Constituency List: England C-E



Calder Valley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Craig Whittaker  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:79,287
Turnout: 72.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,981 51.9% 46.8%
LAB24,207 41.9% 42.2%
LIB2,884 5.0% 4.1%
OTH721 1.2% 4.2%
Green0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority5,774 10.0% 4.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
61%
LAB
39%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Camberwell and Peckham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Harriet Harman  (LAB)
County/Area:Southwark (London)
Electorate:88,971
Turnout: 63.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB40,258 71.3% 71.6%
CON6,478 11.5% 8.3%
LIB5,087 9.0% 7.2%
Green3,501 6.2% 8.6%
Reform1,041 1.8% 1.4%
OTH127 0.2% 2.9%
LAB Majority33,780 59.8% 63.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Camborne and Redruth

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:George Eustice  (CON)
County/Area:Cornwall (South West)
Electorate:70,250
Turnout: 71.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,764 53.1% 48.0%
LAB18,064 35.9% 36.2%
LIB3,504 7.0% 5.5%
Green1,359 2.7% 5.6%
OTH676 1.3% 4.6%
CON Majority8,700 17.3% 11.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
79%
LAB
21%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cambridge

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Daniel Zeichner  (LAB)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:79,951
Turnout: 67.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,776 48.0% 48.4%
LIB16,137 30.0% 26.3%
CON8,342 15.5% 11.6%
Green2,164 4.0% 7.6%
Reform1,041 1.9% 1.4%
OTH269 0.5% 4.6%
LAB Majority9,639 17.9% 22.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
92%
LIB
7%
CON
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Cambridgeshire North East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Steve Barclay  (CON)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:83,699
Turnout: 63.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON38,423 72.5% 67.5%
LAB8,430 15.9% 16.3%
LIB4,298 8.1% 6.6%
Green1,813 3.4% 6.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority29,993 56.6% 51.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
100%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cambridgeshire North West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Shailesh Vara  (CON)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:94,909
Turnout: 68.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON40,307 62.5% 57.4%
LAB14,324 22.2% 22.6%
LIB6,881 10.7% 8.7%
Green3,021 4.7% 7.8%
OTH0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority25,983 40.3% 34.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
98%
LAB
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cambridgeshire South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Anthony Browne  (CON)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:87,288
Turnout: 76.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,015 46.3% 41.3%
LIB28,111 42.0% 38.3%
LAB7,803 11.7% 12.1%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
OTH0 0.0% 4.4%
CON Majority2,904 4.3% 3.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
56%
LIB
44%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cambridgeshire South East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Lucy Frazer  (CON)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:86,769
Turnout: 74.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,187 50.0% 44.9%
LIB20,697 32.1% 28.4%
LAB10,492 16.3% 16.8%
OTH1,009 1.6% 6.0%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
CON Majority11,490 17.8% 16.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
85%
LIB
13%
LAB
2%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Cannock Chase

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Amanda Milling  (CON)
County/Area:Staffordshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:74,813
Turnout: 61.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,636 68.3% 63.2%
LAB11,757 25.4% 25.7%
Green2,920 6.3% 8.6%
OTH0 0.0% 2.6%
CON Majority19,879 42.9% 37.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Canterbury

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rosie Duffield  (LAB)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:80,203
Turnout: 75.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,018 48.3% 48.6%
CON27,182 45.2% 40.2%
LIB3,408 5.7% 4.5%
OTH505 0.8% 4.0%
Green0 0.0% 2.8%
LAB Majority1,836 3.1% 8.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
33%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Carlisle

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Stevenson  (CON)
County/Area:Cumbria (North West)
Electorate:65,105
Turnout: 65.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,659 55.2% 49.7%
LAB15,340 35.8% 36.1%
LIB2,829 6.6% 5.4%
OTH1,045 2.4% 5.8%
Green0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority8,319 19.4% 13.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
78%
LAB
22%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Carshalton and Wallington

Prediction: LIB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Elliot Colburn  (CON)
County/Area:Sutton (London)
Electorate:72,941
Turnout: 67.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,822 42.4% 36.9%
LIB20,193 41.1% 37.2%
LAB6,081 12.4% 12.9%
Reform1,043 2.1% 1.6%
Green759 1.5% 6.0%
OTH200 0.4% 5.4%
CON Majority629 1.3% 0.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
50%
LIB
48%
LAB
1%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Castle Point

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Rebecca Harris  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:69,608
Turnout: 63.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,971 76.7% 71.7%
LAB7,337 16.6% 16.9%
LIB2,969 6.7% 5.5%
Green0 0.0% 2.8%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority26,634 60.2% 54.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
100%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Charnwood

