Sorted Seat List

This page shows all the seats in England, Scotland and Wales sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Darlington (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Durham, City of (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of seats with predictions

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.