UK Predictions

Read the headline prediction, and also see the full details about which seats would be won and lost if there were a general election tomorrow.


UK Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON 44.7%376 21.9%80
LAB 33.0%197 41.4%461
LIB 11.8%8 10.8%63
Reform 2.1%0 14.8%1
Green 2.8%1 5.6%2
SNP 4.0%48 3.5%20
PlaidC 0.5%2 0.7%3

Current Election Prediction

Our current headline prediction for what would happen if there were a UK General Election tomorrow.

USER-DEFINED POLL

Make Your Own Prediction

Make your own predictions both for the entire country and for any particular Westminster constituency in England, Scotland and Wales.

Make your prediction

LOCAL PREDICTIONS

Your seat predicted

See predictions for your own seat, including ward-level predictions, an interactive map, and political and demographic characteristics.

Find your own seat, or just enter your postcode:

Go

Prediction List

Bar chart of Ordered Majorities

Ordered New Seats

List of all new GB seats in order from most Labour to most Conservative. The key seats which both big parties need to win a majority are clearly identified.

Regional Predictions

Ordered New Seats by Area

Click on an area's name to see that region's ordered seat list:

Regional Predictions

Ordered New Seats by Area

Click any area on the map to see that area's ordered seat list.

Scotland

Edinburgh Castle

Scotland Predictions

Visit our Scotland home page for polls, predictions, and the chance to make your own predictions for the next Westminster election in Scotland.

Photo: Christian Bickel

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland Predictions

Visit our Northern Ireland home page for polls, predictions, and the chance to make your own predictions for the next Westminster election in the province.

Gains and Losses

Jo Swinson

Vulnerable Seats

List of all seats which are predicted to change hands, showing county, old and new party winners, and the MP as at 2019
Photo: David Spender

Archive material for old seats and elections

Old Seat Predictions

Old Seat Predictions

Predictions for old seats, plus old seat lookup by postcode or old seat name.

Scenarios

Battlemap table

Battlemap

The traditional two-dimensional lookup table showing how many old seats each of three big parties will win for different Conservative and Labour support levels.

Election Night

Slidesheets 2019

Archive of our traditional election night slidesheets for Decemeber 2019.