Constituency List: England R-S



Rayleigh and Wickford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mark Francois  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:78,930
Turnout: 69.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON39,864 72.6% 64.8%
LAB8,864 16.1% 20.4%
LIB4,171 7.6% 5.6%
Green2,002 3.6% 6.8%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
CON Majority31,000 56.5% 44.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
100%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Reading East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Matt Rodda  (LAB)
County/Area:Berkshire (South East)
Electorate:77,152
Turnout: 72.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,102 48.5% 53.1%
CON21,178 37.9% 30.1%
LIB5,035 9.0% 6.3%
Green1,549 2.8% 6.2%
Reform852 1.5% 1.4%
OTH202 0.4% 2.9%
LAB Majority5,924 10.6% 22.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
8%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Reading West

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Alok Sharma  (CON)
County/Area:Berkshire (South East)
Electorate:74,137
Turnout: 68.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,393 48.4% 40.7%
LAB20,276 40.2% 44.8%
LIB4,460 8.9% 6.2%
Green1,263 2.5% 5.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority4,117 8.2% 4.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
41%
LAB
59%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Redcar

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jacob Young  (CON)
County/Area:Teesside (North East)
Electorate:65,864
Turnout: 62.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,811 46.1% 38.3%
LAB15,284 37.4% 41.5%
Reform2,915 7.1% 6.8%
LIB2,018 4.9% 3.8%
OTH1,323 3.2% 5.4%
Green491 1.2% 4.2%
CON Majority3,527 8.6% 3.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
44%
LAB
56%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Redditch

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Rachel Maclean  (CON)
County/Area:Hereford and Worcestershire (West Midlands)
Electorate:65,391
Turnout: 67.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,907 63.3% 55.5%
LAB11,871 26.9% 31.0%
LIB2,905 6.6% 5.1%
Green1,384 3.1% 6.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority16,036 36.4% 24.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
93%
LAB
7%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Reigate

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Crispin Blunt  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:74,242
Turnout: 71.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,665 53.9% 46.2%
LAB10,355 19.5% 25.4%
LIB10,320 19.4% 13.7%
Green3,169 6.0% 10.3%
OTH647 1.2% 4.4%
CON Majority18,310 34.4% 20.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
91%
LAB
9%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ribble South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Katherine Fletcher  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:75,351
Turnout: 71.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,028 55.8% 47.4%
LAB18,829 35.0% 39.5%
LIB3,720 6.9% 5.1%
Green1,207 2.2% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
CON Majority11,199 20.8% 7.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
68%
LAB
32%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ribble Valley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nigel Evans  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:79,247
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,346 60.3% 51.9%
LAB14,907 27.0% 31.6%
LIB4,776 8.6% 6.4%
Green1,704 3.1% 6.5%
OTH551 1.0% 3.5%
CON Majority18,439 33.4% 20.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
90%
LAB
10%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Richmond

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Rishi Sunak  (CON)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:82,569
Turnout: 69.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,693 63.6% 55.8%
LAB9,483 16.4% 21.2%
LIB6,989 12.1% 9.1%
Green2,500 4.3% 7.8%
OTH2,038 3.5% 6.1%
CON Majority27,210 47.2% 34.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Richmond Park

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2019:Sarah Olney  (LIB)
County/Area:Richmond Upon Thames (London)
Electorate:82,699
Turnout: 78.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB34,559 53.1% 47.4%
CON26,793 41.2% 32.7%
LAB3,407 5.2% 11.4%
OTH308 0.5% 3.8%
Green0 0.0% 4.6%
LIB Majority7,766 11.9% 14.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LIB
82%
CON
18%
LAB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Rochdale

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Tony Lloyd  (LAB)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:78,909
Turnout: 60.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,475 51.6% 56.2%
CON14,807 31.2% 22.8%
Reform3,867 8.2% 7.7%
LIB3,312 7.0% 5.2%
Green986 2.1% 5.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
LAB Majority9,668 20.4% 33.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Rochester and Strood