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Edward Argar  (CON)
County/Area:Leicestershire (East Midlands)
Electorate:79,534
Turnout: 69.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,121 63.4% 58.4%
LAB12,724 23.0% 23.3%
LIB4,856 8.8% 7.4%
Green2,664 4.8% 7.7%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority22,397 40.5% 35.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chatham and Aylesford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Tracey Crouch  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:71,642
Turnout: 60.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,856 66.6% 61.5%
LAB10,316 23.8% 24.2%
LIB2,866 6.6% 5.3%
Green1,090 2.5% 5.4%
OTH212 0.5% 3.7%
CON Majority18,540 42.8% 37.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cheadle

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mary Robinson  (CON)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:74,577
Turnout: 75.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,694 46.0% 40.5%
LIB23,358 41.8% 38.2%
LAB6,851 12.3% 12.8%
Green0 0.0% 4.0%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority2,336 4.2% 2.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
58%
LIB
41%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chelmsford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Vicky Ford  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:80,394
Turnout: 71.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,934 55.9% 50.8%
LIB14,313 25.1% 21.3%
LAB10,295 18.0% 18.5%
OTH580 1.0% 5.4%
Green0 0.0% 3.9%
CON Majority17,621 30.8% 29.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
96%
LIB
2%
LAB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Chelsea and Fulham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Greg Hands  (CON)
County/Area:Hammersmith and Fulham (London)
Electorate:67,110
Turnout: 69.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,345 49.9% 44.4%
LIB12,104 25.9% 21.9%
LAB10,872 23.2% 23.7%
OTH500 1.1% 5.8%
Green0 0.0% 4.2%
CON Majority11,241 24.0% 20.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
87%
LIB
5%
LAB
8%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Cheltenham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Alex Chalk  (CON)
County/Area:Gloucestershire (South West)
Electorate:81,044
Turnout: 73.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,486 48.0% 42.9%
LIB27,505 46.3% 42.2%
LAB2,921 4.9% 5.4%
OTH445 0.7% 5.4%
Green0 0.0% 4.1%
CON Majority981 1.7% 0.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
54%
LIB
46%
LAB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Chesham and Amersham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Cheryl Gillan  (CON)
County/Area:Buckinghamshire (South East)
Electorate:72,542
Turnout: 76.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,850 55.4% 50.4%
LIB14,627 26.3% 22.2%
LAB7,166 12.9% 13.4%
Green3,042 5.5% 9.5%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority16,223 29.1% 28.2%
Pred Maj
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Result shown is the original general election result, before the death of Ms Gillan in April 2021. Sarah Green (Lib Dem) won the seat in a by-election on 17 June 2021.

Chance of winning
CON
97%
LIB
3%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chester, City of

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Chris Matheson  (LAB)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:76,057
Turnout: 71.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,082 49.6% 50.0%
CON20,918 38.3% 32.8%
LIB3,734 6.8% 5.6%
Green1,438 2.6% 5.9%
Reform1,388 2.5% 1.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.7%
LAB Majority6,164 11.3% 17.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
86%
CON
14%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Chesterfield

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Toby Perkins  (LAB)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:71,034
Turnout: 63.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,171 40.2% 40.7%
CON16,720 37.0% 32.0%
Reform4,771 10.6% 7.9%
LIB3,985 8.8% 7.4%
Green1,148 2.5% 6.6%
OTH391 0.9% 5.4%
LAB Majority1,451 3.2% 8.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
71%
CON
29%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chichester

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gillian Keegan  (CON)
County/Area:West Sussex (South East)
Electorate:85,499
Turnout: 71.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,402 57.8% 52.8%
LIB13,912 22.7% 18.6%
LAB9,069 14.8% 15.3%
Green2,527 4.1% 8.2%
OTH333 0.5% 5.1%
CON Majority21,490 35.1% 34.1%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
1%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chingford and Woodford Green

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Iain Duncan Smith  (CON)
County/Area:Waltham Forest (London)
Electorate:65,393
Turnout: 74.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,481 48.5% 43.0%
LAB22,219 45.9% 46.2%
LIB2,744 5.7% 4.5%
Green0 0.0% 2.9%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority1,262 2.6% 3.3%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
44%
LAB
56%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chippenham

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Michelle Donelan  (CON)
County/Area:Wiltshire (South West)
Electorate:77,221
Turnout: 73.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,994 54.3% 49.2%
LIB19,706 34.5% 30.4%
LAB6,399 11.2% 11.7%
Green0 0.0% 4.1%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority11,288 19.8% 18.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
88%
LIB
12%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chipping Barnet

