Vulnerable Seats

Current Prediction: Conservative majority 20

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 44.7%365 40.3%030-30335
LAB 33.0%203 34.6%270+27230
LIB 11.8%11 9.1%04-47
Reform 2.1%0 1.3%00+00
Green 2.8%1 5.9%00+01
SNP 4.0%48 4.3%70+755
PlaidC 0.5%4 0.5%00+04
Other 1.1%0 4.1%00+00
DUP 8 00+08
SF 7 00+07
SDLP 2 00+02
Alliance 1 00+01

See also the full majority-sorted list of seats, including vulnerables.

List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineGrampianSNPgain fromCONAndrew Bowie
Birmingham NorthfieldBirminghamLABgain fromCONGary Sambrook
Blyth ValleyNorthumberlandLABgain fromCONIan Levy
Bolton North EastWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONMark Logan
BridgendMid GlamorganLABgain fromCONJamie Wallis
BurnleyLancashireLABgain fromCONAntony Higginbotham
Bury NorthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONJames Daly
Bury SouthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONChristian Wakeford
Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossHighlandSNPgain fromLIBJamie Stone
Chingford and Woodford GreenWaltham ForestLABgain fromCONIain Duncan Smith
Chipping BarnetBarnetLABgain fromCONTheresa Villiers
Clwyd SouthClwydLABgain fromCONSimon Baynes
DelynClwydLABgain fromCONRob Roberts
Derby NorthDerbyshireLABgain fromCONAmanda Solloway
DewsburyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONMark Eastwood
Dumfries and GallowayDumfries and GallowaySNPgain fromCONAlister Jack
Durham North WestDurhamLABgain fromCONRichard Holden
Edinburgh WestEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLIBChristine Jardine
Fife North EastFifeSNPgain fromLIBWendy Chamberlain
GedlingNottinghamshireLABgain fromCONTom Randall
Heywood and MiddletonEastern ManchesterLABgain fromCONChris Clarkson
High PeakDerbyshireLABgain fromCONRobert Largan
KeighleyWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONRobbie Moore
KensingtonKensington and ChelseaLABgain fromCONFelicity Buchan
LeighWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONJames Grundy
MorayGrampianSNPgain fromCONDouglas Ross
Orkney and ShetlandOrkney and ShetlandSNPgain fromLIBAlistair Carmichael
PeterboroughCambridgeshireLABgain fromCONPaul Bristow
Stoke-on-Trent CentralStaffordshireLABgain fromCONJo Gideon
Vale of ClwydClwydLABgain fromCONJames Davies
Warrington SouthCheshireLABgain fromCONAndy Carter
West Bromwich EastBlack CountryLABgain fromCONNicola Richards
Wolverhampton South WestBlack CountryLABgain fromCONStuart Anderson
Ynys MonGwyneddLABgain fromCONVirginia Crosbie

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.