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Kelly Tolhurst  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:82,056
Turnout: 63.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,151 60.0% 52.2%
LAB14,079 27.1% 31.4%
LIB3,717 7.2% 5.0%
OTH1,667 3.2% 5.6%
Green1,312 2.5% 5.7%
CON Majority17,072 32.9% 20.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
90%
LAB
10%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Rochford and Southend East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:James Duddridge  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:75,624
Turnout: 61.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,063 58.7% 50.9%
LAB14,777 32.0% 36.1%
LIB2,822 6.1% 4.5%
OTH1,474 3.2% 5.4%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority12,286 26.6% 14.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
83%
LAB
17%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Romford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Andrew Rosindell  (CON)
County/Area:Havering (London)
Electorate:72,350
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,494 64.6% 56.1%
LAB12,601 26.7% 31.1%
LIB2,708 5.7% 4.1%
Green1,428 3.0% 6.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
CON Majority17,893 37.9% 25.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Romsey and Southampton North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Caroline Nokes  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:68,228
Turnout: 75.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,862 54.2% 46.5%
LIB16,990 33.1% 27.2%
LAB5,898 11.5% 17.4%
OTH640 1.2% 4.5%
Green0 0.0% 4.4%
CON Majority10,872 21.2% 19.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
90%
LIB
9%
LAB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Rossendale and Darwen

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jake Berry  (CON)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:72,770
Turnout: 67.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,570 56.5% 48.0%
LAB18,048 37.0% 41.1%
LIB2,011 4.1% 3.0%
Green1,193 2.4% 5.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
CON Majority9,522 19.5% 6.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
67%
LAB
33%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Rother Valley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Alexander Stafford  (CON)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:74,804
Turnout: 65.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,970 45.1% 37.3%
LAB15,652 32.1% 36.4%
Reform6,264 12.9% 12.2%
LIB2,553 5.2% 4.0%
Green1,219 2.5% 5.7%
OTH1,040 2.1% 4.5%
CON Majority6,318 13.0% 0.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
52%
LAB
48%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Rotherham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Sarah Champion  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:61,688
Turnout: 57.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,736 41.3% 45.8%
CON11,615 32.6% 24.8%
Reform6,125 17.2% 16.3%
LIB2,090 5.9% 4.4%
OTH1,085 3.0% 5.5%
Green0 0.0% 3.3%
LAB Majority3,121 8.8% 21.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
91%
CON
8%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Rugby

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mark Pawsey  (CON)
County/Area:Warwickshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:72,292
Turnout: 70.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,255 57.6% 49.7%
LAB15,808 31.1% 35.4%
LIB4,207 8.3% 6.4%
Green1,544 3.0% 6.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
CON Majority13,447 26.5% 14.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
81%
LAB
19%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Simmonds  (CON)
County/Area:Hillingdon (London)
Electorate:72,816
Turnout: 72.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,391 55.6% 47.1%
LAB12,997 24.6% 30.1%
LIB7,986 15.1% 10.8%
Green1,646 3.1% 7.2%
OTH884 1.7% 4.7%
CON Majority16,394 31.0% 17.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
86%
LAB
14%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Runnymede and Weybridge

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Ben Spencer  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:77,196
Turnout: 69.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,262 54.9% 47.2%
LAB10,992 20.6% 26.3%
LIB9,236 17.3% 12.2%
OTH1,923 3.6% 6.7%
Green1,876 3.5% 7.7%
CON Majority18,270 34.3% 20.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
91%
LAB
8%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Rushcliffe

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Ruth Edwards  (CON)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:77,047
Turnout: 78.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,765 47.5% 39.8%
LAB21,122 34.9% 39.9%
LIB9,600 15.9% 12.3%
OTH1,018 1.7% 4.4%
Green0 0.0% 3.7%
CON Majority7,643 12.6% 0.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
49%
LAB
50%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Rutland and Melton

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Alicia Kearns  (CON)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:82,705
Turnout: 70.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,507 62.6% 54.9%
LAB9,583 16.4% 21.2%
LIB7,970 13.7% 10.6%
Green2,875 4.9% 8.4%
OTH1,375 2.4% 4.9%
CON Majority26,924 46.2% 33.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
98%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Saffron Walden

