East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 51.8%10+132
LAB 40.5%15 33.3%01-114
LIB 4.3%0 8.4%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 2.5%00+00
Green 1.5%0 2.4%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.6%0 1.6%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Erewash (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bolsover (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
18551Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.919.763.
32537Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.720.758.
41528Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.423.
71498Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.627.352.
96473Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.928.849.
101468Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.831.350.97.810.
120449Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.330.247.96.911.
132437High Peak Ruth George73,25473.534.850.
177392Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.532.742.
212357Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.637.442.
216353Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.636.740.
220349Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.639.943.
221348Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.536.339.713.
222347Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.438.
245324Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.037.635.56.813.
260309Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.042.433.
281288Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.051.535.
287282Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.051.534.312.
297272Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.454.435.
298271Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.354.535.
307262Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.856.
333236Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.
339230Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.957.432.
354215Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.559.832.
355214Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.254.927.613.
356213Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.058.731.
386183Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.758.629.
405164Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.
407162Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.360.929.
424145Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.960.628.
425144Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.059.026.911.
444125Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.060.627.
468101Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.
48881Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.762.526.
48980Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.759.423.
50366Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.861.724.310.
50564Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.862.825.310.
51356Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.963.525.
52049Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.963.524.
54227Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.462.621.911.
54722Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.264.823.
54920Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.964.622.610.
55613Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.466.522.
5627Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.868.522.
5672Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.772.620.
5681South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.973.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.