| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 29.4% | 15 | 19.6% | 0 | 12 | -12 | 3 |
| LAB | 35.3% | 29 | 21.3% | 0 | 22 | -22 | 7 |
| LIB | 6.4% | 0 | 10.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Reform | 18.9% | 2 | 36.0% | 34 | 0 | +34 | 36 |
| Green | 6.3% | 0 | 8.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 3.7% | 1 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Nottingham East' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Rutland and Stamford', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rutland and Stamford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Nottingham East (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 193 | Nottingham East | Nadia Whittome | 69,395 | 52.5 | 2.3 | 48.8 | 2.7 | 32.6 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 2.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 40 | 165 | Gedling | Michael Payne | 77,006 | 63.3 | 5.2 | 46.5 | 2.5 | 41.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 57 | 148 | Nottingham South | Lilian Greenwood | 64,255 | 51.2 | 4.2 | 44.2 | 2.6 | 39.2 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 67 | 138 | High Peak | Jonathan Brian Pearce | 74,385 | 66.2 | 6.8 | 45.8 | 2.2 | 41.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 68 | 137 | Derby North | Catherine Atkinson | 71,900 | 56.9 | 5.1 | 44.0 | 2.4 | 43.9 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 71 | 134 | Broxtowe | Juliet Campbell | 71,923 | 66.5 | 5.3 | 43.7 | 2.9 | 42.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 71 | 133 | Lincoln | Hamish Falconer | 72,313 | 58.3 | 5.0 | 42.5 | 2.4 | 44.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 72 | 132 | Leicester West | Liz Kendall | 74,102 | 47.8 | 4.6 | 41.8 | 2.5 | 44.4 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 74 | 130 | Northampton North | Lucy Rigby | 75,575 | 55.3 | 4.8 | 41.6 | 2.5 | 43.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 75 | 129 | Loughborough | Jeevun Sandher | 68,996 | 61.2 | 6.7 | 43.2 | 2.7 | 43.5 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 77 | 127 | Chesterfield | Toby Perkins | 71,654 | 58.0 | 5.2 | 41.6 | 2.3 | 45.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 79 | 125 | Nottingham North and Kimberley | Alex Norris | 73,768 | 47.5 | 4.6 | 40.3 | 2.1 | 48.0 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 88 | 116 | Bolsover | Natalie Fleet | 77,207 | 55.0 | 5.1 | 37.2 | 1.8 | 51.8 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 100 | 104 | Derby South | Baggy Shanker | 72,952 | 51.3 | 3.3 | 33.3 | 2.2 | 46.7 | 2.5 | 11.4 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 140 | 65 | Rushcliffe | James William Naish | 79,160 | 72.9 | 20.5 | 32.9 | 10.6 | 24.2 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 140 | 64 | Leicester South | Shockat Adam | 70,867 | 59.0 | 6.2 | 18.1 | 9.9 | 24.9 | 13.6 | 27.4 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 141 | 63 | Ashfield | Lee Anderson | 68,929 | 57.9 | 6.2 | 16.1 | 4.6 | 55.1 | 4.9 | 13.1 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 146 | 58 | Erewash | Adam Thompson | 71,497 | 60.2 | 18.6 | 23.3 | 9.3 | 37.0 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 56 | Amber Valley | Linsey Farnsworth | 71,546 | 59.4 | 16.3 | 20.4 | 8.5 | 44.9 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 56 | Sherwood Forest | Michelle Welsh | 78,894 | 61.7 | 18.3 | 21.9 | 8.9 | 39.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 56 | Corby and East Northamptonshire | Lee Barron | 78,787 | 62.9 | 22.0 | 25.5 | 9.0 | 32.7 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 56 | Bassetlaw | Jo White | 78,173 | 57.4 | 19.8 | 23.2 | 8.2 | 39.4 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 56 | Wellingborough and Rushden | Gen Kitchen | 77,559 | 56.7 | 18.6 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 39.2 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 151 | 53 | Derbyshire South | Samantha Niblett | 73,714 | 62.0 | 20.2 | 22.4 | 9.8 | 36.2 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 151 | 53 | Northampton South | Mike Reader | 70,393 | 62.4 | 21.5 | 23.7 | 11.0 | 32.2 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 152 | 52 | Mansfield | Steve Yemm | 73,817 | 55.7 | 18.3 | 20.0 | 7.1 | 44.