Vulnerable Seats

Current Prediction: Labour majority 180

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	24.4%	121	22.1%	0	8	-8	113
LAB	34.7%	412	33.4%	6	3	+3	415
LIB	12.6%	72	11.7%	0	0	+0	72
Reform	14.7%	5	18.4%	5	0	+5	10
Green	6.9%	4	8.4%	0	0	+0	4
SNP	2.6%	9	2.5%	0	0	+0	9
PlaidC	0.7%	4	0.7%	0	0	+0	4
Other	3.5%	5	2.8%	0	0	+0	5
SF		7		0	0	+0	7
DUP		5		0	0	+0	5
SDLP		2		0	0	+0	2
NI Other		2		0	0	+0	2
UUP		1		0	0	+0	1
Alliance		1		0	0	+0	1

See also the full majority-sorted list of seats, including vulnerables.

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2024
Basildon and Billericay	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Richard John Holden
Beverley and Holderness	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Stuart
Bromley and Biggin Hill	Bromley	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Fortune
Devon Central	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Mel Stride
Exmouth and Exeter East	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	David George Reed
Fylde	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Snowden
Havant	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alan Mak
Hornchurch and Upminster	Havering	Reform	gain from	CON	Julia Lopez
Llanelli	Dyfed	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Norfolk South West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Terry Jermy
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kevin McKenna

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.