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Theresa Villiers  (CON)
County/Area:Barnet (London)
Electorate:79,960
Turnout: 72.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,745 44.7% 39.2%
LAB24,533 42.6% 43.0%
LIB5,932 10.3% 8.3%
Green1,288 2.2% 5.6%
OTH71 0.1% 3.9%
CON Majority1,212 2.1% 3.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
42%
LAB
58%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Chorley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Lindsay Hoyle  (LAB)
County/Area:Lancashire (North West)
Electorate:78,177
Turnout: 51.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,831 67.3% 67.3%
MIN9,439 23.7% 23.7%
Green3,600 9.0% 9.0%
LAB Majority17,392 43.6% 43.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
LAB
100%
MIN
0%
Green
0%

Christchurch

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Christopher Chope  (CON)
County/Area:Dorset (South West)
Electorate:71,520
Turnout: 72.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,894 65.2% 60.1%
LIB9,277 17.9% 14.2%
LAB6,568 12.6% 13.1%
Green2,212 4.3% 8.1%
OTH0 0.0% 4.4%
CON Majority24,617 47.4% 46.0%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
100%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cities of London and Westminster

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nickie Aiken  (CON)
County/Area:City of Westminster (London)
Electorate:63,700
Turnout: 67.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,049 39.9% 34.4%
LIB13,096 30.7% 26.7%
LAB11,624 27.2% 27.7%
Green728 1.7% 5.9%
OTH226 0.5% 5.3%
CON Majority3,953 9.3% 6.7%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
54%
LIB
20%
LAB
26%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Clacton

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Giles Watling  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:70,930
Turnout: 61.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,438 72.3% 67.2%
LAB6,736 15.5% 15.8%
LIB2,541 5.8% 4.8%
OTH1,566 3.6% 6.7%
Green1,225 2.8% 5.5%
CON Majority24,702 56.8% 51.4%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
100%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Cleethorpes

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Martin Vickers  (CON)
County/Area:Humber area (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:73,689
Turnout: 62.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,969 69.0% 63.9%
LAB10,551 22.8% 23.1%
LIB2,535 5.5% 4.5%
Green1,284 2.8% 5.4%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority21,418 46.2% 40.8%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Colchester

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Will Quince  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:82,625
Turnout: 64.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,917 50.4% 45.4%
LAB17,494 32.8% 33.2%
LIB7,432 13.9% 11.3%
Green1,530 2.9% 6.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.8%
CON Majority9,423 17.7% 12.2%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
78%
LAB
22%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Colne Valley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Jason McCartney  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:84,174
Turnout: 72.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,482 48.4% 43.3%
LAB24,379 40.0% 40.4%
LIB3,815 6.3% 5.2%
Reform1,268 2.1% 1.5%
Green1,068 1.8% 4.7%
OTH880 1.4% 4.8%
CON Majority5,103 8.4% 2.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
57%
LAB
43%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Congleton

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Fiona Bruce  (CON)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:80,930
Turnout: 70.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,747 59.0% 53.5%
LAB15,186 26.5% 26.9%
LIB6,026 10.5% 8.6%
Green1,616 2.8% 6.1%
OTH658 1.1% 4.9%
CON Majority18,561 32.4% 26.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Copeland

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Trudy Harrison  (CON)
County/Area:Cumbria (North West)
Electorate:61,693
Turnout: 68.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,856 53.7% 48.3%
LAB17,014 40.0% 40.4%
LIB1,888 4.4% 3.6%
Green765 1.8% 4.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority5,842 13.7% 7.9%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
69%
LAB
31%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Corby

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Tom Pursglove  (CON)
County/Area:Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:86,153
Turnout: 70.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,410 55.2% 50.2%
LAB23,142 38.3% 38.6%
LIB3,923 6.5% 5.5%
Green0 0.0% 2.7%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority10,268 17.0% 11.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
76%
LAB
24%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cornwall North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Scott Mann  (CON)
County/Area:Cornwall (South West)
Electorate:69,935
Turnout: 73.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,671 59.4% 54.3%
LIB15,919 30.8% 26.7%
LAB4,516 8.7% 9.2%
OTH572 1.1% 5.7%
Green0 0.0% 4.1%
CON Majority14,752 28.5% 27.6%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
96%
LIB
3%
LAB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Cornwall South East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Sheryll Murray  (CON)
County/Area:Cornwall (South West)
Electorate:71,825
Turnout: 74.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,807 59.3% 54.2%
LAB10,836 20.2% 20.7%
LIB8,650 16.1% 12.8%
Green1,493 2.8% 6.5%
OTH869 1.6% 5.9%
CON Majority20,971 39.1% 33.5%
Pred Maj
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Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Cotswolds, The

