East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 46.3%10+132
LAB 40.5%15 34.3%01-114
LIB 4.3%0 6.6%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 5.8%00+00
Green 1.5%0 3.6%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 3.5%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rushcliffe (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Lincoln (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
29542Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.917.
36535Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.717.
59512Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.419.860.
105466Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.626.456.
123448Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.926.954.
126445Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.326.754.
146425Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.829.
166405Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.530.448.
203368Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.436.
213358Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.538.946.
215356Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.638.445.
236335High Peak Ruth George73,25473.541.
237334Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.640.
238333Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.640.341.
248323Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.037.336.
267304Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.042.439.
271300Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.442.839.
272299Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.542.
275296Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.342.537.
287284Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.844.838.
293278Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.944.837.
303268Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.045.535.
308263Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.247.736.
309262Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.
326245Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.047.431.
348223Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.352.
370201Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.153.530.
372199Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.247.924.514.
378193Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.954.329.
381190Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.754.
383188Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.
395176Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.053.827.
424147Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.055.624.
432139Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.756.
459112Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.752.317.819.
461110Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.957.
462109Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.958.323.
466105Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.857.422.
49081Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.858.
50071Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.257.620.
51160Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.859.520.
51952Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.459.819.
52249Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.759.
52645Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.959.318.
53536Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.458.416.510.
5683South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.965.514.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.