East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 25.3%016-1615
LAB 40.5%15 25.1%32+116
LIB 4.3%0 12.7%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 25.8%150+1515
Green 1.5%0 7.4%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 1.6%00+00
Other 0.6%0 2.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Charnwood (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Nottingham North (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
18435Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.912.755.812.
20433Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.415.357.
36417Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.713.349.413.99.511.
86367Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.818.142.710.417.
87366Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.916.841.211.617.
91362Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.618.141.814.612.
98355Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.315.538.410.
173280Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.517.031.215.324.
189263Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.418.329.810.
198255Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.520.530.79.829.
201252Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.621.931.511.724.
213240Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.623.030.114.821.
216237Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.622.429.
216236Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.020.326.510.632.
219234High Peak Ruth George73,25473.523.129.014.922.
225227Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.521.726.48.932.
232221Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.424.428.511.624.
233220Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.324.728.811.723.
238215Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.024.327.113.823.
247205Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.824.626.610.827.
251201Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.923.924.911.528.
251201Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.224.425.410.629.
258195Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.027.126.614.
258194Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.024.924.410.
271181Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.326.222.59.930.
277176Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.027.922.116.719.
282170Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.128.121.811.
287165Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.227.620.910.629.
294159Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.928.620.911.828.
296157Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.227.519.419.921.
297155Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.028.119.313.
303150Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.729.720.313.325.
329124Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.731.
332120Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.726.513.922.
332120Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.727.414.87.639.
338115Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.030.417.415.525.
341112Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.829.616.414.
349104Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.930.817.012.628.
351101Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.829.515.310.534.
353100Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.931.417.113.427.
36291Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.230.415.613.
38865Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.431.714.911.831.
38964Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.832.515.714.425.
39558Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.931.614.314.328.
40251Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.431.613.516.
40943South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.931.512.78.836.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.