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Geoffrey Clifton-Brown  (CON)
County/Area:Gloucestershire (South West)
Electorate:81,939
Turnout: 74.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,484 58.0% 52.9%
LIB15,270 25.0% 20.8%
LAB7,110 11.6% 12.1%
Green3,312 5.4% 9.5%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority20,214 33.0% 32.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LIB
1%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Coventry North East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Colleen Fletcher  (LAB)
County/Area:Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
Electorate:76,006
Turnout: 58.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,412 52.7% 53.1%
CON15,720 35.4% 30.2%
Reform2,110 4.7% 3.5%
LIB2,061 4.6% 3.9%
Green1,141 2.6% 5.7%
OTH0 0.0% 3.6%
LAB Majority7,692 17.3% 22.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
93%
CON
7%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Coventry North West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Taiwo Owatemi  (LAB)
County/Area:Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
Electorate:75,247
Turnout: 63.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,918 43.8% 44.2%
CON20,710 43.4% 38.2%
LIB2,717 5.7% 4.8%
Reform1,956 4.1% 3.1%
Green1,443 3.0% 6.2%
OTH0 0.0% 3.6%
LAB Majority208 0.4% 6.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
63%
CON
37%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Coventry South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Zarah Sultana  (LAB)
County/Area:Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
Electorate:70,979
Turnout: 63.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,544 43.4% 43.8%
CON19,143 42.5% 37.4%
LIB3,398 7.5% 6.3%
Reform1,432 3.2% 2.4%
Green1,092 2.4% 5.6%
OTH435 1.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority401 0.9% 6.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
64%
CON
36%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Crawley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Henry Smith  (CON)
County/Area:West Sussex (South East)
Electorate:74,207
Turnout: 67.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,040 54.2% 49.1%
LAB18,680 37.4% 37.8%
LIB2,728 5.5% 4.3%
Green1,451 2.9% 5.6%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
CON Majority8,360 16.8% 11.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
76%
LAB
24%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Crewe and Nantwich

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Kieran Mullan  (CON)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:80,321
Turnout: 67.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,704 53.1% 47.6%
LAB20,196 37.4% 37.8%
LIB2,618 4.8% 4.0%
Reform1,390 2.6% 1.9%
Green975 1.8% 4.9%
OTH149 0.3% 3.8%
CON Majority8,508 15.7% 9.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
72%
LAB
28%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Croydon Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Sarah Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Croydon (London)
Electorate:81,407
Turnout: 66.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,124 50.2% 50.6%
CON21,175 39.2% 33.7%
LIB3,532 6.5% 5.2%
Green1,215 2.2% 5.5%
Reform999 1.8% 1.4%
OTH0 0.0% 3.7%
LAB Majority5,949 11.0% 16.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
84%
CON
16%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Croydon North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Steve Reed  (LAB)
County/Area:Croydon (London)
Electorate:88,468
Turnout: 62.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB36,495 65.6% 66.0%
CON11,822 21.3% 15.8%
LIB4,476 8.0% 6.4%
Green1,629 2.9% 6.2%
Reform839 1.5% 1.1%
OTH348 0.6% 4.4%
LAB Majority24,673 44.4% 50.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Croydon South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Chris Philp  (CON)
County/Area:Croydon (London)
Electorate:83,982
Turnout: 70.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,985 52.2% 46.7%
LAB18,646 31.4% 31.9%
LIB7,503 12.6% 10.1%
Green1,782 3.0% 6.6%
OTH442 0.7% 4.8%
CON Majority12,339 20.8% 14.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
81%
LAB
19%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dagenham and Rainham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Jon Cruddas  (LAB)
County/Area:Barking and Dagenham (London)
Electorate:71,045
Turnout: 61.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,468 44.5% 44.9%
CON19,175 43.8% 38.3%
Reform2,887 6.6% 4.9%
LIB1,182 2.7% 2.2%
Green602 1.4% 4.8%
OTH421 1.0% 4.8%
LAB Majority293 0.7% 6.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
66%
CON
34%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Darlington

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Peter Gibson  (CON)
County/Area:Durham (North East)
Electorate:66,397
Turnout: 65.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,901 48.1% 43.0%
LAB17,607 40.5% 40.8%
LIB2,097 4.8% 4.1%
Reform1,544 3.5% 2.6%
Green1,057 2.4% 5.4%
OTH292 0.7% 4.0%
CON Majority3,294 7.6% 2.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
56%
LAB
44%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dartford

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gareth Johnson  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:82,209
Turnout: 65.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,006 62.9% 57.9%
LAB14,846 27.5% 27.8%
LIB3,736 6.9% 5.5%
Green1,435 2.7% 5.5%
OTH0 0.0% 3.2%
CON Majority19,160 35.5% 30.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Daventry

