East Midlands: Majority Sorted Seats

East Midlands Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 50.7%31 46.3%10+132
LAB 40.5%15 34.3%01-114
LIB 4.3%0 6.6%00+00
UKIP 2.4%0 5.8%00+00
Green 1.5%0 3.6%00+00
Minor 0.6%0 3.5%00+00

This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leicester South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rushcliffe (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Lincoln (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Midlands seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
29542Leicester South Jon Ashworth75,53466.917.267.34.83.44.50.00.02.8LABLAB
36535Nottingham East Chris Leslie61,76263.717.265.24.85.43.90.00.03.3LABLAB
59512Leicester East Keith Vaz77,78867.419.860.84.83.44.20.03.33.7LABLAB
105466Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood71,17867.626.456.15.55.73.40.00.02.8LABLAB
123448Leicester West Liz Kendall64,83457.926.954.64.47.13.80.00.03.2LABLAB
126445Nottingham North Alex Norris66,89457.326.754.04.08.93.60.00.02.8LABLAB
146425Derby South Margaret Beckett69,91864.829.152.15.07.83.20.00.02.8LABLAB
166405Chesterfield Toby Perkins72,06366.530.448.67.76.73.80.00.02.8LABLAB
203368Bolsover Dennis Skinner73,42963.436.145.75.27.92.20.00.02.8LABLAB
213358Bassetlaw John Mann78,53566.538.946.34.53.42.20.01.92.8LABLAB
215356Gedling Vernon Coaker71,22172.638.445.74.35.63.20.00.02.8LABLAB
236335High Peak Ruth George73,25473.541.043.57.23.42.20.00.02.8LABLAB
237334Derby North Chris Williamson69,91969.640.042.36.95.82.20.00.02.8LABLAB
238333Lincoln Karen Lee73,11166.640.341.74.96.03.40.00.03.7LABLAB
248323Ashfield Gloria De Piero78,09964.037.336.44.27.13.00.09.22.8LABCON
267304Broxtowe Anna Soubry74,01775.042.439.06.36.03.40.00.02.8CONCON
271300Northampton North Michael Ellis58,18369.442.839.04.86.83.70.00.02.8CONCON
272299Mansfield Ben Bradley77,81164.542.238.33.78.72.20.02.22.8CONCON
275296Northampton South Andrew Lewer60,99367.342.537.85.77.33.90.00.02.8CONCON
287284Corby Tom Pursglove82,43972.844.838.54.85.93.10.00.02.8CONCON
293278Derbyshire North East Lee Rowley72,09769.944.837.35.06.53.60.00.02.8CONCON
303268Loughborough Nicky Morgan79,60768.045.535.85.86.14.00.00.02.8CONCON
308263Erewash Maggie Throup72,99168.247.736.84.83.43.50.00.03.9CONCON
309262Sherwood Mark Spencer76,19670.047.135.64.36.73.40.00.02.8CONCON
326245Rushcliffe Kenneth Clarke74,74078.047.431.97.05.94.90.00.02.8CONCON
348223Amber Valley Nigel Mills68,06567.352.132.24.73.43.60.00.04.0CONCON
370201Kettering Philip Hollobone71,52369.153.530.35.53.44.40.00.02.8CONCON
372199Harborough Neil O'Brien78,64773.247.924.514.95.74.10.00.02.8CONCON
378193Derbyshire South Heather Wheeler76,34168.954.329.85.83.43.90.00.02.8CONCON
381190Derbyshire Mid Pauline Latham67,46674.754.229.35.83.44.50.00.02.8CONCON
383188Wellingborough Peter Bone79,25867.253.027.85.66.84.00.00.02.8CONCON
395176Leicestershire North West Andrew Bridgen75,36271.053.827.18.63.44.20.00.02.8CONCON
424147Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin64,41877.055.624.98.63.44.20.00.03.4CONCON
432139Charnwood Edward Argar78,07170.756.024.56.06.04.00.00.03.4CONCON
459112Bosworth David Tredinnick80,63369.752.317.819.63.44.00.00.02.8CONCON
461110Leicestershire South Alberto Costa78,89571.957.022.36.57.34.10.00.02.8CONCON
462109Newark Robert Jenrick75,52672.958.323.57.35.92.20.00.02.8CONCON
466105Gainsborough Edward Leigh75,89367.857.422.59.33.44.60.00.02.8CONCON
49081Northamptonshire South Andrea Leadsom85,75675.858.121.17.85.54.20.00.03.3CONCON
50071Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles81,76269.257.620.37.86.53.50.01.52.8CONCON
51160Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins79,00666.859.520.56.08.02.20.00.03.8CONCON
51952Sleaford and North Hykeham Caroline Johnson90,92572.459.819.66.46.33.60.00.04.2CONCON
52249Boston and Skegness Matt Warman68,39162.759.218.74.111.13.40.00.03.5CONCON
52645Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris75,33573.959.318.49.56.13.90.00.02.8CONCON
53536Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan78,46373.458.416.510.46.65.20.00.02.8CONCON
5683South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,38165.965.514.25.17.73.90.00.03.5CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.