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 152 | 52 | Kettering | Rosie Wrighting | 79,390 | 63.3 | 19.2 | 20.8 | 8.4 | 34.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 3.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Derbyshire Mid | Jonathan Peter Tom Davies | 69,281 | 68.6 | 24.5 | 23.4 | 9.6 | 30.4 | 10.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Derbyshire North East | Louise Elizabeth Jones | 73,139 | 62.7 | 24.7 | 22.9 | 8.8 | 33.8 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Leicestershire North West | Amanda Hack | 77,757 | 62.5 | 22.1 | 20.2 | 8.6 | 36.6 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 4.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Derbyshire Dales | John Michael Whitby | 73,317 | 69.9 | 25.9 | 22.9 | 12.5 | 28.1 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 156 | 48 | Leicester East | Shivani Raja | 76,560 | 61.0 | 17.1 | 11.7 | 14.8 | 31.3 | 7.6 | 9.0 | 8.4 | CON | Reform |
| 161 | 43 | Leicestershire Mid | Peter Bedford | 75,933 | 63.3 | 27.5 | 17.3 | 9.4 | 35.7 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 166 | 38 | Daventry | Stuart Andrew | 80,879 | 65.6 | 28.5 | 15.0 | 12.6 | 35.5 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
| 166 | 38 | Hinckley and Bosworth | Luke Evans | 76,431 | 62.5 | 24.3 | 10.7 | 21.7 | 35.7 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | Reform |
| 171 | 34 | Harborough, Oadby and Wigston | Neil O'Brien | 77,407 | 65.1 | 32.8 | 17.2 | 10.7 | 28.2 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | CON |
| 175 | 29 | Newark | Robert Jenrick | 80,028 | 66.8 | 33.9 | 15.1 | 7.7 | 34.0 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 3.1 | CON | Reform |
| 175 | 29 | Gainsborough | Sir Edward Leigh | 75,836 | 61.6 | 31.0 | 12.1 | 9.2 | 40.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | Reform |
| 177 | 28 | Northamptonshire South | Sarah Bool | 78,233 | 68.6 | 33.2 | 14.3 | 9.7 | 32.4 | 6.4 | 0.5 | 3.5 | CON | CON |
| 179 | 25 | Sleaford and North Hykeham | Caroline Johnson | 75,807 | 64.1 | 32.3 | 10.6 | 5.7 | 40.0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 6.1 | CON | Reform |
| 179 | 25 | Boston and Skegness | Richard Tice | 75,811 | 53.4 | 27.1 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 58.5 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 3.2 | Reform | Reform |
| 184 | 20 | Grantham and Bourne | Gareth Davies | 73,280 | 62.9 | 34.5 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 39.9 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 6.4 | CON | Reform |
| 184 | 20 | Leicestershire South | Alberto Costa | 78,543 | 65.4 | 35.9 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 37.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 184 | 20 | South Holland and The Deepings | John Hayes | 78,473 | 58.5 | 32.6 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 45.2 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 9.2 | CON | Reform |
| 184 | 20 | Louth and Horncastle | Victoria Atkins | 76,882 | 60.5 | 33.8 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 46.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 4.3 | CON | Reform |
| 185 | 19 | Melton and Syston | Edward Argar | 74,316 | 61.9 | 38.5 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 39.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 3.3 | CON | Reform |
| 200 | 5 | Rutland and Stamford | Alicia Kearns | 71,711 | 67.7 | 45.2 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 32.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.