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Chris Heaton-Harris  (CON)
County/Area:Northamptonshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:77,423
Turnout: 74.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON37,055 64.6% 59.5%
LAB10,975 19.1% 19.5%
LIB7,032 12.3% 10.3%
Green2,341 4.1% 7.2%
OTH0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority26,080 45.4% 40.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Denton and Reddish

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Andrew Gwynne  (LAB)
County/Area:Eastern Manchester (North West)
Electorate:66,234
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,317 50.1% 50.5%
CON13,142 34.1% 28.6%
Reform3,039 7.9% 5.9%
LIB1,642 4.3% 3.5%
Green1,124 2.9% 6.6%
OTH324 0.8% 5.0%
LAB Majority6,175 16.0% 22.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
91%
CON
9%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Derby North

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Amanda Solloway  (CON)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:73,199
Turnout: 64.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,259 45.2% 40.2%
LAB18,719 39.8% 40.2%
LIB3,450 7.3% 6.2%
Reform1,908 4.1% 3.0%
Green1,046 2.2% 5.4%
OTH635 1.4% 5.0%
CON Majority2,540 5.4% 0.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
49%
LAB
51%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Derby South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Margaret Beckett  (LAB)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:73,062
Turnout: 58.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,690 51.1% 51.5%
CON15,671 36.9% 31.9%
LIB2,621 6.2% 5.2%
Reform2,480 5.8% 4.4%
Green0 0.0% 3.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.8%
LAB Majority6,019 14.2% 19.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
89%
CON
11%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Derbyshire Dales

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Sarah Dines  (CON)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:65,080
Turnout: 76.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,356 58.7% 53.7%
LAB11,975 23.9% 24.3%
LIB6,627 13.2% 11.2%
Green2,058 4.1% 7.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.6%
CON Majority17,381 34.8% 29.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
96%
LAB
4%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Derbyshire Mid

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Pauline Latham  (CON)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:67,442
Turnout: 73.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,027 58.8% 53.8%
LAB13,642 27.6% 28.0%
LIB4,756 9.6% 8.1%
Green1,931 3.9% 6.8%
OTH0 0.0% 3.3%
CON Majority15,385 31.2% 25.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Derbyshire North East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Lee Rowley  (CON)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:72,345
Turnout: 68.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,897 58.7% 53.7%
LAB16,021 32.6% 32.9%
LIB3,021 6.1% 5.2%
Green1,278 2.6% 5.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.0%
CON Majority12,876 26.2% 20.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
89%
LAB
11%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Derbyshire South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Heather Wheeler  (CON)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:79,331
Turnout: 67.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,502 62.8% 57.7%
LAB14,167 26.5% 26.9%
LIB3,924 7.4% 6.2%
Green1,788 3.3% 6.1%
OTH0 0.0% 3.1%
CON Majority19,335 36.2% 30.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Devizes

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Danny Kruger  (CON)
County/Area:Wiltshire (South West)
Electorate:73,372
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,150 63.1% 58.0%
LIB8,157 16.0% 12.7%
LAB7,838 15.4% 15.8%
Green2,809 5.5% 9.2%
OTH0 0.0% 4.2%
CON Majority23,993 47.1% 42.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
100%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Devon Central

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mel Stride  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:74,926
Turnout: 77.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,095 55.3% 50.2%
LAB14,374 24.8% 25.2%
LIB8,770 15.1% 12.0%
Green2,833 4.9% 8.5%
OTH0 0.0% 4.1%
CON Majority17,721 30.5% 25.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Devon East

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Simon Jupp  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:87,168
Turnout: 73.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,577 50.8% 45.7%
MIN25,869 40.4% 40.4%
LAB2,870 4.5% 4.8%
LIB1,771 2.8% 2.2%
Green711 1.1% 3.6%
OTH275 0.4% 3.3%
CON Majority6,708 10.5% 5.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
82%
MIN
16%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
1%
OTH
1%

Devon North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Selaine Saxby  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:75,859
Turnout: 73.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,479 56.6% 51.5%
LIB16,666 30.0% 25.9%
LAB5,097 9.2% 9.7%
Green1,759 3.2% 7.3%
OTH580 1.0% 5.7%
CON Majority14,813 26.7% 25.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LIB
5%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Devon South West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Gary Streeter  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:72,535
Turnout: 73.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,286 62.4% 57.3%
LAB11,856 22.2% 22.6%
LIB6,207 11.6% 9.2%
Green2,018 3.8% 7.1%
OTH0 0.0% 3.8%
CON Majority21,430 40.2% 34.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Devon West and Torridge