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Kemi Badenoch  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:87,017
Turnout: 72.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON39,714 63.0% 55.2%
LIB12,120 19.2% 14.1%
LAB8,305 13.2% 18.8%
Green2,947 4.7% 8.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
CON Majority27,594 43.7% 36.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
99%
LIB
0%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Salford and Eccles

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rebecca Long-Bailey  (LAB)
County/Area:Central Manchester (North West)
Electorate:82,202
Turnout: 61.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,755 56.8% 61.4%
CON12,428 24.5% 16.1%
Reform4,290 8.5% 8.0%
LIB3,099 6.1% 4.5%
Green2,060 4.1% 7.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
LAB Majority16,327 32.2% 45.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Salisbury

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Glen  (CON)
County/Area:Wiltshire (South West)
Electorate:74,556
Turnout: 72.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,280 56.4% 48.5%
LIB10,544 19.6% 13.8%
LAB9,675 18.0% 24.0%
Green2,486 4.6% 9.1%
OTH745 1.4% 4.6%
CON Majority19,736 36.7% 24.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
95%
LIB
0%
LAB
5%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Scarborough and Whitby

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Robert Goodwill  (CON)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:74,404
Turnout: 66.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,593 55.5% 47.7%
LAB17,323 34.8% 38.9%
LIB3,038 6.1% 4.6%
OTH1,770 3.6% 5.8%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority10,270 20.7% 8.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
71%
LAB
29%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Scunthorpe

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Holly Mumby-Croft  (CON)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:61,955
Turnout: 60.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,306 53.8% 46.0%
LAB13,855 36.7% 40.5%
Reform2,044 5.4% 5.1%
LIB875 2.3% 1.7%
Green670 1.8% 4.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority6,451 17.1% 5.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
64%
LAB
36%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sedgefield

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Paul Howell  (CON)
County/Area:Durham (North East)
Electorate:64,325
Turnout: 64.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,609 47.2% 39.4%
LAB15,096 36.3% 40.4%
Reform3,518 8.5% 8.0%
LIB1,955 4.7% 3.6%
Green994 2.4% 5.4%
OTH394 0.9% 3.1%
CON Majority4,513 10.9% 0.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
47%
LAB
53%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sefton Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Bill Esterson  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:69,760
Turnout: 72.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,254 57.5% 62.0%
CON14,132 27.8% 19.3%
LIB3,386 6.7% 4.9%
Reform2,425 4.8% 4.5%
Green1,261 2.5% 5.9%
OTH422 0.8% 3.3%
LAB Majority15,122 29.7% 42.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Selby and Ainsty

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nigel Adams  (CON)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:78,398
Turnout: 72.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,995 60.3% 52.4%
LAB13,858 24.6% 28.9%
LIB4,842 8.6% 6.5%
OTH1,900 3.4% 5.7%
Green1,823 3.2% 6.5%
CON Majority20,137 35.7% 23.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
92%
LAB
8%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Sevenoaks

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Laura Trott  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:71,757
Turnout: 71.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,932 60.7% 53.0%
LIB10,114 19.8% 14.0%
LAB6,946 13.6% 19.6%
Green1,974 3.9% 8.3%
OTH990 1.9% 5.2%
CON Majority20,818 40.9% 33.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
0%
LAB
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Gill Furniss  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:69,333
Turnout: 57.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,369 56.5% 60.5%
CON10,095 25.5% 17.7%
Reform3,855 9.7% 9.2%
LIB1,517 3.8% 2.9%
Green1,179 3.0% 6.0%
OTH585 1.5% 3.7%
LAB Majority12,274 31.0% 42.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sheffield Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Paul Blomfield  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:89,849
Turnout: 56.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB33,968 66.7% 69.7%
CON6,695 13.1% 8.0%
Green4,570 9.0% 11.2%
LIB3,237 6.4% 4.8%
Reform1,969 3.9% 3.7%
OTH474 0.9% 2.6%
LAB Majority27,273 53.6% 58.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Sheffield Hallam

