| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 29.4% | 15 | 23.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 15 |
| LAB | 35.3% | 29 | 27.1% | 1 | 13 | -12 | 17 |
| LIB | 6.4% | 0 | 4.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Reform | 18.9% | 2 | 28.0% | 13 | 0 | +13 | 15 |
| Green | 6.3% | 0 | 8.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 3.7% | 1 | 8.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Nottingham East' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Boston and Skegness', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Daventry (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Leicester South (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 372 | Nottingham East | Nadia Whittome | 69,395 | 52.5 | 9.1 | 40.6 | 3.1 | 14.9 | 24.6 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 48 | 351 | Leicester South | Shockat Adam | 70,867 | 59.0 | 8.7 | 33.7 | 3.0 | 11.1 | 23.3 | 20.1 | 0.0 | MIN | LAB |
| 95 | 304 | Nottingham South | Lilian Greenwood | 64,255 | 51.2 | 12.7 | 36.0 | 3.4 | 20.8 | 17.9 | 9.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 100 | 299 | Rushcliffe | James William Naish | 79,160 | 72.9 | 27.3 | 35.2 | 4.6 | 20.5 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 117 | 282 | Nottingham North and Kimberley | Alex Norris | 73,768 | 47.5 | 6.1 | 44.7 | 1.0 | 31.3 | 5.6 | 11.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 135 | 264 | Gedling | Michael Payne | 77,006 | 63.3 | 10.3 | 42.5 | 2.1 | 30.8 | 4.6 | 9.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 140 | 258 | Leicester East | Shivani Raja | 76,560 | 61.0 | 29.2 | 26.6 | 6.1 | 15.3 | 15.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 144 | 255 | High Peak | Jonathan Brian Pearce | 74,385 | 66.2 | 21.5 | 34.1 | 4.2 | 23.4 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 149 | 250 | Leicester West | Liz Kendall | 74,102 | 47.8 | 9.3 | 40.4 | 2.2 | 30.1 | 7.1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 153 | 246 | Derby South | Baggy Shanker | 72,952 | 51.3 | 4.6 | 45.1 | 0.7 | 34.9 | 3.5 | 11.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 191 | 208 | Chesterfield | Toby Perkins | 71,654 | 58.0 | 5.5 | 43.3 | 1.1 | 36.3 | 2.1 | 11.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 192 | 207 | Derby North | Catherine Atkinson | 71,900 | 56.9 | 13.3 | 37.8 | 2.7 | 30.8 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 193 | 206 | Loughborough | Jeevun Sandher | 68,996 | 61.2 | 22.5 | 29.6 | 5.0 | 22.7 | 11.9 | 8.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 215 | 184 | Lincoln | Hamish Falconer | 72,313 | 58.3 | 6.4 | 42.4 | 1.1 | 37.7 | 2.4 | 9.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 220 | 179 | Northampton North | Lucy Rigby | 75,575 | 55.3 | 9.1 | 40.3 | 1.9 | 36.2 | 3.9 | 8.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 233 | 166 | Broxtowe | Juliet Campbell | 71,923 | 66.5 | 8.1 | 42.2 | 1.5 | 39.3 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 253 | 146 | Derbyshire South | Samantha Niblett | 73,714 | 62.0 | 20.8 | 29.7 | 4.1 | 28.5 | 7.3 | 9.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 255 | 144 | Derbyshire Mid | Jonathan Peter Tom Davies | 69,281 | 68.6 | 27.4 | 28.9 | 4.3 | 28.0 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 268 | 130 | Harborough, Oadby and Wigston | Neil O'Brien | 77,407 | 65.1 | 31.2 | 23.7 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 8.8 | 6.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 270 | 129 | Erewash | Adam Thompson | 71,497 | 60.2 | 6.9 | 39.8 | 1.0 | 40.2 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 273 | 126 | Derbyshire Dales | John Michael Whitby | 73,317 | 69.9 | 27.3 | 27.8 | 5.9 | 28.4 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 279 | 120 | Kettering | Rosie Wrighting | 79,390 | 63.3 | 16.9 | 32.8 | 2.8 | 33.9 | 7.6 | 5.