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Geoffrey Cox  (CON)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:80,403
Turnout: 74.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,904 60.1% 55.0%
LIB10,912 18.3% 14.5%
LAB10,290 17.2% 17.7%
Green2,077 3.5% 7.4%
OTH547 0.9% 5.4%
CON Majority24,992 41.8% 37.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LIB
0%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dewsbury

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Mark Eastwood  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:81,253
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,179 46.4% 41.3%
LAB24,618 43.7% 44.0%
LIB2,406 4.3% 3.5%
Reform1,874 3.3% 2.4%
Green1,060 1.9% 4.9%
OTH252 0.4% 3.8%
CON Majority1,561 2.8% 2.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
44%
LAB
56%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Don Valley

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Nick Fletcher  (CON)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:75,356
Turnout: 60.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,609 43.2% 38.1%
LAB15,979 35.2% 35.7%
Reform6,247 13.7% 10.1%
LIB1,907 4.2% 3.5%
Green872 1.9% 6.1%
OTH823 1.8% 6.6%
CON Majority3,630 8.0% 2.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
55%
LAB
44%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Doncaster Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rosie Winterton  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:71,389
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,638 40.0% 40.6%
CON14,360 34.5% 29.4%
Reform6,842 16.5% 12.1%
LIB1,748 4.2% 3.5%
OTH1,012 2.4% 7.6%
Green981 2.4% 6.9%
LAB Majority2,278 5.5% 11.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
CON
23%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Doncaster North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ed Miliband  (LAB)
County/Area:South Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:72,362
Turnout: 56.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,740 38.7% 39.3%
CON13,370 32.9% 27.8%
Reform8,294 20.4% 15.0%
OTH1,818 4.5% 10.0%
LIB1,476 3.6% 3.0%
Green0 0.0% 4.9%
LAB Majority2,370 5.8% 11.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
CON
22%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%

Dorset Mid and Poole North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Michael Tomlinson  (CON)
County/Area:Dorset (South West)
Electorate:65,427
Turnout: 74.8%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,548 60.4% 55.3%
LIB14,650 29.9% 25.8%
LAB3,402 7.0% 7.5%
Green1,330 2.7% 6.8%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority14,898 30.4% 29.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LIB
3%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dorset North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Simon Hoare  (CON)
County/Area:Dorset (South West)
Electorate:76,765
Turnout: 73.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,705 63.6% 58.5%
LIB11,404 20.3% 16.2%
LAB6,737 12.0% 12.5%
Green2,261 4.0% 8.1%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority24,301 43.3% 42.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
100%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dorset South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Richard Drax  (CON)
County/Area:Dorset (South West)
Electorate:73,809
Turnout: 69.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,024 58.8% 53.7%
LAB12,871 25.2% 25.6%
LIB5,432 10.6% 8.4%
Green2,246 4.4% 7.6%
OTH485 0.9% 4.6%
CON Majority17,153 33.6% 28.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dorset West

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Chris Loder  (CON)
County/Area:Dorset (South West)
Electorate:81,897
Turnout: 74.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,589 55.1% 50.0%
LIB19,483 32.0% 27.8%
LAB5,729 9.4% 9.9%
Green2,124 3.5% 7.6%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority14,106 23.2% 22.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
92%
LIB
8%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dover

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Natalie Elphicke  (CON)
County/Area:Kent (South East)
Electorate:76,355
Turnout: 66.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,830 56.9% 51.8%
LAB16,552 32.6% 33.0%
LIB2,895 5.7% 4.5%
Green1,371 2.7% 5.5%
OTH1,053 2.1% 5.2%
CON Majority12,278 24.2% 18.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
89%
LAB
11%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dudley North

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Marco Longhi  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:61,936
Turnout: 59.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,134 63.1% 57.9%
LAB11,601 31.6% 31.9%
LIB1,210 3.3% 2.8%
Green739 2.0% 4.5%
OTH0 0.0% 2.8%
CON Majority11,533 31.4% 26.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dudley South

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Mike Wood  (CON)
County/Area:Black Country (West Midlands)
Electorate:60,731
Turnout: 60.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,835 67.9% 62.8%
LAB9,270 25.3% 25.7%
LIB1,608 4.4% 3.7%
Green863 2.4% 4.9%
OTH0 0.0% 2.9%
CON Majority15,565 42.6% 37.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Dulwich and West Norwood

