East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 36.1%20+233
LAB 40.5%15 28.0%02-213
LIB 4.3%0 13.4%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 17.2%00+00
Green 1.5%0 3.2%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 0.9%00+00
Other 0.6%0 1.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Derbyshire South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to High Peak (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
18529Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.918.455.
27520Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.718.550.312.610.
35512Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.421.751.49.510.
67480Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.623.943.814.
84463Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.924.041.811.515.
95452Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.324.040.510.319.
97450Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.826.242.410.
165382Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.527.434.515.317.
197350Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.631.834.512.
199348Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.430.933.
205342Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.631.733.014.915.
207340Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.631.632.812.617.
209338Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.533.133.810.
221326High Peak Ruth George73,25473.533.132.715.414.
232315Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.333.531.211.817.
237310Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.433.731.
240307Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.032.829.811.
248299Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.034.430.414.415.
251296Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.534.229.79.322.
255292Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.034.830.
260287Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.835.530.011.717.
272275Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.235.828.711.518.
276271Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.935.928.312.318.
283264Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.036.727.911.
302245Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.037.225.817.712.
306241Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.338.526.
318229Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.139.625.012.317.
323224Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.239.223.711.919.
327220Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.940.424.412.917.
328219Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.237.421.521.
333214Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.741.023.914.615.
341206Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.040.422.714.417.
371176Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.742.121.713.717.
379168Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.042.220.817.
387160Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.942.320.214.318.
390157Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.739.016.522.917.
391156Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.842.219.715.517.
394153Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.943.220.514.717.
405142Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.
406141Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.843.319.
416131Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.843.518.611.821.
418129Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.742.917.88.526.
444103Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.444.618.113.319.
45196Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.944.217.215.917.
45592Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.443.516.
50839South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.946.615.310.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.