East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 36.1%20+233
LAB 40.5%15 28.0%02-213
LIB 4.3%0 13.4%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 17.2%00+00
Green 1.5%0 3.2%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 0.9%00+00
Other 0.6%0 1.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Derbyshire South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to High Peak (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
18529Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.918.455.011.78.25.00.70.00.9LABLAB
27520Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.718.550.312.610.26.40.90.01.1LABLAB
35512Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.421.751.49.510.54.70.70.01.4LABLAB
67480Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.623.943.814.011.35.00.80.01.1LABLAB
84463Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.924.041.811.515.84.81.00.01.2LABLAB
95452Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.324.040.510.319.13.71.20.01.2LABLAB
97450Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.826.242.410.016.33.11.00.01.0LABLAB
165382Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.527.434.515.317.13.51.00.01.2LABLAB
197350Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.631.834.512.216.33.20.90.01.2LABLAB
199348Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.430.933.110.221.52.11.10.01.2LABLAB
205342Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.631.733.014.915.52.90.90.01.1LABLAB
207340Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.631.632.812.617.23.21.00.01.5LABLAB
209338Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.533.133.810.018.92.20.80.01.2LABLAB
221326High Peak Ruth George73,25473.533.132.715.414.12.90.70.01.2LABCON
232315Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.333.531.211.817.83.71.00.01.1CONCON
237310Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.433.731.012.017.73.61.00.01.1CONCON
240307Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.032.829.811.221.62.41.10.01.2LABCON
248299Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.034.430.414.415.63.30.80.01.1CONCON
251296Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.534.229.79.322.22.31.10.01.2CONCON
255292Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.034.830.115.014.14.00.80.01.1CONCON
260287Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.835.530.011.717.82.90.90.01.2CONCON
272275Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.235.828.711.518.43.20.90.01.5CONCON
276271Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.935.928.312.318.62.80.90.01.2CONCON
283264Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.036.727.911.219.32.81.00.01.2CONCON
302245Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.037.225.817.712.64.80.80.01.1CONCON
306241Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.338.526.011.019.22.80.90.01.5CONCON
318229Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.139.625.012.317.73.40.80.01.2CONCON
323224Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.239.223.711.919.83.30.90.01.2CONCON
327220Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.940.424.412.917.43.00.80.01.1CONCON
328219Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.237.421.521.014.83.40.80.01.2CONCON
333214Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.741.023.914.615.23.40.70.01.2CONCON
341206Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.040.422.714.417.63.00.80.01.2CONCON
371176Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.742.121.713.717.32.90.90.01.4CONCON
379168Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.042.220.817.014.73.30.70.01.3CONCON
387160Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.942.320.214.318.32.80.90.01.2CONCON
390157Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.739.016.522.917.12.50.70.01.1CONCON
391156Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.842.219.715.517.73.00.80.01.1CONCON
394153Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.943.220.514.717.62.10.80.01.1CONCON
405142Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.243.019.114.418.92.60.90.01.1CONCON
406141Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.843.319.216.015.93.40.80.01.3CONCON
416131Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.843.518.611.821.91.81.00.01.3CONCON
418129Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.742.917.88.526.22.11.30.01.3CONCON
444103Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.444.618.113.319.22.31.00.01.5CONCON
45196Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.944.217.215.917.82.90.80.01.1CONCON
45592Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.443.516.218.016.83.50.90.01.1CONCON
50839South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.946.615.310.123.12.51.00.01.3CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.