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Helen Hayes  (LAB)
County/Area:Lambeth (London)
Electorate:80,331
Turnout: 69.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB36,521 65.5% 65.7%
Green9,211 16.5% 18.6%
CON9,160 16.4% 11.9%
Reform571 1.0% 0.8%
OTH315 0.6% 3.0%
LAB Majority27,310 49.0% 47.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
Green
0%
CON
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Durham North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Kevan Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Durham (North East)
Electorate:66,796
Turnout: 63.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,639 44.2% 44.7%
CON13,897 32.9% 27.9%
Reform4,693 11.1% 8.2%
LIB2,879 6.8% 5.7%
Green1,126 2.7% 6.7%
OTH961 2.3% 6.8%
LAB Majority4,742 11.2% 16.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
86%
CON
14%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Durham North West

Prediction: LAB gain from CON

MP at 2019:Richard Holden  (CON)
County/Area:Durham (North East)
Electorate:72,166
Turnout: 66.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,990 41.9% 36.9%
LAB18,846 39.5% 40.0%
Reform3,193 6.7% 5.0%
LIB2,831 5.9% 5.0%
OTH1,630 3.4% 7.3%
Green1,173 2.5% 5.9%
CON Majority1,144 2.4% 3.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
42%
LAB
58%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Durham, City of

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Mary Foy  (LAB)
County/Area:Durham (North East)
Electorate:71,271
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,531 42.0% 42.5%
CON15,506 31.7% 26.7%
LIB7,935 16.2% 13.7%
Reform3,252 6.7% 4.9%
Green1,635 3.3% 7.5%
OTH0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority5,025 10.3% 15.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
84%
CON
16%
LIB
1%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ealing Central and Acton

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Rupa Huq  (LAB)
County/Area:Ealing (London)
Electorate:75,510
Turnout: 72.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,132 51.3% 51.8%
CON14,832 27.1% 21.6%
LIB9,444 17.2% 13.8%
Green1,735 3.2% 7.3%
Reform664 1.2% 0.9%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority13,300 24.3% 30.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
98%
CON
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Ealing North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:James Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Ealing (London)
Electorate:74,473
Turnout: 66.6%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,036 56.5% 56.9%
CON15,767 31.8% 26.3%
LIB4,370 8.8% 7.1%
Green1,458 2.9% 6.1%
OTH0 0.0% 3.6%
LAB Majority12,269 24.7% 30.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
97%
CON
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Ealing Southall

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Virendra Sharma  (LAB)
County/Area:Ealing (London)
Electorate:64,581
Turnout: 65.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,678 60.8% 61.3%
CON9,594 22.7% 17.2%
LIB3,933 9.3% 7.5%
Green1,688 4.0% 7.5%
Reform867 2.1% 1.5%
OTH457 1.1% 5.0%
LAB Majority16,084 38.1% 44.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
99%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Easington

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Grahame Morris  (LAB)
County/Area:Durham (North East)
Electorate:61,182
Turnout: 56.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,723 45.5% 46.1%
CON9,142 26.4% 21.4%
Reform6,744 19.5% 14.4%
LIB1,526 4.4% 3.7%
OTH1,448 4.2% 9.6%
Green0 0.0% 4.8%
LAB Majority6,581 19.0% 24.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
94%
CON
5%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

East Ham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Timms  (LAB)
County/Area:Newham (London)
Electorate:88,319
Turnout: 61.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB41,703 76.3% 76.6%
CON8,527 15.6% 11.3%
LIB2,158 4.0% 3.2%
Reform1,107 2.0% 1.5%
Green883 1.6% 4.1%
OTH250 0.5% 3.3%
LAB Majority33,176 60.7% 65.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Eastbourne

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Caroline Ansell  (CON)
County/Area:East Sussex (South East)
Electorate:79,307
Turnout: 69.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,951 48.9% 43.8%
LIB22,620 41.0% 36.9%
LAB3,848 7.0% 7.5%
Reform1,530 2.8% 2.1%
OTH185 0.3% 5.3%
Green0 0.0% 4.4%
CON Majority4,331 7.9% 6.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
69%
LIB
31%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Eastleigh

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Paul Holmes  (CON)
County/Area:Hampshire (South East)
Electorate:83,880
Turnout: 70.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,690 55.4% 50.4%
LIB17,083 29.0% 24.9%
LAB7,559 12.8% 13.3%
Green1,639 2.8% 6.8%
OTH0 0.0% 4.6%
CON Majority15,607 26.5% 25.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LIB
5%
LAB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Eddisbury

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Edward Timpson  (CON)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:73,700
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,095 56.8% 51.3%
LAB11,652 22.0% 22.5%
LIB9,582 18.1% 14.8%
Green1,191 2.2% 6.1%
OTH451 0.9% 5.3%
CON Majority18,443 34.8% 28.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Edmonton