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Olivia Blake  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:72,763
Turnout: 78.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,709 34.6% 40.3%
LIB18,997 33.4% 28.5%
CON14,696 25.8% 18.0%
Green1,630 2.9% 7.0%
Reform1,562 2.7% 2.6%
OTH291 0.5% 3.6%
LAB Majority712 1.3% 11.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
76%
LIB
19%
CON
5%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Sheffield Heeley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Louise Haigh  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:66,940
Turnout: 63.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,475 50.3% 54.6%
CON12,955 30.3% 22.5%
Reform3,538 8.3% 7.8%
LIB2,916 6.8% 5.1%
Green1,811 4.2% 7.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority8,520 20.0% 32.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sheffield South East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Clive Betts  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:67,832
Turnout: 61.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,359 46.1% 50.3%
CON15,070 35.9% 28.1%
Reform4,478 10.7% 10.1%
LIB2,125 5.1% 3.8%
OTH966 2.3% 4.6%
Green0 0.0% 3.1%
LAB Majority4,289 10.2% 22.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
91%
CON
9%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Sherwood

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mark Spencer  (CON)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:77,888
Turnout: 67.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,049 60.8% 53.1%
LAB15,863 30.1% 34.0%
LIB2,883 5.5% 4.2%
Green1,214 2.3% 5.2%
OTH700 1.3% 3.5%
CON Majority16,186 30.7% 19.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
88%
LAB
12%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Shipley

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Philip Davies  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:74,029
Turnout: 72.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,437 50.8% 43.0%
LAB21,195 39.2% 43.3%
LIB3,188 5.9% 4.4%
Green1,301 2.4% 5.4%
OTH883 1.6% 3.8%
CON Majority6,242 11.6% 0.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
50%
LAB
50%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Shrewsbury and Atcham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Daniel Kawczynski  (CON)
County/Area:Shropshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:82,238
Turnout: 71.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,021 52.5% 44.7%
LAB19,804 33.5% 38.0%
LIB5,906 10.0% 7.7%
Green1,762 3.0% 6.3%
OTH572 1.0% 3.4%
CON Majority11,217 19.0% 6.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
66%
LAB
34%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Shropshire North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Owen Paterson  (CON)
County/Area:Shropshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:83,258
Turnout: 67.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,444 62.7% 54.9%
LAB12,495 22.1% 26.6%
LIB5,643 10.0% 7.7%
Green1,790 3.2% 6.5%
OTH1,141 2.0% 4.4%
CON Majority22,949 40.6% 28.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result, before the resignation of Owen Paterson in November 2021. There will be a by-election in due course.

Chance of winning
CON
96%
LAB
4%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sittingbourne and Sheppey

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gordon Henderson  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:83,917
Turnout: 61.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,742 67.6% 59.9%
LAB10,263 20.0% 24.2%
LIB3,213 6.3% 4.4%
OTH1,988 3.9% 6.2%
Green1,188 2.3% 5.4%
CON Majority24,479 47.6% 35.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Skipton and Ripon

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Julian Smith  (CON)
County/Area:North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:78,673
Turnout: 74.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,919 59.5% 51.6%
LAB11,225 19.1% 24.1%
LIB8,701 14.8% 11.2%
Green2,748 4.7% 8.4%
OTH1,131 1.9% 4.7%
CON Majority23,694 40.3% 27.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
96%
LAB
4%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sleaford and North Hykeham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Caroline Johnson  (CON)
County/Area:Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:94,761
Turnout: 70.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON44,683 67.1% 59.4%
LAB12,118 18.2% 22.4%
LIB5,355 8.0% 6.2%
OTH2,656 4.0% 6.3%
Green1,742 2.6% 5.7%
CON Majority32,565 48.9% 37.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Slough

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Tan Dhesi  (LAB)
County/Area:Berkshire (South East)
Electorate:86,818
Turnout: 58.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,421 57.6% 61.9%
CON15,781 30.9% 23.2%
LIB3,357 6.6% 4.6%
Reform1,432 2.8% 2.7%
Green1,047 2.1% 5.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
LAB Majority13,640 26.7% 38.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Solihull

