12.6% 7.6%
LIB5,967 9.9% 22.9%
UKIP1,083 1.8% 0.9%
Brexit0 0.0% 23.3%
Green0 0.0% 7.3%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.8%
OTH0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority21,590 35.7%Pred Maj 11.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
60%
MIN
0%
LAB
1%
LIB
18%
UKIP
0%
Brexit
20%
Green
1%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%


Sussex Mid
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP at 2017: Nicholas Soames  (CON)
Electorate: 83,747
Turnout: 73.6%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,082 56.9% 25.9%
LAB15,409 25.0% 10.3%
LIB7,855 12.7% 23.7%
Green1,571 2.5% 8.8%
UKIP1,251 2.0% 1.0%
OTH464 0.8% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.9%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.7%
CON Majority19,673 31.9%Pred Maj 0.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
33%
LAB
3%
LIB
27%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%
Brexit
35%
ChUK
0%

Brexit Gain

Sutton and Cheam
County/Area: Sutton (London)
MP at 2017: Paul Scully  (CON)
Electorate: 70,404
Turnout: 73.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,567 51.1% 21.7%
LIB13,869 26.7% 31.2%
LAB10,663 20.5% 9.9%
Green871 1.7% 7.8%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.0%
ChUK0 0.0% 3.0%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority12,698 24.4%Pred Maj 6.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
17%
LIB
49%
LAB
5%
Green
1%
Brexit
27%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%

LIB Gain

Sutton Coldfield
County/Area: Birmingham (West Midlands)
MP at 2017: Andrew Mitchell  (CON)
Electorate: 75,652
Turnout: 69.9%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,224 61.0% 28.6%
LAB16,885 31.9% 15.5%
LIB2,302 4.4% 18.6%
Green965 1.8% 8.1%
OTH482 0.9% 0.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 25.2%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.5%
UKIP0 0.0% 0.9%
CON Majority15,339 29.0%Pred Maj 3.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
43%
LAB
11%
LIB
14%
Green
1%
OTH
0%
Brexit
31%
ChUK
0%
UKIP
0%


Swindon North
County/Area: Wiltshire (South West)
MP at 2017: Justin Tomlinson  (CON)
Electorate: 80,194
Turnout: 68.5%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,431 53.6% 22.9%
LAB21,096 38.4% 17.3%
LIB1,962 3.6% 18.5%
UKIP1,564 2.8% 1.1%
Green858 1.6% 8.5%
Brexit0 0.0% 28.6%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.8%
CON Majority8,335 15.2%Pred Maj 5.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
25%
LAB
13%
LIB
17%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
43%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain

Swindon South
County/Area: Wiltshire (South West)
MP at 2017: Robert Buckland  (CON)
Electorate: 72,391
Turnout: 70.8%
2017 Votes2017 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,809 48.4% 20.1%
LAB22,345 43.6% 21.4%
LIB2,079 4.1% 18.8%
UKIP1,291 2.5% 1.0%
Green747 1.5% 8.7%
Brexit0 0.0% 26.8%
ChUK0 0.0% 2.4%
OTH0 0.0% 0.7%
CON Majority2,464 4.8%Pred Maj 5.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
20%
LAB
21%
LIB
18%
UKIP
0%
Green
2%
Brexit
38%
ChUK
0%
OTH
0%

Brexit Gain