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 281 | 118 | Derbyshire North East | Louise Elizabeth Jones | 73,139 | 62.7 | 25.6 | 27.7 | 3.8 | 29.1 | 5.5 | 8.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 285 | 114 | Northampton South | Mike Reader | 70,393 | 62.4 | 25.7 | 25.6 | 6.4 | 27.3 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 289 | 110 | Corby and East Northamptonshire | Lee Barron | 78,787 | 62.9 | 25.5 | 26.6 | 5.6 | 28.6 | 7.3 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 290 | 108 | Leicestershire Mid | Peter Bedford | 75,933 | 63.3 | 30.7 | 23.6 | 4.1 | 25.6 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 292 | 107 | Bassetlaw | Jo White | 78,173 | 57.4 | 8.6 | 36.0 | 1.4 | 38.2 | 3.0 | 12.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 296 | 102 | Newark | Robert Jenrick | 80,028 | 66.8 | 31.2 | 25.0 | 4.4 | 27.5 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 299 | 100 | Bolsover | Natalie Fleet | 77,207 | 55.0 | 6.1 | 37.9 | 0.8 | 40.9 | 2.2 | 12.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 302 | 97 | Leicestershire North West | Amanda Hack | 77,757 | 62.5 | 24.7 | 26.6 | 3.3 | 29.9 | 6.2 | 9.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 303 | 95 | Northamptonshire South | Sarah Bool | 78,233 | 68.6 | 31.7 | 22.7 | 6.4 | 26.2 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 319 | 80 | Sherwood Forest | Michelle Welsh | 78,894 | 61.7 | 19.0 | 29.5 | 3.3 | 34.5 | 5.2 | 8.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 322 | 77 | Mansfield | Steve Yemm | 73,817 | 55.7 | 17.2 | 28.4 | 2.6 | 33.5 | 5.8 | 12.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 335 | 63 | Daventry | Stuart Andrew | 80,879 | 65.6 | 31.0 | 20.4 | 8.5 | 26.6 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 345 | 54 | Wellingborough and Rushden | Gen Kitchen | 77,559 | 56.7 | 24.3 | 24.6 | 4.9 | 31.1 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 352 | 47 | Amber Valley | Linsey Farnsworth | 71,546 | 59.4 | 6.4 | 36.1 | 0.8 | 43.3 | 1.8 | 11.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 356 | 42 | Melton and Syston | Edward Argar | 74,316 | 61.9 | 30.4 | 21.9 | 3.5 | 29.8 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 385 | 13 | Rutland and Stamford | Alicia Kearns | 71,711 | 67.7 | 40.4 | 15.5 | 5.2 | 27.8 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 387 | 12 | Ashfield | Lee Anderson | 68,929 | 57.9 | 3.9 | 33.8 | 0.7 | 46.2 | 1.3 | 14.0 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 393 | 5 | Grantham and Bourne | Gareth Davies | 73,280 | 62.9 | 35.2 | 17.9 | 2.8 | 32.2 | 5.0 | 6.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 394 | 4 | Sleaford and North Hykeham | Caroline Johnson | 75,807 | 64.1 | 35.8 | 17.5 | 2.8 | 32.4 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 394 | 4 | Leicestershire South | Alberto Costa | 78,543 | 65.4 | 40.5 | 13.3 | 4.8 | 30.1 | 4.8 | 6.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Gainsborough | Sir Edward Leigh | 75,836 | 61.6 | 39.3 | 12.4 | 3.4 | 34.0 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Hinckley and Bosworth | Luke Evans | 76,431 | 62.5 | 41.8 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 32.5 | 3.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Louth and Horncastle | Victoria Atkins | 76,882 | 60.5 | 39.5 | 10.5 | 1.8 | 37.4 | 3.2 | 7.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | South Holland and The Deepings | John Hayes | 78,473 | 58.5 | 40.0 | 10.4 | 1.6 | 37.6 | 2.9 | 7.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 397 | 2 | Boston and Skegness | Richard Tice | 75,811 | 53.4 | 32.0 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 41.9 | 1.7 | 13.8 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.