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Julian Knight  (CON)
County/Area:Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
Electorate:78,760
Turnout: 70.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,309 58.4% 50.5%
LAB11,036 19.9% 25.2%
LIB9,977 18.0% 13.9%
Green2,022 3.7% 7.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority21,273 38.4% 25.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Somerset North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Liam Fox  (CON)
County/Area:Bristol area (South West)
Electorate:80,194
Turnout: 77.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,801 52.9% 45.0%
LAB15,265 24.6% 30.3%
LIB11,051 17.8% 12.5%
Green2,938 4.7% 9.0%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
CON Majority17,536 28.3% 14.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
83%
LAB
17%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Somerset North East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jacob Rees-Mogg  (CON)
County/Area:Bristol area (South West)
Electorate:73,692
Turnout: 76.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,360 50.4% 42.6%
LAB13,631 24.2% 30.2%
LIB12,422 22.1% 16.1%
Green1,423 2.5% 7.0%
OTH472 0.8% 4.1%
CON Majority14,729 26.2% 12.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
79%
LAB
19%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Somerton and Frome

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Warburton  (CON)
County/Area:Somerset (South West)
Electorate:85,866
Turnout: 75.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,230 55.8% 48.0%
LIB17,017 26.2% 20.3%
LAB8,354 12.9% 18.9%
Green3,295 5.1% 9.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority19,213 29.6% 27.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LIB
3%
LAB
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

South Holland and The Deepings

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Hayes  (CON)
County/Area:Lincolnshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:75,975
Turnout: 64.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,338 75.9% 68.2%
LAB6,500 13.2% 17.2%
LIB3,225 6.6% 5.1%
Green1,613 3.3% 6.3%
OTH503 1.0% 3.2%
CON Majority30,838 62.7% 50.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
100%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

South Shields

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Emma Lewell-Buck  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:62,793
Turnout: 60.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,273 45.6% 49.8%
CON7,688 20.3% 12.6%
Reform6,446 17.0% 16.1%
MIN3,658 9.7% 9.7%
LIB1,514 4.0% 3.1%
Green1,303 3.4% 6.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.3%
LAB Majority9,585 25.3% 33.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
0%
Reform
1%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Southampton Itchen

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Royston Smith  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:72,299
Turnout: 65.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,952 50.5% 42.8%
LAB19,454 41.0% 45.1%
LIB2,503 5.3% 3.7%
Green1,040 2.2% 5.2%
OTH472 1.0% 3.2%
CON Majority4,498 9.5% 2.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
46%
LAB
54%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Southampton Test

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Alan Whitehead  (LAB)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:70,116
Turnout: 64.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,256 49.5% 53.9%
CON16,043 35.7% 27.9%
LIB3,449 7.7% 5.4%
Reform1,591 3.5% 3.4%
Green1,433 3.2% 6.5%
OTH222 0.5% 2.9%
LAB Majority6,213 13.8% 26.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
94%
CON
6%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Southend West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:David Amess  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:69,043
Turnout: 67.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,555 59.2% 51.4%
LAB13,096 28.1% 32.9%
LIB5,312 11.4% 8.4%
OTH574 1.2% 3.8%
Green0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority14,459 31.1% 18.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result, before the death of Sir David Amess in October 2021. There will be a by-election in due course.

Chance of winning
CON
89%
LAB
11%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Southport

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Damien Moore  (CON)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:70,837
Turnout: 68.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,914 47.6% 39.1%
LAB18,767 39.0% 44.2%
LIB6,499 13.5% 10.0%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority4,147 8.6% 5.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
41%
LAB
59%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Spelthorne

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Kwasi Kwarteng  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:70,929
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,141 58.9% 51.1%
LAB10,748 21.7% 27.1%
LIB7,499 15.1% 10.7%
Green2,122 4.3% 8.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority18,393 37.2% 24.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

St Albans

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2019:Daisy Cooper  (LIB)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:73,727
Turnout: 78.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LIB28,867 50.1% 44.8%
CON22,574 39.2% 31.4%
LAB5,000 8.7% 14.4%
Green1,004 1.7% 6.0%
OTH154 0.3% 3.4%
LIB Majority6,293 10.9% 13.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
80%
CON
19%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