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Kate Osamor  (LAB)
County/Area:Enfield (London)
Electorate:65,747
Turnout: 61.4%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,217 65.0% 65.4%
CON10,202 25.3% 19.8%
LIB2,145 5.3% 4.3%
Green862 2.1% 5.3%
Reform840 2.1% 1.6%
OTH75 0.2% 3.7%
LAB Majority16,015 39.7% 45.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
100%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Ellesmere Port and Neston

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Justin Madders  (LAB)
County/Area:Cheshire (North West)
Electorate:70,327
Turnout: 69.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,001 53.3% 53.8%
CON17,237 35.4% 29.9%
LIB2,406 4.9% 4.0%
Reform2,138 4.4% 3.3%
Green964 2.0% 5.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.8%
LAB Majority8,764 18.0% 23.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
93%
CON
7%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Elmet and Rothwell

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Alec Shelbrooke  (CON)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:80,957
Turnout: 71.9%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,726 57.9% 52.8%
LAB16,373 28.1% 28.5%
LIB5,155 8.9% 7.3%
Green1,775 3.0% 6.0%
OTH1,196 2.1% 5.4%
CON Majority17,353 29.8% 24.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Eltham

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Clive Efford  (LAB)
County/Area:Greenwich (London)
Electorate:64,086
Turnout: 68.2%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,550 47.0% 47.5%
CON17,353 39.7% 34.2%
LIB2,941 6.7% 5.4%
Reform1,523 3.5% 2.6%
Green1,322 3.0% 6.4%
OTH0 0.0% 3.9%
LAB Majority3,197 7.3% 13.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
80%
CON
20%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Enfield North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Feryal Clark  (LAB)
County/Area:Enfield (London)
Electorate:68,301
Turnout: 66.0%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,340 51.8% 52.2%
CON16,848 37.4% 31.9%
LIB2,950 6.5% 5.2%
Green1,115 2.5% 5.7%
Reform797 1.8% 1.3%
OTH0 0.0% 3.6%
LAB Majority6,492 14.4% 20.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
90%
CON
10%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Enfield Southgate

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Bambos Charalambous  (LAB)
County/Area:Enfield (London)
Electorate:65,525
Turnout: 72.1%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,923 48.5% 48.9%
CON18,473 39.1% 33.6%
LIB4,344 9.2% 7.4%
Green1,042 2.2% 5.6%
Reform494 1.0% 0.8%
OTH0 0.0% 3.8%
LAB Majority4,450 9.4% 15.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
83%
CON
17%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Epping Forest

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Eleanor Laing  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:74,304
Turnout: 67.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,364 64.4% 59.3%
LAB10,191 20.3% 20.7%
LIB5,387 10.7% 8.7%
Green1,975 3.9% 7.1%
OTH351 0.7% 4.2%
CON Majority22,173 44.1% 38.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
99%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Epsom and Ewell

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Chris Grayling  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:81,138
Turnout: 73.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,819 53.5% 48.5%
LIB13,946 23.5% 19.4%
LAB10,226 17.2% 17.7%
Green2,047 3.4% 7.5%
OTH1,413 2.4% 7.0%
CON Majority17,873 30.1% 29.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
96%
LIB
2%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Erewash

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Maggie Throup  (CON)
County/Area:Derbyshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:72,523
Turnout: 67.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,560 56.5% 51.4%
LAB16,954 34.7% 35.1%
LIB2,487 5.1% 4.3%
Green1,115 2.3% 4.9%
OTH698 1.4% 4.4%
CON Majority10,606 21.7% 16.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
16%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Erith and Thamesmead

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Abena Oppong-Asare  (LAB)
County/Area:Bexley (London)
Electorate:65,399
Turnout: 63.3%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,882 48.0% 48.5%
CON16,124 39.0% 33.5%
Reform2,246 5.4% 4.0%
LIB1,984 4.8% 3.8%
Green876 2.1% 5.6%
OTH272 0.7% 4.6%
LAB Majority3,758 9.1% 15.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
82%
CON
18%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Esher and Walton

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Dominic Raab  (CON)
County/Area:Surrey (South East)
Electorate:81,184
Turnout: 77.7%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,132 49.4% 44.3%
LIB28,389 45.0% 40.9%
LAB2,838 4.5% 5.0%
OTH725 1.1% 5.7%
Green0 0.0% 4.1%
CON Majority2,743 4.3% 3.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
61%
LIB
39%
LAB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%

Exeter

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Ben Bradshaw  (LAB)
County/Area:Devon (South West)
Electorate:82,054
Turnout: 68.5%

Party2019 Votes2019 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,882 53.2% 53.5%
CON19,479 34.7% 29.6%
Green4,838 8.6% 11.2%
Reform1,428 2.5% 1.9%
OTH565 1.0% 3.9%
LAB Majority10,403 18.5% 23.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
8%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%