St Austell and Newquay

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Steve Double  (CON)
County/Area:Cornwall (South West)
Electorate:79,930
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,273 56.1% 48.3%
LAB14,747 26.4% 31.2%
LIB5,861 10.5% 7.4%
OTH2,286 4.1% 6.7%
Green1,609 2.9% 6.4%
CON Majority16,526 29.6% 17.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
86%
LAB
14%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

St Helens North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Conor McGinn  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:75,593
Turnout: 62.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,870 52.3% 56.9%
CON12,661 26.6% 18.2%
Reform5,396 11.3% 10.8%
LIB2,668 5.6% 4.2%
Green1,966 4.1% 7.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
LAB Majority12,209 25.7% 38.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

St Helens South and Whiston

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Marie Rimmer  (LAB)
County/Area:Merseyside (North West)
Electorate:79,061
Turnout: 63.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,457 58.5% 63.1%
CON10,335 20.5% 12.1%
Reform5,353 10.6% 10.1%
LIB2,886 5.7% 4.2%
Green2,282 4.5% 7.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
LAB Majority19,122 38.0% 51.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

St Ives

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Derek Thomas  (CON)
County/Area:Cornwall (South West)
Electorate:68,795
Turnout: 74.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,365 49.3% 41.5%
LIB21,085 41.0% 35.1%
LAB3,553 6.9% 12.9%
Green964 1.9% 6.3%
OTH446 0.9% 4.1%
CON Majority4,280 8.3% 6.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
67%
LIB
33%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stafford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Theo Clarke  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:72,572
Turnout: 70.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,992 58.6% 50.8%
LAB15,615 30.5% 34.6%
LIB3,175 6.2% 4.8%
Green2,367 4.6% 7.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority14,377 28.1% 16.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
16%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Staffordshire Moorlands

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Karen Bradley  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:65,485
Turnout: 66.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,192 64.6% 56.7%
LAB11,764 26.9% 31.0%
LIB2,469 5.7% 4.4%
Green1,231 2.8% 5.8%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority16,428 37.6% 25.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Staffordshire South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gavin Williamson  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:73,668
Turnout: 67.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,520 73.0% 65.2%
LAB8,270 16.5% 20.6%
LIB3,280 6.6% 5.1%
Green1,935 3.9% 6.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.2%
CON Majority28,250 56.5% 44.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stalybridge and Hyde

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jonathan Reynolds  (LAB)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:73,064
Turnout: 58.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,025 44.9% 49.3%
CON16,079 38.0% 29.5%
Reform3,591 8.5% 8.0%
LIB1,827 4.3% 3.2%
Green1,411 3.3% 6.6%
OTH435 1.0% 3.4%
LAB Majority2,946 7.0% 19.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
87%
CON
12%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stevenage

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Stephen McPartland  (CON)
County/Area:Hertfordshire (Anglia)
Electorate:71,562
Turnout: 66.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,328 53.1% 45.4%
LAB16,766 35.2% 39.6%
LIB4,132 8.7% 6.4%
Green1,457 3.1% 6.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
CON Majority8,562 18.0% 5.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
64%
LAB
36%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stockport

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Navendu Mishra  (LAB)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:65,391
Turnout: 63.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,695 52.0% 57.2%
CON11,656 27.9% 19.5%
LIB5,043 12.1% 8.9%
Reform1,918 4.6% 4.4%
Green1,403 3.4% 7.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
LAB Majority10,039 24.1% 37.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stockton North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Alex Cunningham  (LAB)
County/Area:Teesside (North East)
Electorate:66,649
Turnout: 61.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,728 43.1% 47.1%
CON16,701 40.6% 32.8%
Reform3,907 9.5% 9.0%
LIB1,631 4.0% 3.1%
OTH1,189 2.9% 5.1%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
LAB Majority1,027 2.5% 14.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
82%
CON
18%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Stockton South

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Matt Vickers  (CON)
County/Area:Teesside (North East)
Electorate:76,870
Turnout: 71.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,764 50.7% 42.9%
LAB22,504 41.1% 45.0%
LIB2,338 4.3% 3.3%
Reform2,196 4.0% 3.8%
Green0 0.0% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority5,260 9.6% 2.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
45%
LAB
55%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stoke-on-Trent Central

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Jo Gideon  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:55,419
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,557 45.4% 37.5%
LAB13,887 43.3% 47.2%
Reform1,691 5.3% 5.0%
LIB1,116 3.5% 2.7%
Green819 2.6% 5.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority670 2.1% 9.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
27%
LAB
73%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stoke-on-Trent North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jonathan Gullis  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:68,298
Turnout: 58.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,974 52.3% 44.4%
LAB14,688 36.6% 40.5%
Reform2,374 5.9% 5.6%
LIB1,268 3.2% 2.4%
Green508 1.3% 4.1%
OTH322 0.8% 2.9%
CON Majority6,286 15.7% 3.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
57%
LAB
43%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stoke-on-Trent South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jack Brereton  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:64,491
Turnout: 61.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,632 62.2% 54.3%
LAB13,361 33.7% 37.6%
LIB1,611 4.1% 3.1%
Green0 0.0% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.1%
CON Majority11,271 28.5% 16.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
85%
LAB
15%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stone

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Bill Cash  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:69,378
Turnout: 71.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,687 63.6% 55.7%
LAB11,742 23.6% 27.9%
LIB4,412 8.9% 6.8%
Green2,002 4.0% 7.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
CON Majority19,945 40.0% 27.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stourbridge

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Suzanne Webb  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:69,891
Turnout: 65.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,534 60.3% 52.4%
LAB13,963 30.6% 34.6%
LIB2,523 5.5% 4.3%
Green1,048 2.3% 5.3%
OTH621 1.4% 3.5%
CON Majority13,571 29.7% 17.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
85%
LAB
15%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stratford-on-Avon

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nadhim Zahawi  (CON)
County/Area:Warwickshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:74,037
Turnout: 74.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,343 60.6% 52.7%
LIB13,371 24.3% 19.7%
LAB6,222 11.3% 16.7%
Green2,112 3.8% 7.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority19,972 36.3% 33.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
1%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Streatham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Bell Ribeiro-Addy  (LAB)
County/Area:Lambeth (London)
Electorate:84,783
Turnout: 66.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,976 54.8% 60.3%
LIB13,286 23.5% 17.8%
CON9,060 16.0% 9.3%
Green2,567 4.5% 8.6%
Reform624 1.1% 1.0%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
LAB Majority17,690 31.3% 42.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
LIB
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Stretford and Urmston

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Kate Green  (LAB)
County/Area:Central Manchester (North West)
Electorate:72,372
Turnout: 69.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,195 60.3% 64.8%
CON13,778 27.5% 19.1%
LIB2,969 5.9% 4.4%
Reform1,768 3.5% 3.4%
Green1,357 2.7% 6.0%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
LAB Majority16,417 32.8% 45.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Stroud

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Siobhan Baillie  (CON)
County/Area:Gloucestershire (South West)
Electorate:84,537
Turnout: 78.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,582 47.9% 40.1%
LAB27,742 42.1% 45.5%
Green4,954 7.5% 10.1%
Reform1,085 1.6% 1.6%
OTH567 0.9% 2.7%
CON Majority3,840 5.8% 5.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
37%
LAB
63%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Suffolk Central and Ipswich North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Dan Poulter  (CON)
County/Area:Suffolk (Anglia)
Electorate:80,037
Turnout: 70.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,253 62.7% 54.9%
LAB11,862 21.1% 25.8%
LIB6,485 11.5% 8.4%
Green2,650 4.7% 8.2%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority23,391 41.6% 29.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
96%
LAB
4%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Suffolk Coastal

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Therese Coffey  (CON)
County/Area:Suffolk (Anglia)
Electorate:81,910
Turnout: 71.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,958 56.5% 48.8%
LAB12,425 21.3% 26.5%
LIB8,719 15.0% 11.0%
Green2,713 4.7% 8.5%
OTH1,493 2.6% 5.4%
CON Majority20,533 35.2% 22.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
93%
LAB
7%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Suffolk South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:James Cartlidge  (CON)
County/Area:Suffolk (Anglia)
Electorate:76,201
Turnout: 70.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,270 62.2% 54.4%
LAB10,373 19.4% 24.3%
LIB6,702 12.5% 9.2%
Green3,144 5.9% 9.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority22,897 42.8% 30.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LAB
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Suffolk West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Matt Hancock  (CON)
County/Area:Suffolk (Anglia)
Electorate:80,193
Turnout: 64.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,842 65.8% 58.0%
LAB10,648 20.7% 25.2%
LIB4,685 9.1% 6.7%
Green2,262 4.4% 7.7%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
CON Majority23,194 45.1% 32.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sunderland Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Julie Elliott  (LAB)
County/Area:Newcastle area (North East)
Electorate:72,680
Turnout: 59.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,336 42.2% 46.5%
CON15,372 35.4% 27.6%
Reform5,047 11.6% 11.0%
LIB3,025 7.0% 5.4%
Green1,212 2.8% 6.0%
OTH484 1.1% 3.5%
LAB Majority2,964 6.8% 18.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
91%
CON
9%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Surrey East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Claire Coutinho  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:83,148
Turnout: 71.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,624 59.7% 51.9%
LIB11,584 19.4% 13.7%
LAB8,247 13.8% 19.7%
Green2,340 3.9% 8.3%
OTH1,895 3.2% 6.4%
CON Majority24,040 40.3% 32.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
0%
LAB
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Surrey Heath

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Michael Gove  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:81,349
Turnout: 72.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,358 58.6% 50.8%
LIB16,009 27.3% 21.4%
LAB5,407 9.2% 15.2%
Green2,252 3.8% 8.3%
OTH628 1.1% 4.3%
CON Majority18,349 31.3% 29.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
2%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Surrey South West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jeremy Hunt  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:79,096
Turnout: 76.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,191 53.3% 45.6%
LIB23,374 38.7% 32.8%
LAB4,775 7.9% 13.9%
Green0 0.0% 4.4%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority8,817 14.6% 12.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
79%
LIB
20%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sussex Mid

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mims Davies  (CON)
County/Area:West Sussex (South East)
Electorate:85,146
Turnout: 73.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,455 53.3% 45.6%
LIB15,258 24.3% 18.4%
LAB11,218 17.9% 23.8%
Green2,234 3.6% 8.0%
OTH597 1.0% 4.2%
CON Majority18,197 29.0% 21.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
91%
LIB
2%
LAB
7%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sutton and Cheam

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Paul Scully  (CON)
County/Area:Sutton (London)
Electorate:71,779
Turnout: 70.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,235 50.0% 41.5%
LIB16,884 33.4% 27.7%
LAB7,200 14.3% 20.5%
Green1,168 2.3% 6.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.4%
CON Majority8,351 16.5% 13.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
80%
LIB
14%
LAB
6%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Sutton Coldfield

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Andrew Mitchell  (CON)
County/Area:Birmingham (West Midlands)
Electorate:75,638
Turnout: 69.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,604 60.4% 52.5%
LAB12,332 23.6% 28.2%
LIB6,358 12.2% 9.4%
Green2,031 3.9% 7.3%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority19,272 36.8% 24.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
93%
LAB
7%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Swindon North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Justin Tomlinson  (CON)
County/Area:Wiltshire (South West)
Electorate:82,441
Turnout: 66.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,584 59.1% 51.3%
LAB16,413 29.8% 34.2%
LIB4,408 8.0% 5.6%
Green1,710 3.1% 6.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.4%
CON Majority16,171 29.3% 17.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
86%
LAB
14%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Swindon South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Robert Buckland  (CON)
County/Area:Wiltshire (South West)
Electorate:73,118
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,536 52.3% 44.5%
LAB19,911 39.2% 43.8%
LIB4,299 8.5% 6.0%
Green0 0.0% 3.4%
OTH0 0.0% 2.5%
CON Majority6,625 13.1% 0.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
51%
LAB
49%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%